Description of the historical structure under analysis
The authors selected the Boyen Fortress in Giżycko, Poland (Fig. 3) to be the case study. The Fortress was built in the years 1844–1856 on the order of king Frederick William IV of Prussia, who commissioned it to be built in April 1843 and had it named after General Hermann van Boyen [58]. It is a perfectly preserved example of the Prussian school of fortification. It constituted the main link of the chain of fortifications that blocked access to the Prussian state from the east, blocking the passage between Niegocin and Kisajno lakes—as it was placed on the so-called Giżycko Isle. The Fortress was surrounded with a stone and brick wall with a length of 2303 m, resulting in an internal area of 100 ha. The Boyen Fortress played an active part in the First and Second World Wars, finding itself in the hands of the Polish Armed Forces in 1945, which then transferred it to the State Treasury in 1990. During the post-war period the Fortress was used for economic purposes. The Fortress is currently a complex of around 50 buildings and other structures which include both elements of its fortifications and the buildings located on the Fortress courtyard. It constitutes an attraction for tourists that come to Giżycko, currently housing, among other functions, a military museum. The fortress, as a part of Prussian and Polish military heritage, has been discussed at length by numerous authors, including Thorwald [59] and, separately, Bogdanowski [60, 61].
The Boyen Fortress has a plan typical of a bastion fort, comprised of an outer ring of casemated earthen and masonry Carnot walls with seven bastions and an inner courtyard with several free-standing buildings that served its garrison. The Fortress’s walls have a combined length of 2303 m, while its internal surface area is estimated at 100 ha. Six of the Fortress’s seven bastions are named: three of the four northern bastions bear the names Leopold, Ludwig and Schwert (Sword), while the three southern bastions are named Hermann, Licht and Recht. The names of the bastions are a reference to the names of General Hermann von Boyen and the elements of his coat of arms. The interior of the Fortress complex can be accessed via four gates: the Powder Gate, the Water Gate, the Kętrzyn Gate and the Giżycko Gate. Each of these gates were protected by ravelins, which are currently overgrown by vegetation and can be hard to identify within the landscape. The terrain within the Fortress’s walls was extensively remodelled so as to form a part of the defensive system of its walls. The terrain level along the walls is higher than that of the central courtyard and raised still along the outline of the walls themselves.
In total, around fifty individual structures form the Fortress, its walls excluded. The defensive structures include caponiers, observation domes, shelters, artillery battery emplacements and posterns, while infrastructural buildings include such structures like barracks buildings, a military hospital, storage buildings, granaries, a bakery, an arsenal and powder laboratory. Most infrastructural buildings are made of brick and have an elongated, rectangular plan. They are almost universally covered with gabled roofs covered with ceramic tiles. Their external finishes are primarily comprised of stone bases, veneer brick walls, and their architectural expression is typical of nineteenth-century Prussian military architecture, stressing utility and uniformity. The more distinctive architectural features of the Fortress’s buildings include arched bifore. The tallest buildings have two storeys and a cellar.
The Fortress also features several structures that do not play a strictly defensive role, but due to their intended use during wartime, share the architectural and structural characteristics of defensive structures. One example of such a structure is the wartime barracks [62]. Giżycko’s location within Poland, presented on a map of Europe, along with the Fortress’ placement relative to the town shall be presented in Fig. 3, while the layout of the Fortress itself shall be presented in Fig. 4.
Putting the Boyen Fortress to use has been a significant problem to stakeholders, who have undertaken a series of efforts in this regard over the recent years, to no effect. The authors performed a synthetic analysis of this problem of the selection of a form of use. Due to the size of the Fortress complex, it is necessary to diversify the function of the Fortress by selecting forms of use that can mutually complement each other and that will also positively affect the criteria of their selection.
Formulating the decision-making problem – definition of permissible building use alternatives
In order to build a decision-making model, the authors first defined the constraints, limitations and conditions that were characteristic of the analysed problem (Table 3).
Table 3 Limitations concerning the adaptation of the Boyen Fortress and their interpretation The conditions presented above indicate that the Boyen Fortress is a very good example for the analysis of the selection of various mutually affecting forms of use that simultaneously influence a series of criteria of their selection, as a part of a single project. This is because, among other things, the fortress is a relatively large complex that constitutes a single thematic whole. It is due to this fact alone that the adaptation of this site should be performed comprehensively and holistically, in a manner that can ensure its functioning as an independent, cohesive functional organism. In order for this to happen, the forms of use that should be included in the fortress should complement each other and be quantitatively selected so that they can positively affect both other forms of use and the individual benefits that will be gained from the adaptation.
Based on the limitations and conditions outlined in Table 3, the authors proposed variants of complementary forms of use, with an assessment of the adaptation potential of individual structures to each of these forms of use being presented in Table 4. As it can be seen from the assessment of the suitability of the structures for adaptation, each of the buildings can be assigned any of the five analysed forms of use. For instance, Fig. 5 shall present a conceptual design of the adaptation of one of the existing buildings of the Boyen Fortress to a commercial function (conference spaces) or an administrative function, thereby demonstrating that this structure can be easily adapted to different uses and as such the adaptive reuse of the buildings listed in Table 4 can be freely analysed.
Table 4 Assessment of the suitability of buildings for adaptation to a hotel, exhibition spaces, administrative spaces and sports and recreation-related functions Apart from the adaptation of existing buildings, the authors also considered the possibility of constructing additional buildings in order to supplement the analysed forms of use (Table 5). The conceptual design of a new conference and entertainment hall that could form a part of the adaptation of the Boyen Fortress has been shown in Fig. 6.
Table 5 Proposed newly designed buildings The decision-making problem in question in the analysed case study is focused on determining the percentage share of each of the complementary forms of use, with the proportions potentially forming a basis for designing the functional and utilitarian layout of the complex as a part of a possible design of the adaptation of Boyen Fortress.
Multi-criteria analysis of the decision-making problem—Results
In accordance with the proposed approach, the authors first gathered a 5-person group of experts with interdisciplinary knowledge in the fields of: architecture, economics, sociology, architectural conservation and civil engineering. They formed a purposive sample and had to possess at least fifteen years of interdisciplinary professional or academic experience in architectural conservation, gained while participating in major restoration projects with a budget of at least €1,000,000. The experts possessed detailed knowledge about the historical complex of the Boyen Fortress. Because the selection of experts is a deliberate, goal-oriented choice, their number does not need to depend on the size of the population, which in this case is difficult to assess. The count of the surveyed group is a result of the decision-maker’s subjective belief that it is representative [63].
Surveys combined with heuristic methods were used to formulate and collect expert opinions to be fed into the algorithm. To formulate their opinions, the experts first participated in a survey that was followed by a round of brainstorming intended to make pairwise comparisons. The use of brainstorming in conjunction with MCDA methods was discussed by Vorobiev et al. [64] and Belton and Stewart [65], and as a part of Delphi and MCDA-based studies, such as that of Van Schoubroeck et al. [66]. Van Schoubroeck et al. specifically used brainstorming in the first round of their Delphi study, utilising MCDA methods (Best–Worst Scaling, BWS; Hierarchical Bayes, AURORA) for the second round, an approach that bears certain similarities to the one proposed in this paper. In the proposed approach, experts were first asked to participate in a survey intended to identify impacts between system elements as a part of the enhanced DEMATEL section of the proposed method, which was followed by a brainstorming session that determined pairwise comparisons for the ANP section of the method.
For the purposes of modelling the structure of negative and positive relationships between elements (criteria and form-of-use alternatives), the experts performed a linguistic assessment of the influence between the benefit criteria, as well as between the decision variants, in addition to assessing the influence of the variants on these criteria and vice versa. The example opinion matrix for expert no. 1, based on the scale of linguistic assessments, has been presented in Table 6.
Table 6 Linguistic assessment of the intensity of mutual influence between criteria and alternatives, as well as the influence of alternatives on the criteria, according to Expert no. 1 To determine the reliability of expert ratings, their concordance was verified using Kendall’s W (Kendall’s) coefficient of concordance, accounting for the presence of tied ranks (impacts between individual model elements could have been given the same ratings) [67]. The Kendall’s W value for the expert ratings was W = 0.778, which indicates that the experts were largely concordant. The chi-squared test was also performed to test the statistical significance of the concordance indicator, which resulted in the rejection of the zero hypothesis about there being no correlation between expert ratings, with the significance level being α = 0.05. It can thus be stated that the convergence of expert opinions was not coincidental.
After determining the total impact matrix using the enhanced DEMATEL method, the authors aggregated expert assessments by calculating an average total impact matrix (Table 7) with positive and negative impacts. The authors found impacts with a value no smaller than the average for the given impact matrix as significant—in the case of positive impacts, this was at least 0.006, while in the case of negative impacts it was − 0.003 or less. The authors identified 41 significant positive and 28 significant negative impacts.
Table 7 Aggregated total impact matrix As a consequence, a structural decision-making model was built, based on the significant positive and negative impacts between criteria and alternatives that were identified. The subnetworks of positive and negative impacts have been presented in Figs. 7 and 8.
For the relationship structures presented above, the authors performed calculations associated with multi-criteria analysis using the ANP method. The authors used Super Decisions software for this purpose, as it is a digital application enabling the use of the AHP and ANP methods (https://www.superdecisions.com/index.php).
Pairwise comparisons of each of the model’s elements were performed jointly by a group of experts who had defined the impacts between alternatives and criteria. The final results of the analysis have been shown in Table 8. The presentation includes ratings given to alternatives in the context of their positive and negative impact, in addition to synthetic results calculated using an additive formula assuming a weight of 0.5 for positive and 0.5 for negative impacts. The proportion between the weights of positive and negative impacts can (depending on the decision-maker’s preferences) be given different values.
Table 8 Final analysis results Discussion
Exhibition spaces (V2) were shown to be the most beneficial. This alternative received the highest rating for positive impacts and the lowest rating for negative impacts. According to synthetic results, alternative 1 (hotel spaces) ranked second, due to its low rating for positive impacts, but a beneficially low rating in negative impacts. Alternative 3 (commercial spaces), was ranked the lowest, at fifth place. In the case of alternative 4 (administrative spaces) it had the highest negative impacts and the second-highest positive impacts, earning it fourth place via synthetic analysis. Alternative 5 (sports and recreation) scored average ratings for both positive and negative impacts, which earned it third place in the ranking.
Based on the final results obtained using the additive formula, the percentage share of each alternative in the floor area of the structure under analysis was defined. The highest share (ca. 55%) of the adapted floor area should be assigned for use as exhibition spaces, which appears justified from the standpoint of benefits to cultural heritage. Hotel spaces and sports and recreation should be assigned ca. 18% of floor area each. These forms of use can complement the primary function, acting as a supplementary attraction and providing accommodations. Administrative spaces are necessary for the complex’s proper functioning and managing the operations of the remaining four areas of activity. According to the analysis, this function should not occupy more than 6% of the total floor area of the complex. The smallest share of floor area should be assigned to commercial spaces (ca. 4%) so as not to disrupt the character of the site, while also providing space for small stores and accompanying services.
A sensitivity analysis was performed for the model. Figure 9 shall present how the final results for each alternative changed depending on variations in weight for positive impacts. It can be observed that increases in weight corresponded with a more beneficial rating for exhibition spaces and, to lesser degree, for administrative spaces. The ratings for hotel and sports and recreation functions decreased. The rating for the commercial function remained at a relatively stable level. Exhibition spaces did not change their first place in the ranking regardless of the weight for positive impacts. Changes could be observed for the remaining alternatives. For instance, for a weight above 0.8, administrative spaces moved to second place, outranking hotel spaces and sports and recreation, while the dominance of exhibition spaces become even more profound.
A sensitivity analysis was also performed to investigate the effect of changing the weights of individual criteria on the results. It demonstrated that the second alternative clearly dominated over the other alternatives, whose positions varied, each time. The combined share of the remaining alternatives ranged between 0.269 and 0.57. Figure 10 shall present the changes in alternative ratings in the context of positive impacts with weight variations for criterion C1 economic benefits. Changes in the weight for this criterion showed the greatest variation in the ranking of the second alternative. This rating ranged between 0.430 for a criterion weight of 1 and 0.678 for a criterion weight of zero. Despite this observation, this alternative maintained clear superiority over the remaining alternatives in each case. Figure 11 shall demonstrate the dependency between the ratings of each alternative in the context of negative impacts while accounting for changes in the weight of criterion C1 economic benefits.
The information obtained by the authors that has been presented above can be useful to a decision-maker during the stage of the initial feasibility study of a project of the adaptation of a complex of buildings to new, complementary forms of use. It can be argued that the introduction of complementary forms of use can improve the odds of a heritage complex’s long-term survival. The better the configuration of these forms of use, the better these odds can be. From an architectural standpoint, selecting an optimal mixture of forms of use, while assigning them to functionally and spatially suitable buildings, can further aid in preserving heritage, as it can potentially lead to a lower degree of interference with its substance.
In the literature we can find numerous proposals of decision-making models and methods of performing multi-criteria analysis with the aim of supporting decision-making in terms of adaptation work performed on historical buildings. However, these approaches are usually limited to the selection of a single form of use for the analysed building. The selection of several complementary uses for a building or for an entire complex of buildings makes it necessary to consider the interdependencies between these forms of use in the analysed decision-making problem, which was not considered in the methods that have so far been developed. In addition, the vast majority of these methods do not take into account the interdependencies between decision-making criteria (which exist in the real world), being limited to a hierarchical structure of the model of the decision-making problems.
The set of criteria that has been proposed is concordant with the consensus on the steps to be followed to ensure sustainable development, as indicated by Throsby [68].
The proposal can be considered universal in how it originally enhances and combines established methods, improving upon them and making their results more reliable and intuitive. However, it must be noted that while the structure is universal, the system elements analysed in the paper are specific to the case presented. This is due to the need to individually select criteria and formulate alternatives for every specific case to which the method is applied.