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Determinants of the Outcomes of a Household’s Decision Concerning Child Labor or Child Schooling

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Abstract

Child labour is an issue of global concern. It assumes more importance when it comes to developing countries like Pakistan. This study attempts to highlight this child labor issue in Mardan District of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, a province of Pakistan. The analysis collects information through modified questionnaire by randomly interviewing households. Using Multinomial Logit model, the analysis finds that probability of child schooling is high, in case a child is already enrolled in primary school education. Similarly, child schooling is more likely when monthly income of a family head increases. However, with the increase in ‘age’ and ‘monthly income’ of a child, the probability of child labour tends to increase. Additionally, Poor financial position of a family also increases the chances for child’s labour activities. Furthermore, the analysis finds variables like “initiative of work by child himself” and “working capacity” increase the chance for a child to combine school with labour activities. That is, if a child engages himself in labour work on permanent basis, such a child is more likely to combine school with labour work to finance his educational expenses. On the contrary, a household prefers his child neither to attend school nor labour work in case of increasing family’s income. That is, in such a situation a household may prefer his child to engage in homecare activities. Finally, the analysis shows that probability of child schooling is high in case a child is living in rural areas. Based on empirical findings, the study suggests few practicable steps to the government for addressing the child labour issue. Opening more primary schools in remote areas and providing vocational training centers to children whose families cannot afford educational expenses, would be helpful in reducing child labour exclusively.

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Data Availability

All the data is available in the manuscript. And the data sets used and or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

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Correspondence to Azeem Gul.

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Appendices

Appendix 1 Multinomial logit Result

 

B

Std. Error

t

Sig

1

(Constant)

0.565

0.144

3.928

0.000

Child Age

-0.136

0.056

-2.420

0.016

Area of living

0.121

0.053

2.294

0.023

Education Status

0.188

0.052

3.617

0.000

Child still studying or not

0.229

0.063

3.614

0.000

Child's mother education status

0.081

0.056

1.450

0.149

Family head education

-0.083

0.052

-1.606

0.110

Family head age

0.087

0.054

1.593

0.113

Monthly income of the family

-0.759

0.089

-8.539

0.000

Family head income

0.093

0.050

1.842

0.067

Is child family head working

-0.001

0.047

-0.024

0.981

Number of persons in family

0.038

0.053

0.722

0.471

Is child's family is joint family

0.000

0.044

-0.010

0.992

  1. Dependent Variable: Child Schooling only

Appendix B

Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized Coefficients

t

Sig

B

Std. Error

Beta

1

(Constant)

0.867

0.313

 

2.766

0.006

Child Age

-0.197

0.122

-0.101

-1.609

0.109

Area of living

0.093

0.115

0.053

0.811

0.418

Education Status

-0.923

0.113

-0.526

-8.154

0.000

Child still studying or not

-0.458

0.138

-0.214

-3.315

0.001

Child's mother education status

0.109

0.122

0.056

0.894

0.373

Family head education

0.077

0.112

0.044

0.684

0.495

Family head age

0.068

0.119

0.036

0.571

0.569

Monthly income of the family

0.386

0.194

0.125

1.991

0.048

Family head income

0.073

0.110

0.041

0.668

0.505

Is child family head working

-0.093

0.102

-0.057

-0.909

0.364

Number of persons in family

-0.123

0.115

-0.069

-1.070

0.286

Is child's family is joint family

0.081

0.096

0.053

0.842

0.401

  1. Dependent Variable: Child characteristics

Appendix C Correlation Matrix

 

Child characteristics

Child Age

Area of living

Education Status

The child still studying or not

Child's mother’s education status

Family head educated

Family head age

Monthly income of the family

Family head income

Is child family head working

Number of persons in the family

Is child's family is a joint family

Child characteristic

1.000

            

Child Age

-0.162

1.000

           

Area of living

0.136

-0.085

1.000

          

Education Status

0.257

-0.088

0.252

1.000

         

Child still studying or not

0.293

-0.035

0.096

0.006

1.000

        

Child's mother education status

0.071

-0.028

-0.062

-0.043

0.159

1.000

       

Family head education

-0.047

-0.208

0.087

0.183

0.049

-0.027

1.000

      

Family head age

0.132

-0.140

-0.069

0.014

0.013

0.200

-0.040

1.000

     

Monthly income of the family

-0.502

-0.045

0.112

-0.025

-0.135

0.114

0.086

-0.022

1.000

    

Family head income

0.065

-0.062

-0.046

0.087

-0.106

0.029

-0.016

-0.069

0.075

1.000

   

Is child family head working

-0.011

-0.088

0.018

0.071

-0.129

-0.003

0.000

0.141

0.069

0.134

1.00

  

Number of persons in family

-0.012

-0.079

-0.185

-0.150

-0.127

-0.010

0.179

-0.018

-0.067

0.046

-0.111

1.000

 

Is child's family is a joint family

-0.031

0.136

-0.124

0.009

0.159

0.076

-0.083

-0.045

0.064

-0.034

-0.050

-0.115

1.000

The above Table 7, shows Pearson correlation matrix of all the independent variables. The result finds indicates that none of the single variable have correlation greater than 0.75 with all other independent variables. Therefore, the correlation matrix obtained, is an evident of no high collinearity among independent variables. The ‘Rule of Thumb’ is that If correlation between two independent variable is either greater than + 0.75 or less than -0.75, then sever collinearity exist between the two variables. In this case the variance or standard error of the coefficients are no longer reliable (inflated variance of the coefficient). To remove the collinearity drop the variable having weaker correlation with the dependent variable.

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Gul, A., Ahmad, S., Ali, A. et al. Determinants of the Outcomes of a Household’s Decision Concerning Child Labor or Child Schooling. Child Ind Res 16, 2449–2473 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12187-023-10064-8

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