Altermatt F (2010) Climatic warming increases voltinism in European butterflies and moths. Proc Roy Soc: Biol Sci 277(1685):1281–1287. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2009.1910
Article
Google Scholar
Avila GA, Charles JG (2018) Modelling the potential geographic distribution of Trissolcus japonicus: a biological control agent of the brown marmorated stink bug, Halyomorpha halys. BioControl 63(4):505–518. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10526-018-9866-8
Article
Google Scholar
Bacon SJ, Aebi A, Calanca P, Bacher S (2013) Quarantine arthropod invasions in Europe: the role of climate, hosts and propagule pressure. Divers Distrib 20(1):84–94. https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12149
Article
Google Scholar
Battisti DS, Naylor RL (2009) Historical warnings of future food insecurity with unprecedented seasonal heat. Science 323(5911):240–244. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1164363
CAS
Article
Google Scholar
Bebber DP, Ramotowski MAT, Gurr SJ (2013) Crop pests and pathogens move polewards in a warming world. Nat Clim Change 3(11):985–988. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1990
Article
Google Scholar
Bosco L, Moraglio ST, Tavella L (2018) Halyomorpha halys, a serious threat for hazelnut in newly invaded areas. J Pest Sci 91(2):661–670. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10340-017-0937-x
Article
Google Scholar
Both C, van Asch M, Bijlsma RG, van den Burg AB, Visser ME (2009) Climate change and unequal phenological changes across four trophic levels: Constraints or adaptations? J Anim Ecol 78(1):73–83. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2656.2008.01458.x
Article
Google Scholar
Byeon DH, Jung JM, Jung S, Lee WH (2018) Prediction of global geographic distribution of Metcalfa pruinosa using CLIMEX. Entomol Res 48(2):99–107. https://doi.org/10.1111/1748-5967.12253
Article
Google Scholar
Caffarra A, Rinaldi M, Eccel E, Rossi V, Pertot I (2012) Modelling the impact of climate change on the interaction between grapevine and its pests and pathogens: European grapevine moth and powdery mildew. Agric Ecosyst Environ 148:89–101. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2011.11.017
Article
Google Scholar
Candian V, Pansa MG, Briano R, Peano C, Tedeschi R, Tavella L (2018) Exclusion nets: a promising tool to prevent Halyomorpha halys from damaging nectarines and apples in NW Italy. Bull Insectol 71(1):21–30
Google Scholar
CH2011 (2011) Swiss Climate Change Scenarios CH2011. C2SM, MeteoSwiss, ETH, NCCR Climate, OcCC, Zurich, Switzerland
CH2014-Impacts (2014) Toward quantitative scenarios of climate change impacts in Switzerland. OCCR, FOEN, MeteoSwiss, C2SM, Agroscope, and ProClim, Bern, Switzerland
Cianferoni F, Graziani F, Dioli P, Ceccolini F (2018) Review of the occurrence of Halyomorpha halys (Hemiptera: Heteroptera: Pentatomidae) in Italy, with an update of its European and World distribution. Biologia 73(6):599–607. https://doi.org/10.2478/s11756-018-0067-9
Article
Google Scholar
Cira TM, Venette RC, Aigner J, Kuhar T, Mullins DE, Gabbert SE, Hutchison WD (2016) Cold tolerance of Halyomorpha halys (Hemiptera: Pentatomidae) across geographic and temporal scales. Environ Entomol 45(2):484–491. https://doi.org/10.1093/ee/nvv220
Article
Google Scholar
Costi E, Haye T, Maistrello L (2017) Biological parameters of the invasive brown marmorated stink bug, Halyomorpha halys, in southern Europe. J Pest Sci 90(4):1059–1067. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10340-017-0899-z
Article
Google Scholar
de Villiers M, Hattingh V, Kriticos DJ, Brunel S, Vayssieres JF, Sinzogan A, Billah MK, Mohamed SA, Mwatawala M, Abdelgader H, Salah FEE, De Meyer M (2016) The potential distribution of Bactrocera dorsalis: considering phenology and irrigation patterns. Bull Entomol Res 106(1):19–33. https://doi.org/10.1017/s0007485315000693
Article
Google Scholar
de Villiers M, Kriticos DJ, Veldtman R (2017) Including irrigation in niche modelling of the invasive wasp Vespula germanica (Fabricius) improves model fit to predict potential for further spread. PLoS One 12(7):e0181397. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0181397
CAS
Article
Google Scholar
Deutsch CA, Tewksbury JJ, Tigchelaar M, Battisti DS, Merrill SC, Huey RB, Naylor RL (2018) Increase in crop losses to insect pests in a warming climate. Science 361(6405):916–919. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aat3466
CAS
Article
Google Scholar
Devictor V, van Swaay C, Brereton T, Brotons L, Chamberlain D, Heliola J, Herrando S, Julliard R, Kuussaari M, Lindstrom A, Reif J, Roy DB, Schweiger O, Settele J, Stefanescu C, Van Strien A, Van Turnhout C, Vermouzek Z, Wallis de Vries M, Wynhoff I, Jiguet F (2012) Differences in the climatic debts of birds and butterflies at a continental scale. Nat Clim Change 2(2):121–124. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1347
Article
Google Scholar
EEA (2017) Climate Change, Impacts and Vulnerability in Europe 2016: An indicator-based report. European Environment Agency (EEA), Kopenhagen
Google Scholar
Felber R, Stoeckli S, Calanca P (2018) Generic calibration of a simple model of diurnal temperature variations for spatial analysis of accumulated degree-days. Int J Biometeorol 62:621–630. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-017-1471-5
Article
Google Scholar
Gutierrez AP, Ponti L, Gilioli G (2010) Climate change effects on plant-pest-natural enemy interactions. In: Rosenzweig C (ed) Handbook of Climate Change and Agroecosystems: Impacts, Adaptation, and Mitigation. Impercial College Press, London, pp 209–237
Chapter
Google Scholar
Hance T, van Baaren J, Vernon P, Boivin G (2007) Impact of extreme temperatures on parasitoids in a climate change perspective. Annu Rev Entomol 52:107–126
CAS
Article
Google Scholar
Harrington R, Clark SJ, Welham SJ, Verrier PJ, Denholm CH, Hulle M, Maurice D, Rounsevell MD, Cocu N (2007) Environmental change and the phenology of European aphids. Global Change Biol 13(8):1550–1564. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2007.01394.x
Article
Google Scholar
Haye T, Abdallah S, Gariepy T, Wyniger D (2014) Phenology, life table analysis, and temperature requirements of the invasive brown marmorated stink bug, Halyomorpha halys, in Europe. J Pest Sci 87(3):407–418. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10340-014-0560-z
Article
Google Scholar
Haye T, Gariepy T, Hoelmer K, Rossi JP, Streito JC, Tassus X, Desneux N (2015) Range expansion of the invasive brown marmorated stinkbug, Halyomorpha halys: an increasing threat to field, fruit and vegetable crops worldwide. J Pest Sci 88(4):665–673. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10340-015-0670-2
Article
Google Scholar
Haye T, Olfert O, Weiss R, Mason PG, Gibson G, Gariepy TD, Gillespie DR (2018) Bioclimatic analyses of Trichomalus perfectus and Mesopolobus morys (Hymenoptera: Pteromalidae) distributions, two potential biological control agents of the cabbage seedpod weevil in North America. Biol Control 124:30–39. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocontrol.2018.06.003
Article
Google Scholar
Haye T, Moraglio ST, Stahl J, Visentin S, Gregorio T, Tavella L (2020) Fundamental host range of Trissolcus japonicus in Europe. J Pest Sci 93(1):171–182. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10340-019-01127-3
Article
Google Scholar
Henne PD, Bigalke M, Buntgen U, Colombaroli D, Conedera M, Feller U, Frank D, Fuhrer J, Grosjean M, Heiri O, Luterbacher J, Mestrot A, Rigling A, Rossler O, Rohr C, Rutishauser T, Schwikowski M, Stampfli A, Szidat S, Theurillat JP, Weingartner R, Wilcke W, Tinner W (2018) An empirical perspective for understanding climate change impacts in Switzerland. Reg Env Change 18(1):205–221. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-017-1182-9
Article
Google Scholar
Hickling R, Roy DB, Hill JK, Fox R, Thomas CD (2006) The distributions of a wide range of taxonomic groups are expanding polewards. Global Change Biol 12(3):450–455. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01116.x
Article
Google Scholar
Hill MP, Thomson LJ (2015) Species distribution modelling in predicting response to climate change. In: Björkman C, Niemalä P (eds) Climate Change and Insect Pests. CABI International, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, UK, pp 16–38
Chapter
Google Scholar
Hoebeke ER, Carter ME (2003) Halyomorpha halys (Stal) (Heteroptera : Pentatomidae): A polyphagous plant pest from Asia newly detected in North America. Proc Entomol Soc Wash 105(1):225–237
Google Scholar
Hofmann ME, Hinkel J, Wrobel M (2011) Classifying knowledge on climate change impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability in Europe for informing adaptation research and decision-making: a conceptual meta-analysis. Glob Environ Change 21(3):1106–1116. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.03.011
Article
Google Scholar
Jactel H, Koricheva J, Castagneyrol B (2019) Responses of forest insect pests to climate change: not so simple. Cur Opi Insect Sci 35:103–108. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cois.2019.07.010
Article
Google Scholar
Jasper K, Calanca P, Gyalistras D, Fuhrer J (2004) Differential impacts of climate change on the hydrology of two alpine river basins. Clim Res 26(2):113–129. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr026113
Article
Google Scholar
Jonsson AM, Appelberg G, Harding S, Barring L (2009) Spatio-temporal impact of climate change on the activity and voltinism of the spruce bark beetle, Ips typographus. Global Change Biol 15(2):486–499. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01742.x
Article
Google Scholar
Kistner EJ (2017) Climate change impacts on the potential distribution and abundance of the brown marmorated stink bug (Hemiptera: Pentatomidae) with special reference to North America and Europe. Environ Entomol 46(6):1212–1224. https://doi.org/10.1093/ee/nvx157
Article
Google Scholar
Kistner-Thomas EJ (2019) The potential global distribution and voltinism of the Japanese beetle (Coleoptera: Scarabaeidae) under current and future climates. J Insect Sci 19(2). https://doi.org/10.1093/jisesa/iez023
Kocmankova E, Trnka M, Eitzinger J, Dubrovsky M, Stepanek P, Semeradova D, Balek J, Skalak P, Farda A, Juroch J, Zalud Z (2011) Estimating the impact of climate change on the occurrence of selected pests at a high spatial resolution: A novel approach. J Agric Sci 149:185–195. https://doi.org/10.1017/s0021859610001140
Article
Google Scholar
Kriticos DJ, Leriche A (2010) The effects of climate data precision on fitting and projecting species niche models. Ecography 33(1):115–127. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0587.2009.06042.x
Article
Google Scholar
Kriticos DJ, Webber BL, Leriche A, Ota N, Macadam I, Bathols J, Scott JK (2012) CliMond: global high-resolution historical and future scenario climate surfaces for bioclimatic modelling. Methods Ecol Evol 3(1):53–64. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2041-210X.2011.00134.x
Article
Google Scholar
Kriticos DJ, Brunel S, Ota N, Fried G, Lansink A, Panetta FD, Prasad TVR, Shabbir A, Yaacoby T (2015a) Downscaling pest risk analyses: identifying current and future potentially suitable habitats for Parthenium hysterophorus with particular reference to Europe and North Africa. PLoS One 10(9):e0132807. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0132807
CAS
Article
Google Scholar
Kriticos DJ, Maywald GF, Yonow T, Zurcher EJ, Hermann NI, Sutherst RW (2015b) CLIMEX Version 4: exploring the effects of climate on plants, animals and diseaes. CSIRO, Canberra
Google Scholar
Kriticos DJ, Ota N, Hutchison WD, Beddow J, Walsh T, Tay WT, Borchert DM, Paula-Moreas SV, Czepak C, Zalucki MP (2015c) The potential distribution of invading Helicoverpa armigera in North America: is it just a matter of time? PLoS One 10(3):e0119618. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0119618
CAS
Article
Google Scholar
Kriticos DJ, Kean JM, Phillips CB, Senay SD, Acosta H, Haye T (2017) The potential global distribution of the brown marmorated stink bug, Halyomorpha halys, a critical threat to plant biosecurity. J Pest Sci 90(4):1033–1043. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10340-017-0869-5
Article
Google Scholar
Langille AB, Arteca EM, Newman JA (2017) The impacts of climate change on the abundance and distribution of the spotted wing drosophila (Drosophila suzukii) in the United States and Canada. Peerj 5. https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.3192
Lee DH, Short BD, Joseph SV, Bergh JC, Leskey TC (2013) Review of the biology, ecology, and management of Halyomorpha halys (Hemiptera: Pentatomidae) in China, Japan, and the Republic of Korea. Environ Entomol 42(4):627–641. https://doi.org/10.1603/en13006
Article
Google Scholar
Leskey TC, Nielsen AL (2018) Impact of the invasive brown marmorated stink bug in North America and Europe: history, biology, ecology, and management. Annu Rev Entomol 63:599–618. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-ento-020117-043226
CAS
Article
Google Scholar
Leskey TC, Short BD, Butler BR, Wright SE (2012) Impact of the invasive brown marmorated stink bug, Halyomorpha halys, in Mid-Atlantic tree fruit orchards in the United States: case studies of commercial management. Psyche J Ent 2012:1–14. https://doi.org/10.1155/2012/535062
Article
Google Scholar
Maclean IMD, Wilson RJ (2011) Recent ecological responses to climate change support predictions of high extinction risk. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 108(30):12337–12342. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1017352108
Article
Google Scholar
Maistrello L, Vaccari G, Caruso S, Costi E, Bortolini S, Macavei L, Foca G, Ulrici A, Bortolotti PP, Nannini R, Casoli L, Fornaciari M, Mazzoli GL, Dioli P (2017) Monitoring of the invasive Halyomorpha halys, a new key pest of fruit orchards in northern Italy. J Pest Sci 90(4):1231–1244. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10340-017-0896-2
Article
Google Scholar
Meynard CN, Migeon A, Navajas M (2013) Uncertainties in predicting species distributions under climate change: a case study using Tetranychus evansi (Acari: Tetranychidae), a widespread agricultural pest. PLoS One 8(6):e66445. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0066445
CAS
Article
Google Scholar
Moraglio ST, Tortorici F, Pansa MG, Castelli G, Pontini M, Scovero S, Visentin S, Tavella L (2020) A 3-year survey on parasitism of Halyomorpha halys by egg parasitoids in northern Italy. J Pest Sci 93(1):183–194. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10340-019-01136-2
Article
Google Scholar
Musolin DL, Dolgovskaya MY, Protsenko VY, Karpun NN, Reznik SY, Saulich AK (2019) Photoperiodic and temperature control of nymphal growth and adult diapause induction in the invasive Caucasian population of the brown marmorated stink bug, Halyomorpha halys. J Pest Sci 92(2):621–631. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10340-019-01080-1
Article
Google Scholar
Nielsen AL, Hamilton GC, Matadha D (2008) Developmental rate estimation and life table analysis for Halyomorpha halys (Hemiptera : Pentatomidae). Environ Entomol 37(2):348–355. https://doi.org/10.1603/0046-225x(2008)37[348:drealt]2.0.co;2
Article
Google Scholar
Oerke EC (2006) Crop losses to pests. J Agric Sci 144:31–43. https://doi.org/10.1017/s0021859605005708
Article
Google Scholar
Olfert O, Haye T, Weiss R, Kriticos D, Kuhlmann U (2016) Modelling the potential impact of climate change on future spatial and temporal patterns of biological control agents: Peristenus digoneutis (Hymenoptera: Braconidae) as a case study. Can Entomol 148(5):579–594. https://doi.org/10.4039/tce.2016.4
Article
Google Scholar
Parmesan C, Yohe G (2003) A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature 42:37–42. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature01286
CAS
Article
Google Scholar
Porter JH, Parry ML, Carter TR (1991) The potential effects of climate change on agricultural insect pests. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 57(1-3):221–240. https://doi.org/10.1016/0168-1923(91)90088-8
Article
Google Scholar
Ramos RS, Kumar L, Shabani F, da Silva RS, de Araujo TA, Picanco MC (2019) Climate model for seasonal variation in Bemisia tabaci using CLIMEX in tomato crops. Int J Biometeorol 63(3):281–291. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-018-01661-2
Article
Google Scholar
Robinet C, Roques A (2010) Direct impacts of recent climate warming on insect populations. Integr Zool 5(2):132–142. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1749-4877.2010.00196.x
Article
Google Scholar
Roth T, Plattner M, Amrhein V (2014) Plants, birds and butterflies: Short-term responses of species communities to climate warming vary by taxon and with altitude. PLoS One 9 (1):e82490. doi:82410.81371/journal.pone.0082490
Sabbatini Peverieri G, Binazzi F, Marianelli L, Roversi PF (2018) Lethal and sublethal effects of long-lasting insecticide-treated nets on the invasive bug Halyomorpha halys. J Appl Entomol 142:141–148
CAS
Article
Google Scholar
Sauer C (2012) Die Marmorierte Baumwanze tritt neu im Deutschschweizer Gemüsebau auf. Gemüsebau Info 28:4–5
Google Scholar
Seebens H, Blackburn TM, Dyer EE, Genovesi P, Hulme PE, Jeschke JM, Pagad S, Pysek P, Winter M, Arianoutsou M, Bacher S, Blasius B, Brundu G, Capinha C, Celesti-Grapow L, Dawson W, Dullinger S, Fuentes N, Jager H, Kartesz J, Kenis M, Kreft H, Kuhn I, Lenzner B, Liebhold A, Mosena A, Moser D, Nishino M, Pearman D, Pergl J, Rabitsch W, Rojas-Sandoval J, Roques A, Rorke S, Rossinelli S, Roy HE, Scalera R, Schindler S, Stajerova K, Tokarska-Guzik B, van Kleunen M, Walker K, Weigelt P, Yamanaka T, Essl F (2017) No saturation in the accumulation of alien species worldwide. Nat Commun 8:9. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms14435
CAS
Article
Google Scholar
Stahl J, Tortorici F, Pontini M, Bon M-C, Hoelmer K, Marazzi C, Tavella L, Haye T (2019) First discovery of adventive populations of Trissolcus japonicus in Europe. J Pest Sci 92(2):371–379. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10340-018-1061-2
Article
Google Scholar
Stoeckli S, Hirschi M, Spirig C, Calanca P, Rotach MW, Samietz J (2012) Impact of climate change on voltinism and prospective diapause induction of a global pest insect - Cydia pomonella (L.). PLoS One 7 (4):e435723. doi:435710.431371/journal.pone.0035723
Thomson LJ, Macfadyen S, Hoffmann AA (2010) Predicting the effects of climate change on natural enemies of agricultural pests. Biol Control 52:296–306. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocontrol.2009.01.022
Article
Google Scholar
Trnka M, Muska F, Semeradova D, Dubrovsky M, Kocmankova E, Zalud Z (2007) European Corn Borer life stage model: regional estimates of pest development and spatial distribution under present and future climate. Ecol Model 207(2-4):61–84. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2007.04.014
Article
Google Scholar
Tylianakis JM, Didham RK, Bascompte J, Wardle DA (2008) Global change and species interactions in terrestrial ecosystems. Ecol Lett 11(12):1351–1363. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2008.01250.x
Article
Google Scholar
Tytar VM, Kozynenko II (2020) Bioclimatic modeling of the distribution of brown marmorated stink bug Halyomorpha halys (Stål, 1855), with special reference to Ukraine. Dopov Nac akad nauk Ukr 2:82–86
Article
Google Scholar
Vera MT, Rodriguez R, Segura DF, Cladera JL, Sutherst RW (2002) Potential geographical distribution of the Mediterranean fruit fly, Ceratitis capitata (Diptera : Tephritidae), with emphasis on Argentina and Australia. Environ Entomol 31(6):1009–1022. https://doi.org/10.1603/0046-225x-31.6.1009
Article
Google Scholar
Wada Y, Wisser D, Eisner S, Florke M, Gerten D, Haddeland I, Hanasaki N, Masaki Y, Portmann FT, Stacke T, Tessler Z, Schewe J (2013) Multimodel projections and uncertainties of irrigation water demand under climate change. Geophys Res Lett 40(17):4626–4632. https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50686
Article
Google Scholar
Walther GR, Post E, Convey P, Menzel A, Parmesan C, Beebee TJC, Fromentin JM, Hoegh-Guldberg O, Bairlein F (2002) Ecological responses to recent climate change. Nature 416(6879):389–395. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.ecolsys.37.091305.110100
CAS
Article
Google Scholar
Warren R, Price J, Graham E, Forstenhaeusler N, Van der Wal J (2018) The projected effect on insects, vertebrates, and plants of limiting global warming to 1.5 °C rahter than 2 °C. Science 360:791–795. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aar3646
CAS
Article
Google Scholar
Wilby RL, Troni J, Biot Y, Tedd L, Hewitson BC, Smith DM, Sutton RT (2009) A review of climate risk information for adaptation and development planning. Int J Climatol 29(9):1193–1215. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1839
Article
Google Scholar
Yonow T, Kriticos DJ, Ota N, Van Den Berg J, Hutchison WD (2017) The potential global distribution of Chilo partellus, including consideration of irrigation and cropping patterns. J Pest Sci 90(2):459–477. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10340-016-0801-4
Article
Google Scholar
Yudelman M, Ratta A, Nygaard D (1998) Pest management and food production. Looking to the future. International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington DC, USA
Ziter C, Robinson EA, Newman JA (2012) Climate change and voltinism in Californian insect pest species: sensitivity to location, scenario and climate model choice. Global Change Biol 18(9):2771–2780. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02748.x
Article
Google Scholar
Zubler EM, Fischer AM, Liniger MA, Croci-Maspoli M, Scherrer SC, Appenzeller C (2014) Localized climate change scenarios of mean temperature and precipitation over Switzerland. Clim Change 125(2):237–252. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1144-x
Article
Google Scholar