Field methods and study locations
Here we provide general descriptions of the sites and methods used for field data collection (Tables 1 and 2, respectively). Volumetric soil water content associated with each measurement date was estimated for the Great Basin, Mojave, Sonoran, and Chihuahuan deserts by inputting the measured soil water content and daily precipitation amounts into the one-dimensional, physically based soil water model, HYDRUS (Simunek and Nimmo 2005). Application of HYDRUS allowed for estimates of volumetric soil water content at the same depths for all the deserts (e.g., 0–15 cm).
Table 2 Measurement methods used for field data collection
Experiments conducted at the Great Basin, Sonoran, and Chihuahuan deserts involved soil moisture manipulations. The water manipulations increased the range of variability in soil moisture, temperature, and soil respiration, which aided in estimating respiration-response parameters associated with moisture effects. The Mojave Desert and sagebrush steppe sites relied only on naturally occurring precipitation and did not manipulate soil water. The polar desert and semi-desert sites received moisture and temperature manipulations (Sullivan et al. 2008; Rogers et al. 2010), but only data from control plots were used in the analysis. It was not the goal of this study to evaluate experimental treatment effects on soil respiration. All the studies used closed-loop, dynamic soil respiration systems (Li-Cor 6400, Li-Cor 6262, PP Systems), and we accounted for potential artifacts associated with different measurement systems (described later). We note, however, that Pumpanen et al. (2004) did not find statistical differences between these respiration methods. However, we still accounted for potential effects and variability due to measurement method within the hierarchical Bayesian (HB) model by applying method-specific correction factors to the respiration data based on Pumpanen et al. (2004) and Cable et al. (2008). All respiration measurements were made both beneath plant canopies and in intercanopy spaces.
Overview of manipulations and vegetation at each site
The Great Basin Desert study involved snow manipulation experiments that were conducted near Mammoth Lakes, Mono County, California, USA. Snowdepth was manipulated to create increased, decreased, and ambient snow depth plots for each of eight 50+ year old snow fences; see Loik et al. (2009) for greater detail. The most common species are the shrubs big sagebrush (Artemisia tridentata) and antelope bitterbrush (Purshia tridentata). Other common plant species include trees (Pinus contorta, Pinus jeffreyi), grasses (Achnatherum thurberianum, Elymus elymoides), and forbs (Eriogonum spergulinum, Lupinus lepidus). Soil respiration was measured manually at midmorning in May or June on ambient-depth plots, about two weeks following the end of snowmelt and again in July when soil surface layers (>25 cm) had dried (Table 2).
The Mojave Desert study was conducted at the Nevada Desert FACE Facility (NDFF) and is part of a larger study that is evaluating the effects of elevated CO2 on this ecosystem. The NDFF is characterized by calcareous loamy-sand soils dominated by sparse (<20% cover) creosote bush (Larrea tridentata) and white bursage (Ambrosia dumosa) scrub; see Jordan et al. (1999) for details on the experiment and the site. Only ambient CO2 plots were used in this analysis. Three sets of custom-made (425 × 94 × 60 mm, 1 l volume) soil respiration cuvettes were installed on fitted base plates in the interspaces between shrub canopies and under shrub canopies. Soil respiration was measured continuously, providing measurements under a wide range of soil water and temperature conditions. To best match collection times at other research sites, we used hourly averages for 9 am, 12 pm, and 3 pm for Larrea and interspace control plots (those that did not receive the high CO2 treatment).
The Sonoran Desert study was conducted on the Santa Rita Experimental Range near Tucson, Arizona. Replicated rain-exclusion shelters were established at two sites that differed in soil texture. Experimental plots within each shelter were planted with monospecific stands of the native perennial grass, tanglehead (Heteropogon contortus), a non-native perennial grass, Lehmann lovegrass (Eragrostis lehmanniana), or left bare. Manual respiration measurements were made around single, target precipitation events on plots receiving summer rainfall treatments (50% above or 50% below average summer precipitation); see English et al. (2005) for a description of the rain-exclusion shelters and rainfall treatments and Cable et al. (2008) for soil respiration methodology.
The Chihuahuan Desert study was conducted in a sotol grassland ecosystem in the Pine Canyon Watershed in Big Bend National Park. A total of 48 plots were established: 36 plots (1 × 0.5 m) contained one individual of sotol (Dasylirion leiophyllum), prickly pear (Opuntia phaeacantha), or sideoats grama (Bouteloua curtipendula), and 12 community plots (3 × 3 m) contained all three species. Precipitation manipulations were initiated on the plots in January 2002, which altered the amount of winter and summer rainfall. Soil respiration measurements were made manually on plots that contained only Dasylirion and on all the community plots (Table 2); see Patrick et al. (2007) for details on the study and measurements.
The sagebrush steppe study was conducted in south-central Wyoming. In 2005, a mountain big sagebrush (A. tridentata) fire recovery sequence was established (Cleary et al. 2008), containing sites at four recovery stages: 2, 6, 20 and 39 years since fire (ysf). Plant communities were dominated by the graminoids western wheatgrass (Pascopyrum smithii) and needle and thread (Hesperostipa comata), and forbs including silvery lupine (Lupinus argenteus) until 6 ysf, after which they became dominated by Artemisia (Ewers and Pendall 2008). Soil respiration was measured manually over diurnal cycles (5 times per 24-h cycle) at each of the four sites on five replicate, permanently installed soil collars, and on adjacent soil without soil collars. Only the daytime data were used in this analysis.
The polar semi-desert study involves a multi-level warming by irrigation experiment that was established in June 2003. The plant community, experiment and microclimates of the treatment plots are described by Sullivan et al. (2008) but are not described here because only data from control plots were used in this analysis. At the ecosystem-scale, vascular plants and bare soil/cryptogamic crust each cover ~50% of the ground surface. Study plots were oriented to span the transition between vascular plants and bare soil/cryptogamic crust such that each comprised ~50% of the plot. Manual measurements of mid-day soil respiration were made using permanently installed collars within the vegetated half of the study plots, but in areas that were nearly devoid of aboveground vegetation. When aboveground vegetation was present within the collars, it was carefully removed more than 1 h before respiration measurements.
The polar desert study involves three small snowfences (30 m in length, 1.5 m in height) that were established perpendicular to prevailing winds in late August 2003. Study plots were defined and permanent soil collars were installed using the same criteria employed in the polar semi-desert. Manual measurements of mid-day soil respiration were made in control plots and in plots that received experimental increases in winter snow depth. We only used data from control plots in this analysis.
General soil respiration response
An initial, qualitative examination of the trend in soil respiration with temperature (after accounting for water availability) was conducted to determine if general patterns emerged (Fig. 1). First, the respiration data were divided into three categories based on the relative soil water content at which they occurred (low, medium, and high, Fig. 1a, c). The water content levels were 0 to 33% (low), 33 to 66% (medium), and 66 to 100% (high) of the maximum soil water content measured for each desert (e.g., see SWrel in Eq. 3 below). For each water content category and each desert, the mean respiration rates were calculated for 10°C soil temperature categories and plotted against temperature. For each temperature category, we also calculated an overall mean across deserts and plotted the means against temperature (Fig. 1). The overall trend across deserts was plotted for each water content category (Fig. 1d). The purpose of categorizing the respiration data was to distill the 3426 data points into more visible trends. We emphasize that these analyses were conducted as a way to explore potential responses of soil respiration to temperature, after having accounted for water availability. We base our conclusions about the responses of desert soil respiration to temperature and water availability on the more rigorous Bayesian synthesis.
Hierarchical bayesian analysis of soil respiration
The above qualitative examination revealed that the seven deserts characterize different regions of the soil respiration-temperature space (Fig. 1). The deserts also differ in their climatic regimes (see Table 1), generating variation in important factors that influence the temperature response of respiration, including current and antecedent soil water conditions (Weltzin et al. 2003; Conant et al. 2004). Thus, these deserts likely differ in the magnitude and temperature sensitivity of soil respiration, and in how moisture and temperature interact to affect respiration. To address our primary questions, we conducted a cross-desert hierarchical Bayesian (HB) analysis (Clark 2005; Ogle and Barber 2008) of the soil respiration data to evaluate the importance of soil water availability, soil temperature, and climate regime.
We first characterized the climatic similarity of the deserts by calculating indices based on differences in mean annual temperature (MAT), mean annual precipitation (MAP), and proximity to one another (Table S1 in supplementary material). We used MAT and MAP because we were interested in a general climatic index that could be easily computed from historical climate summaries. Proximity was used because we expect that deserts that are closer to each other may share climatic characteristics not captured by MAP and MAT. For example, the North American Monsoon impacts both the Chihuahuan and Sonoran deserts, and MAT and MAP may not fully capture some of its effects. We also computed an index of antecedent moisture, which is given by the cumulative amount of precipitation received over the 10 days prior to the current measurement day. Prior work suggests that a pulse that occurs 10 days in the past does not affect how soil respiration responds to a pulse that occurs on the current day (Cable unpublished data), so we assumed that 10 days is a wide enough window to capture antecedent effects of rainfall.
We also explored the effects of current and antecedent soil moisture on soil respiration. The incorporation of the climatic similarity indices within the HB model explicitly allowed for potential correlations between deserts, which also helped to reduce the uncertainty in some desert-specific parameters that were not well-informed by a particular desert’s dataset. We analyzed the soil respiration, soil temperature, soil water, antecedent moisture, and climatic similarity data within the HB framework that incorporated a modified version of the Lloyd and Taylor (1994) Arrhenius-type temperature response function that has been applied to soil respiration in a diversity of ecosystems. In preliminary analyses, we applied other temperature functions, including a peaked exponential and a Q
10 function, but the Lloyd and Taylor (1994) model best fit the data for each desert, and thus we only discuss the HB model with the Lloyd and Taylor respiration function.
The HB model has three components: (1) the data model that describes the likelihood of observed soil respiration; (2) the process model for soil respiration and process or model uncertainty; and (3) the parameter model that specifies prior distributions for all parameters. The three stages are combined to generate posterior distributions of parameters (Clark 2005; Ogle and Barber 2008) that lend insight into the factors controlling soil respiration. The analysis that we conducted is analogous to a classical non-linear mixed effects model, which would involve the first two stages of the model, but what is unique about the HB approach is the ability to incorporate prior information (e.g., about the measurement methods), the inclusion of a hierarchical parameter model that accounts for climatic similarities among the deserts, and the transparent incorporation of multiple sources of uncertainty. The posterior distributions explicitly quantify uncertainty in all quantities of interest, including model parameters and other derived quantities (e.g., Q
10, see Eq. 7). The approach also made it straightforward to deal with different methods, whereby we accounted for the measurement uncertainty associated each method.
For the data model, we define the likelihood function for observed soil respiration rates. Based on past work (Cable et al. 2008) and preliminary analyses, we assume that soil respiration (R, μmol m−2 s−1) is log-normally distributed, such that for observation i (i = 1,…,3426):
$$ \ln \left( {R_{i} } \right)\sim {\text{Normal}}\left( {\mu LR_{i} ,\tau } \right) $$
(1)
where μLR
i
is the mean (or expected) log soil respiration rate and τ is the precision (1/variance) that describes variability associated with observation error or uncertainty.
For the process model, we used a modified version of the Lloyd and Taylor (1994) function to describe μLR
i
. We assumed that the base respiration rate (Rb, the magnitude of soil respiration at 20°C, μmol m−2 s−1) and the temperature sensitivity of respiration (Eo, K) vary with soil water and antecedent precipitation. We also incorporated measurement day random effects (ε
day
) to describe additional variation introduced by time of year, and we explicitly account for additional variability introduced by different measurement methods used in each desert, where the predicted respiration rate is adjusted for method via a correction factor (cf). Thus, for observation i made on measurement date t, and associated with desert d (7 deserts):
$$ \mu LR_{i} = LRb_{i} + Eo_{i} \left( {{\frac{1}{{293.15 - T_{O} }}} - {\frac{1}{{T_{i} - T_{O} }}}} \right) + \varepsilon_{{day_{t,d} }} + { \log }(cf_{i} ) $$
(2)
$$ \begin{gathered} LRb_{i} = a_{1d} + a_{2d} \cdot SWrel_{i} + a_{3d} \cdot lppt_{i} + a_{4d} \cdot lppt_{i} \cdot SWrel_{i} \hfill \\ Eo_{i} = Eob_{d} + a_{5d} \cdot SWrel_{i} + a_{6d} \cdot lppt_{i} + a_{7d} \cdot lppt_{i} \cdot SWrel_{i} \hfill \\ \end{gathered} $$
(3)
where LRb = ln(Rb) is the predicted log base rate, T
O
(K) is a temperature-related parameter (Lloyd and Taylor 1994), T is measured soil temperature (K) (0–15 cm), SWrel is the soil water content relative to the maximum water content reported for each desert (0 to 15 cm), and lppt = ln(ppt + 1), where ppt is antecedent precipitation (cm); we worked with precipitation on the log scale because precipitation values were approximately log-linearly spaced (i.e., precipitation events were generally small, but a few large events were reported).
The temperature sensitivity of soil respiration (R) describes the degree to which R increases (or decreases) with increasing T; that is, the temperature sensitivity is related to the slope of the R versus T response curve. Here, To and Eo are related to the temperature sensitivity but To is more difficult to interpret; therefore, we treated To as a scalar parameter common to all deserts, and we refer to Eo as the temperature sensitivity. Thus, the a
1 and Eob parameters represent the desert-specific, predicted base rate and temperature sensitivity, respectively, under very dry conditions (when SWrel = 0 and ppt = 0). Note, it is possible to observe biologically relevant soil respiration rates under these extreme dry conditions because deeper (>15 cm) soil layers may be storing water and supporting biological activity. The other a parameters describe the soil water main effect (a
2, a
5), antecedent precipitation effect (a
3, a
6), and soil water-by-antecedent precipitation interaction effects (a
4, a
7) on LRb and Eo. These parameters are allowed to vary by desert (hence the d subscript).
Note that the right-hand side of Eq. 2 can be interpreted as the “latent” respiration rate plus a date effect and a correction factor. That is, we apply the correction factor to the latent respiration rate such that the mean (or predicted) value (μLR) agrees with the method associated with each observation. We accounted for uncertainty in the correction factors by generating cf values for each observation from a normal distribution with mean (μcf) and precision (τcf) that were based on the means and 95% confidence intervals reported in Pumpanen et al. (2004). That is, for observation i associated with desert d, cf
i
~ Normal(μcf
d
, τcf
d
). We used the following means and precisions: μcf = 1.07 and τcf = 348.4 (std. dev. = 0.04) for the Chihuahuan, Great Basin, Sonoran, polar semi-desert, and polar desert (Li-Cor 6400); μcf = 0.910 and τcf = 118.6 (std. dev. = 0.09) for the Mojave (Li-Cor 6262); and μcf = 1.19 and τcf = 61.5 (std. dev. = 0.13) for the sagebrush steppe (PP Systems). For the Sonoran Desert data, we first adjusted the LI-820 values (measured in 2002) to the LI-6400 values (2003) according to Cable et al. (2008) and subsequently applied the Pumpanen et al. (2004) correction factor associated with the Li-Cor 6400. In this analysis, we simply propagated the uncertainty in the correction factors such that the respiration data did not feedback to adjust the correction factors (this was accomplished via the “cut” function in WinBUGS) (Jackson et al. 2009).
Random effects of measurement day t for each desert d are captured by \( \varepsilon_{{day_{t,d} }} \) in Eq. 2. For desert d, we assumed \( \varepsilon_{{day_{t,d} }} \sim {\text{Normal}}\left( {0,\tau_{{\varepsilon_{d} }} } \right) \), where the precision (τ
ɛ) varies between deserts. We implemented sum-to-zero constraints for the date within desert random effects according to the “sweeping” algorithm (Gilks and Roberts 1996).
We modeled the Eob and a parameters in Eq. 3 hierarchically to allow for potential correlations between deserts and to better constrain some of the parameters as some deserts (e.g., Great Basin, polar sites) had relatively small datasets that did not span a wide range of temperature and soil moisture conditions. Thus, for parameter a
k
and desert d, we assumed:
$$ a_{k,d} = b_{0,k} + b_{1,k} \cdot D_{1,d} + b_{2,k} \cdot D_{2,d} $$
(4)
where a
k
represents Eob or any of the a’s in Eq. 3 (k is the “parameter index”), and D
1 and D
2 are “latent indices” that incorporate borrowing of strength between deserts.
The latent desert indices D
1 and D
2 (Eq. 4) are vectors of length seven; they are modeled as independent multivariate normal vectors centered on zero, and each vector has its own covariance matrix. That is, the latent, desert-specific indices D
k
(k = 1 or 2) are modeled as:
$$ D_{k} {\sim} MN_{7} (0,\Upsigma_{k} ) $$
(5)
where MN
7 indicates a multivariate normal distribution of dimension 7 such that Σ
k
is a 7×7 covariance matrix. The elements defining the Σ
k
’s are described by the exponential covariance function (Diggle et al. 2002), which is modeled in terms of the climatic similarities between deserts. That is, the correlation structure for D
1 is based on indices (S
1i,j
) that are determined from the relative differences in MAT and distance between the centers of each research site (or “desert”) i and j (Z
i,j
). The correlation structure for D
2 is based on the indices (S
2i,j
) that are determined from the relative differences in MAP and Z
i,j
(Table S1).
The climatic similarity indices (S
k
) are used as the “distance” variable in the exponential covariance function for Σ
k
. For element (i,j) of Σ
k
, which describes the covariance between desert i’s and desert j’s latent index:
$$ \Upsigma_{k} (i,j) = (\rho_{k} )^{S_{ki,j}} $$
(6)
where ρ
k
is the correlation coefficient that is estimated. We assigned a mildly informative prior to the two correlation coefficients (ρ
1 and ρ
2) by assigning each a Beta(2.1, 1.5) prior, which has a variance of 0.0528 (std. dev. = 0.2298). In contrast, a more non-informative prior would be a Beta(1, 1), which has a larger variance of 0.0833 (std. dev. = 0.2886). We chose the slightly more informative prior because it reduces the likelihood of obtaining extreme values for ρ
k
(i.e., ρ
k
= 0 or 1), which can cause numerical difficulties within the computational framework. Given that the correlation coefficients are removed from the data by several levels in the hierarchical model, the mildly informative prior helped constrain the estimates of these parameters while having little impact on overall model fit.
The final stage is the specification of the priors. We specified non-informative priors for all remaining parameters, including those defining the hierarchical model for the a’s in Eq. 4, with the exception of Eob in Eq. 3 and T
O
in Eq. 2. Lloyd and Taylor (1994) suggest that E
O
and T
O
are relatively conserved across a variety of ecosystem types. Thus, we used somewhat informative normal priors for the “base” E
O
value (i.e.,
Eob, Eq. 3) and T
O
with means given by the Lloyd and Taylor (1994) estimates (308.56 and 227.13 K, respectively) and relatively small precisions of 0.001 and 0.01 (variance = 1000 and 100), respectively. As required by the model, we restricted To to lie between 0 and 270 K (270 K is less than the lowest soil temperature measured across all deserts). We specified a hierarchical model for the desert-specific standard deviations for the date random effects (the σ
ε
= 1/sqrt(τ
ε
) terms) such that the σ
ε
‘s arise from a folded Student-t distribution with two degrees of freedom and scale parameter A (Gelman 2006); we assigned a diffuse uniform prior to A. We also assigned a uniform prior to the observation standard deviation (\( \sigma = \sqrt {1/\tau } \)) (Gelman 2006). We assigned diffuse normal priors to the b
0,k
, b
1,k
and b
2,k
coefficients in Eq. 4 (mean = 0, precision = 0.0001 or variance = 10000). All distributions are parameterized according to Gelman (2004).
The HB model was implemented in the Bayesian statistical software package WinBUGS (Spiegelhalter et al. 2002). We ran six parallel MCMC (Markov chain Monte Carlo) chains for 11,000 iterations each, and we used the Brooks–Gelman–Rubin (BGR) diagnostic tool to evaluate convergence of the chains to the posterior distribution (Brooks and Gelman 1998; Gelman 2004). We discarded the burn-in samples (first 4,000) and thinned every 5th iteration, yielding an independent sample of about 8400 values for each parameter from the joint posterior distribution (Gelman 2004).
Lastly, we calculated a predicted Q
10 of respiration, which provides an alternative and commonly reported index of temperature sensitivity, for each desert based on Eq. 2. Q
10 describes the multiplicative change in soil respiration with a 10°C increase in temperature. The Q
10 of soil respiration for each observation i is given by:
$$ Q_{10i} = { \exp }\left( {Eo_{i} \cdot \left( {{\frac{1}{{T_{i} - 5 - T_{O} }}} - {\frac{1}{{T_{i} + 5 - T_{O} }}}} \right)} \right) $$
(7)
For each desert d, we computed the average predicted Q
10 by averaging the Q
10i
values over all observations i associated with each desert d. To place our study in a broader context, we compare our findings with those from mesic ecosystems. To this end, we extracted Q
10 and Rb estimates from the literature for 28 different sites and we calculated the mean and 2.5th and 97.5th percentiles for Q
10 values across the sites (Fierer et al. 2006; Peng et al. 2009); we also compare our results to the mean base rate at 20°C reported for six different ecosystem types by Lloyd and Taylor (1994). We restricted our comparison to mesic systems, and thus only used data reported for ecosystems with MAP > 500 mm.