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The case for investing in secondary education in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA): challenges and opportunities

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Abstract

Over the next two decades, sub-Saharan Africa will face substantial pressure to expand its secondary education system. This is driven by the current low development of secondary education compared to other world regions, continued rapid population growth, the increase in the enrolment and completion rates at the primary education level, and the upsurge in the demand for skills. This paper suggests that in order to help countries respond to these pressures, external partners should now increase their support for secondary education, in terms of academic as well as technical and vocational skills training. Given the attributes of the African economies and the continuing need for foundation skills, this paper argues that in the current situation, particularly the lower secondary level will have to be strengthened, in many cases through a longer basic education cycle for all. The necessary rapid expansion of secondary education will require substantial investments, and this paper discusses how aid allocation can be made more evidence-based and used in a more strategic way to make these investments more effective and sustainable. While aid will continue to have a role to play over the next decade especially in fragile states, in the long run it is African countries’ capacity to achieve sustained economic growth which will be the single most important factor determining their ability to meet the financing needs.

Résumé

Arguments en faveur de l’enseignement secondaire en Afrique subsaharienne : défis et opportunités – Au cours des vingt prochaines années, l’Afrique subsaharienne sera confrontée à une pression considérable d’étendre son système d’enseignement secondaire. Cette contrainte repose sur le développement actuellement faible de l’enseignement secondaire en comparaison des autres régions mondiales, la poursuite d’une croissance démographique rapide, la hausse des taux de scolarisation et d’achèvement dans l’enseignement primaire, et sur une forte augmentation de la demande en compétences. Les auteurs avancent que, pour aider les pays à réagir à ces pressions, les partenaires externes doivent accroître aujourd’hui leur soutien à l’enseignement secondaire, sur le plan de la formation scolaire, technique et professionnelle. En raison des conditions des économies africaines et du besoin continu en compétences de base, les auteurs soutiennent que dans la situation actuelle, l’enseignement secondaire inférieur devra être renforcé en priorité, dans de nombreux cas au moyen d’un cycle prolongé d’enseignement de base pour tous. La nécessité d’une expansion rapide de l’enseignement secondaire exigera d’importants investissements, et les auteurs analysent les moyens de rendre l’affectation de l’aide plus factuelle et son utilisation plus stratégique, afin que ces investissements soient plus efficaces et pérennes. L’aide financière aura un rôle à jouer au cours de la prochaine décennie notamment dans les États fragiles, mais la capacité des pays africains d’atteindre une croissance économique soutenue sera à long terme le facteur primordial qui déterminera leur aptitude à répondre à ces besoins de financement.

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Notes

  1. See Lewin and Caillods (2001), Psacharopoulos and Patrinos (2002), World Bank (2005), Di Gropello (2006), Verspoor (2008), Mingat et al. (2010).

  2. “At their most elemental, foundation skills include literacy and numeracy skills necessary for getting work that can pay enough to meet daily needs. These skills are also a prerequisite for continuing in education and training, and for acquiring transferable and technical and vocational skills that enhance the prospect of getting good jobs” (UNESCO 2012, p. 14).

  3. See e.g. Helgø (1999) for a review of the debate.

  4. Income and rural/urban residence are closely related and the two factors in many ways measure the same thing.

  5. This “reverse gender gap”, reflecting e.g. greater ease for boys than for girls to find jobs and boys’ disenchantment with school, is also present in richer SSA countries with comparatively higher GERs in secondary education.

  6. Mozambique, one of the fastest-growing SSA countries over the past decade, illustrates well the labour market situation to which education needs to respond. In 2008, only 12 per cent of the labour force was engaged in formal sector wage employment (one-third of this in the public sector). The rest was in the informal farming (79.5 per cent) and non-farming (8.4 per cent) sectors. Louise Fox et al. (2012, p. 46) argue that “With the labour force growing at nearly 3 per cent per annum, wage and salary employment would need to increase by about 20 per cent yearly for the next ten years simply to absorb the majority of new entrants while leaving the existing labour force at their current jobs. This would be eight times faster growth than this type of employment achieved in 2002–03 to 2008–09.”

  7. MGI (2012) divides African economies into four groups, based on the level of diversification of the economy and the per capita export: pre-transition, transition, diversified and oil exporters.

  8. In 1960, the GER in secondary education was 23 per cent in Spain, 35 in Ireland, 46 in France, 51 in Australia, 57 in Norway, 58 in the Netherlands, 66 in the United Kingdom (UK) and 86 in the United States of America (USA) (Briseid and Caillods 2004). Already in 1900, countries such as France, the Netherlands, Norway and the UK had less than 45 per cent of their labour force in the primary sectors, but secondary enrolment was only at 6 students per 1,000 inhabitants in France, 9 in Norway and the Netherlands and 18 in the UK (Kaser 1966). In 2010, SSA had 54 secondary students per 1,000 inhabitants (these figures are based on population and enrolment data in UNESCO’s Education for All Global Monitoring Report 2012; UNESCO 2012).

  9. “Median variant” of the 2010 UN population projections. Jean-Pierre Guengant and John May (2013, p. 48) argue that, given the recent slower-than-expected fertility decline in SSA, fertility in many countries might decline more slowly than assumed under the 2010 UN Median variant and in several countries more slowly than even under the “High variant”.

  10. This figure is derived from the enrolment in a basic education cycle covering pre-primary and nine grades of primary and lower secondary education, divided by the population aged 5–14 years. Allowing for repetition, a GER of 100 per cent for the age-group 5–14 in 2030 is consistent with one year of pre-primary education and 80–90 per cent completion of a nine-grade basic education cycle in 2030 (Fredriksen and Kagia 2013).

  11. PISA stands for Programme for International Student Assessment; a triennial worldwide survey of 15-year-old students’ performance in mathematics, science and reading carried out by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).

  12. Tanzania, for example, accompanied the abolition of school fees with basic education programmes for out-of-school children aged 11–17, including child labourers. In Uganda, evening schools and mobile schools are part of the Complementary Opportunities for Primary Education (COPE) programme, and a specific relief project has been designed for the urban poor. Liberia is providing a three-year Accelerated Learning Programme (ALP), covering the six-grade primary education curriculum, for ex-combatants and for those who missed out on primary schooling during the during the civil strife (Fredriksen and Kagia 2013).

  13. Of the 45 SSA countries providing data, three have 5 grades, 32 have 6 grades, and 10 have 7 grades (UNESCO 2012, pp. 364–366).

  14. Foster’s book (1965) is often referred to as the starting point of this debate which has been revisited at regular intervals over the past decades, see Lauglo and Lillis (1988) and Lauglo and Maclean (2005).

  15. Similar results have also been detected for Malaysia (see Abdul Latif and Mohamed Yusof 2007).

  16. Parents in DRC have shown remarkable resilience in supporting education despite an almost complete neglect by the Government during most of the 1980s and 1990s. DRC’s GER in primary education declined from 95 per cent in 1970 to 70 per cent in 1990 and to 48 per cent in 1999 and only grew back to its 1970 level in 2010 (94 per cent) (UNESCO 1999, 2012).

  17. The corresponding figures for 2010 were 4.5 per cent and 16.8 per cent for Latin America, 3.3 per cent and 13.7 per cent for East Asia, and 4.4 per cent and 14.1 per cent for South Asia (UNESCO 2012).

  18. Between 1970 and 1997, SSA’s GDP per capita (excluding South Africa) declined by 36 per cent, while South Asia’s increased by 88 per cent, Latin America’s by 55 per cent and East Asia’s by 355 per cent (World Bank 2000).

  19. In other regions primary education is 11 per cent of GDP per capita whereas average secondary spending (average for lower and upper secondary education) is 12 per cent. In SSA (based on a sample of 33 low-income SSA countries), the budget spent on primary education is 11 per cent of GDP per capita, for lower secondary education it is 33 per cent, for upper secondary education 60 per cent and the overall average is 40 per cent (Mingat et al. 2010).

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Fredriksen, B., Fossberg, C.H. The case for investing in secondary education in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA): challenges and opportunities. Int Rev Educ 60, 235–259 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11159-014-9407-3

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