Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Prognostic Factors in Patients with Advanced HER2-Positive Gastric Cancer Treated with Trastuzumab-Based Chemotherapy: a Cohort Study

  • Original Research
  • Published:
Journal of Gastrointestinal Cancer Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Purpose

Prognostic factors for the survival of patients with advanced HER2-positive gastric cancer treated with trastuzumab-based chemotherapy remain controversial. The aim of this study was to identify the clinical factors that predict prognosis in patients with advanced HER2-positive gastric cancer.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of HER2-positive gastric cancer patients treated with trastuzumab-based chemotherapy at our institution. Clinical features and laboratory test results that considered prognostic factors were re-examined. Overall survival (OS) was estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method. Univariate analysis was performed with the log-rank test and multivariate analysis was performed using Cox’s proportional hazard regression model.

Results

A total of 133 patients with advanced HER2-positive gastric cancer were enrolled. The median OS in this cohort was 18.7 months. Four prognostic factors: visceral metastasis (lung or liver), levels of hemoglobin (Hb) (< 11.6 g/dl), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) (> 222 mg/dl), and C-reactive protein (CRP) (> 0.14 mg/dl), were identified as independent prognostic factors. The patients were placed into three groups according to their number of prognostic factors. These included low (0, 1), moderate (2, 3), and high (4) risk factors. The OS was separated into three categories with a median OS of 32.0, 18.7, and 10.1 months, respectively. Compared to the low-risk group, hazard ratios for the moderate- and high-risk groups were 1.75 and 3.49, respectively.

Conclusion

Visceral metastasis and abnormal Hb, LDH, and CRP levels were associated with unfavorable OS. These findings may be beneficial for the management of advanced HER2-positive gastric cancer treated with trastuzumab-based chemotherapy.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3

Similar content being viewed by others

Availability of Data and Materials

The datasets used and analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

Abbreviations

ADCC:

Antibody-dependent cell cytotoxicity

ALB:

Albumin

ALP:

Alkaline phosphatase

CA:

Carbohydrate antigen

CEA:

Carcinoembriogenic antigen

CIN:

Chromosomal instability

CRP:

C-reactive protein

EBV:

Epstein-Barr virus

ECF:

Epirubicin, cispaltin, 5-fluorouracil

ECOG:

Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group

FDG-PET:

Fluorodeoxyglucose positron-emission tomography

FISH:

Fluorescent in situ hybridization

FP:

Fluorouracil + cisplatin

GPS:

Glasgow Prognostic Score

HB:

Hemoglobin

HER2:

Human epidermal growth factor receptor 2

HR:

Hazard ratio

IHS:

Immunohistochemistry scoring

JCOG:

Japan Clinical Oncology Group

LDH:

Lactate dehydrogenase

MSI:

Microsatellite instability

OS:

Overall survival

PS:

Performance status

RMH:

Royal Marsden Hospital

SOX:

S-1 (tegafur/gimeracil/oteracil) + oxaliplatin

TCGA:

The Cancer Genome Atlas

VEGF:

Vascular endothelial growth factor

XP:

Capecitabine + cisplatin.

References

  1. Ferlay J, Soerjomataram I, Dikshit R, Eser S, Mathers C, Rebelo M, et al. Cancer incidence and mortality worldwide: sources, methods, and major patterns in GLOBOCAN 2012. Int J Cancer. 2015;136:E359–86. https://doi.org/10.1002/ijc.29210 (Epub 2014 Oct 9).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  2. Crew KD, Neugut AI. Epidemiology of upper gastrointestinal malignancies. Semin in Oncol. 2004;31:450–64. https://doi.org/10.1053/j.seminoncol.2004.04.021.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Chau l, Norman AR, Cunningham D, Waters JS, Oates J, Ross PJ. Multivariate prognostic factor analysis in locally advanced and metastatic esophago-gastric cancer—pooled analysis from three multicenter, randomized, controlled trials using individual patient data. J Clin Oncol. 2004;22:2395–403. https://doi.org/10.1200/JCO.2004.08.154.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Crumley AB, McMillan DC, McKernan M, McDonald AC, Stuart RC. Evaluation of an inflammation-based prognostic score in patients with inoperable gastro-oesophageal cancer. Br J Cancer. 2006;94:637–41. https://doi.org/10.1038/sj.bjc.6602998.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  5. Takahari D, Mizusawa J, Koizumi W, Hyodo I, Boku N. Validation of the JCOG prognostic index in advanced gastric cancer using individual patient data from the SPIRITS and G-SOX trials. Gastric Cancer. 2017;20:757–63. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10120-017-0702-0.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  6. Boku N. HER2-positive gastric cancer. Gastric Cancer. 2014;17:1–12. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10120-013-0252-z.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  7. Matsusaka S, Nashimoto A, Nishikawa K, Miki A, Miwa H, Yamaguchi K, et al. Clinicopathological factors associated with HER2 status in gastric cancer: results from a prospective multicenter observational cohort study in a Japanese population (JFMC44-1101). Gastric Cancer. 2016;19:839–51. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10120-015-0518-8.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  8. Kurokawa Y, Matsuura N, Kimura Y, Adachi S, Fujita J, Imamura H, et al. Multicenter large-scale study of prognostic impact of HER2 expression in patients with resectable gastric cancer. Gastric Cancer. 2015;18:691–7. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10120-014-0430-7.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  9. Terashima M, Kitada K, Ochiai A, Ichikawa W, Kurahashi I, Sakuramoto S, et al. Impact of expression of human epidermal growth factor receptors EGFR and ERBB2 on survival in stage II/III gastric cancer. Clin Cancer Res. 2012;18:5992–6000. https://doi.org/10.1158/1078-0432.CCR-12-1318.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  10. Bang YJ, Cutsem EV, Feyereislova A, Chun HC, Shen L, Sawaki A, et al. Trastuzumab in combination with chemotherapy versus chemotherapy alone for treatment of HER2-positive advanced gastric or gastro-oesophageal junction cancer (ToGA): a phase 3, open-label, randomized controlled trial. Lancet. 2010;376:687–97. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(10)61121-X.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  11. Koizumi W, Narahara H, Hara T, Takagane A, Akiya T, Takagi M, et al. S-2 plus cisplatin versus S-1 alone for first-line treatment of advanced gastric cancer (SPIRITS trial): a phase III trial. Lancet Oncol. 2008;9:215–21. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1470-2045(08)70035-4.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  12. Templeton AJ, McNamara MG, Seruga B, Vera-Badillo FE, Aneja P, Ocana A, et al. Prognostic role of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in solid tumors: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J Natl Cancer Inst. 2014;106:dju 124. https://doi.org/10.1093/jnci/dju124

  13. Yamanaka T, Matsumoto S, Teramukai S, Ishiwata R, Nagai Y, Fukushima M. The baseline ratio of neutrophils to lymphocytes is associated with patient prognosis in advanced gastric cancer. Oncology. 2007;73:215–20. https://doi.org/10.1159/000127412.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  14. Chen L, Zuo Y, Zhu L, Zhang Y, Li S, Ma F, et al. Peripheral venous blood neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio predicts survival in patients with advanced gastric cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Onco Targets and Ther. 2017;10:2569–80. https://doi.org/10.2147/OTT.S134716.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Lee J, Lim T, Uhm JE, Park KW, Park SH, Lee SC, et al. Prognostic model to predict survival following first-line chemotherapy in patients with metastatic gastric adenocarcinoma. Ann Oncol. 2007;18:886–91. https://doi.org/10.1093/annonc/mdl501.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  16. Koo DH, Ryoo B-Y, Kim HJ, Ryu M-H, Lee S-S, Moon J-H, et al. A prognostic model in patients who receive chemotherapy for metastatic or recurrent gastric cancer: validation and comparison with previous models. Cancer Chemother Pharmacol. 2011;68:913–21. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00280-011-1561-8.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  17. Takahari D, Boku N, Mizusawa J, Takashima A, Yamada Y, Yoshino T, et al. Determination of prognostic factors in Japanese patients with advanced gastric cancer using the data from a randomized controlled trial, Japan clinical oncology group 9912. Oncologist. 2014;19:358–66. https://doi.org/10.1634/theoncologist.2013-0306.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  18. Wang Q, Yang Y, Zhang Y-P, Zou Z, Qian X, Liu B, et al. Prognostic value of carbohydrate tumor markers and inflammation-based markers in metastatic or recurrent gastric cancer. Med Oncol. 2014;31:289. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12032-014-0289-9.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  19. Hofmann M, Stoss O, Shi D, Buttner R, Vijver M, Kim W, et al. Assessment of a HER2 scoring system for gastric cancer: results from a validation study. Histopathology. 2008;52:797–805. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2559.2008.03028.x.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  20. Akaike H. Information theory and the maximum likelihood principle. In: Petrov BN, Csaki F, editors. 2nd International Symposium on Information Theory. Budapest: Akademiai Ki à do, Budapest. 1973;267–81.

  21. Forrest LM, McMillan DC, McArdle CS, Angerson WJ, Dunlop DJ. Evaluation of cumulative prognostic scores based on the systemic inflammatory response in patients with inoperable non-small-cell lung cancer. Br J Cancer. 2003;89:1028–30. https://doi.org/10.1038/sj.bjc.6601242.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  22. Al-Shaiba R, McMillan DC, Angerson WJ, Leen E, McArdle CS, Horgan P. The relationship between hypoalbuminaemia, tumour volume and the systemic inflammatory response in patients with colorectal liver metastases. Br J Cancer. 2004;91:205–7. https://doi.org/10.1038/sj.bjc.6601886.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  23. Hasegawa S, Yoshikawa T, Cho H, Tsuburaya A, Kobayashi O. Is adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction different between Japan and Western countries? The incidence and clinicopathological features at a Japanese high-volume cancer center. World J Surg. 2009;33:95–103. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00268-008-9740-4.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  24. Cancer Genome Atlas Research Network. Comprehensive molecular characterization of gastric adenocarcinoma. Nature. 2014;513:202–9. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature13480.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  25. Hironaka S, Ueda S, Yasui H, Nishina T, Tsuda M, Tsumura T, et al. Randomized, Open-Label, Phase III Study. Comparing irinotecan with paclitaxel in patients with advanced gastric cancer without severe peritoneal metastasis after failure of prior combination chemotherapy using fluoropyrimidine plus platinum: WJOG 4007 Trial. J Clin Oncol. 2013;31:4438–44. https://doi.org/10.1200/JCO.2012.48.5805

  26. Takashima A, Iizumi S, Boku N. Survival after failure of first-line chemotherapy in advanced gastric cancer patients: differences between Japan and the rest of the world. Jpn J Clin Oncol. 2017;47:583–9. https://doi.org/10.1093/jjco/hyx044.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  27. Sawaki A, Yamada Y, Yamaguchi K, Nishina T, Doi T, Satoh T, et al. Regional differences in advanced gastric cancer: exploratory analyses of the AVAGAST placebo arm. Gastric Cancer. 2018;21:429–38. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10120-017-0773-y

  28. Sasaki K, Morioka D, Conci S, Margonis GA, Sawada Y, Ruzzenente A, et al. The Tumor Burden Score: a new “metro-ticket” prognostic tool for colorectal liver metastases based on tumor size and number of tumors. Ann Surg. 2018;267:132–41. https://doi.org/10.1097/SLA.0000000000002064.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  29. Folkman J. What is the evidence that tumors are angiogenesis dependent? J Natl Cancer Inst. 1990;82:4–6. https://doi.org/10.1093/jnci/82.1.4.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  30. Tumeh PC, Hellmann MD, Hamid O, Tsai KK, Loo KL, Gubens MA, et al. Liver metastasis and treatment outcome with anti-PD-1 monoclonal antibody in patients with melanoma and NSCLC. Cancer Immunol Res. 2017;5:417–24. https://doi.org/10.1158/2326-6066.CIR-16-0325.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  31. Jain RK. Normalizing tumor microenvironment to treat cancer: bench to bedside to biomarkers. J Clin Oncol. 2013;31:2205–18. https://doi.org/10.1200/JCO.2012.46.3653.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  32. Pascale RM, Calvisi DF, Simile MM, Feo CF, Feo F. The Warburg effect 97 years after its discovery. Cancers. 2020;12:2819. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers12102819.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  33. Novelli S, Briones J, Flotats A, Sierra J. PET/CT assessment of follicular lymphoma and high-grade B cell lymphoma-good correlation with clinical and histological features at diagnosis. Adv Clin Exp Med. 2015;24:325–30. https://doi.org/10.17219/acem/31804.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  34. Lindau D, Gielen P, Kroesen M, Wesseling P, Adema GJ. The immunosuppressive tumour network: myeloid-derived suppressor cells, regulatory T cells and natural killer T cells. Immunology. 2013;138:105–15. https://doi.org/10.1111/imm.12036.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  35. Clynes RA, Towers TL, Presta LG, Ravetch JV. Inhibitory Fc receptors modulate in vivo cytotoxicity against tumor targets. Nat Med. 2000;6:443–6. https://doi.org/10.1038/74704.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

We would like to thank Editage (www.editage.com) for the English language editing.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

SM and TW wrote the manuscript. SM and TM collected the data from the medical records. NI contributed to the statistical analysis. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Takeru Wakatsuki.

Ethics declarations

Ethics Approval and Consent to Participate

This study was approved by the Cancer Institute Hospital of the Japanese Foundation for Cancer Research Institutional Review Board (2017-1044). The study followed the Declaration of Helsinki by the World Medical Association. Written informed consent was obtained from all study participants.

Consent for Publication

Not applicable

Conflict of Interest

Shoko Marshall, Takeru Wakatsuki, Tomohiro Matsushima, Naoki Ishizuka, Izuma Nakayama, Hiroki Osumi, Mariko Ogura, Takashi Ichimura, Keisho Chin declare no competing interests. Daisuke Takahari reports lecture-related fees from Taiho, Eli Lilly, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Ono, and Chugai outside the submitted work. Eiji Shinozaki reports lecture-related fees from Chugai outside the submitted work. Kensei Yamaguchi reports legal fees from Chugai outside the submitted work.

Additional information

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Marshall, S., Wakatsuki, T., Takahari, D. et al. Prognostic Factors in Patients with Advanced HER2-Positive Gastric Cancer Treated with Trastuzumab-Based Chemotherapy: a Cohort Study. J Gastrointest Canc 54, 475–484 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12029-022-00815-1

Download citation

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12029-022-00815-1

Keywords

Navigation