Abstract
This study quantifies the impact of financial inclusion and export diversification in attaining the target of green growth for SAARC economies during the period 2000 to 2019. For the analysis purpose, this study employed second-generation econometric techniques that deal with heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence issues. To this end, CUP-FM and CUP-BC are used to investigate the long-run dynamic equilibrium relationship among the variables of interest. The outcomes show that financial inclusion and institutional quality are eco-friendly variables and play a vital role in attaining green growth. In contrast, export diversification and FDI are inversely related with green growth in SAARC economies. Furthermore, a unidirectional causality running from financial inclusion to green growth and financial inclusion to export diversification is observed. On the basis of investigated outcomes, this research suggests essential policy recommendations to attain green growth.
Similar content being viewed by others
Data availability
The datasets used in the current study are available in the World Bank repository (https://data.worldbank.org/ indicator).
Notes
United Nation Development Program.
United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific.
Bangladesh, Pakistan, India, Sri Lanka, Bhutan, and Maldives.
References
Adeel-Farooq RM, Khan J, Nawaz A, Akram K (2020) Governance and FDI in selected SAARC economies. Pakistan Journal of Social Sciences (PJSS), 40(3).
Aditya A, Acharyya R (2013) Export diversification, composition, and economic growth: Evidence from cross-country analysis. J Int Trade Econ Dev 22(7):959–992
Ahmed Z, Zhang B, Cary M (2021) Linking economic globalization, economic growth, financial development, and ecological footprint: Evidence from symmetric and asymmetric ARDL. Ecol Indic 121:107060
Ahmed H, Hamid N (2014) Patterns of export diversification: evidence from Pakistan. Lah J Eco 19:307–326. https://doi.org/10.35536/lje.2014.v19.isp.a13
Akoto RK, Adjasi C (2020) Does financial development promote export diversification in Sub-Saharan Africa? J Econ Res (JER) 25(2):155–178
Ali N, Fatima K, Ahmed J (2019) Impact of financial inclusion on economic growth in Pakistan Journal of Managerial sciences 13(3).
Al-Marhubi F (2000) Export diversification and growth: an empirical investigation. Appl Econ Lett 7(9):559–562
Alper A, Oguz O (2016) The role of renewable energy consumption in economic growth: Evidence from asymmetric causality. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 60:953–959. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2016.01.123
Amurgo-Pacheco A, Pierola MD (2008) Patterns of export diversification in developing countries: intensive and extensive margins. Poicy Research Working Papers(4473). https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/6447/wps4473.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y. Accessed 03/04/2021
Angadi VB (2003) Financial infrastructure and economic development: theory, evidence and experience. Reserve Bank of India Occasional Papers 24(1/2):191–223
Apergis N, Can M, Gozgor G, Lau CK (2018) Effects of export concentration on CO2 emissions in developed countries: an empirical analysis. EnvironSci Pollut Res. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-018-1634-x
Arip MA, Yee LS, Karim BA (2010) Export diversification and economic growth in Malaysia. MPRA, Article 20588. https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/20588/. Accessed 3/4/2021
Ayamba EC, Haibo C, Ibn Musah A-A, Ruth A, Osei-Agyemang A (2019) An empirical model on the impact of foreign direct investment on China’s environmental pollution: analysis based on simultaneous equations. Environ Sci Pollut Res 26(16):16239–16248
Azam M, Ahmed AM (2015) Role of human capital and foreign direct investment in promoting economic growth. Int J Soc Econ 42(2):98–111. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJSE-05-2014-0092
Babajide AA, Adegboye FB, Omankhanlen AE (2015) Financial inclusion and economic growth in Nigeria. Int J Econ Financ Issues 5(3):629–637
Bábosik M (2020) Transition to “Greener Growth” in Central Asia. Perspectives, 106
Bagheri M, Guevara Z, Mohammad Alikarami Kennedy CA, Doluweera G (2018) Green growth planning: a multi-factor energy input-output analysis of the Canadian economy Energy Economics. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2018.07.015
Bai J, Kao C, Ng S (2009) Panel cointegration with global stochastic trends. J Econom 149(1):82–99
Breitung J, Pesaran MH (2008) Unit roots and cointegration in panels. In The econometrics of panel data (pp. 279–322). Springer
Breusch TS, Pagan AR (1980) The Lagrange multiplier test and its applications to model specification in econometrics. Rev Econ Stud 47(1):239–253
Chakravarty SR, Pal R (2013) Financial inclusion in India: An axiomatic approach. J Policy Model 35(5):813–837
Chishti MZ, Ullah S, Ozturk I, Usman A (2020) Examining the asymmetric effects of globalization and tourism on pollution emissions in South Asia. Environ Sci Pollut Res 27(22):27721–27737
Cole MA, Elliott RJ (2003) Determining the trade–environment composition effect: the role of capital, labor and environmental regulations. J Environ Econ Manag 46(3):363–383
Demir F, Dahi OS (2011) Asymmetric effects of financial development on South-South and South-North trade: Panel data evidence from emerging markets. J Dev Econ 94(1):139–149
Demirguc-Kunt A, Klapper L, Randall D (2014) Islamic finance and financial inclusion: measuring use of and demand for formal financial services among Muslim adults. Rev Mid East Eco Fin 10(2):177–218
Demirgüç-Kunt A, Klapper LF, Singer D, Van Oudheusden P (2015) The global findex database 2014: Measuring financial inclusion around the world. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper(7255)
Dumitrescu E-I, Hurlin C (2012) Testing for Granger non-causality in heterogeneous panels. Econ Model 29(4):1450–1460
Elamer AA, Ntim CG, Abdou HA (2020) Islamic governance, national governance, and bank risk management and disclosure in MENA countries. Bus Soc 59(5):914–955
Elodie M (2020) Export diversification and CO2 emissions: an augmented environmental Kuznets curve. Journal of International Development. https://faere2019.sciencesconf.org/268410/document#:~:text=More%20precisely%2C%20export%20diversification%20generates,is%20led%20by%20composition%20and. Accessed 5/3/2021
Engelmann J, Al-Saidi M, Hamhaber J (2019) Concretizing green growth and sustainable business models in the water sector of Jordan. Resources, 8(2). https://doi.org/10.3390/resources8020092
Fonchamnyo DC, Akame AR (2017) Determinants of export diversification in Sub-Sahara African region: a fractionalized logit estimation model. J Econ Financ 41(2):330–342
Gong R, Wu Y-Q, Chen F-W, Yan T-H (2020) Labor costs, market environment and green technological innovation: Evidence from high-pollution firms. Int J Environ Res Public Health 17(2):522
Gozgor G, Can M (2016) Export product diversification and the environmental Kuznets curve: evidence from Turkey. Environ Sci Pollut Res 23(21):21594–21603
Hamed K, Hadi D, Hossein K (2014) Export diversification and economic growth in some selected developing countries. Afr J Bus Manage 8(17):700–704. https://doi.org/10.5897/AJBM2012.397
Hausmann R, Klinge B (2006) Structural transformation and patterns of comparative advantage in the product space. CID Working Papers, 128. https://ideas.repec.org/p/ecl/harjfk/rwp06-041.html. Accessed 6/3/2021
Hussain S, Ahmad T, Shahzad SJH (2020) Financial Inclusion and CO2 Emissions in Asia: Implications for Environmental Sustainability. Research Square. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-245990/v1
Jensen AL (1996) Beverton and Holt life history invariants result from optimal trade-off of reproduction and survival. Can J Fish Aquat Sci 53(4):820–822. https://doi.org/10.1139/f95-233. [Record #75 is using a reference type undefined in this output style.]
Khan AS (2011) Negotiating financial systems and poverty alleviation logics in microfinance: Macro and Micro level dynamics.
Kharl S, Xie X (2017) Green growth initative will lead toward sustainable development of natural resources in Pakistan: an investgation of “Billion Tree Tsunami Afforestation Project.” Sci Int (lahore) 29(4):841–843
Kim J, Park K (2016) Financial development and deployment of renewable energy technologies. Energy Economics 59:238–250
Kim D-W, Yub J-S, Hassan MK (2018) Financial inclusion and economic growth in OIC countries. Res Int Bus Financ 43:1–14. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.07.178
Le T-H, Chuc AT, Taghizadeh-Hesary F (2019) Financial inclusion and its impact on financial efficiency and sustainability: Empirical evidence from Asia. Borsa Istanbul Rev 19(4):310–322
Le T-H, Le H-C, Taghizadeh-Hesary F (2020) Does financial inclusion impact CO2 emissions? Evidence from Asia. Finance Research Letters, 34. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101451
Lederman D, Maloney W (2012) Does what you export matter?: In search of empirical guidance for industrial policies. World Bank Publications
Leyshon A, Thrift N (1996) Financial Exclusion and the Shifting Boundaries of the Financial System. Env Plan: Eco Spc 28:1150–1156. https://doi.org/10.1068/a281150
Liu H, Kim H, Choe J (2019) Export diversifcation, CO2 emissions and EKC: panel data analysis of 125 countries. Asia-Pacific J Reg Sci 3:369–393. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41685-018-0099-8
Long X, Ji X (2019) Economic Growth Quality, Environmental Sustainability, and Social Welfare in China - Provincial Assessment Based on Genuine Progress Indicator (GPI). Ecol Econ 159:157–176. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.01.002
Love J (1986) Commodity concentration and export earnings instability: A shift from cross-section to time series analysis. J Dev Econ 24(2):239–248
Mankiw NG (2012) Macroeocnomics Worth Publishers https://www.worthpublishers.com/mankiw. Accessed 10/04/2021
Matthee M, Naudé W (2007) Export Diversity and Regional Growth Empirical Evidence from South Africa. UNU-WIDER, Article 11
Mirza FM, Kanwal A (2017) Energy consumption, carbon emissions and economic growth in Pakistan: Dynamic causality analysis. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 72:1233–1240. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2016.10.081
Mohan R (2006) Economic growth, financial deepening and financial inclusion. Inclusive Growth – A New Challenge, 1305–1320
Mudenda C, Choga I, Chigamba C (2014) The role of export diversification on economic growth in South Africa. Mediterr J Soc Sci 5(9):705–705
Mughal M, Sers CF (2020) Cereal production, undernourishment, and food insecurity in South Asia. Review of Development Economics 24(2). https://doi.org/10.1111/rode.12659
Mwaitete CP, George LA (2018) Finaancial inclusion and economic growth a regression analysis. Imperial Journal of Interdisciplinary Research (IJIR), 4(1), 265–288. https://www.onlinejournal.in/IJIRV4I1/037.pdf. Accessed 11/04/2021
Nanda K, Kaur M (2016) Financial inclusion and human development: A cross-country evidence. Mang Lab Stud 41(2):127–153
Nasir M, Rehman FU (2011) Environmental Kuznets Curve for carbon emissions in Pakistan: An empirical investigation. Energy Policy 39(3):1857–1864. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2011.01.025
Oliveira HCd, Jegu E, Santos VE (2020) Dynamics and determinants of export diversification in Brazil from 2003 to 2013. Economia e Sociedade, 29, 29-51.
Pao H-T, Tsai C-M (2011) Multivariate Granger causality between CO2 emissions, energy consumption, FDI (foreign direct investment) and GDP (gross domestic product): evidence from a panel of BRIC (Brazil, Russian Federation, India, and China) countries. Energy 36(1):685–693
Pesaran MH (2007) A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross-section dependence. J Appl Economet 22(2):265–312
Pesaran MH (2004) General diagonist tests for cross section dependence in panels.
Petersson L (2006) Export diversification and intra‐industry trade in South Africa. South African Journal of Economics, 73(4). https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1813-6982.2005.00054.x
Reddy CS, Saranya K, Pasha SV, Satish K, Jha C, Diwakar P, Dadhwal V, Rao P, Murthy YK (2018) Assessment and monitoring of deforestation and forest fragmentation in South Asia since the 1930s. Glob Plent Ch 161:132–148
Renzhi N, Baek YJ (2020) Can financial inclusion be an effective mitigation measure? evidence from panel data analysis of the environmental Kuznets curve. Finance Res Lett 37:101725
Rojas-Suarez L (2010) Access to financial services in emerging powers: facts, obstacles and recommendations. Obstacles and Recommendations (March 2010).
Salman M, Long X, Dauda L, Mensah CN (2019) The impact of institutional quality on economic growth and carbon emissions: Evidence from Indonesia, South Korea and Thailand. J Clean Prod 241:118331
Sarkodie SA, Adams S (2018) Renewable energy, nuclear energy, and environmental pollution: accounting for political institutional quality in South Africa. Sci Total Environ 643:1590–1601
Sarma M, Pais J (2011) Financial Inclusion and Development. J Int Dev 23(5):613–628. https://doi.org/10.1002/jid.1698
Schumpeter JA (1912) An inquiry into profits, capital, credit, interest, and the business cycle. In H. U. Press (Ed.), The Theory of Economic Development. https://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674879904. Accessed 12/04/2021
Shahzad U, Doğan B, Sinha A, Fareed Z (2021) Does Export product diversification help to reduce energy demand: Exploring the contextual evidences from the newly industrialized countries. Energy 214:118881
Sharma R, Sinha A, Kautish P (2021) Examining the nexus between export diversification and environmental pollution: evidence from BRICS nations. Environ Sci Pollut Res 28(43):61732–61747
Sharma D (2016) Nexus between financial inclusion and economic growth: evidence from the emerging Indian economy. J Financial Econ Policy 8(1). https://doi.org/10.1108/JFEP-01-2015-0004
Sinha A, Sengupta T, Saha T (2020) Technology policy and environmental quality at crossroads: Designing SDG policies for select Asia Pacific countries. Tech Force Soc Change 161:120317
Tawiah V, Zakari A, Adedoyin FF (2021) Determinants of green growth in developed and developing countries. Environ Sci Pollut Res 28(29):39227–39242
Thathsarani U, Wei J, Samaraweera G (2021) Financial inclusion’s role in economic growth and human capital in South Asia: an econometric approach. Sustainability 13(8):4303
Tunyi AA, Ehalaiye D, Gyapong E, Ntim CG (2020) The value of discretion in Africa: Evidence from acquired intangible assets under IFRS 3. Int J Account 55(02):2050008
Velde DWt, Ahmed M M, Alemu G, Bategeka L, Calí M, Castel-Branco C, Chansa F, Dasgupta S, Foresti M, Hangi M, Ingombe L (2010) The global financial crisis and developing countries Results of ODI research presented in preliminary form for discussion and critical comment, 1–38. https://www.odi.org/sites/odi.org.uk/files/odi-assets/publications-opinion-files/5856.pdf. Accessed 15/03/2021
Wang L, Wang Y, Sun Y, Han K, Chen Y (2022) Financial inclusion and green economic efficiency: evidence from China. J Environ Planning Manage 65(2):240–271
Westerlund J (2007) Testing for error correction in panel data. Oxford Bull Econ Stat 69(6):709–748
WorldBank (2012) Inclusive green growth: The pathway to sustainable development., World Bank Publications. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/6058
WorldBank (2018) Financial inclusion Retrieved 3/19/2021 from https://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/financialinclusion/overview#1.
Yang Y, Guo H, Chen L, Liu X, Gu M, Ke X (2019) Regional analysis of the green development level differences in Chinese mineral resource-based cities. Resour Policy 61:261–272. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2019.02.003
Zhang S, Wu Z, Wang Y, Hao Y (2021) Fostering green development with green finance: An empirical study on the environmental effect of green credit policy in China. J Environ Manage 296:113159
Zhu H, Duan L, Guo Y, Yu K (2016) The effects of FDI, economic growth and energy consumption on carbon emissions in ASEAN-5: evidence from panel quantile regression. Econ Model 58:237–248
Zulfiqar K, Chaudhary MA, Aslam A (2016) Financial inclusion and its implications for inclusive growth In Pakistan. Pak Econ Soc Rev 54(2):297–325
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
RS conceptualized the research. SA sought the data and SN undertook formal analysis. RS and SA prepared the initial draft. Review and editing is also done by RS and SN. All the authors read and approved the final manuscript.
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
The authors declare no competing interests.
Ethics approval and consent to participate
Not applicable.
Consent for publication
Not applicable.
Additional information
Responsible Editor: Nicholas Apergis
Publisher's note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Saleem, R., Nasreen, S. & Azam, S. Role of financial inclusion and export diversification in determining green growth: evidence from SAARC economies. Environ Sci Pollut Res 29, 60327–60340 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-20096-2
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-20096-2