Abstract
We develop a probabilistic model for estimating the tsunami hazard along the coast of New Zealand due to plate-interface earthquakes along the South American subduction zone. To do this we develop statistical and physical models for several stages in the process of tsunami generation and propagation, and develop a method for combining these models to produce hazard estimates using a Monte-Carlo technique. This process is largely analogous to that used for seismic hazard modelling, but is distinguished from it by the use of a physical model to represent the tsunami propagation, as opposed to the use of empirical attenuation models for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis.
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Power, W., Downes, G. & Stirling, M. Estimation of Tsunami Hazard in New Zealand due to South American Earthquakes. Pure appl. geophys. 164, 547–564 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-006-0166-3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-006-0166-3