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Heinrich Revisited: a New Data-Driven Examination of the Safety Pyramid

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Abstract

Although researchers have struggled to replicate Heinrich’s safety triangle findings (Heinrich 1931) for various reasons (e.g., no access to his original database and it is unclear if the database was of a single establishment/operation or for an entire industry), the occupational safety community has continued to adopt and expand the applications of this theory (e.g., McSween 2003). Within the mining industry, the potential exists for operations and companies to use concepts from the safety triangle as a way to inform or challenge the practices employed within their health and safety management systems (HSMS) to prevent incidents (Backlund 2016). This paper considers data obtained from the Mine Safety and Health Administration’s databases and demonstrates the validity of applying the safety triangle theory at the mine level. The results support the use of this theory and demonstrate that lower severity incidents can predict fatalities in a subsequent year where significant nuances and caveats to applying the theory are identified and discussed.

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Notes

  1. The total and average days lost categories were arrived at through an iterative approach.

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Acknowledgments

The authors thank Jan Wachter, Jim Harris, and Rebecca Olsavsky for constructive and helpful comments.

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Correspondence to Susan M. Moore.

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The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

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The findings and conclusions in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official position of the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH), Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. In addition, citations to websites external to NIOSH do not constitute NIOSH endorsement of the sponsoring organizations or their programs or products. Furthermore, NIOSH is not responsible for the content of these websites. All web addresses referenced in this document were accessible as of the publication date.

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Moore, S.M., Yorio, P.L., Haas, E.J. et al. Heinrich Revisited: a New Data-Driven Examination of the Safety Pyramid. Mining, Metallurgy & Exploration 37, 1857–1863 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s42461-020-00263-0

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