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Prevalence of new-onset diabetes mellitus after kidney transplantation: a systematic review and meta-analysis

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Abstract

Aims

Post-transplant diabetes is a prevalent and consequential complication following kidney transplantation, which significantly augments the risk of cardiovascular disease, graft loss, infection, and mortality, thereby profoundly impacting both graft and patient survival. However, the early stages of post-transplant diabetes often go unnoticed or receive inadequate management. Consequently, this study systematically assesses the incidence of new-onset diabetes after kidney transplantation with the aim to enhance medical staff awareness regarding post-transplantation diabetes and provide clinical management guidance.

Methods

We conducted a comprehensive search across multiple databases including PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, The Cochrane Library, CNKI, Wanfang, VIP, and SinoMed until September 21, 2023. Data extraction was performed using standardized tables and meta-analysis was conducted using Stata 16.0 software. A random effects model was employed to estimate the combined prevalence along with its corresponding 95% confidence interval. The source of heterogeneity was explored using subgroup analysis and sensitivity analysis, while publication bias was assessed through funnel plot and Egger's test. This study has been registered with PROSPERO under the registration number CRD42023465768.

Results

This meta-analysis comprised 39 studies with a total sample size of 16,584 patients. The prevalence of new-onset diabetes after transplantation was found to be 20% [95% CI (18.0, 22.0)]. Subgroup analyses were conducted based on age, gender, body mass index, family history of diabetes, type of kidney donor, immunosuppressive regimen, acute rejection episodes, hepatitis C infection status and cytomegalovirus infection.

Conclusions

The incidence of post-kidney transplantation diabetes is substantial, necessitating early implementation of preventive and control measures to mitigate its occurrence, enhance prognosis, and optimize patients' quality of life.

Clinical trial registration: PROSPERO: CRD42023465768.

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Acknowledgements

I would like to express our gratitude to the Ministry of Science and Technology of the People's Republic of China for their generous financial support, as well as to acknowledge the invaluable technical assistance provided by the school library. I express my sincere gratitude to Professor Yunlan Jiang for his invaluable advice and guidance, which greatly enhanced the quality of this research. Additionally, I would like to extend my appreciation to Tao Li, Xiaodong Yi, Shang Song, and Jing Kang for their valuable assistance in data collection.

Funding

The Ministry of Science and Technology of China’s initiative on "Active health and aging Science and technology Response". (2020YFC2003104).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

Qiufeng Du was responsible for the conception, design, analysis and interpretation of the results, as well as the writing of the paper. Tao Li and Xiaodong Yi were responsible for data collection and organization. Shuang Song and Jing Kang were in charge of statistical processing. Yunlan Jiang conducted feasibility analysis of the article, had overall responsibility for it, ensured quality control, and performed proofreading.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Yunlan Jiang.

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Conflict of interest

The authors have no potential conflicts of interest to disclose.

Date of submission

This study was submitted on October 17, 2023.

Research involving Human Participants and/or Animals

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Managed by Giuseppe Pugliese.

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Appendices

Appendix 1

figure a

Appendix 2

Appendix 1: Search strategy

Database

Index and keyword terms

PubMed

("Kidney Transplantation"[Mesh Terms] OR ("Renal Transplantation"[Title/Abstract] OR "Renal Transplantations"[Title/Abstract] OR "Transplantations, Renal"[Title/Abstract] OR "Transplantation, Renal"[Title/Abstract] OR "Grafting, Kidney"[Title/Abstract] OR "Kidney Grafting"[Title/Abstract] OR "Transplantation, Kidney"[Title/Abstract] OR "Kidney Transplantations"[Title/Abstract] OR "Transplantations, Kidney"[Title/Abstract] AND ("Diabetes Mellitus"[Mesh Terms] OR "Diabetes Insipidus"[Mesh Terms] OR "diabetes mellitus"[Title/Abstract] OR "diabetes insipidus"[Title/Abstract] OR "Diabete*"[Title/Abstract] OR "Diabetic*"[Title/Abstract] OR "post-transplant diabetes mellitus"[Title/Abstract] OR("new-onset diabetes"[Title/Abstract] OR "new-onset diabetes mellitus"[Title/Abstract] OR "new-onset diabetes after transplantation"[Title/Abstract] OR "new-onset diabetes mellitus after transplantation"[Title/Abstract] OR "PTDM"[Title/Abstract] OR "NODAT"[Title/Abstract] AND ("prevalence"[MeSH Terms] OR "incidence"[MeSH Terms] OR "epidemiology"[MeSH Terms] OR "prevalence*"[Title/Abstract] OR "occurrence*"[Title/Abstract] OR "frequenc*"[Title/Abstract] OR "incidence*"[Title/Abstract] OR "epidemiology*"[Title/Abstract])

Web of science

(ALL = ("kidney transplantation" OR "renal transplantation") AND ALL = ("diabetes mellitus" OR "diabete*" OR "diabetic*" OR "post-transplant diabetes mellitus" OR "new-onset diabetes" OR "new-onset diabetes mellitus" OR "new-onset diabetes after transplantation" OR "new-onset diabetes mellitus after transplantation" OR "PTDM" OR "NODAT") AND ALL = ("prevalence*" OR "occurrence*" OR "frequenc*" OR "incidence*" OR "epidemiology*")

EMBASE

('kidney transplantation':exp OR 'kidney transplantation':ti,ab OR 'renal transplantation':ti,ab) AND ('diabetes mellitus':exp OR 'diabetes mellitus':ti,ab OR 'diabete*':ti,ab OR 'diabetic*':ti,ab OR 'post-transplant diabetes mellitus':ti,ab OR 'new-onset diabetes':ti,ab OR 'new-onset diabetes mellitus':ti,ab OR 'new-onset diabetes after transplantation':ti,ab OR 'new-onset diabetes mellitus after transplantation':ti,ab OR 'PTDM':ti,ab OR 'NODAT':ti,ab) AND ('prevalence':exp OR 'incidence':exp OR 'frequency':exp OR 'epidemiology':exp OR prevalence:ti,ab OR incidence*:ti,ab OR occurrence*:ti,ab OR frequenc*:ti,ab OR epidemiology*:ti,ab)

The Cochrane Library

(MeSH descriptor: [Kidney Transplantation] OR ("kidney transplantation"):ti,ab,kw OR ("renal transplantation"):ti,ab,kw) AND (MeSH descriptor: [Diabetes Mellitus] OR ("diabetes mellitus"):ti,ab,kw OR ("diabete*"):ti,ab,kw OR ("diabetic*"):ti,ab,kw OR ("post-transplant diabetes mellitus"):ti,ab,kw OR ("new-onset diabetes"):ti,ab,kw OR ("new-onset diabetes mellitus"):ti,ab,kw OR ("new-onset diabetes after transplantation"):ti,ab,kw OR ("new-onset diabetes mellitus after transplantation"):ti,ab,kw OR ("PTDM"):ti,ab,kw OR ("NODAT"):ti,ab,kw) AND (MeSH descriptor: [Prevalence] OR ("prevalence*"):ti,ab,kw OR ("occurrence*"):ti,ab,kw OR ("frequenc*"):ti,ab,kw OR ("incidence*"):ti,ab,kw OR ("epidemiology*"):ti,ab,kw)

Appendix 3

See Table 3 and 4.

Table 3 Quality assessment of studies included based on the AHRQ tool
Table 4 Quality assessment of studies included based on the NOS tool

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Du, Q., Li, T., Yi, X. et al. Prevalence of new-onset diabetes mellitus after kidney transplantation: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Acta Diabetol (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00592-024-02253-w

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