We examine the effect of non-tidal loading on geodetic parameters derived from VLBI observations with our DGFI Orbit and Geodetic parameter estimation Software (DOGS, see Gerstl et al. 2000). The component DOGS-RI (Radio Interferometry) establishes the theoretical model and provides datum-free normal equations according to the Gauss–Markov model (compare Sect. 3). For each VLBI session, we estimate constant station and source coordinates, the full set of Earth orientation parameters (EOP), as well as parameters modelling the station clocks and the tropospheric delay. Details about the temporal resolutions and the functional representations are found in Table 2.
The geophysical models used in the estimation process are those of the IERS Conventions 2010 (Petit and Luzum 2010). Table 3 provides the corresponding overview for our reference set-up (REF), where all conventional station displacements are applied. Any displacements referring to non-tidal loading are only considered in subsequent set-ups. First, this happens at the observation level (OBS), i.e. distinct displacements are applied at their corresponding observation epoch within the theoretical delay function. For each non-tidal loading scenario, DOGS-RI generates a separate set of datum-free normal equations, which contain conditions for clock and tropospheric parameters as pseudo-observations. These equations are forwarded to the component DOGS-CS (Combination and Solution), where no-net-translation (NNT, for station coordinates) and no-net-rotation (NNR, for station and source coordinates) conditions are added in the form of separate normal matrices (compare Angermann et al. 2004). The parameter estimates for each scenario and VLBI session are finally obtained by inversion of their respective normal equation as shown in Eq. (14).
With the normal equation level (NEQ), only the datum-free normal equations of the reference set-up are forwarded to DOGS-CS. For each non-tidal loading scenario, the right-hand sides of the normal equations are modified with the vector of average site displacements per station coordinate for the corresponding session. Afterwards, the same NNT and NNR conditions as for OBS are added, and the parameter estimates for NEQ are again obtained by inversion.
In the following, we investigate the changes in the estimated parameters when moving from REF to one of the non-tidal loading scenarios: ATM—atmospheric only, OCE—oceanic only, HYD—hydrological only, ALL—atmospheric plus oceanic and hydrological. In each case, the application levels OBS and NEQ as well as the providers ESMGFZ and IMLS have been considered. On overview of the choices is presented in Fig. 4.
WRMS of station positions
We want to analyse whether the site displacements computed from non-tidal loading are appropriate for explaining parts of the sub-daily station motions, i.e. whether their application is able to reduce the variation in the time series of session-wise positions. The differences between OBS and NEQ will give an impression of the significance of the sub-daily displacement resolution.
In Fig. 5, we plot the changes in the weighted root mean square (WRMS) values of the local station coordinates (East, North, Up) for the distinct non-tidal loading scenarios with ESMGFZ data. The time series of coordinates ranges from 1984 to 2017, and we considered every session that was analysed at DGFI-TUM during that period. If the stations participated in at least 100 sessions, they are listed on the x-axis, and they are ordered descending by the number of such sessions. The leftmost station, WETTZELL, for example, made observations in 3,323 sessions, while the rightmost one, DSS65, only participated in 111 sessions.
As expected, the change in WRMS values is generally largest for the Up component (bottom panel in each subplot), irrespective of the application level. Furthermore, the majority of changes for the Up component is negative, which means that the WRMS is generally improved when applying non-tidal loading. The maximum improvement is \(-\,1.83\) mm (\(-\,1.86\) mm) for the VLBI station GILCREEK when the sum of all site displacements is applied at OBS (NEQ). Across the listed stations, the average improvement is about \(-\,0.39\) mm for both levels in the ALL scenario, which is equivalent to a relative average improvement of \(-\,4.0\)%. For ATM, OCE, and HYD, the averages are about \(-\,0.23\) mm (\(-\,2.4\)%), \(-\,0.04\) mm (\(-\,0.4\)%), and \(-\,0.12\) mm (\(-\,1.3\)%), respectively. For the horizontal components, the tendency is less obvious. The statistics (minimum, mean, median, maximum, portion of improved cases) of the relative changes in WRMS values for all local coordinates and non-tidal loading parts are listed in Table 5 of the Appendix. It also contains the scenario ALL including SLEL and reveals that the corresponding results are close to that of the original ALL scenario. Compared to the relative improvements which are obtained for GNSS (see Tregoning et al. 2009; Dach et al. 2010; van Dam et al. 2012, for example), our values are rather small. However, the behaviour is systematic, and the WRMS of station heights is larger for VLBI (1–2 cm) than for GNSS (\(< 1\) cm).
If only a single non-tidal loading part is applied at OBS, for 25 out of the 41 listed stations the reduction in WRMS is largest for the atmospheric one (Up component). However, for 13 stations the greatest improvement is obtained with the exclusive application of hydrological loading. And even though the corresponding changes in WRMS are very small, there are three stations which benefit the most from non-tidal oceanic loading. Hence, all non-tidal loading parts are worth considering.
The largest reduction in WRMS per station is not necessarily given in the scenario which applies its dominant non-tidal loading part. The total site displacements of FORTLEZA, for example, are mainly composed of hydrological loading (due to its location near the equator; compare also Fig. 3), while the station’s WRMS value hardly improves in the HYD scenarios (\(-\,0.072\) mm to \(-\,0.089\) mm). The reason for this behaviour is that the stations cannot be examined in isolation, but they have to be considered as being part of session-wise observation networks. Hydrological loading might be sufficient for FORTLEZA, but this does not hold for all of the other stations. As mentioned by Böhm et al. (2009), the missing displacements are transferred between the stations in the adjustment if non-deforming global datum conditions (i.e. NNR and NNT conditions) are used. This leads to adverse station motions and consequently the results for FORTLEZA deteriorate as well. This effect is present in all single non-tidal loading scenarios, and the overall impact depends on how much loading information is absent from the network. The best approach would be to apply all non-tidal loading parts together (under the assumption that all loading effects are modelled correctly).
The corresponding plots for IMLS look very alike, with similar values for the average improvements of the WRMS (see Table 6 of the Appendix for the statistics). To highlight the similarities and differences, we present the IMLS results only for the vertical coordinates, and we plot the associated changes in the WRMS values next to those of ESMGFZ in Fig. 6. In Sect. 3.2, we mentioned that the main discrepancy between OBS and NEQ is the loss of temporal resolution. Hence, for HYD, where the time series of site displacements hardly contains any intra-session variation, the results for OBS and NEQ should be almost identical. Eriksson and MacMillan (2014) make a corresponding observation when applying session-wise average hydrology corrections in their study, and we can confirm this by looking at the bottom panel of Fig. 6. The reduction in WRMS values in the HYD scenario matches very well for both levels with the same data provider. On the other hand, the reductions are generally not of similar size for the same application level but different data providers. This again emphasizes the discrepancies between the two hydrology models LSDM and MERRA-2.
For ATM (top panel of Fig. 6), we observe the opposite behaviour. The site displacements generated from ECMWF and MERRA-2 are quite similar to each other, but characterized by a high sub-daily variability. Hence, the approximation by an average displacement per session is potentially worse than for HYD, and the reductions in WRMS values for OBS and NEQ need not match very well (compare stations WETTZ13N or YEBES40M, for example). On the other hand, the difference between the two levels is much smaller than the difference to REF for most stations. Consequently, like for HYD, the approximation of OBS by NEQ is generally appropriate as far as the reduction of station position variability is concerned. For single sessions with large intra-day variations in the site displacements, however, there can still be significant differences.
A summary of the relative changes in the WRMS of baseline lengths (baseline length repeatability, BLR) is also provided in Tables 5 and 6 of the Appendix. The picture is similar to that for station heights: for at least two-thirds of the baselines with more than 100 observations, the BLR is reduced after the application of any non-tidal loading. The largest improvements (about \(-\,3.0\)% on average) are again obtained for the ALL scenario, followed by ATM (about \(-\,1.6\)%) and HYD (about \(-\,1.0\)%). The statistics for OBS and NEQ are very close, and the differences between ESMGFZ and IMLS are largest for HYD, where there are less extreme changes for IMLS.
Standard deviations
The variance–covariance matrix of the estimated parameters is given by
$$\begin{aligned} C \, = \, \breve{\sigma }_0^2 \, (A^T P \, A \, + \, N_D)^{-1} \end{aligned}$$
(24)
(see Koch 1999). When applying site displacements at the normal equation level, \(A\), \(P\), and \(N_D\) are not modified. When applying them at the observation level, \(P\) and \(N_D\) stay constant as well, and the changes in \(A\) are negligible (compare Sect. 3.2). Hence, the only variable is the common a posteriori variance factor
$$\begin{aligned} \breve{\sigma }_0^2 \, = \, \frac{{\varvec{v}}^T P {\varvec{v}}}{m+m_c-n}, \end{aligned}$$
(25)
where \(m_c\) is the number of pseudo-observations (conditions).
Since the number of (pseudo-)observations and parameters is not altered between the scenarios, \(\breve{\sigma }_0^2\) only depends on their weighted sums of squared observation residuals. As a consequence, the standard deviations vary proportionally to the square root of \({\varvec{v}}^T P \, {\varvec{v}}\). In the top panel of Fig. 7, we plot the relative changes of this weighted sum with respect to REF for each VLBI session in the ALL scenario. For most sessions, the changes are less than \(1\%\). Furthermore, they are basically equally distributed around \(0\). Hence, the impact on the standard deviations is small and has no clear direction (i.e. improvement or deterioration). Regarding the application level, NEQ provides fewer extreme results, but in general the relative changes are similar to those of OBS.
A striking property, however, is the sharp and persistent increase in the relative change in \({\varvec{v}}^T P \, {\varvec{v}}\) at the end of 2011. The reason is not yet fully clarified, but we think this is related to the extension of the Australian–New Zealand network at this time, i.e. the introduction of the stations YARRA12M, KATH12M, and WARK12M. Almost simultaneously, the number of network stations—and hence baselines—per session increased (compare the bottom panel of Fig. 7). Furthermore, in the Continuous VLBI Campaign 2017 (CONT17Footnote 7), where two networks processed daily 24-h sessions for 15 consecutive days, it is noticeable that almost all sessions of the XB network have a relative change of more than \(1\%\) (and up to \(12\%\)), while those of the XA network are close to zero. The XA network has only one station in the Southern Hemisphere, and most baselines are directed from East to West. In contrast to that, the XB network consists of five Southern Hemisphere stations and NYALES20 in the far North, so there are many more North–South baselines. Opposite seasonal effects of non-tidal loading on the two hemispheres might induce a larger impact for this direction.
Anyway, in terms of \({\varvec{v}}^T P \, {\varvec{v}}\), we observe a growing significance of non-tidal loading in the last decade. But the effect of the un-modelled site displacements appears to already be distributed among the station coordinates or the other estimated parameters, which is why the weighted sum of observation residuals is not necessarily improved. The plots for ATM, OCE, and HYD look very similar to Fig. 7.
Helmert transformation: scale
Vertical station positions experience the greatest impact by non-tidal loading. As VLBI stations are globally distributed, alterations in the stations’ height will influence the scale of the used TRF. This is also supported by Böhm et al. (2009, p. 1112), who mention that “the network-scale parameter of a VLBI network [...] is significantly affected by un-modeled atmospheric loading corrections at the stations”. We perform 7-parameter (three translation values, three rotation angles, and the scale parameter) Helmert transformations for all of our scenarios to investigate the impact on the scale. For each session, the transformation is computed with respect to the DTRF2014, which consists of linear representations of station motions via offsets and drifts (Seitz et al. 2020). Since there is a lot of noise in the resulting scale parameters for sessions before 2000, we restrict ourselves to the period from 2000 to 2017. Furthermore, we eliminate scales with an absolute value greater than 6 cm as outliers (less than \(2\%\) of the data). The remaining series is interpolated to a regular 1-day time grid, before we finally perform a frequency analysis.
The amplitude pattern for the scale time series in non-tidal loading scenarios with displacements by ESMGFZ applied at NEQ is provided in Fig. 8. For REF, where no non-tidal loading is considered, the most striking observation is the dominant annual signal with an amplitude of about \(1.7\) mm. As many authors report (Petrov and Boy 2004; van Dam et al. 2012; Eriksson and MacMillan 2014, for example), the 365-day period is also dominant for the site displacements themselves. Hence, we might expect that the application of the latter could dampen the annual variation in the station heights and, consequently, in the scale parameter. According to Fig. 8, this is partly true (compare the black box): the annual signal
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hardly changes, when only OCE is applied.
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slightly increases, when only ATM is applied.
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significantly decreases to about \(0.9\) mm, when only HYD or all non-tidal loading parts (ALL) are applied.
The same behaviour is observed for both the IMLS and OBS (not shown here), so the approximation at NEQ preserves these properties.
Since the impact of OCE is very small for most VLBI stations, its minor effect on the scale parameter is no surprise. But it is rather counter-intuitive that the annual amplitude gets larger in the ATM scenario, even though this was noticed by van Dam and Herring (1994) and Petrov and Boy (2004) for OBS already. An actual reduction of the annual signal in the scale was only observed by Seitz et al. (2020), who applied ATM and HYD together at the normal equation level. Here, we discover that HYD is the relevant part: it reduces the amplitude to almost the same extent as when all non-tidal loading parts are used jointly (ALL).
To investigate the origin of this behaviour, we take a look at the annual signals of the time series of station heights in Fig. 9, which have also been computed with ESMGFZ site displacements at NEQ. We only show stations that are part of the NNT / NNR conditions and hence relevant for the Helmert transformation. Furthermore, they must participate in at least 500 sessions during the period 2000–2017 to ensure a reliable spectral analysis. For about half of these stations, the amplitude of the annual signal in the ATM scenario is actually greater than the amplitude in the REF scenario. Likewise, the amplitudes for OCE are quite similar to those of REF for most stations. And finally, for 9 out of the 12 listed stations, the annual amplitude for HYD is (in parts significantly) smaller than that for REF. Since the respective figure looks very alike for OBS, this is in line with MacMillan and Boy (2004), who find a reduction in annual vertical amplitude for 70% of their VLBI stations after the application of HYD at the observation level. This property most probably causes the corresponding mitigation of the annual signal in the scale.
Table 4 WRMS values of the differences between the EOP of each non-tidal loading scenario and those of the reference scenario without non-tidal loading. The units are \([\mu as]\) for polar motion and the celestial pole offsets, \([\mu as/d]\) for the polar motion rates, \([\mu s]\) for \(\varDelta UT1\), and \([\mu s/d]\) for \(LOD = - \partial \varDelta UT1/\partial t\) Earth orientation parameters
When applying all non-tidal loading parts, the absolute changes with respect to the reference scenario are generally below 100 \(\mu \)as for polar motion, below 3 \(\mu \)s for \(\varDelta UT1\), and below 10 \(\mu \)as for the celestial pole offsets. If the authors analysed the particular EOP, these are the same orders of magnitude as reported in Roggenbuck et al. (2015) and Männel et al. (2019). (We were able to produce plots very similar to their Figures 5 and 13, respectively, which contain the changes after introduction of non-tidal loading.) The mean formal errors of polar motion, \(\varDelta UT1\), and celestial pole offsets reported in the IERS Bulletins BFootnote 8 are about 30–60 \(\mu \)as, 10–20 \(\mu \)s, and 50-100 \(\mu \)as, respectively. Hence, the impact of non-tidal loading is often below the measurement precision, but it can be relevant for polar motion.
In Table 4, we present a summary of how the EOP are affected when non-tidal loading is applied. We computed WRMS values for the differences between the parameters estimated in each loading scenario and those of REF, and the following properties are revealed:
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The largest impact for all EOP is given with the ALL scenario.
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For ATM and OCE, the WRMS values for ESMGFZ and IMLS are matching very well, while there is more deviation for HYD and (consequently) ALL.
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The application level is most relevant for all rates and the celestial pole offsets, while it has much less influence on polar motion and \(\varDelta UT1\).
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Of all parts, HYD has the largest effect on polar motion (offsets), but the smallest effect on the celestial pole offsets.
The first two observations are in line with our previous statements. The third observation can be explained with the high sensitivity of the EOP rates to sub-daily variations in the site displacements. As the latter are only preserved at OBS, the impact on the rates is much smaller at NEQ. When rates are estimated, the application at observation level should hence be preferred. Only for HYD, where the temporal variation is low at both levels, the WRMS values for OBS and NEQ are of similar (small) size. The same behaviour holds for \(\varDelta X_{CIP}\) and \(\varDelta Y_{CIP}\), because the celestial pole offsets are periodically highly correlated with the rates of polar motion. If the latter were not estimated at all, there would be no impact on nutation by non-tidal loading, either. In general, the EOP (i.e. Earth rotation) are more affected by the horizontal than by the vertical site displacements.
Table 4 also contains the ALL scenarios including the mass conserving component SLEL of ESMGFZ. As indicated in Sect. 2.2, the results are very close to those of the original ALL scenario, with a striking (small) impact on polar motion only.
Tropospheric and clock parameters
As shown in Table 2, the clock correction terms as well as the zenith wet delays (ZWD) are estimated once per hour during a 24-h session in DOGS-RI. These parameters are significantly correlated with the station heights (compare van Dam and Herring 1994; Nothnagel et al. 2002, for example), which are most affected by non-tidal loading. Hence, if the corresponding site displacements are applied, there is a potential impact on the clock corrections and the ZWD. And as the latter have a high temporal resolution, they might be more capable of dealing with sub-daily variations. (The same holds for the tropospheric gradients, but since their temporal resolution is lower, we will focus on the other parameter types here.)
Exemplary, in Fig. 10 the site displacements for ATM, OCE, and HYD (generated by ESMGFZ) have been applied at the observation level, and respective parameter changes are depicted for three VLBI stations. The changes are very small for both clock corrections and ZWD: they represent only a tiny fraction of the differences between two parameters estimated at distinct epochs during a session. This corresponds to the findings of Böhm et al. (2009, p. 1284), who say that “there is hardly any effect on the estimated ZWD because the estimated heights account for the atmospheric loading effect”.
Even though the changes are small, we can derive certain properties from Fig. 10. Each dot refers to one estimated ZWD or clock correction term, and dots that appear to lie on a vertical line belong to the same session. The average spread of changes per session is about \(\pm \, 0.3\) mm for ATM and OCE, depending on the magnitude of the corresponding site displacements at a VLBI station. For HYD, however, the spread is significantly smaller (about \(\pm \, 0.1\) mm), even for VLBI stations with dominant hydrological loading (like FORTLEZA). The reason is the (missing) temporal variation of the associated site displacements during a session, as Fig. 11 indicates. There, we compare the changes in clock corrections and zenith wet delays for ATM at the two distinct application levels. At NEQ (as with HYD in general), only a constant displacement is applied, and this can be taken care of by the constant station coordinates. At OBS, on the other hand, the full temporal resolution of displacements is utilized, which cannot be accounted for by the constant corrections to the station coordinates alone. Hence, the remaining sub-daily variation is propagated into the supporting station parameters with finer resolution. Compared to their values in REF, the clock corrections and ZWD thus differ more for OBS (blue dots in Fig. 11) than for NEQ (red dots), and the degree of variation per session is directly proportional to the variation of the corresponding site displacements (grey dots).
As long as station coordinates (heights) are estimated, the overall effect of non-tidal loading on the supporting parameters is small. However, if one is mainly interested in estimating tropospheric delays with a high resolution, the impact becomes more significant and OBS should be used.