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Hybrid-optimized logistic regression model of landslide susceptibility along mountain highway

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Abstract

This study aims to explore the influence of the training sample selection method and the presence and absence sample ratio on the study of landslide susceptibility by the logistic stepwise regression (LSR) model. Eight-kilometer range of the main road in Wenchuan County is taken as the research area, and the neighboring Mao County is considered to test the robustness of LSR models. The performance of the models obtained by randomly selecting (RS) 70% of the data as the training sample from the sample set and selecting the data as the training sample by tenfold cross-validation (CV) is compared. At the same time, the difference in model performance when the number of absence samples in the training samples is 1, 5, 7, and 10 times that of the presence samples is also studied. The results show that (1) the CV-LSR model is not only better than the RS-LSR model in terms of model prediction accuracy, but is also more stable and effective in factor selection; (2) when the number of absence samples in the training sample is too large, the model will underestimate the landslide susceptibility, and when the number of presence and absence samples is the same, the prediction effect of the model is the best.

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Acknowledgements

We want to express our gratitude to Chongqing Meteorological Administration for providing essential meteorological data and also to Chongqing Institute of Geology and Mineral Resources for offering valuable research data on historical landslides. Special thanks are given to the editors and anonymous reviewers for their constructive and professional comments reviews of earlier versions of the paper.

Funding

This research was funded by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (Grant Nos. 2018YFC1505501 and 2018YFC1505504).

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Correspondence to Haijia Wen.

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Zhang, Y., Wen, H., Xie, P. et al. Hybrid-optimized logistic regression model of landslide susceptibility along mountain highway. Bull Eng Geol Environ 80, 7385–7401 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10064-021-02415-y

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10064-021-02415-y

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