Abstract
This paper studies the propagation thresholds in a diffusive epidemic model with latency and vaccination. When the initial condition satisfies proper exponential decaying behavior, we present the spatial expansion feature of the infected. Different leftward and rightward spreading speeds are obtained with respect to different decaying initial values. Moreover, the convergence in the sense of compact open topology is also studied when the spreading speeds are finite. Finally, we show that the minimal spreading speed is the minimal wave speed of traveling wave solutions, which also presents the precisely asymptotic behavior of traveling wave solutions for the infected branch at the disease-free side. Here, the asymptotic behavior plays an important role that distinguishes the minimal spreading speed from all possible spreading speeds. From the definition of possible spreading speeds, we may find some factors affecting the spatial expansion ability, which includes that the vaccination could decrease the spatial expansion ability of the disease.
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1 Introduction
The vaccination has been widely utilized to prevent diseases, which greatly reduces risks of getting a disease [36]. To quantitatively understand the role of vaccination, many mathematical models have been established and studied. For example, in very recent works by Papst et al. [26] and Zou et al. [44], the effect of vaccination and other factors were, respectively, investigated to model the spreading of seasonal flu and COVID-19. Moreover, Miyaoka et al. [24] discussed the optimal control of Zika virus by analyzing a reaction-diffusion model and El Alami Laaroussi and Rachik [10] used a reaction-diffusion system to model the spatial spread of Ebola in gorillas in Gabon, in which the nontrivial role of vaccination was discussed.
By introducing an exposed class into the classical SVIR (susceptible, vaccinated, infected and recovered classes) compartmental epidemic model, He et al. [13] established a diffusive epidemic model with latency and vaccination. Since the \(R-\)branch is linear and does not affect the dynamics for S, V, I in their model, they studied the following model
in which \(x\in {\mathbb {R}}, t>0,\) S(x, t), V(x, t), I(x, t) are the population sizes of the susceptible, vaccinated, infected classes at location x and time t, respectively, \(d_{1}>0,d_2>0,d_3 >0 \) are positive constants describing moving ability of each class. In the above model, \(\Pi >0\) and \(\omega >0\) depend on the entering flux and the vaccination rate of the susceptible, respectively, \(\mu \) denotes the natural death rate, \(\tau \ge 0\) is the latent period, \(\beta _{1}\) and \(\beta _{2}\) are the transmission coefficients of susceptible and vaccinated individuals, respectively, \(\alpha \ge 0 \) measures the saturation level, \(\nu \) is the recovery rate. Here, \(e^{-\mu \tau } \frac{[\beta _{1} S\left( x, t-\tau \right) +\beta _{2} V(x, t-\tau )]I(x, t-\tau )}{1+\alpha I(x, t-\tau )}\) reflects the incidence effect.
Evidently, (1.1) always has a disease-free equilibrium
When
it also has a unique endemic steady state \(E^{*}_1=\left( S^{*}_1, V^{*}_1, I^{*}_1\right) \) with
and \(I^{*}_1\) is the unique positive root of \( AI^{2}+BI+C=0, \) where
In He et al. [13], the authors formulated the disease spreading process by traveling wave solutions of (1.1). Here, a traveling wave solution of (1.1) is a special entire solution taking the form
and satisfying the asymptotic boundary conditions
where \(c>0\) is the wave speed and \(({\hat{S}}, {\hat{I}}, {\hat{R}})\) is the wave profile. By the definition of traveling wave coordinate \(x+ct\), we see that such a traveling wave solution could model the disease spreading process at a fixed speed c. Therefore, the threshold that determines the existence or nonexistence of nontrivial traveling wave solutions becomes very important, which is also called the minimal wave speed. In He et al. [13], the authors gave such a threshold for (1.1). In particular, when the wave speed is the threshold, the existence of traveling wave solutions was proved by passing to a limit function in Ref. [13]. We also refer to some recent works [20, 33, 38, 39, 41] for the traveling wave solutions in epidemic models with the vaccinated class.
Based on the above work, the purpose of this article is to study the propagation dynamics for a generalized system of (1.1) by considering general incidence functions. Our model is
in which two functions \(f_1,f_2:[0, \infty )\rightarrow [0, \infty ) \) will be further stated in Sect. 2. Our study is from both the initial value problem and the traveling wave solutions that model the disease expansion process. In what follows, for the initial value problem, we equip (1.2) with the following initial condition
When the initial condition (1.3) satisfies proper limit assumptions, we shall try to show the long time feature of solutions to (1.2) by leftward and rightward spreading speeds. Here, the leftward and rightward spreading speeds of a function are defined as follows (see Aronson and Weinberger [3,4,5] for related definition).
Definition 1.1
Assume that \(u(x,t)\ge 0,x\in {\mathbb {R}}, t>0.\) Then, a finite constant \(c_u^l>0\) is called the leftward spreading speed of it provided that
-
(a)
\(\limsup _{t\rightarrow \infty } \sup _{-x>(c_u^l+\epsilon )t}u(x,t)=0\) for any given \(\epsilon >0\);
-
(b)
\(\liminf _{t\rightarrow \infty } \inf _{0<-x<(c_u^l-\epsilon )t}u(x,t)>0\) for any given \(\epsilon \in (0,c_u^l)\).
In particular, we define \(c_u^l=\infty \) if \(\liminf _{t\rightarrow \infty } \inf _{0<-x<ct}u(x,t)>0\) for any given \(c>0\). Similarly, we can define the rightward spreading speed \(c_u^r.\)
For parabolic systems, traveling wave solutions and spreading speeds have been widely studied. For example, when a system could generate monotone semiflows [11, 14, 19, 23, 27, 35] or a nonmonotone semiflow can be controlled by two monotone semiflows [15, 17, 31, 40], many important conclusions have been established, which often imply that the minimal wave speed equals to the minimal spreading speed. Moreover, when the initial value problem is concerned, the fast propagation or accelerating spreading of cooperative systems or scalar equations was also studied in [2, 12, 37], which shows the existence of infinite spreading speed. In epidemics models, these thresholds could describe the ability of disease spreading and have been studied in many works, see earlier results in [7, 8, 29]. In particular, when an epidemic system can not generate monotone semiflows, the spreading speed has attracted much attention in the past decade, see [9, 16, 22, 32, 42]. It should be noted that in model (1.2), the third equation of I depends on the two equations of S, V such that the structure is different from that in [1, 9, 16, 22, 32, 42] and the known results in these works can not be directly applied to it. Moreover, even if only the traveling wave solutions are concerned, the possible deficiency of classical comparison principle in (1.2) makes the analysis more complex than the special monotone model (1.1) in Ref. [13].
In this article, we first show possible different leftward and rightward propagation thresholds when the initial values satisfy different decaying behaviors. The upper bounds of spreading speed (see the item (a) in Definition 1.1) are estimated by the upper bounds of S, V, as well as some auxiliary monotone delayed equations. Furthermore, motivated by Ref. [22, 25], we shall construct an auxiliary monotone delayed equation of I according to the estimation on S, V, by which we may obtain the lower bounds of spreading speed (see the item (b) in Definition 1.1). Using these two bounds, we obtain the spreading speeds of I, which shall be discussed in Sect. 3. Moreover, we study the convergence of initial value problem in the sense of compact open topology, which will be presented in Sect. 4. In Sect. 5, we investigate the existence and nonexistence of traveling wave solutions by constructing upper and lower solutions and auxiliary monotone equations. When the wave speed is not less than the minimal wave speed, our conclusion implies the exponentially decaying behavior of traveling wave solutions and completes the known results. Finally, in Sect. 6, we give a brief discussion on the potential investigation and the role of vaccination. In particular, when the vaccination plays a positive role in the sense of \(f_1 \le f_2,f_1' (0)<f_2'(0),\) the vaccination could decrease the spreading ability of the disease from both the outbreak threshold and the possible spreading speeds.
2 Main results
In this article, we shall use the standard partial ordering in \({\mathbb {R}}^n, n=1,2,3.\) The assumptions on \(f_1,f_2\) are first listed as follows, which will be imposed without further illustration.
-
(F1)
\(f_i:[0,\infty )\rightarrow [0,\infty )\) is differentiable such that \(f_i(0)=0\) and
$$\begin{aligned} \max \{0, f_i' (0)x-L x^{1+\sigma } \}< f_i(x)< f'(0)x,\qquad x>0 \end{aligned}$$for some \(\sigma \in (0,1], L>0\) and \(i\in \{1,2\};\)
-
(F2)
\(f_i(x)/x\) is strictly decreasing in \(x>0,i\in \{1,2\}, \) and there exists \(I_0 >0\) such that
$$\begin{aligned} e^{- \mu \tau }[S_0 \sup \nolimits _{x\in [0, I]} f_1(x)+ V_0 \sup \nolimits _{x\in [0, I]} f_2(x)] < (\mu + \nu ) I \text { for any } I\ge I_0. \end{aligned}$$
Evidently, in the model (1.1), the corresponding monotone functions \(f_1,f_2\) satisfy our condition. Besides them, there are many functions satisfying (F1)–(F2) but they are not monotone. For example, \(f_1(x)=f_2(x)=pxe^{-x},2p e^{- \mu \tau }>\mu + \nu \) also satisfies (F1)–(F2) but the monotone property might be false. With the existence of nonmonotonic \(f_1,f_2\) in (1.2), the comparison principle similar to that in Ref. [13] does not hold always.
To state our main results, we further introduce some constants. Firstly, define
and consider
By the monotonicity in \(c>0\) and convex in \(\lambda \ge 0,\) the following conclusion holds.
Lemma 2.1
Assume that \({\mathcal {R}}_0 >1.\) Then, there exists a constant \(c^* >0\) such that \(\Lambda (\lambda ,c^*)=0\) has a unique positive root \(\lambda ^*\) such that
Moreover, if \(c>c^*,\) then \(\Lambda (\lambda ,c)=0\) has two distinct positive roots and we denote the smaller (larger) root by \(\lambda ^c(\Lambda ^c).\)
With these constants, we give the following assumptions and classifications of the initial condition (1.3).
- (I1):
-
\((0,0,0)\le (\phi _1(x,s),\phi _2(x,s),\phi _3(x,s) ) \le (S_0, V_0, I_0)\) for all \(x\in {\mathbb {R}}, s\in [-\tau , 0];\)
- (I2):
-
\((\phi _1(x,s),\phi _2(x,s),\phi _3(x,s) )\) is uniformly continuous for all \(x\in {\mathbb {R}}, s\in [-\tau , 0]\) and \(\phi _3\) has nonempty support in the sense that \(\phi _3(x_0,0) >0\) for some \(x_0\in {\mathbb {R}};\)
- (I3):
-
\(\inf _{x\in {\mathbb {R}}, s\in [-\tau , 0]}\phi _3(x,s) >0;\)
- (IL1):
-
there exists \(A_1>0\) such that \( \phi _3(x,s) \le A_1 (-x+1) e^{ \lambda ^* x }, x<0, s\in [-\tau , 0]; \)
- (IL2):
-
there exist \(A_2> 1,c_l>c^*,X_1 >0\) such that
$$\begin{aligned} A_2^{-1} e^{ \lambda ^{c_l} x } \le \phi _3(x,0) \le A_2 e^{ \lambda ^{c_l} x },\quad \phi _3(x,s) \le A_2 e^{ \lambda ^{c_l} x },\quad s\in [-\tau , 0),\quad x<-X_1; \end{aligned}$$ - (IL3):
-
for any \(\epsilon >0,\) we have \( \liminf _{x\rightarrow -\infty }\phi _3(x,0)e^{- \epsilon x } =\infty ; \)
- (IR1):
-
there exists \(A_3>0\) such that \( \phi _3(x,s) \le A_3 (x+1) e^{- \lambda ^* x }, x>0, s\in [-\tau , 0]; \)
- (IR2):
-
there exist \(A_4>1,c_r>c^*, X_2 >0\) such that if \(x>0\) is large, we have
$$\begin{aligned} A_4^{-1} e^{ -\lambda ^{c_r} x }\le \phi _3(x,0) \le A_4 e^{ -\lambda ^{c_r} x }, \quad \phi _3(x,s) \le A_4 e^{ -\lambda ^{c_r} x },\quad s\in [-\tau , 0),\quad x >X_2; \end{aligned}$$ - (IR3):
-
for any \(\epsilon >0,\) we have \( \liminf _{x\rightarrow +\infty }\phi _3(x,0)e^{ \epsilon x } =\infty . \)
Let
in which u is a continuous and bounded function. Using the notation, we give the following existence result of bounded solution.
Theorem 2.2
Assume that (I1) and (I2) hold. Then, (1.2) with (1.3) has a mild solution
for all \(t>0,x\in {\mathbb {R}}\), which is the classical solution when \(t>\tau \) and also satisfies
Moreover, for each \(t_0>0,\) there exists \(\delta >0\) such that
Finally, the partial derivatives
are uniformly continuous and bounded for \(x\in {\mathbb {R}}, t\ge \tau +1\).
For the former part of this conclusion, we may refer to He et al. [13]. The latter part is clear by the boundedness, and we omit the proof here. Using these constants, for the bounded solution of (1.2) with (1.3), we present the following four theorems.
Theorem 2.3
Assume that \({\mathcal {R}}_0 >1\) and (I1)–(I2) hold. Then, with different decaying initial values, the leftward and rightward spreading speeds of (1.2) with (1.3) are given by Table 1.
It should be noted that \(|x|e^{-\lambda ^* |x|}\) plays an important role in determining the spreading speeds. In fact, this is related to the asymptotic behavior of traveling wave solutions with minimal wave speed \(c^*.\) Here, a traveling wave solution of (1.2) is a special solution having the form
and satisfying the asymptotic boundary conditions
Theorem 2.4
If \({\mathcal {R}}_0 >1\), then (2.1)–(2.2) has a positive solution if and only if \(c\ge c^*.\) When \(c=c^* (c > c^*),\) (2.1)–(2.2) has a positive solution such that
If \({\mathcal {R}}_0 \le 1\), then (2.1)-(2.2) does not have a nontrivial positive solution for any \(c\in {\mathbb {R}}\).
Remark 2.5
Combining Theorem 2.4 with [13, Theorem 3.7], for model (1.1) with critical wave speed, we obtain the precise asymptotic behavior of \({\widehat{I}}(z)\) when \(z\rightarrow -\infty \).
To state the convergence, we make several assumptions.
-
(F3)
If \({\mathcal {R}}_0 >1,\) then system (1.2) has a unique positive steady state \((S^{*},V^{*},I^{*})\) that is spatially homogeneous.
-
(B1)
Assume that (F3) holds. If positive constants \({\underline{S}},{\underline{V}},{\underline{I}},{\overline{S}},{\overline{V}},{\overline{I}}\) satisfy
$$\begin{aligned} (0,0,0)\ll ({\underline{S}},{\underline{V}},{\underline{I}})\le ({\overline{S}},{\overline{V}},{\overline{I}}) \ll (S_0,V_0,I_0) \end{aligned}$$and
$$\begin{aligned}{} & {} \Pi -(\mu +\omega ){\underline{S}}-{\underline{S}}\sup \nolimits _{I\in [\underline{I },{\overline{I}}]}f_1(I) \le 0, \end{aligned}$$(2.3)$$\begin{aligned}{} & {} \Pi -(\mu +\omega ){\overline{S}}-{\overline{S}}\inf \nolimits _{I\in [{\underline{I}}, {\overline{I}}]}f_1(I) \ge 0, \end{aligned}$$(2.4)$$\begin{aligned}{} & {} \omega {\underline{S}}-\mu {\underline{V}}-{\underline{V}}\sup \nolimits _{I\in [{\underline{I}},\overline{ I}]}f_2(I) \le 0, \end{aligned}$$(2.5)$$\begin{aligned}{} & {} \omega {\overline{S}}-\mu {\overline{V}} -{\overline{V}}\inf \nolimits _{I\in [{\underline{I}},{\overline{I}} ]}f_2(I) \ge 0, \end{aligned}$$(2.6)$$\begin{aligned}{} & {} e^{-\mu \tau }{\underline{S}}\inf \nolimits _{I\in [{\underline{I}},{\overline{I}} ]}f_1(I)+e^{-\mu \tau }{\underline{V}}\inf \nolimits _{I\in [{\underline{I}},\overline{ I}]}f_2(I)-(\mu +\nu ){\underline{I}} \le 0, \end{aligned}$$(2.7)$$\begin{aligned}{} & {} e^{-\mu \tau }{\overline{S}}\sup \nolimits _{I\in [{\underline{I}},{\overline{I}} ]}f_1(I)+e^{-\mu \tau }{\overline{V}}\sup \nolimits _{I\in [{\underline{I}},\overline{I }]}f_2(I)-(\mu +\nu ){\overline{I}} \ge 0, \end{aligned}$$(2.8)then \(({\underline{S}},{\underline{V}},{\underline{I}})=({\overline{S}},{\overline{V}}, {\overline{I}})=(S^{*},V^{*},I^{*}).\)
-
(B2)
Assume that \({\mathcal {R}}_0>1,\) (F3), (I1)–(I3) hold. Then, (1.2) with (1.3) satisfies
$$\begin{aligned} \lim \nolimits _{t\rightarrow \infty }(|S(x,t)-S^{*}|,|V(x,t)-V^{*}|, |I(x,t)-I^{*}|)=(0,0, 0) \text { uniformly in } x\in {\mathbb {R}}. \end{aligned}$$
Theorem 2.6
Assume that (I1)–(I2) hold and \({\mathcal {R}}_0 > 1\) in (1.2). If \(c_I^l, c_I^r \) are finite, then
Further suppose that (B1) or (B2) holds, then
for any small \(\epsilon >0.\) Therefore, if (B1) or (B2) holds, then a positive solution of (2.1)–(2.2) satisfies
Because \(f_1,f_2\) may be nonmonotone, it is difficult to give a sufficient condition on general \(f_1,f_2\) such that (B1) or (B2) holds. But for special functions \(f_1,f_2,\) the verification is possible. For the assumption (B1) in (1.1), we also give the following sufficient condition.
Proposition 2.7
Assume that \({\mathcal {R}}_0^1 >1\) in (1.1). Then, (B1) holds provided that
leads to \({\underline{I}}={\overline{I}}.\) In particular, (2.12) implies \({\underline{I}}={\overline{I}}\) if
which indicates that large \(\alpha \) leads to the convergence.
Similarly, for (B2), we have the following conclusion.
Proposition 2.8
Assume that \({\mathcal {R}}_0^1 >1\) in (1.1). Then, by regarding (1.1) as a special case of (1.2), (B2) holds for large \(\alpha >0.\)
Moreover, if \({\mathcal {R}}_0 \le 1,\) then the following convergence remains true.
Theorem 2.9
Assume that (I1) and (I2) hold. If \({\mathcal {R}}_0 \le 1\) in (1.2), then
3 Proof of spreading speeds
In this part, we shall give the proof of Theorems 2.3 and 2.9. We first consider the following initial value problem
in which \(x\in {\mathbb {R}}, t>0, s\in [-\tau , 0], D_0,C_1\) are positive constants and \(\varepsilon \ge 0, C_2 \ge 0,\) \({\widehat{f}}_1,{\widehat{f}}_2\) satisfy (F1) and (F2). When \( {\widehat{f}}_1'(0)+ {\widehat{f}}_2'(0) -\varepsilon >C_1\), we define \(u^* >0\) as the unique root of
of which the uniqueness is clear by the monotonicity of \(\widehat{f}_i(x)/x\). We also define
for which the properties can be studied similar to Lemma 2.1.
Lemma 3.1
If \({\widehat{f}}_1'(0)+ {\widehat{f}}_2'(0) >\varepsilon + C_1,\) then there exists a constant \(c_1' >0\) such that \(\Lambda _{1}(\lambda ,c) =0\) has a real root if and only if \(c\ge c_1'.\) Therefore, there exists a unique \(\lambda _1' >0\) such that \(\Lambda _{1}(\lambda _1',c_1') =0\). In particular, \(c_1', \lambda _1'\) are continuous in \(\varepsilon .\) When \(c>c_1',\) then \(\Lambda _{1}(\lambda ,c) =0\) has two positive roots and the smaller one is denoted by \( \lambda _1^c.\)
Using these constants, we have the following conclusion by the entire solutions in Li et al. [18], spreading speeds in Solar and Trofimchuk [28], Thieme and Zhao [30], stability of traveling waves in Wang et al. [34] and the fast propagation in Zhu [43].
Lemma 3.2
Assume that there exists \({\overline{u}}\ge u^*\) such that
is nondecreasing. If \(\Phi (x,s)\) is nonnegative, bounded and continuous and \( 0\le \Phi (x,s) \le {\overline{u}}, x\in {\mathbb {R}}, s\in [-\tau , 0], \) then (3.1) has a bounded mild solution \( 0\le U (x,t) \le {\overline{u}}, x\in {\mathbb {R}}, t>0, \) which has the following properties.
-
(D1)
It is a classical solution for all \(t>\tau .\)
-
(D2)
If \({\widehat{f}}_1'(0)+ {\widehat{f}}_2'(0) \le \varepsilon + C_1,\) then \( \lim _{t\rightarrow \infty } U (x,t)=0 \text { uniformly in } x\in {\mathbb {R}}. \)
-
(D3)
If the continuous function \({\underline{U}}:{\mathbb {R}} \times [-\tau ,\infty )\rightarrow [0,{\overline{u}}]\) satisfies
$$\begin{aligned} {\underline{U}}(x,s)\le (\ge )\Phi (x,s), \qquad x\in {\mathbb {R}}, s\in [-\tau , 0] \end{aligned}$$and
$$\begin{aligned} {\underline{U}}(x,t)\le & {} (\ge )\left[ T_{3}{\underline{U}}(\cdot ,r)\right] (t-r)(x)+\int \limits _{r}^{t}\left[ T_{3}\left[ {\widehat{f}}_{1}\left( {\underline{U}}(\cdot ,s-\tau )\right) \right] \right] (t-s)(x)ds \\{} & {} \quad +\int \limits _{r}^{t}\left[ T_{3}\left[ {\widehat{f}} _{2}\left( {\underline{U}}(\cdot ,s-\tau )\right) -\varepsilon {\underline{U}} (\cdot ,s-\tau )\right] \right] (t-s)(x)ds \\{} & {} \quad -\int \limits _{r}^{t}\left[ T_{3} \left[ C_{1}{\underline{U}}(\cdot ,s)+C_{2}{\underline{U}}^{2}(\cdot ,s)\right] \right] (t-s)(x)ds \end{aligned}$$for any \(0\le r \le t,\) then \({\underline{U}}(x,t)\le (\ge )U(x,t)\) for all \(x\in {\mathbb {R}}, t>0.\)
-
(D4)
If \({\widehat{f}}_1'(0)+ {\widehat{f}}_2'(0) > \varepsilon + C_1\) and \(c_1>0,c_2>0\) such that \( \liminf _{t\rightarrow \infty }\inf _{-c_1 t< x < c_2 t} U(x,t) >0, \) then \( \limsup _{t\rightarrow \infty } \sup _{-c_1 t< x < c_2 t }|U(x,t)-u^*|=0. \)
-
(D5)
With different decaying initial values, the spreading speeds of U are given by Table 2. Here, the initial conditions are defined by the following items:
-
(IL4)
there exists \(A_5>0\) such that \( \Phi (x,s) \le A_5 (-x+1) e^{ \lambda _1' x }, x<0, s\in [-\tau , 0]; \)
-
(IL5)
there exist \(A_6>1,c_l>c_1',X_3 >0\) such that
$$\begin{aligned} A_6^{-1}e^{ \lambda _1^{c_l} x }\le \Phi (x,0) \le A_6 e^{ \lambda _1^{c_l} x }, \Phi (x,s) \le A_6 e^{ \lambda _1^{c_l} x }, s\in [-\tau , 0], x<-X_3; \end{aligned}$$ -
(IL6)
for any \(\epsilon >0,\) we have \( \liminf _{x\rightarrow -\infty }\Phi (x,0)e^{- \epsilon x } =\infty ; \)
-
(IR4)
there exists \(A_7>0\) such that \( \Phi (x,s) \le A_7 (x+1) e^{- \lambda _1' x }, x>0, s\in [-\tau , 0]; \)
-
(IR5)
there exist \(A_8>1,c_r>c_1', X_4 >0\) such that
$$\begin{aligned} A_8^{-1} e^{ -\lambda _1^{c_r} x }\le \Phi (x,0) \le A_8 e^{- \lambda _1^{c_r} x }, \Phi (x,s) \le A_8 e^{- \lambda _1^{c_r} x }, s\in [-\tau , 0], x>X_4; \end{aligned}$$ -
(IR6)
for any \(\epsilon >0,\) we have \( \liminf _{x\rightarrow +\infty }\Phi (x,0)e^{ \epsilon x } =\infty . \)
Lemma 3.3
Theorem 2.9 holds.
Proof
By Theorem 2.2, as well as the property of semigroup, we have
for all \(0\le r \le t, \) where
Evidently, \({\overline{f}}_{i}(x)\) is nondecreasing and \({\overline{f}}_{i}'(0)= {f}_{i}'(0)\) for \(x\in [0,I_{0}], i=1,2.\) Using (D2) and (D3) in Lemma 3.2, we complete the proof. \(\square \)
Lemma 3.4
Assume that \({\mathcal {R}}_0 >1\) is true. Then, the upper bounds of spreading speeds in Table 1 hold.
Proof
Due to (3.2), the conclusion is clear by Lemma 3.2. \(\square \)
Lemma 3.5
Assume that \({\mathcal {R}}_0 >1\), (I1) and (I2) hold. Then, Theorem 2.3 is true.
Proof
We only consider the case \(t>2 \tau +1\) such that the classical solution is concerned. Define
Evidently, for small \(\epsilon >0,\) we have
is nondecreasing and positive. In particular, (F1) implies that
Further select \(\epsilon >0\) small enough such that
For any given \(\epsilon >0\) satisfying the above properties, we shall prove that there exist \(t_{0}\ge 2\tau +1,M>0\) such that
for all \(t>t_0, x\in {\mathbb {R}}. \) Once (3.3) holds, then \(I(x,t_0)>0,x\in {\mathbb {R}}\) (see Theorem 2.2), Lemma 3.2 implies the inner spreading speeds are not less than \(c^*\) by selecting any small \(\epsilon >0\). From Lemma 3.4, we further find that \(c_I^l=c^*\) when (IL1) holds or \(c_I^r =c^*\) when (IR1) is true.
For the case (IL2), from
and
there exists a small constant \(\varepsilon _0 >0\) such that
Combining this with (3.3), for any fixed \(c\in (0,c_l),\) we can find that the leftward spreading speed is not less than \(c_l\) by selecting \(\epsilon >0\) small enough. With the help of Lemma 3.4, we have \(c_I^l =c_l.\) Similarly, the conclusions for \(c_I^r =c_r\) hold when (IR2) is true.
When the case (IL3) is concerned, for any given \({\widehat{c}} > c^*\) and the corresponding \(\lambda ^{{\widehat{c}}},\) we can select a small constant \(\varepsilon _0 >0\) such that
Using (3.3), the leftward spreading speed of I is not less than \({\widehat{c}}\). Due to the arbitrary of \({\widehat{c}}\), \(c_I^l =\infty .\) Similarly, we can prove that (IR3) implies that \(c_I^r =\infty .\)
Therefore, it suffices to obtain (3.3), which will be divided into the following two steps.
-
Step 1
We estimate \(S(x,t)-S_{0}, V(x,t)-V_{0}.\)
-
Step 2
From the equation of I, we shall find (3.3).
We now discuss the Step 1. Since
we have
for any \(x\in {\mathbb {R}},0\le t_{1}\le t<\infty .\) By the uniform convergence of \(\frac{1}{\sqrt{4\pi d_{1}t}}\int \limits _{{\mathbb {R}}}e^{\frac{-{y} ^{2}}{4d_{1}t}}dy\) when t belongs to a bounded interval, as well as the decay behavior of \(e^{-(\mu +\omega )t}\), we can select \(T_{1}>2\tau +1\) large enough such that
for any \(t>2T_{1}.\)
Furthermore, from
we obtain
for any \(x\in {\mathbb {R}},0\le t_{1}\le t<\infty ,s\in [t-t_{1},t].\) Similar to the discussion on S(x, t), we can select \(T_{2}\ge T_{1}\) such that
for all \(t\ge 2T_{1}+2T_{2}+2\tau +1,x\in {\mathbb {R}}.\)
Further study the Step 2. From
we shall look for \(M>0,t_{0}>0\) such that
for all \(x\in {\mathbb {R}},t\ge t_{0}.\)
If
and
then we obtain
If Eq. (3.5) is false, then
for some \(t\ge 2T_{1}+2T_{2}+2\tau +1,x\in {\mathbb {R}}.\) From Theorem 2.2, I is uniformly continuous, then we can select two constants \(\eta>0,\delta >0\) such that
In particular, \(\eta>0,\delta >0\) are independent of x, t once (3.9) holds. That is, we may fix \(\eta>0,\delta >0\) for all \(x,t\ge 2T_{1}+2T_{2}+2\tau +1\) such that (3.9) holds.
Consider the initial value problem
with a continuous initial condition
Let
Then, \(\kappa \) is independent on x, t when (3.9) holds. That is, we can fix \(\kappa >0\) for all \(x,t\ge 2T_{1}+2T_{2}+2\tau +1 \) such that (3.4) holds. Using the comparison principle, we have \(I(x,t) >\kappa \) when (3.9) is true, which implies the existence of \(M>0\) by the boundedness of the left of (3.4). When (3.6) or (3.7) does not hold, we can get a similar conclusion by selecting \(M,t_0\) large enough but finite. The proof is complete. \(\square \)
4 Proof of convergence
Lemma 4.1
Assume that (I1)–(I2) hold and \({\mathcal {R}}_0 > 1\). If \(c_I^l, c_I^r \) are finite, then (2.9) is true.
Proof
We prove the result for given \(\epsilon >0.\) Let \(\{\epsilon _n\}\) be a strictly increasing sequence such that \( \epsilon _1 =\epsilon /2,\lim _{n\rightarrow \infty } \epsilon _n =\epsilon . \) Define
Then, \(\{s_n\}\) is nondecreasing and positive in n and \(I_n =0\) for all \(n\in {\mathbb {R}}\) Therefore, the limit of \(\{s_n\}\) exists, we denote it by \(s'\). Let
Then, we have \(s_0 \ge s_n\) and \(s_0\ge s'.\) Select \(\theta >0\) such that
is nondecreasing in s. For given \(s_n,s_{n+1},\) the dominated convergence in the integral equation of S implies that
Letting \(n\rightarrow \infty ,\) we have \(s'\ge S_0.\) Note that, \(S(x,t)\le S_0,\) we obtain \(s'=s_0=S_0.\)
In a similar way, we can prove the result on V. The proof is complete. \(\square \)
Lemma 4.2
Assume that \({\mathcal {R}}_0>1\) and (B1) hold. Then, (2.10) holds.
Proof
Let
Then, these are positive constants such that
Similar to the proof of Lemma 4.1, we obtain (2.3)–(2.8). Then, (B1) implies what we wanted. The proof is complete. \(\square \)
Lemma 4.3
Assume that \({\mathcal {R}}_0>1\) and (B2) hold. Then, (2.10) holds.
Proof
We can prove this similar to Bo et al. [6, Section 4] and omit the detail here. \(\square \)
Lemma 4.4
Proposition 2.7 is true.
Proof
From the monotonicity, the assumption (B1) becomes if
then \(({\underline{S}},{\underline{V}},{\underline{I}})= ({\overline{S}},{\overline{V}},{\overline{I}})=(S^*,V^*,I^*).\) From (4.1) and (4.2), we have
Applying (4.3) and (4.4), we obtain
Using (4.5) and (4.6), we find
From (4.7) to (4.9), we further have
or
Thus, we find that if (2.12) leads to \({\overline{I}}= {\underline{I}},\) then further from \({\overline{I}}= {\underline{I}},\) (4.7) leads to \({\overline{S}}= {\underline{S}}\) and (4.8) leads to \({\overline{V}}= {\underline{V}}.\) Due to the uniqueness of constant steady states, we obtain \(({\overline{S}},{\overline{V}},{\overline{I}}) =({\underline{S}},{\underline{V}},{\underline{I}}) =(S^*,V^*,I^*)\). Thus, (B1) holds true. Moreover, (2.13) also makes \({\overline{I}}= {\underline{I}}\) by the fact \((\frac{x}{1+\alpha x})' \le 1, x\ge 0\), which also implies (B1). We complete the proof. \(\square \)
On the assumption (B1), we may give further bounds of \({\underline{S}},{\underline{V}},{\underline{I}},{\overline{S}},{\overline{V}},{\overline{I}},\) which possibly weakens the verification of (B1). We give a special case here. Let \({\underline{s}}>0,{\underline{v}}>0\) be defined by
which are well defined once \({\mathcal {R}}_0 >1.\) When
we further fix \({\underline{i}}>0\) such that
Using the notations in the proof of Lemma 4.4, we can verify that
From \(({\underline{s}},{\underline{v}},{\underline{i}})\), we may obtain a new bound \(({\overline{S}}_1,{\overline{V}}_1,{\overline{I}}_1)\) of \(({\overline{S}},{\overline{V}},{\overline{I}}),\) where \({\overline{S}}_{1}\) is defined by
and \({\overline{V}}_1,{\overline{I}}_1\) are defined in the similar way. Repeating the process, we obtain a strictly decreasing sequence \(\{({\overline{S}}_n,{\overline{V}}_n,{\overline{I}}_n)\}\) of upper bounds and a strictly increasing sequence \(\{({\underline{S}}_n,{\underline{V}}_n,{\underline{I}}_n)\}\) of lower bounds. For each n, we consider (B1) in the rectangle \([({\underline{S}}_n,{\underline{V}}_n,{\underline{I}}_n), ({\overline{S}}_n,{\overline{V}}_n,{\overline{I}}_n)].\) With the larger n, it is possible to obtain a weaker condition such that (B1) holds.
Lemma 4.5
Proposition 2.8 is true.
Proof
We prove this by the idea of comparison principle. Consider
For (1.1), \(I_0\) is defined by
Let \({\underline{s}}>0, {\underline{v}}>0\) such that
When
fix \({\underline{i}}>0\) such that
It should be noted that (4.11) is true if \(\alpha >0\) is large. Evidently, there exist \(m>1,\alpha _0 >0\) such that \(\alpha \ge \alpha _0\) implies that
We now consider the question if \(\alpha \ge \alpha _0.\) Define continuous functions
in which
are small constants clarified later. In what follows, we finish the proof by two steps.
-
Step 1
We verify the necessary differentiable inequalities (See Appendix).
-
Step 2
We study the initial condition and apply the comparison principle.
For the Step 2, we verify that if (I3) holds, there exists \(T>0\) such that
for all \(x\in {\mathbb {R}}, s\in [-\tau , 0].\) Once this is proved, then the comparison principle implies what we wanted. Note that,
then
and the conclusion holds. Similarly, we can finish the proof. \(\square \)
5 Traveling waves
In this part, we investigate the existence and nonexistence of Eqs. (2.1)–(2.2). By Eq. (2.1), we study the positive solution of
for all \(z\in {\mathbb {R}}.\) Note that, a traveling wave solution is a special entire solution, then the results on asymptotic spreading imply the following conclusion.
Lemma 5.1
Assume that \({\mathcal {R}}_0 >1.\) If \(({\mathcal {S}},{\mathcal {V}},{\mathcal {I}})\) is positive and satisfies (5.1) and
then (2.2) holds. Further suppose that Theorem 2.9 holds. Then, (2.11) is true.
Therefore, when the existence of Eqs. (2.1)–(2.2) is concerned, we only study the existence of nontrivial solutions to Eq. (5.1). For this, we introduce the following definition and result.
Definition 5.2
Assume that continuous functions
satisfy the following inequalities
except finite points for \(z\in {\mathbb {R}},\) in which I is any continuous function with \({\underline{I}}(z)\le I(z)\le \overline{ I}(z), z\in {\mathbb {R}}.\) Then, they are a pair of generalized upper and lower solutions of (5.1).
Lemma 5.3
Assume that \(({\overline{S}}(z),{\overline{V}}(z),{\overline{I}}(z)), ({\underline{S}}(z),{\underline{V}}(z),{\underline{I}}(z))\) are a pair of generalized upper and lower solutions of (5.1) such that
Then, (5.1) has a solution \(({\mathcal {S}},{\mathcal {V}},{\mathcal {I}})\) such that
This lemma can be obtained by Lin and Ruan [21], and we omit the proof here.
5.1 Critical wave speed
For simplicity, in this subsection, we use \(c,\lambda \) instead of \(c^*,\lambda ^*,\) respectively. Define continuous functions as follows
in which \(\gamma = \min \{c/(d_1+d_2+1), \lambda /4\},\) \(K_1,K_2,K_3,K_4 \) are positive constants clarified later, and \({\underline{s}},{\underline{v}}\) are defined by (4.10). From Lemma 5.3, we can obtain Theorem 2.4 for \(c=c^*\) by the following conclusion.
Lemma 5.4
There exist \(K_1,K_2,K_3,K_4\) large enough such that Eqs. (5.3)–(5.8) hold.
Proof
We prove them one by one. From the definitions of \(S_{0},V_{0}\), (5.3), (5.4) are clear. Let \(K_1 >0\) be large enough such that \(\sup _{z <0}\{(-z+K_{1})e^{\lambda z}\} >2 I_0\) and \(z_1 <0\) be the smaller root of \((-z+K_{1})e^{\lambda z}=I_0.\) Then, (5.5) holds when \(z>z_1.\) When \(z<z_1,\) (5.5) holds if
by (F1). In fact,
implies that
and we complete the proof of Eq. (5.5).
For fixed \(K_1 >0,\) we now select \( K_2,K_3\) such that (5.6)–(5.7) hold. When \({\underline{S}}'(z)=0\) or \({\underline{V}}'(z)=0\), the conclusions are clear. Select \(K_{2}>S_{0}\) large enough such that \(S_{0}-K_{2}e^{ \gamma z}>{\underline{s}}\) implies that \({\overline{I}}(z)\le e^{\lambda z/2}.\) When \( S_{0}-K_{2}e^{\gamma z}>{\underline{s}},\) we have \(z<0\) and it suffices to prove that
Since
(5.9) is true by selecting large \(K_{2}>S_{0}\). Similarly, we can fix \(K_{3}\) such that (5.7) holds.
Finally, we verify (5.8). By what we have done, \(K_1\) has been fixed. Let \(K_{5}>1\) be large such that \(z<-K_{5}\) implies that
By direct calculation, we have
and
for \(z<-K_{5}.\) Therefore,
Let \(K_{6}>1\) such that
Then, (5.8) holds by selecting \(K_{4}=K_{5}+K_{6}.\) The proof is complete. \(\square \)
5.2 Other cases
In this subsection, we first present the existence of nontrivial traveling wave solutions.
Lemma 5.5
Assume that \({\mathcal {R}}_0>1, c>c^*.\) Then, (5.1) has a positive solution satisfying (5.2).
Proof
For \(z\in {\mathbb {R}},\) define
where \(K_7>0,K_8>0,K_9 >1\) are large enough and \(\gamma>0,\eta -1>0\) are small such that
Then, similar to that in Sect. 5.1, we can verify these are generalized upper and lower solutions of Eq. (5.1). By what we have done, we can finish the proof. \(\square \)
Before considering the nonexistence, we give the following strict positivity.
Lemma 5.6
For given \(c\in {\mathbb {R}}\), if Eq. (5.1) has a positive solution \(({\mathcal {S}},{\mathcal {V}},{\mathcal {I}})\) satisfying Eq. (5.2), then
Proof
Let \(\gamma _1<0<\gamma _2 \) be the roots of
Then, \({\mathcal {I}}(z)\) also satisfies
for all \(z\in {\mathbb {R}}.\) From (F1) and (5.2), we see that \(I(z) >0,z\in {\mathbb {R}}.\) The remainder can be proved in a similar way, and we omit them here. \(\square \)
From the special invariant form of traveling wave solutions, we obtain the following nonexistence result, see Theorem 2.9.
Lemma 5.7
If \({\mathcal {R}}_0\le 1,\) then Eqs. (5.1)–(5.2) has not a solution.
The second result of nonexistence is given as follows.
Lemma 5.8
Assume that \({\mathcal {R}}_0>1,c<c^*.\) Then, (2.1) has not a solution satisfying (2.2).
Proof
We prove this by contradiction. Were the statement false for some \(c_1<c^*\) and \(({\overline{S}},{\overline{I}}, {\overline{V}}).\) From (5.2) and Theorem 2.3, we see that (2.2) holds. Let \(\epsilon >0\) such that
Also define
Then, \(c_{2}\in (c_{1},c^{*}).\)
Select \(z'\) such that
Then, we have
for \(z\le z^{\prime }.\) When \(z>z^{\prime },\) the positivity in Lemma 5.6 and limit behavior (2.2) imply that \(\inf _{z>z^{\prime }}{\overline{I}}(z)>0\) such that
for \(z>z^{\prime }\) and large \(M>0.\) Then, \(I(x,t)={\overline{I}}(x+c_{1}t)\) satisfies
with \(I(x,0)={\overline{I}}(x)>0,x\in ,t>0,\) where
Let \(i_* >0\) be the unique real rot of
From Lemma 3.2, we have \(\liminf _{t\rightarrow \infty }I(-c_{2}t,t)\ge i_*.\) Note that, \(-c_{2}t+c_{1}t\rightarrow \infty \) when \(t\rightarrow \infty .\) By the invariant form of traveling waves, we obtain \(\liminf _{z\rightarrow -\infty }{\overline{I}}(z)\ge i_*.\) A contradiction occurs. The proof is complete. \(\square \)
6 Discussion
We have studied the initial value problem and traveling wave solutions for noncooperative system (1.2). With different special decaying initial values, we could classify the corresponding leftward and rightward spreading speeds. When the disease spreads successfully, there is a minimal spreading speed that is the minimal wave speed of traveling wave solutions. Moreover, our results on traveling wave solutions have completed He et al. [13, Theorem 3.8] by presenting the precise asymptotic behavior of critical traveling wave solutions. The behavior is important to classify the spreading speeds with different initial conditions.
Without the vaccination branch, then (1.1) becomes
Clearly, the basic reproduction ratio of the corresponding kinetic system is \(e^{-\mu \tau }\beta _{1} \Pi / (\mu (\mu +\nu )).\) By Lin et al. [22], the minimal spreading speed of (6.1) depends on the eigenvalue problem
For this Eq. (6.2), we may analyze it similar to that in Lemma 2.1. Note that, \(S_0+V_0=\Pi / \mu ,\) if \(\beta _1 > \beta _2\) (see [13, pp. 1973]), then we find that the minimal spreading speed of (1.1) is smaller than that of (6.1), which shows that the vaccination could decrease the spreading ability of the disease from both the outbreak threshold (the basic reproduction ratio), as well as the minimal spreading speed. For the general system (1.2), when \(f_1 \le f_2,f_1' (0)<f_2'(0)\) (the vaccination plays a positive role controlling the disease), we may obtain a similar conclusion. At the same time, the role of the latent period \(\tau \) can be discussed similar to that in many works, e.g., [13, pp. 1993]. Moreover, besides for the minimal spreading speed, we may show the effect of vaccination and latency for other possible spreading speeds and obtain similar conclusions.
Although we have investigated different decaying initial values, it is still a long way to further describe the propagation dynamics of these values. For example, when the slowly decaying initial values (IL3) and (IR3) are concerned, the corresponding fast propagation needs further investigation, which at least incudes the estimation of moving speed for level sets. For cooperative systems, the estimation has been done in several works [2, 12, 37]. To the best of our knowledge, this topic remains open for many noncooperative systems including (1.2). Moreover, when the asymptotic behavior of traveling waves for (1.1) is concerned, He et al. [13, Theorem 3.8] confirmed the limit behavior by a Lyapunov type discussion, of which the condition is weaker than that in (B1) and (B2). For the convergence of solutions to initial value problem, is it possible to obtain the convergence by such an idea?
The assumption (F2) is important to obtain our conclusion since this leads to a bounded result of I. In fact, the boundedness is not clear in some models. We only illustrate this from special model (1.1). When \(\alpha >0\) as that in this paper and [13], the boundedness of I-branch is clear such that we can follow our discussion. If \(\alpha =0,\) the boundedness is not clear enough although this should be true. When the boundedness of I was proven, we can make a similar discussion. In fact, the boundedness of some noncooperative systems is not trivial but may be obtained. For example, Ducrot [9] studied a noncooperative system by using local \(L^p\) estimation and other techniques. We hope the idea in [9] can be further developed to such a delayed system (1.1) with \(\alpha =0.\)
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Appendix
Appendix
Verification of step 1 in the proof of lemma 4.5 To avoid many superscripts and subscripts in our calculations, we denote
in this part.
(1). For \({\overline{x}}(t),\) we shall prove that
By direct calculation, we have
if \(r>0\) is small enough. We complete the verification of (6.3).
(2). For \({\overline{y}}(t),\) we shall prove
Similar to the calculation in (1), we have
if \(r>0\) is small and
We complete the verification of (6.4).
(3). We shall verify that
By direct calculation, we have
If \(\epsilon _{1},\epsilon _{2},\epsilon _{3}\) are small enough such that
then
implies that
Since
and
then (6.6) holds if \(r>0\) is small enough and (6.7) is true.
(4). For \({\underline{x}}(t),\) we shall prove that
The right side is
Evidently, if \(\alpha \rightarrow \infty ,\) then \({\underline{s}}\rightarrow s\) such that
for large \(\alpha .\) Selecting small \(r>0,\) we obtain (6.8).
(5). We need to prove that
Since
and
we have
Note that, \(\alpha \rightarrow \infty \) implies that
then (6.9) holds if we select \(r>0\) small enough and
(6). We need to prove that
By the definition, we have
Similar to that in Step 3, since
and
when \(\epsilon _{4},\epsilon _{5},\epsilon _{6}\) are small such that
then (6.11) is true if \(r>0\) is small enough.
Before ending this part, we show the selection of parameters. Firstly, we see that (6.5), (6.7), (6.10) and (6.12) are admissible by selecting \(\epsilon _i\) small enough. In particular, small \(\epsilon _i\) leads to
and they are independent of r. After fixing \(\epsilon _i,\) we can give a small \(r>0\) satisfying our discussion. The verification is complete.
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Wang, Y., Wang, X. & Lin, G. Propagation thresholds in a diffusive epidemic model with latency and vaccination. Z. Angew. Math. Phys. 74, 59 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00033-022-01935-1
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00033-022-01935-1
Keywords
- Generalized upper-lower solutions
- Asymptotic spreading
- Nonmonotone delayed system
- Minimal wave speed
- Fast propagation