Abstract
As founders of new invasions or survivors of control efforts, small populations can play important roles in biological invasions. Theory and models have explored how population size can affect invasion probability and dynamics. In contrast, there have been few studies of small population size and invasions in the wild, especially for plants. Here, we identified 21 naturally-occurring small populations of the invasive annual grass Lolium multiflorum to elucidate the effects of population size on plant reproduction and potential invasiveness. We compared seed production of focal plants to three attributes of the population: population size, a focal plant’s floret neighborhood (a measure of the size and pollen production of nearby potential pollen donors), and focal plant size. Population size and floret neighborhood were weighted by inter-plant distance to account for variation in density and spatial arrangement. Variation among populations in the proportion of florets producing a seed was explained by population size and floret neighborhood. In contrast, the focal plant’s size did not significantly affect the seed production proportion. A decrease in reproduction due to the size and density of the population (while accounting for maternal size) is an Allee effect, which may limit the ability to predict invasion risks and rates early in the invasion process, particularly if the effect is not recognized.
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Acknowledgments
We are grateful to Sharon Strauss and Kevin Rice for statistical advice and manuscript comments. Tom Lanini suggested explanations for partially filled seed, suggested field sites and provided general encouragement. Natasha Sherman and two reviewers provided helpful comments on the manuscript. Leif Skot and Daniel Thorogood of the Institute of Biological, Environmental and Rural Sciences, Aberystwyth, Wales, suggested the floret production regressions, which saved much time. California State Parks permitted collection at site McC – McConnell State Recreation Area. Three sites were at, or facilitated by, the University of California Natural Reserve System’s Donald and Sylvia McLaughlin Reserve. J.L.F. thanks Greg Dwyer for preparation and opportunity, and was supported by a graduate student award from the endowment of the Department of Plant Sciences, University of California, Davis. Financial support for this research was provided by UC Davis CA&ES departmental general funds to M.J.
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Firestone, J.L., Jasieniuk, M. Seed production is reduced by small population size in natural populations of the invasive grass Lolium multiflorum . Biol Invasions 14, 2519–2529 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-012-0248-3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-012-0248-3