Abstract
A preindustrial climate experiment was conducted with the third version of the CNRM global atmosphere–ocean–sea ice coupled model (CNRM-CM3) for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report (IPCC AR4). This experiment is used to investigate the main physical processes involved in the variability of the North Atlantic ocean convection and the induced variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (MOC). Three ocean convection sites are simulated, in the Labrador, Irminger and Greenland–Iceland–Norwegian (GIN) Seas in agreement with observations. A mechanism linking the variability of the Arctic sea ice cover and convection in the GIN Seas is highlighted. Contrary to previous suggested mechanisms, in CNRM-CM3 the latter is not modulated by the variability of freshwater export through Fram Strait. Instead, the variability of convection is mainly driven by the variability of the sea ice edge position in the Greenland Sea. In this area, the surface freshwater balance is dominated by the freshwater input due to the melting of sea ice. The ice edge position is modulated either by northwestward geostrophic current anomalies or by an intensification of northerly winds. In the model, stronger than average northerly winds force simultaneous intense convective events in the Irminger and GIN Seas. Convection interacts with the thermohaline circulation on timescales of 5–10 years, which translates into MOC anomalies propagating southward from the convection sites.
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Acknowledgments
This work was carried out in the framework of a PhD thesis at the Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques, Toulouse, funded by Météo-France and the Commissariat à l’Energie Atomique (CEA). The authors wish to thank Pascal Terray and Eric Maisonnave for the availability of their statistical package STATPACK and Fabrice Chauvin for his help about Hayashi spectral analyses. Marc Lucas and Clotilde Dubois are greatly acknowledged for their careful reading of the manuscript. This study was supported by the European Commission’s 6th Framework Programme (ENSEMBLES, contract GOCE-CT-2003-505539).
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Guemas, V., Salas-Mélia, D. Simulation of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in an atmosphere–ocean global coupled model. Part I: a mechanism governing the variability of ocean convection in a preindustrial experiment. Clim Dyn 31, 29–48 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-007-0336-8
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-007-0336-8