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The Future of the World Economy

Economic Growth and Structural Change

  • Book
  • © 1989

Overview

Editors:
  1. Wilhelm Krelle

    1. Institute of Social Sciences and Economics, Bonn University, Bonn 1, Germany
      IIASA International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria

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Table of contents (30 chapters)

  1. Analysis and Forecast of Structural Change on the Basis of Individual Country Models: Results of Collaborating Research Groups in Different Countries

    1. Strategic Planning and Economic Growth in Bulgaria

      • O. Panov, J. Djarova
      Pages 407-417

    2. The Growth of the Polish Economy and Prospects for Structural Change

      • Adam B. Czyżewski, Wladyslaw Welfe
      Pages 419-443

    3. Structural Change in the Czechoslovak Economy to the Year 2000

      • Karl Zeman
      Pages 445-460

    4. Economic Development of the CSSR: Analysis and Conditional Forecasts

      • Ivan Sujan
      Pages 461-476

    5. Analysis and Forecasts of Growth of the Hungarian Economy

      • Andras Simon
      Pages 477-486

    6. Structural Adjustment, Productivity and Capital Accumulation in Austria

      • Stefan Schleicher
      Pages 487-495

  2. Analysis and Forecast of World Trade, the Debt Situation, and North—South Economic Relations

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 497-497
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    2. Structural Change in World Trade: Analyses and Forecasts of the FIND Model

      • Georg Erber
      Pages 499-513

    3. Foreign Debt and the Structure of World Trade

      • Peter Pauly
      Pages 515-525

    4. The Debt Situation of the Developing Countries: A Medium-Term Scenario Analysis

      • Jürgen Richtering
      Pages 527-539

  3. Some General and Methodological Problems Related to Economic Growth and Structural Change

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 541-541
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    2. Structural Change and the Long Wave

      • S. Menshikov, L. Klimenko
      Pages 543-560

    3. The Emergence of Service Economics

      • G. d’Alcantara
      Pages 561-569

    4. Economic Structural Changes: The Problems of Forecasting

      • Iouri Tchijov
      Pages 571-579

    5. Comparison of Gross Domestic Product and Net Material Product

      • Jaroslav ÄŒeÅ¡ka
      Pages 581-599

  4. Back Matter

    Pages 601-683
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Keywords

About this book

Economic growth and structural change - the future of the world economy - is analysed in this book. Conditional forecasts are given for the economic development of the most important world market countries till the year 2000. The driving forces of economic growth are identified and forecasted, in connection with collaborating scholars in most of these countries and with international organizations. This information is used in solving a coherent world model. The model consists of linked growth models for each country (or groups of countries). The solutions show that the inequality in international income distribution will further increase and that the CMEA and OECD countries will approximately keep their relative positions, with some changes within these groups. Structural change is also analysed. Additionally separate forecasts prepared by each collaborating country group are given and may be compared with the forecasts by the world model. The book closes with chapters on special features of the future economic development: on the international debt problem, on long waves, on structural change in the world trade, on the emergence of service economics and on the comparison of GDP and NMP national accounting.

Editors and Affiliations

  • Institute of Social Sciences and Economics, Bonn University, Bonn 1, Germany

    Wilhelm Krelle

  • IIASA International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria

    Wilhelm Krelle

Bibliographic Information

  • Book Title: The Future of the World Economy

  • Book Subtitle: Economic Growth and Structural Change

  • Editors: Wilhelm Krelle

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-02586-4

  • Publisher: Springer Berlin, Heidelberg

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

  • Copyright Information: Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 1989

  • Softcover ISBN: 978-3-662-02588-8Published: 18 January 2013

  • eBook ISBN: 978-3-662-02586-4Published: 09 March 2013

  • Edition Number: 1

  • Number of Pages: XIX, 683

  • Topics: International Economics, History of Science

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