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Evaluation of the seismic risk of the unreinforced masonry building stock in Antioquia, Colombia

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Abstract

This paper presents the development of an exposure model for the residential building stock in Antioquia (the second most populated Department of Colombia), the development of fragility functions for unreinforced masonry buildings, and estimation of building damage for two possible seismic events. Both the exposure and fragility models are publically available and can be used to calculate damage and losses due to single events, or probabilistic seismic hazard. The exposure model includes information regarding the total built-up area, number of buildings and inhabitants, building class, and replacement cost. The methodology used for the creation of the exposure model was based on available cadastral information, survey data, and expert judgment. Fragility functions were derived using nonlinear time history analyses on single-degree-of-freedom oscillators, for unreinforced masonry structures which represent more than 60% of the building stock in the region. Both seismic scenarios indicate that an event corresponding to a return period of 500 years located within the region of interest would cause slight or moderate damage to nearly 95 thousand structures, and about 32 thousand would have severe damage or collapse. This study was developed as part of the South America Risk Assessment project, supported by the Global Earthquake Model and SwissRe Foundation.

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Acknowledgements

The authors would like to express their gratitude to the cadastral offices of the municipalities of Medellín and Girardota for the data provided. Valuable information used for the microzonation of the metropolitan area of Medellín was available to the authors of this work, which is highly appreciated. The authors would also like to acknowledge the contribution of local experts for the definition of some parameters required for the exposure model development. Funding was provided by Swiss Re Foundation.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Civil Engineering, Universidad EAFIT, Medellín, Colombia

    Ana B. Acevedo, Juan D. Jaramillo & Fernando A. Osorio

  2. GEM Foundation, Pavia, Italy

    Catalina Yepes, Vitor Silva & Mabé Villar

Authors
  1. Ana B. Acevedo
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  2. Juan D. Jaramillo
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  3. Catalina Yepes
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  4. Vitor Silva
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  5. Fernando A. Osorio
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  6. Mabé Villar
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Ana B. Acevedo.

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Acevedo, A.B., Jaramillo, J.D., Yepes, C. et al. Evaluation of the seismic risk of the unreinforced masonry building stock in Antioquia, Colombia. Nat Hazards 86 (Suppl 1), 31–54 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-016-2647-8

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-016-2647-8

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