Skip to main content

Advertisement

SpringerLink
Log in

Strong motion scenario of 25th November 2000 earthquake for Absheron peninsula (Azerbaijan)

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Natural Hazards Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Urban earthquake scenario requires compilation and interpretation of topographical, geological, geotechnical, macroseismic, and instrumental data, along with identification of proper ground motion prediction and site response analysis. Within the intensive city planning and infrastructure improvement of Baku city (the capital of Azerbaijan), and due to land and water instabilities, intensified landslides, and increasing seismic activity, Absheron peninsula has turned into one of the strategic earthquake case studies, representing exposure to earthquake hazard in the region. The last strongest 25th November 2000 earthquake revealed that the peninsula was severely vulnerable to seismic events, since there was a lack of public awareness of seismic disaster and its consequences, and there were not any preventive measures which might have been derived from the scenario-based simulations and prediction of strong motion distribution over the area. In the present work, integrated analysis of seismicity, engineering geology, geomorphology, topography, and site response is used to model strong motion dynamics in terms of peak ground acceleration distribution and intensity level for Absheron peninsula along with Baku city. The strong motion scenario of the 25th November 2000 earthquake shows that the larger area of the peninsula coincides with the VIII–IX intensity level, including Baku city. The scenario distribution can be valuable in all phases of the disaster management process.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Agamirzoyev R (1987) Seismotectonics of the Azerbaijan part of the greater Caucasus. Elm, Baku, p 124 (in Russian)

    Google Scholar 

  • Agayeva S (2006) Stress state of the Earth’s crust in Azerbaijan. Recent geodynamics, georisk and sustainable development in the Black Sea to Caspian Sea region. In: Conference proceedings of American institute of physics, v. 825, Melville, pp 97–102

  • Allen M, Jones S, Ismail-Zadeh A, Simmons M, Anderson L (2002) Onset of subduction as the cause of rapid Pliocene-Quaternary subsidence in the South Caspian basin. Geology 30:775–778

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Aptikayev F, Kopnichev Y (1979) Considering focal earthquake mechanism at the prediction of strong motion parameters. Doklady/transactions of the U.S.S.R. Acad Sci 247:822–825 (in Russian)

    Google Scholar 

  • Babayev G (2006) Seismic hazard assessment for Baku city and Absheron peninsula, Azerbaijan, in: Recent Geodynamics, Georisk and sustainable development in the Black Sea to Caspian Sea Region. In: Ismail-Zadeh A (ed) Conference proceedings of American institute of physics, Melville, New York, 825, pp 113–119

  • Babayev GR (2010) About some aspects of probabilistic seismic hazard assessment of Absheron peninsula. Republican Seismic Survey Center of Azerbaijan National Academy of Sciences. Catalogue of Seismoforecasting Research Carried Out in Azerbaijan Territory in 2009, “Teкnur”, Baku, pp 59–64 (in Russian)

  • Babayev G, Ismail-Zadeh A, Le Mouel J-L (2010) Scenario-based earthquake hazard and risk assessment for Baku (Azerbaijan). Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 10:2697–2712

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Beresnev I, Wen K (1996) Nonlinear ground response: a reality? Bull Seism Soc Am 86:1964–1978

    Google Scholar 

  • Gasanov A (2003) Earthquakes of Azerbaijan for 1983–2002. Elm, Baku, p 118 (in Russian)

    Google Scholar 

  • Idriss IM, Seed HB (1968) Seismic response of horizontal soil layers. J Soil Mech Found Div ASCE 94:1003–1031

    Google Scholar 

  • Jackson J, Priestley K, Allen M, Berberian M (2002) Active tectonics of the South Caspian Basin. Geophys J Int 148:214–245

    Google Scholar 

  • Kadirov FA (2000) Gravity field and models of deep structure of Azerbaijan. Nafta-Press, Baku, p 112 (monograph in Russian)

    Google Scholar 

  • Kadirov FA (2004) Gravity model of lithosphere in the Caucasus-Caspian region. In: Ali-Zadeh AA (ed) South-Caspian Basin: geology, geophysics, oil and gas content. Nafta-Press, Baku, pp 107–121

  • Kadirov F, Floyd M, Alizadeh A, Guliev I, Reilinger R, Kuleli S, King R, Toksoz MN (2012) Kinematics of the eastern Caucasus near Baku, Azerbaijan. Nat Hazards 63:997–1006. doi:10.1007/s11069-012-0199-0

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kadirov FA, Gadirov AG, Babayev GR, Agayeva ST, Mammadov SK, Garagezova NR, Safarov RT (2013) Seismic zoning of the Southern slope of greater Caucasus from the fractal parameters of the earthquakes, stress state and GPS velocities. Izv Phys Solid Earth 49(4):554–562 (original in Russian)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Klugel JU (2011) Uncertainty analysis and expert judgment in seismic hazard analysis. Pure Appl Geophys 168:27–53

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kondorskaya NV, Shebalin NV (eds) (1982) New catalog of strong earthquakes in the USSR from ancient times through 1977. World Data Center A for solid earth geophysics, Report SE-31, English translation of Russian original, Boulder, Colorado, p 608

  • Midorikawa S, Matsuoka M, Sakugawa K (1992) Evaluation of site effects on peak ground acceleration and velocity observed during the 1987 Chiba-ken-toho-oki earthquake. J Struct Constr Eng Arch Inst Japan 442:71–78 (in Japanese with English abstract)

    Google Scholar 

  • Molchan G, Kronrod T, Panza GF (2010) Hot/cold spots in Italian macroseismic data. Pure Appl Geophys 168:739–752. doi:10.1007/s00024-010-0111-3

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Murphy J, O’brien L (1977) The correlation of peak ground acceleration amplitude with seismic intensity and other physical parameters. Bull Seismol Soc Am 67:877–915

    Google Scholar 

  • Nunziata C, Vaccari F, Panza GF (2010) The Mw 6.3, 2009 LAquila earthquake: linear and nonlinear site effects. In: Mazzolani FM (ed) Urban habitat constructions under catastrophic events: proceedings of the cost C26 action final conference. Taylor & Francis Group, London, pp 99–104

  • Nunziata C, Costanzo MR, Vaccari F, Panza GF (2012) Evaluation of linear and non linear site effects for the MW 6.3, 2009 L’Aquila earthquake. In: D’Amico S (ed) Earthquake research and analysis: new frontiers in seismology. ISBN 979-953-840-3, pp 155–176

  • Panza G, Romanelli F, Vaccari F (2001) Seismic wave propagation in laterally heterogeneous anelastic media: theory and applications to seismic zonation. Adv Geophys 43:1–95

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Panza G, Irikura K, Kouteva-Guentcheva M, Peresan A, Wang Z, Saragoni R (eds) (2011) Advanced seismic hazard assessment, vol. 168, 1st edn. Springer, Basel, p 752

    Google Scholar 

  • Peresan A, Zuccolo E, Vaccari F, Gorshkov A, Panza GF (2011) Neo-deterministic seismic hazard and pattern recognition techniques: time-dependent scenarios for North-Eastern Italy. Pure Appl Geophys 168:583–607

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Peresan A, Kossobokov VG, Panza GF (2012) Operational earthquake forecast/prediction. Rendiconti Lincei 23:131–138

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schnabel B, Lysmer J, Bolton Seed H (1972) SHAKE: a computer program for earthquake response analysis of horizontally layered sites. Tech. Report No. EERC 72–12, Earthquake Engineering research Centre, College of Engineering, University of California, Berkley, California, p 102

  • Shikhalibeyli E (1996) Some problematic aspects of geological structures and tectonics of Azerbaijan. Elm, Baku, pp 48–82

    Google Scholar 

  • State Statistical Committee of Azerbaijan Republic (2012) Statistical yearbook of Azerbaijan. Seda, Baku. Accessed 1 June 2012

  • Sultanova Z (1986) Earthquakes of Azerbaijan for the period of 1966–1982 years. Elm, Baku, p 96 (in Russian)

    Google Scholar 

  • Telesca L, Babayev G, Kadirov F (2012) Temporal clustering of the seismicity of the Absheron-Prebalkhan region in the Caspian Sea area. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 12:3279–3285

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tonouchi K, Kaneko F (1984) Methods of evaluating seismic motion at base layer. OYO Technical Report No. 6, Japan, pp 12–14

  • Trifunac M, Brady A (1975) On the correlation of seismic intensity scales with the peaks of recorded strong ground motion. Bull Seismol Soc Am 65:139–162

    Google Scholar 

  • Wyss M, Nekrasova A, Kossobokov V (2012) Errors in expected human losses due to incorrect seismic hazard estimates. Nat Hazards 62:927–935

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zuccolo E, Vaccari F, Peresan A, Panza G (2011) Neo-deterministic and probabilistic seismic hazard assessments: a comparison over the Italian territory. Pure Appl Geophys 168:69–83

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

The present study was supported by the bilateral project CNR-ANAS 2012–2013.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Institute of Geology, Azerbaijan National Academy of Sciences, H. Javid Ave., 29A, Baku, 1143, Azerbaijan

    G. Babayev

  2. Istituto di Metodologie per l’Analisi Ambientale, Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, C.da S.Loja, 85050, Tito, PZ, Italy

    L. Telesca

Authors
  1. G. Babayev
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. L. Telesca
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding author

Correspondence to L. Telesca.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Babayev, G., Telesca, L. Strong motion scenario of 25th November 2000 earthquake for Absheron peninsula (Azerbaijan). Nat Hazards 73, 1647–1661 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-014-1159-7

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-014-1159-7

Keywords

Search

Navigation