Abstract
Digital twins (DTs) are expected to render process development and life-cycle management much more cost-effective and time-efficient. A DT definition, a brief retrospect on their history and expectations for their deployment in today’s business environment, and a detailed financial assessment of their attractive economic benefits are provided in this chapter. The argument that restrictive guidelines set forth by regulatory agencies would hinder the adoption of DTs in the (bio)pharmaceutical industry is revisited, concluding that those companies who collaborate with the agencies to further their technical capabilities will gain significant competitive advantage. The analyzed process development examples show high methodological readiness levels but low systematic adoption of technology. Given the technical feasibilities, financial opportunities, and regulatory encouragement, concerns regarding intellectual property and data sharing, though required to be taken into account, will at best delay an industry-wide adoption of DTs. In conclusion, it is expected that a strategic investment in DTs now will gain an advantage over competition that will be difficult to overcome by late adopters.
Graphical Abstract
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Dessoy S, Varsakelis C (2019) Digital twin for a vaccine process. In: Paper presented at the PDA Europe, Munich, Germany, 3-4 Sept
Grieves M (2019) Virtually intelligent product systems: digital and physical twins. Complex Syst Eng Theor Pract:175–200. https://doi.org/10.2514/5.9781624105654.0175.0200
Rosen R, von Wichert G, Lo G, Bettenhausen KD (2015) About the importance of autonomy and digital twins for the future of manufacturing. IFAC-Papers Online 48(3):567–572. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ifacol.2015.06.141
Cimino C, Negri E, Fumagalli L (2019) Review of digital twin applications in manufacturing. Comput Ind 113:103130. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compind.2019.103130
Wasserman S (2018) SAE to create standards for IoT, Big Data and the digital twin in the aerospace industry. https://www.engineering.com/IOT/ArticleID/16278/SAE-to-Create-Standards-for-IoT-Big-Data-and-the-Digital-Twin-in-the-Aerospace-Industry.aspx
Varsakelis C, Dessoy S, von Stosch M, Pysik A (2019) Show me the money! Process modeling in pharma from the investor’s point of view. PRO 7(9). https://doi.org/10.3390/pr7090596
Zobel-Roos S, Schmidt A, Mestmäcker F, Mouellef M, Huter M, Uhlenbrock L, Kornecki M, Lohmann L, Ditz R, Strube J (2019) Accelerating biologics manufacturing by modeling or: is approval under the QbD and PAT approaches demanded by authorities acceptable without a digital-twin? PRO 7(2). https://doi.org/10.3390/pr7020094
Plotkin S, Robinson JM, Cunningham G, Iqbal R, Larsen S (2017) The complexity and cost of vaccine manufacturing - an overview. Vaccine 35(33):4064–4071. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2017.06.003
DiMasi JA, Grabowski HG, Hansen RW (2016) Innovation in the pharmaceutical industry: new estimates of R&D costs. J Health Econ 47:20–33. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2016.01.012
Paul SM, Mytelka DS, Dunwiddie CT, Persinger CC, Munos BH, Lindborg SR, Schacht AL (2010) How to improve R&D productivity: the pharmaceutical industry's grand challenge. Nat Rev Drug Discov 9(3):203–214. https://doi.org/10.1038/nrd3078
Mestre-Ferrandiz J, Sussex J, Towse A (2012) The R&D cost of a new medicine. Office Health Econ
Moore TJ, Zhang H, Anderson G, Alexander GC (2018) Estimated costs of pivotal trials for novel therapeutic agents approved by the US Food and Drug Administration, 2015-2016. JAMA Intern Med 178(11):1451–1457. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamainternmed.2018.3931
Martin L, Hutchens M, Hawkins C, Radnov A (2017) How much do clinical trials cost? Nat Rev Drug Discov 16(6):381–382. https://doi.org/10.1038/nrd.2017.70
Basu P, Joglekar G, Rai S, Suresh P, Vernon J (2008) Analysis of manufacturing costs in pharmaceutical companies. J Pharm Innov 3(1):30–40. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12247-008-9024-4
Gyurjyan G, Thaker S, Westhues K, Zwaanstra C (2017) Rethinking pharma productivity. Pharm Med Prod
Bunnak P, Allmendinger R, Ramasamy SV, Lettieri P, Titchener-Hooker NJ (2016) Life-cycle and cost of goods assessment of fed-batch and perfusion-based manufacturing processes for mAbs. Biotechnol Prog 32(5):1324–1335. https://doi.org/10.1002/btpr.2323
Macher J, Nickerson J (2006) Pharmaceutical manufacturing research project: final benchmarking report. In: Georgetown University working paper
Garvin DA (1988) Managing quality: the strategic and competitive edge. Free Press
Macher J (2011) Business case for quality. In: Pharmaceutical quality system (ICH 10) Conference, Brussels, Belgium
Ayd S (2017) Managing the cost of non-compliance. Pharm Technol 41(11):54–57
Cullen PJ, O'Donnell CP, Fagan CC (2014) Benefits and challenges of adopting PAT for the food industry. In: O’Donnell C, Cullen P (eds) Process analytical technology for the food industry. Food engineering series. Springer, New York
Food and Drug Administration USA (2004) Guidance for industry: PAT, a framework for innovative pharmaceutical development, manufacturing, and quality assurance. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Food and Drug Administration, Center for Drug Evaluation and Research
Rosencrance S (2019) FDA’s structured knowledge (KASA) initiative. In: QRM summit, Ericeira, Portugal
Anderson M, Cassell G, Freir M, Goldman L, Honig P, Kushner F, McLellan M, McNeil B, Philbert M, Psaty B, Russell A, Sigal E (2015) Mission possible: how FDA can move at the speed of science
Su Q, Ganesh S, Moreno M, Bommireddy Y, Gonzalez M, Reklaitis GV, Nagy ZK (2019) A perspective on quality-by-control (QbC) in pharmaceutical continuous manufacturing. Comput Chem Eng 125:216–231. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compchemeng.2019.03.001
Sommeregger W, Sissolak B, Kandra K, von Stosch M, Mayer M, Striedner G (2017) Quality by control: towards model predictive control of mammalian cell culture bioprocesses. Biotechnol J 12(7):1600546. https://doi.org/10.1002/biot.201600546
Rantanen J, Khinast J (2015) The future of pharmaceutical manufacturing sciences. J Pharm Sci 104(11):3612–3638. https://doi.org/10.1002/jps.24594
Velugula-Yellela SR, Kohnhorst C, Powers DN, Trunfio N, Faustino A, Angart P, Berilla E, Faison T, Agarabi C (2018) Use of high-throughput automated microbioreactor system for production of model IgG1 in CHO cells. J Vis Exp 139:58231. https://doi.org/10.3791/58231
Bareither R, Bargh N, Oakeshott R, Watts K, Pollard D (2013) Automated disposable small scale reactor for high throughput bioprocess development: a proof of concept study. Biotechnol Bioeng 110(12):3126–3138. https://doi.org/10.1002/bit.24978
Manahan M, Nelson M, Cacciatore JJ, Weng J, Xu S, Pollard J (2019) Scale-down model qualification of ambr® 250 high-throughput mini-bioreactor system for two commercial-scale mAb processes. Biotechnol Prog 35(6):e2870. https://doi.org/10.1002/btpr.2870
Sadowski MI, Grant C, Fell TS (2016) Harnessing QbD, programming languages, and automation for reproducible biology. Trends Biotechnol 34(3):214–227. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tibtech.2015.11.006
Karlberg M, von Stosch M, Glassey J (2018) Exploiting mAb structure characteristics for a directed QbD implementation in early process development. Crit Rev Biotechnol 38(6):957–970. https://doi.org/10.1080/07388551.2017.1421899
Narayanan H, Luna MF, von Stosch M, Cruz Bournazou MN, Polotti G, Morbidelli M, Butté A, Sokolov M (2020) Bioprocessing in the digital age: the role of process models. Biotechnol J 15(1):1900172. https://doi.org/10.1002/biot.201900172
Patterson EA, Whelan MP (2017) A framework to establish credibility of computational models in biology. Prog Biophys Mol Biol 129:13–19. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pbiomolbio.2016.08.007
Thacker BH, Doebling SW, Hemez FM, Anderson MC, Pepin JE, Rodriguez EA (2004) Concepts of model verification and validation. United States
O’Connor T (2019) Perspective on the validation of computational models for establishing control strategies. In: 4th FDA/PQRI conference on advancing product quality breakout summaries, Rockville, Maryland
Chatterjee S (2019) Implementing models in pharmaceutical manufacturing: FDA perspective. In: IFPAC 2019 annual meeting - international foundation process analytical chemistry, Bethesda, Maryland
Madurawe R (2019) A regulatory perspective on advanced control strategies: including process analytic technologies and artificial intelligence. In: ISPE annual meeting and Expo, Las Vegas, Nevada
Guerra A, von Stosch M, Glassey J (2019) Toward biotherapeutic product real-time quality monitoring. Crit Rev Biotechnol 39(3):289–305. https://doi.org/10.1080/07388551.2018.1524362
Jenzsch M, Bell C, Buziol S, Kepert F, Wegele H, Hakemeyer C (2018) Trends in process analytical technology: present state in bioprocessing. In: Kiss B, Gottschalk U, Pohlscheidt M (eds) New bioprocessing strategies: development and manufacturing of recombinant antibodies and proteins. Springer, Cham, pp 211–252. https://doi.org/10.1007/10_2017_18
Long Q, Liu X, Yang Y, Li L, Harvey L, McNeil B, Bai Z (2014) The development and application of high throughput cultivation technology in bioprocess development. J Biotechnol 192:323–338. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbiotec.2014.03.028
von Stosch M, Hamelink J-M, Oliveira R (2016) Hybrid modeling as a QbD/PAT tool in process development: an industrial E. coli case study. Bioprocess Biosyst Eng 39(5):773–784. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00449-016-1557-1
Simutis R, Lübbert A (2017) Hybrid approach to state estimation for bioprocess control. Bioengineering 4(1). https://doi.org/10.3390/bioengineering4010021
O'Brien EJ, Monk JM, Palsson BO (2015) Using genome-scale models to predict biological capabilities. Cell 161(5):971–987. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cell.2015.05.019
Singh D, Lercher MJ (2020) Network reduction methods for genome-scale metabolic models. Cell Mol Life Sci 77(3):481–488. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00018-019-03383-z
Schneider G (2018) Automating drug discovery. Nat Rev Drug Discov 17(2):97–113. https://doi.org/10.1038/nrd.2017.232
Karr JR, Sanghvi JC, Macklin DN, Gutschow MV, Jacobs JM, Bolival Jr B, Assad-Garcia N, Glass JI, Covert MW (2012) A whole-cell computational model predicts phenotype from genotype. Cell 150(2):389–401. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cell.2012.05.044
Szigeti B, Roth YD, Sekar JAP, Goldberg AP, Pochiraju SC, Karr JR (2018) A blueprint for human whole-cell modeling. Curr Opin Syst Biol 7:8–15. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coisb.2017.10.005
Carrera J, Covert MW (2015) Why build whole-cell models? Trends Cell Biol 25(12):719–722. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcb.2015.09.004
Feig M, Sugita Y (2019) Whole-cell models and simulations in molecular detail. Annu Rev Cell Dev Biol 35(1):191–211. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-cellbio-100617-062542
Uhlén M, Fagerberg L, Hallström BM, Lindskog C, Oksvold P, Mardinoglu A, Sivertsson Å, Kampf C, Sjöstedt E, Asplund A, Olsson I, Edlund K, Lundberg E, Navani S, Szigyarto CA-K, Odeberg J, Djureinovic D, Takanen JO, Hober S, Alm T, Edqvist P-H, Berling H, Tegel H, Mulder J, Rockberg J, Nilsson P, Schwenk JM, Hamsten M, von Feilitzen K, Forsberg M, Persson L, Johansson F, Zwahlen M, von Heijne G, Nielsen J, Pontén F (2015) Tissue-based map of the human proteome. Science 347(6220):1260419. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1260419
Cancer Genome Atlas Research N, Weinstein JN, Collisson EA, Mills GB, KRM S, Ozenberger BA, Ellrott K, Shmulevich I, Sander C, Stuart JM (2013) The Cancer genome atlas pan-Cancer analysis project. Nat Genet 45(10):1113–1120. https://doi.org/10.1038/ng.2764
Richelle A, Von Stosch M (2020) From big data to precise understanding: the quest for meaningful information. BioProcess Int. https://bioprocessintl.com/manufacturing/information-technology/systems-biology-tools-for-big-data-in-the-biopharmaceutical-industry/
Competing Interests
All authors are or were, at the time of the study and the writing of this chapter, employees of the GSK group of companies. R.P., C.V., A.R., N.G., J.P., and S.D. report ownership of shares and/or restricted shares in GSK.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Portela, R.M.C. et al. (2020). When Is an In Silico Representation a Digital Twin? A Biopharmaceutical Industry Approach to the Digital Twin Concept. In: Herwig, C., Pörtner, R., Möller, J. (eds) Digital Twins. Advances in Biochemical Engineering/Biotechnology, vol 176. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/10_2020_138
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/10_2020_138
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-71659-2
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-71660-8
eBook Packages: Chemistry and Materials ScienceChemistry and Material Science (R0)