Abstract
The theoretical foundations for the risk analysis and assessment and the security management of chemical plants are elaborated. Logical graphical, logical, and probabilistic models for the analysis and assessment of the risk of accident occurrence for different types of chemically hazardous objects are proposed. The classification of the problems of the security management of chemical plants is conducted and production models for the operative security management of chemica technology systems intended to prevent the appearance of failures and emergencies in the units of chemical plants are developed. Examples of the practical application of the models and methods for the analysis of the occupational hazards, risk assessment, and security management of chemical and oil refining plants are presented.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Kafarov, V.V., Metody kibernetiki v khimii i khimicheskoi tekhnologii (Cybernetics Methods in Chemistry and Chemical Engineering), Moscow: Khimiya, 1985.
Kafarov, V.V, and Dorokhov, I.N., Sistemnyi analizprotsessov khimicheskoi tekhnologii. Osnovy strategii (System Analysis of Chemical Engineering Processes. Foundations of Strategies), Moscow: Nauka, 1976.
Kafarov, V.V., Perov, V.L., and Meshalkin, V.P., Printsipy matematicheskogo modelirovaniya khimiko-tekhnologicheskikh sistem (Vvedenie v sistemotekhniku khimicheskikh proizvodstv) (Principles of Mathematical Simulation of Chemical Engineering Systems (Introduction into Systems Engineering of Chemical Industry)), Moscow: Khimiya, 1974.
Kafarov, V.V., Meshalkin, V.P., Grun, G., et al., Obespechenie i metody optimizatsii nadezhnosti khimicheskikh i neftepererabatyvayushchikh proizdodstv (Support and Methods for Reliability Optimization of Chemical and Oil Processing Industries), Moscow: Khimiya, 1987.
Kuz’min, I.I., Makhutov, N.A., and Khetagurov, S.V., Bezopasnost’ i pisk: ekologo-ekonomicheskie aspekty (Safety and Risk: Ecology and Economical Aspects), St.Petersburg: Izd-vo Sankt-Peterburgskogo Universiteta Ekonomiki i Finansov, 1997.
Porfir’ey B.N., Environmental Examination and Technology’s Risk, in Itogi nauki i tekhniki. Okhrana prirody i vosproizvodstvo prirodnykh resursov (Science and Technical Results. Nature Protection and Reproduction of Natural Resources), Moscow: VINITI, 1990, vol. 27, p. 122.
An Engineer’s View of Human Error. Institution of Chemical Engineers, Keltz, T., Ed., 1991.
Henley, E.J. and Kumamoto, H., Nadezhnost’ tekhnicheskikh sistem i otsenka riska (Reliability Engineering and Risk Assessment), Moscow: Mashinostroenie, 1984; Englewood Cliffs: Prentice Hall, 1981.
Marshall, V.C., Major Chemical Hazards, Chichester: Ellis Horwood, 1987.
Egorov, A.F. and Savitskaya, T.V., Upravlenie bezopasnost’yu khimicheskikh proizvodstv na osnove novykh informatsionnykh tekhnologii (Safety Control for Chemical Industry by New Information Technologies), Moscow: Khimiya, KolosS, 2004.
Egorov, A.F., Sistemnyi podkhod k resheniyu problemy bezopasnosti khimicheskikh proizvodstv. Khimicheskie tekhnologii (System Approach to Solve the Safety Problem of Chemical Industry. Chemical Technologies), Moscow: RKhTU im. D.I. Mendeleeva, 2003, p. 35.
Egorov, A.F., Savitskaya, T.V., and Filippova, G.V., Sovremennoe sostoyanie v oblasti analiza, otsenki i upravleniya riskom pri chrezvychainykh situatsiyakh tekhnogennogo kharaktera, svyazannykh s avariyami na promyshlennykh ob“ektakh (Modern State in Analysis, Estimation and Risk Control under Technological Alarm Conditions Caused by the Accidents at Industrial Objects), Moscow: VINITI, 2002, no. 1.
Egorov, A.F. and Savitskaya, T.V., System Analysis, Risk Assessment and Safety Control in Chemical and Nearby Branches of Industry, Khim. Tekhnol., 2002, no. 10, p. 14.
Egorov, A.F., Savitskaya, T.V., and Makarova, A.S., Models Development for Risk Assessment for Chemical Plants, Khim. Promyshlennost’, 1998, no. 7, p. 55.
Egorov, A.F., Savitskaya, T.V., Varnavskii, E.V., et al., Methods for Risk Analysis and Assessment for Industrial Objects, Bezopasnost Zhiznedeyatel’nosti, 2007, no. 7, p. 27.
Egorov, A.F., Savitskaya, T.V., Mikhailova, P.G., et al., Models for Estimating the Accidental risks for Equipment with Dangerous Chemical Compounds. Part 1. Theoretical Foundations, Bezopasnost Tekhnosfere, 2008, no. 5, p. 4.
Savitskaya, T.V. and Egorov, A.F., Safety Control for Chemical Production by Means of Artificial Intelligence, Tez. dokl. VI Mezhdunar. nauch. konf. Metody kibernetiki khimiko-tekhnologicheskikh protsessov (Proc. VI Int. Sci. Conf. Cybernetics Methods for Chemical Technology Processes), Moscow: RKhTU im. D.I. Mendeleeva, 2004, p. 66.
Egorov, A.F., Savitskaya, T.V., and Mikhailova, P.G., Models and Methods to Solve the Safety Problems of Operating Control for Non-Stop Chemical Engineering Systems. Part 1. Control under Uncertainty, Problemy Upravleniya, 2005, no. 6, p. 50.
Egorov, A.F., Savitskaya, T.V., and Mikhailova, P.G., Models and Methods to Solve the Safety Problems of Operating Control for Non-Stop Chemical Engineering Systems. Part 2. Productional Models for Knowledge Representation in Expert Support Systems for Safety Operation Control of Continuous Chemical Engineering Systems, Problemy Upravleniya, 2006, no. 3, p. 25.
Savitskaya, T.V., System Analysis and Safety Control for Chemical Manufacturing by Using the New Information Technologies, Doctoral Sci. (Eng.) Dissertation, Moscow: RKhTU im. D.I. Mendeleeva, 2004.
Egorov, A.F., Savitskaya, T.V., and Mikhailova, P.G., Package of Software Tools for Analyzing the Risk and Accident Aftermaths at Chemically Dangerous Objects, Programmnye Produkty Sist., 2008, no. 4, p. 138.
Egorov, A.F., Savitskaya, T.V., Koshkina, M.G., et al., Software Tools for Analyzing the Risk and Accident Aftermaths at Chemically Dangerous Objects, Problemy Okruzhayushchei Sredy i Prirodnykh Resursov, 2008, no. 4, p. 29.
Vladimirov, V.A., Izmalkov, V.I., and Izmalkov, A.V., Otsenka riska i upravlenie tekhnogennoi bezopasnost’yu (Risk Assessment and Anthropogenic Safety Control), Moscow: FID “Delovoi ekspress"”, 2002.
Safonov, V.S., Odishariya, G.E., and Shvyryaev, A.A., Otraslevoe rukovodstvo po analizu i upravleniyu riskom, svyazannym s tekhnogennym vozdeistviem na cheloveka i okruzhayushchuyu ego sredy pri sooruzhenii i ekspluatatsii ob“ektov dobychi, transporta, khraneniya ipererabotky uglevodorodnogo syr’ya s tsel’yu povysheniya ikh nadezhnosti i bezopasnosti (Branch Standard on Analyzing and Control the Risk Related to Anthropogenic Impact onto Human and Environment That Take Place When the Objects for Carbon Raw Materials Extraction, Transport, Storage and Processing are Built and Exploited Aiming to Increase the Reliability and Safety), Moscow: RAO Gazprom, 1996.
Akimov, V.A., Lesnykh, V.V., and Radaev, N.N., Osnovy analiza i upravleniya riskom v prirodnoi i tekhnogennoi sferakh (Foundation of Risk Analysis and Control in Nature and Anthropogenic Fields), Moscow: Delovoi Ekspress, 2004.
Gorskii, V.G., Kurochkin, V.K., Motkin, G.A., et al., Nauchno-metodicheskie aspekty analiza avariinogo riska (Methodological Aspects of Accidental Risk Analysis), Moscow: Ekologiya i Informatika, 2002.
Shvetsova-Shilovskaya, T.N., Gorskii, V.G., Tereshchenko, G.F., et al., Chastotnyi analiz (Frequency Analysis), Smolensk: Oikumena, 2004.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Original Russian Text © A.F. Egorov, T.V. Savitskaya, 2010, published in Teoreticheskie Osnovy Khimicheskoi Tekhnologii, 2010, Vol. 44, No. 3, pp. 341–353.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Egorov, A.F., Savitskaya, T.V. Methods and models for the risk analysis and security management of chemical plants. Theor Found Chem Eng 44, 326–338 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0040579510030127
Received:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S0040579510030127