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Scenarios of Earthquake-Generated Tsunamis for the Italian Coast of the Adriatic Sea

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Tsunami Science Four Years after the 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami

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Abstract

We calculated the expected impact on the Italian coast of the Adriatic Sea of a large set of tsunamis resulting from potential earthquakes generated by major fault zones. Our approach merges updated knowledge on the regional tectonics and scenario-like calculations of expected tsunami impact. We selected six elongated potential source zones. For each of them we determined a Maximum Credible Earthquake and the associated Typical Fault, described by its size, geometry and kinematics. We then let the Typical Fault float along strike of its parent source zone and simulated all tsunamis it could generate. Simulations are based on the solution of the nonlinear shallow water equations through a finite-difference technique. For each run we calculated the wavefields at specified simulation times and the maximum water height field (above mean sea level), then generated travel-time maps and maximum water height profiles along the target coastline. Maxima were also classified in a three-level code of expected tsunami threat. We found that the southern portion of Apulia facing Albania and the Gargano promontory are especially prone to the tsunami threat. We also found that some bathymetric features are crucial in determining the focalization-defocalization of tsunami energy. We suggest that our results be taken into account in the design of early-warning strategies.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione di Sismologia e Tettonofisica, Via di Vigna Murata 605, 00143, Rome, Italy

    Mara Monica Tiberti, Stefano Lorito, Roberto Basili, Vanja Kastelic, Alessio Piatanesi & Gianluca Valensise

  2. Faculty of Natural Sciences and Engineering, Department of Geology, University of Ljubljana, Aškerčeva 12, 1000, Ljubljana, Slovenia

    Vanja Kastelic

Authors
  1. Mara Monica Tiberti
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  2. Stefano Lorito
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  3. Roberto Basili
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  4. Vanja Kastelic
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  5. Alessio Piatanesi
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  6. Gianluca Valensise
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Editors and Affiliations

  1. Geoscience Australia, P.O. Box 378, Canberra, ACT, 2601, Australia

    Phil R. Cummins

  2. Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, 1-1-1 Yayoi Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-0032, Japan

    Kenji Satake

  3. UNESCO Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC), International Tsunami Information Centre, 737 Bishop Street Suite 2200, Honolulu, HI, 96813, USA

    Laura S. L. Kong

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Tiberti, M.M., Lorito, S., Basili, R., Kastelic, V., Piatanesi, A., Valensise, G. (2008). Scenarios of Earthquake-Generated Tsunamis for the Italian Coast of the Adriatic Sea. In: Cummins, P.R., Satake, K., Kong, L.S.L. (eds) Tsunami Science Four Years after the 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami. Pageoph Topical Volumes. Birkhäuser Basel. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-0346-0057-6_8

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