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Does domain matter? Monitoring accuracy across domains

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Abstract

Confidence and its accuracy have been most commonly examined in domains such as general knowledge and learning, with less study of other domains, such as applied knowledge and problem solving. Monitoring accuracy in real-world competencies may depend on characteristics of the domain. In this study, we examined whether monitoring accuracy, both calibration (resistance to overconfidence) and resolution (discrimination) indices, are stable within individuals across tasks that represent highly diverse domains. We examined the well-established domain of general knowledge and three understudied applied domains of financial calculation, probability calculation, and the social skill of emotion recognition. In addition, we examined correlations between monitoring accuracy and cognitive abilities (intellectual ability and working memory) and several aggregated judgments regarding each task as a whole (ratings of predicted performance, task difficulty, and effort required) as well as the classic postdictive itemized confidence ratings. We found that resistance to overconfidence (calibration) was significantly positively correlated across tasks, reflecting a confidence trait, but not resolution. We also found that cognitive abilities were more consistently predictive of calibration than of resolution. Aggregated judgments and postdictive confidence were significant predictors of both calibration and resolution, but associations were task specific. Emotion recognition displayed the most unique profile of findings relative to other tasks. We conclude that when considering a wide range of domains, calibration displays domain generality, but resolution may display specificity across tasks.

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Notes

  1. For the general knowledge and emotion recognition tasks, due to a technical printing error, 38 participants missed completing two items on each of these tasks. We compared overall accuracy between those participants who missed the two items and the remaining 98 participants. There were no differences in overall accuracy. Thus, scores of these 38 participants were pro-rated for the statistical analyses.

  2. We also examined another resolution index, called the confidence-judgment accuracy quotient (CAQ; Jackson and Kleitman 2014; Schraw 2009) which provides a difference score between the average confidence assigned to correct and incorrect items. Across all of the analyses, we found parallel findings using the Gamma and CAQ indices.

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Correspondence to Maggie E. Toplak.

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Dentakos, S., Saoud, W., Ackerman, R. et al. Does domain matter? Monitoring accuracy across domains. Metacognition Learning 14, 413–436 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11409-019-09198-4

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