Patients and demographics
The demographic and clinical characteristics of the patients are presented in Table 1. Mean age was 67 ± 12 years, with 60 % males and 33 % diabetics. The average length on dialysis was 3.6 years. The most common etiologies of ESRD were diabetic-hypertensive nephropathy and glomerulonephritis.
Table 1 Demographic and clinical characteristics of the patients
Overhydration
Pre-HD overhydration assessed by the systematic clinical approach (OHREF) was 2.6 ± 1.3 L, estimated by nephrologists (OHCLI) 2.4 ± 1.0 L and calculated by BIA (OHBIA) 3.6 ± 2.0 L. OHCLI (R = 0.61, P < 0.001), but not OHBIA (Table 2), correlated with reference OHREF. Since BIA directly measures ECW and calculates OHBIA, we substituted OHBIA with ECW/BSA, and were able to show a correlation with OHREF (R = 0.52, P = 0.01).
Table 2 Correlations between overhydration and selected biochemical and clinical parameters
Pre-HD calf circumference was positively correlated with OHREF (R = 0.37; P = 0.041), OHCLI (R = 0.47; P = 0.009), ECW/BSA (R = 0.56; P = 0.001) and pre-HD weight (R = 0.68; P < 0.001), indicating a strong association of this simple anthropometric measure with fluid overload.
VCCI was negatively correlated with OHREF (R = −0.45; P = 0.013), concordant with decreasing collapsibility of the vena cava with increasing OH.
In terms of fluid overload, N-terminal atrial natriuretic peptide (NT-proANP) levels did not correlate with OH or left atrial diameter (LAD) (although positively with CTI, R = 0.67; P < 0.001), parameters with known association in the normal population. The significant influence of impaired renal function on NT-proANP levels is evident by its positive correlation with serum creatinine levels (R = 0.57; P = 0.001).
Blood pressure
The average pre-HD BP was 125/71 mmHg, post-HD BP 110/62 mmHg, and the average BP reduction was 6/3 mmHg per one liter of OH removed. The mean 24-h ambulatory BP on a HD-free day was 116/68 mmHg.
Pre-HD diastolic blood pressure (DBP) (R = 0.54; P = 0.002), mean arterial blood pressure (MAP) (R = 0.38; P = 0.04), but not systolic blood pressure (SBP) (R = 0.09; P = 0.64) correlated with OHREF. Interestingly, after HD, SBP (R = 0.43; P = 0.02), DBP (R = 0.37; P = 0.04) and MAP (R = 0.43; P = 0.02) were positively correlated with the number of antihypertensive drugs (no correlation was seen before HD).
Prognostic data are presented in the Electronic Supplementary Material.
Multiple regression models
Parameters significant in the univariate analyses (Table 2) were combined in multiple regression models (Table 3). Calf circumference was considered as a part of the clinical examination and not explored separately. All models were characterized by sample-size-corrected coefficient of determination R² and Akaike’s information criterion (AIC). R² shows how good is the model in predicting the reference OHREF. AIC provides a means for comparing the goodness-of-fit of different models. The higher the R² and the lower the AIC, the better the model. As demonstrated in Model 1, calculated OHBIA accounted for only 3 % of OHREF. However, after replacement with ECW/BSA, the prediction accuracy for OHREF increased to 22 % (Model 2). From all single variables, the OHCLI was most consistent and accounted for approximately 35 % of OHREF (Model 3). The combination of several clinical parameters (age, pre-HD weight, pre-HD MAP, pre-HD DBP, and VCCI) had an accuracy of 51 % (Model 4). While the addition of ECW/BSA to Model 4 did not improve (49 %, Model 5) and ICW/BSA slightly improved (55 %, Model 6) the accuracy, the addition of OHCLI significantly increased the overall precision (64 %, Model 7). In combination with clinical parameters and OHCLI, ICW/BSA (Model 9, predictor importance 0.11) is superior to ECW/BSA (Model 8, predictor importance 0.01).
Table 3 Overview of different models for estimation of reference overhydration (OHREF)