Abstract
A vulnerability model capable of providing the probabilistic distribution of loss ratio for a set of intensity measure levels is a fundamental tool to perform earthquake loss estimation and seismic risk assessment. The aim of the study presented herein is to develop a set of vulnerability functions for 48 reinforced concrete building typologies, categorized based on the date of construction (which has a direct relation with the design code level), number of storeys (height of the building) and seismic zonation (which affects the design of the buildings). An analytical methodology was adopted, in which thousands of nonlinear dynamic analyses were performed on 2D moment resisting frames with masonry infills, using one hundred ground motion records that are compatible, to the extent possible, with the Portuguese tectonic environment. The generation of the structural models was carried out using the probabilistic distribution of a set of geometric and material properties, compiled based on information gathered from a large sample of drawings and technical specifications of typical Portuguese reinforced concrete buildings, located in various regions in the country. Various key aspects in the development of the vulnerability model are investigated herein, such as the selection of the ground motion records, the modelling of the infilled frames, the definition of the damage criterion and the evaluation of dynamic (i.e. period of vibration) and structural (i.e. displacement and base shear capacity) parameters of the frames. A statistical bootstrap method is demonstrated to estimate the variability of the loss ratio at each intensity measure level, allowing the estimation of the mean, as well as 10 and 90 % percentile vulnerability curves.
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Acknowledgments
The authors are grateful to the various representatives of the public and private institutions that facilitated the access to the drawings and technical specifications of RC buildings. The authors would also like to express their gratitude to Dr. Manuel Pipa, Dr. Hugo Rodrigues, Dr. Catarina Fernandes and José Melo for their valuable contribution in the investigation of the material characteristics and Romain Sousa for the important suggestions in the structural modelling process. Part of this work has been performed within the framework of the research project PTDC/ECM-EST/3062/2012 ‘Earthquake loss of the Portuguese building stock’ funded by the Foundation of Science and Technology (FCT) of Portugal.
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Silva, V., Crowley, H., Varum, H. et al. Investigation of the characteristics of Portuguese regular moment-frame RC buildings and development of a vulnerability model. Bull Earthquake Eng 13, 1455–1490 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-014-9669-y
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-014-9669-y