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Analysing the construction of the environmental sustainability index 2005

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Abstract

The construction of the environmental sustainability index 2005 is investigated. The available data for the 146 countries that participated in the creation of the index are employed for establishing the degree of accuracy with which the reported (a) score and (b) ranking of each participating country, as well as its (c) clustering with the other participating countries, can be reproduced. The original methodologies used for the creation of the environmental sustainability index are replicated, with complementary parametric and nonparametric techniques implemented whenever either the original methodology has not been sufficiently specified in the relevant literature, or the replicated methodology is not found adequately accurate. Leave-one-out and tenfold cross-validation are, subsequently, performed on the set of participating countries for establishing whether (and to what degree of accuracy) the score, ranking and clustering of a novel country can be evaluated/predicted. The collective results demonstrate that a uniform means of constructing the environmental sustainability index cannot be established: an inability to accurately replicate/predict the scores is observed, with the resulting deviations causing sometimes significant departures from the reported rankings; although the original seven clusters cannot be generated, the clustering of the participating countries is found relatively consistent. A possible cause of the source of the observed deviations is proposed, namely the use of only a subset of the 146 countries for constructing the environmental sustainability index 2005.

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Notes

  1. According to the convention introduced for the ESI (Esty et al., 2005: 2), the term “country” covers not only countries per se, but also economically/administratively independent regions and territories.

  2. For the creation of which the distance from a theoretical absolute level of ES has been used as a general guide.

  3. The data correspond to pertinent parameters of ES, which ideally extend across the three ES pillars of environment, society and economy (Adams 2006; Cato 2009).

  4. in the former case calculated by adding the indicator/component values per country and creating a single-input polynomial.

  5. Even when the predictions involving extrapolation were not taken onto account.

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Acknowledgments

The author wishes to thank (a) her colleagues at the Sustainable Nuclear Energy Centre (SNEC), Chalmers University of Technology, for the fika meetings during the author’s visit in September–December 2013, which—in a roundabout way—led to the idea behind this piece of research; (b) her fellow researchers and scientists for their insightful questions during the conference presentations which led to the further development of this piece of research, and (c) the anonymous reviewers for their constructive as well as instructive comments that aided significantly in the fine-tuning of this publication.

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Tambouratzis, T. Analysing the construction of the environmental sustainability index 2005. Int. J. Environ. Sci. Technol. 13, 2817–2836 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13762-016-1108-y

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