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Environmental disparities in an urban area, rural–urban migration, and urban unemployment

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Abstract

The environment is not always uniform for all of the residents of a specific region. This study explicitly incorporates this aspect into a general equilibrium model of rural–urban migration with urban unemployment. Pollution from the urban manufacturing sector is assumed to have a negative externality on urban residents’ utility. Moreover, this study assumes that in an urban area, the effects of pollution on employed and unemployed workers are different. Thus, disparities in the environment develop for the residents within that area. Rural–urban migration is assumed to occur according to a rural–urban difference in expected utilities. This study performs a comparative static analysis. It is shown that, in an urban area, a decrease in the effect of pollution on an employee (unemployed worker) increases his/her utility; however, it decreases an unemployed worker’s (employee’s) utility.

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Notes

  1. The percentage of urban population living in inadequate housing in 2009 is 61.6 in Bangladesh, 29.1 in China, 29.4 in India, and 40.9 in the Philippines, for example (United nations human settlements programme (UN-Habitat) 2015, p. 75).

  2. Nagashima (2018) recently re-examined the HT model and derived the condition for reduction of unemployment..

  3. In reality, pollution also affects the production of environmentally sensitive industries as in Copeland and Taylor (1999). To focus on differences in susceptibility from pollution to utility, this study assumes that there is no production externality.

  4. This assumption is applicable in many developing countries. China is an exception as the government attempts to control urbanization (e.g., see Okamoto 2019).

  5. In reality, many urban poor work in the informal sector. Since the informal sector takes many forms (United nations human settlements programme (UN-Habitat) 2015), as a simple way to model urban inequality, this study assumes that there are employed and unemployed workers in an urban area.

  6. In practice, urban and rural areas are often governed by different bodies. For example, see Kandpal and Saizen (2019) regarding the governance structure in the Mumbai Metropolitan Region, India.

  7. Since the unemployed earn no income, we obtain \(D_{M}^{u} = D_{A}^{u} = 0\). The urban unemployed, however, survive. This is because this study implicitly assumes that the unemployed are able to obtain subsistence food, for example, by collecting food from the trash (Sanchez 2016; Daley 2012). The utility function of an unemployed worker that explicitly includes such an activity can be expressed as \(U^{u} = U^{u} \left( {D_{M}^{u} ,D_{A}^{u} ,E^{u} , \theta } \right)\), where \(\theta > 0\) is a parameter expressing the subsistence food. The analysis is substantially the same if this utility function is used.

  8. Direction of changes in the level of unemployment, agricultural inputs and output are not determined even under the stability condition of dynamic systems (32) and (33).

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Acknowledgements

The author thanks the anonymous referee for the helpful comments.

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Correspondence to Azusa Nakamura.

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Appendix: stability

Appendix: stability

Consider the following dynamic systems:

$$\dot{E}^{e} = \bar{E} - E^{e} - \alpha \lambda F^{M} \left( {L_{M} , K_{M} } \right) \equiv \phi \left( {E^{e} , E^{u} } \right) ,$$
(32)
$$\dot{E}^{u} = \bar{E} - E^{u} - \beta \lambda F^{M} \left( {L_{M} , K_{M} } \right) \equiv \varPsi \left( {E^{e} , E^{u} } \right) .$$
(33)

For given \(E^{e}\) and \(E^{u}\), six Eqs. (3), (4), (7), (8), (9), and (23) determine six endogenous variables: \(L_{M}\), \(L_{U}\), \(L_{A}\), \(K_{M}\), \(K_{A}\), and \(w\). Necessary and sufficient condition for the linear approximation system of (32) and (33) to be globally stable is that the trace of \(S\) (\({\text{tr }} S\)) is negative and the determinant of matrix \(S\) (det \(S\)) is positive, where \(S \equiv \left[ {\begin{array}{*{20}c} {\partial \phi /\partial E^{e} } & {\partial \phi /\partial E^{u} } \\ {\partial \varPsi /\partial E^{e} } & {\partial \varPsi /\partial E^{u} } \\ \end{array} } \right]\). By differentiating (3), (4), (7), (8), (9), and (23) to investigate the signs of \({\text{tr }} S\) and det \(S\), we obtain

$$\left[ {\begin{array}{*{20}c} {pF_{LL}^{M} } & 0 & 0 & {pF_{LK}^{M} } & 0 & 0 \\ 0 & 0 & {F_{LL}^{A} } & 0 & {F_{LK}^{A} } & { - 1} \\ {pF_{KL}^{M} } & 0 & { - F_{KL}^{A} } & {pF_{KK}^{M} } & {-F_{KK}^{A} } & 0 \\ 1 & 1 & 1 & 0 & 0 & 0 \\ 0 & 0 & 0 & 1 & 1 & 0 \\ x & y & 0 & 0 & 0 & { - V_{w}^{a} } \\ \end{array} } \right]\left[ {\begin{array}{*{20}c} {dL_{M} } \\ {dL_{U} } \\ {dL_{A} } \\ {dK_{M} } \\ {dK_{A} } \\ {dw} \\ \end{array} } \right] = \left[ {\begin{array}{*{20}c} 0 \\ 0 \\ 0 \\ 0 \\ 0 \\ { - g} \\ \end{array} } \right]dE^{e} + \left[ {\begin{array}{*{20}c} 0 \\ 0 \\ 0 \\ 0 \\ 0 \\ { - h} \\ \end{array} } \right]dE^{u} .$$
(34)

We denote the determinant of the square matrix of (34) as \(J\). We then have

$$J = pF_{LK}^{M} F_{KL}^{A} \left( {V^{e} - V^{u} } \right)L_{A} \left[ {K_{M} /\left( {L_{M} + L_{U} } \right) - K_{A} /L_{A} } \right]/\left( {L_{M} + L_{U} } \right)K_{A} .$$

Thus, the following holds:

$$J > ( < )0 \Leftrightarrow K_{M} /\left( {L_{M} + L_{U} } \right) > ( < )K_{A} /L_{A} .$$

From (34), we obtain

$$dL_{M} /dE^{e} = gpF_{LK}^{M} F_{KL}^{A} /J ,$$
(35)
$$dK_{M} /dE^{e} = - gpF_{LL}^{M} F_{KL}^{A} /J ,$$
(36)
$$dL_{M} /dE^{u} = hpF_{LK}^{M} F_{KL}^{A} /J ,$$
(37)
$$dK_{M} /dE^{u} = - hpF_{LL}^{M} F_{KL}^{A} /J .$$
(38)

Using (35)–(38), we have

$${\text{tr }} S = \partial \phi /\partial E^{e} + \partial \varPsi /\partial E^{u}$$
$$\begin{aligned} = - 1 - \alpha \lambda \left( {F_{L}^{M} \partial L_{M} /\partial E^{e} + F_{K}^{M} \partial K_{M} /\partial E^{e} } \right) - 1 - \beta \lambda \left( {F_{L}^{M} \partial L_{M} /\partial E^{u} + F_{K}^{M} \partial K_{M} /\partial E^{u} } \right) \hfill \\ = {\kern 1pt} {\kern 1pt} - 2 - \lambda pF_{KL}^{A} m\left( {\alpha g + \beta h} \right)/J. \hfill \\ \end{aligned}$$

Thus, the following holds:

$${\text{tr }} S<0 \Leftarrow J> 0 \Leftrightarrow K_{M} /\left( {L_{M} + L_{U} } \right) > K_{A} /L_{A} .$$
(39)

Moreover, we obtain

$${\text{det }} S = \left( {\partial \phi /\partial E^{e} } \right)\left( {\partial \varPsi /\partial E^{u} } \right) - \left( {\partial \phi /\partial E^{u} } \right)\left( {\partial \varPsi /\partial E^{e} } \right)$$
$$= \left[ { - 1 - \alpha \lambda \left( {F_{L}^{M} \partial L_{M} /\partial E^{e} + F_{K}^{M} \partial K_{M} /\partial E^{e} } \right)} \right]\left[ { - 1 - \beta \lambda \left( {F_{L}^{M} \partial L_{M} /\partial E^{u} + F_{K}^{M} \partial K_{M} /\partial E^{u} } \right)} \right]$$
$$- \left[ { - \alpha \lambda \left( {F_{L}^{M} \partial L_{M} /\partial E^{u} + F_{K}^{M} \partial K_{M} /\partial E^{u} } \right)} \right]\left[ { - \beta \lambda \left( {F_{L}^{M} \partial L_{M} /\partial E^{e} + F_{K}^{M} \partial K_{M} /\partial E^{e} } \right)} \right]$$
$$= 1 + \lambda pF_{KL}^{A} m\left( {\alpha g + \beta h} \right)/J .$$

Therefore, the following holds:

$${ \det }{\kern 1pt} S > 0 \Leftarrow J > 0 \Leftrightarrow K_{M} /\left( {L_{M} + L_{U} } \right) > K_{A} /L_{A} .$$
(40)

From (39) and (40), if the urban area is more capital abundant than the rural area, that is, \(K_{M} /\left( {L_{M} + L_{U} } \right) > K_{A} /L_{A}\), then the linear approximation system of (32) and (33) is globally stable.

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Nakamura, A. Environmental disparities in an urban area, rural–urban migration, and urban unemployment. Asia-Pac J Reg Sci 4, 463–477 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s41685-019-00128-5

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