Introduction

Repeated signals of volcanic unrest in the form of increasing seismicity and long-term inflation lasting from 2003 until the recent eruption episode between November and December 2022, have fuelled speculation that Mauna Loa could enter a renewed phase of eruptive activity (e.g. La Marra et al. 2015). With 34 eruptions since 1832 (Lockwood and Lipman 1987), averaging one eruption every 5.26 years, Mauna Loa is not only the largest and most voluminous (~ 80,000 km3, e.g. Garcia et al. 1995; Lipman 1995) but also one of the Earth’s most active volcanoes (Trusdell 2012). Its eruptive activity is characterised by summit and flank eruptions. Summit eruptions are constrained to the oval-shaped summit caldera Moku‘āweoweo, whereas rift zone eruptions usually commence with summit activity, but terminate with more voluminous eruptions along either of its two rift zones (e.g. Lockwood and Lipman 1987; Rhodes 1995; Trusdell 2012). The Northeast Rift Zone (NERZ) extends east-northeast from the summit caldera for about 40 km (Fig. 1a), before it becomes progressively wider and more diffuse and is buried by younger Kīlauea lavas (Rhodes 1995). Since 1843, the NERZ has been the eruptive locus for 26% of the eruptions (e.g. Trusdell 1995). The Southwest Rift Zone (SWRZ) is the longer of the two rift zones, its subaerial part stretches over 70 km in length and extends much further below sea level, and it has been the source for 25% of the eruptions (Lockwood and Lipman 1987; Rhodes 1995; Trusdell 1995). High effusion rates (~ 9.6km/h, Honukua flow of the 1950 SWRZ eruption; Finch and Macdonald 1953) combined with steep slopes (>15° degree) result in fast moving lava flows, and the close proximity of developed areas (e.g. South Kona, Ka‘ū) leave little time for evacuations, ultimately presenting a major threat to communities and settlements in the event of an eruption emerging from Mauna Loa’s SWRZ (Trusdell 1995, 2012).

Fig. 1
figure 1figure 1

a Google Earth overview image of the island of Hawai‘i showing the location of Mauna Loa and its two rift zones: SWRZ, Southwest Rift Zone; NERZ, Northeast Rift Zone (figure modified from Couperthwaite et al. 2022). Yellow rectangle showing the location of the 1950 AD eruption site along the SWRZ. b Map displaying the 1950 AD lava flow field and the eruptive fissure system that opened along the SWRZ of Mauna Loa. Filled triangles: sample locations of the nine near-vent 1950 AD samples considered in this study. A–G: 1950 AD lava flows. A: Upper rift flow; B: upper flank flow; C: Honukua flow; D: Ka‘ohe flow; E: Punalu‘u flow; F: Ka‘apuna flow; G: Kahuku flow. 1: First fissure segment that opened between ~ 3,658 m and 3,353 m a.s.l. 2: Second fissure segment that unzipped between 3,200 and 2,590 m a.s.l. Figure redrawn from Finch and Macdonald (1953).

The 1950 AD eruption and its precursors

The 1950 AD eruption ranks as one of the largest at Hawai‘i of the past 200 years (Lockwood and Lipman 1987). During a 23-day period in June 1950, a total volume of 376×106m3 of lava (>70% erupted during the first 2 days) erupted from an ~ 18-km-long series of fissures extending from ~ 3,658 down to 2,590 m a.s.l. elevation along the SWRZ (Lockwood and Lipman 1987; Finch and Macdonald 1953). The 1950 AD eruption was preceded by three eruptions in 1940 AD (summit), 1942 AD (NERZ), and 1949 AD (summit). For several months after the 1949 AD summit eruption, a lack of westward tilt on Kīlauea’s summit was suggestive of continued magmatic pressurisation of the Mauna Loa edifice (Finch and Macdonald 1953). In March 1950, inflation of Mauna Loa was recorded by eastward tilting at Kīlauea (Finch and Macdonald 1953). The eruption onset was heralded by seismic swarms beginning on March 25 and becoming more frequent in the days and hours before the onset of eruptive activity (June 1), culminating in a magnitude 6.4 earthquake on May 29 beneath Mauna Loa’s west flank (Wyss and Koyanagi 1992; Finch and Macdonald 1953). On the night of June 1, 1950, eruptive fissures opened along the summit and uppermost SWRZ (Fig. 1b) of Mauna Loa (Finch and Macdonald 1953). The first 2.4-km-long fissure segment (indicated as 1 in Fig. 1b) opened between ~ 3,658 m and 3,353 m a.s.l. and gave rise to minor lava effusions that ceased after a few hours. The second fissure segment (indicated as 2 in Fig. 1b) unzipped that same night between 3,200 and 2,590 m a.s.l. Eruptive activity along the upper portion of the second fissure segment lasted for about a week, whereas the lower sections remained active for 3 weeks (Finch and Macdonald 1953). On June 23, the eruptive activity ceased and a compound lava flow field covering a total area of 112 km2 had formed (Lockwood and Lipman 1987). A total of seven lava flows advanced downslope, three to the southeast and four to the west (Finch and Macdonald 1953). The combination of steep slopes and high lava output rates (maximum 1000 m3/s; average >350 m3/s; Kauahikaua et al. 2003) enabled some of the 1950 lava flows to reach maximum speeds of up to 3–4m/s while propagating downslope towards the ocean (Finch and Macdonald 1953). Flows originating from lower elevation fissures made it to the South Kona coast in as little as 3 h (Trusdell 1995), endangering lives, destroying property, and severing essential infrastructure.

This study

Despite the large body of research done on Mauna Loa, knowledge of the timing and duration of magma transfer and residence throughout its internal plumbing system is limited (Couperthwaite et al. 2020; Couperthwaite et al. 2022). In this study, we use a quantitative petrological approach that links major and minor element geochemistry of mineral (mainly olivine) and melt phases (groundmass glass and melt inclusions) with geothermometry and diffusion modelling to constrain pre-eruptive magma storage conditions and timescales of deep mush disintegration and mobilisation in the run-up towards the 1950 AD eruption. We approach this by studying a suite (n=9) of near-vent, lava (n=6), and spatter (n=3) samples that were erupted from vents that opened progressively between ~ 3,660 and 2,590 m during the first 24 h of the eruption (Fig. 1b). Petrologic details of these samples are evaluated within the context of bulk rock and glass major element chemistry of over 100 samples collected along the entire extent of fissure vents. The entire 1950 AD suite is listed along with location, lithologic type, and vent elevation in Supplementary Data table S1. In this contribution, we start with a brief description of petrography, mineral, glass (groundmass, melt inclusions), and whole rock chemistry, followed by a brief summary of olivine zoning types and olivine-melt equilibria. We then apply mineral-melt thermometry to constrain T conditions of magma storage and use this information to provide context for Fe-Mg olivine diffusion chronometry to develop a conceptual model of the magmatic events that lead to the 1950 AD eruption.

Methods

Major and minor elements were analysed in 45 groundmass glasses (n=422 spot analysis), 20 olivine-hosted melt inclusion glasses (n=28 spot analysis), 183 olivine, 31 orthopyroxene, 6 clinopyroxene, 20 plagioclase, and 40 spinel crystals by electron microprobe analysis using the JEOL JXA 8230 instrument at the University of Leeds Microscopy and Spectroscopy Centre (olivine and pyroxene analysis), the JEOL 8230 SuperProbe instrument at the University of Iceland (melt inclusion glass and spinel analysis), JEOL 8900 instrument at the USGS Denver Microbeam Facility (groundmass glass analysis), and the JEOL SuperProbe JXA-iSP100 instrument at the electron microscopy lab for Geomaterials at Heidelberg University (plagioclase analysis). We used an accelerating voltage of 15 kV; beam currents of 10 nA (plagioclase, melt inclusion glasses), 20 nA (groundmass glasses and spinel), and 30 nA (olivine, ortho- and clinopyroxene); and beam spot sizes ranging from fully focussed (olivine, spinel, ortho- and clinopyroxene) to a diameter of 5 μm (plagioclase), 10 μm (melt inclusions), and 10–20 μm (groundmass glasses). A list of primary standards used for calibration, including peak and background count times, is provided in the Supplementary Material table 1. Precision was assessed using EPMA software-calculated 1 sigma count statistic errors (Wieser et al. 2022) and repeat analysis of the VG-A99 basalt glass standard (see Supplementary Material). Accuracy was monitored by measuring the following secondary standards during each session: plagioclase (anorthite) from Great Sitkin Island, Alaska (NMNH137041); GEO2 MKII olivine; GEO2 MKII diopside; and basalt glass VG-A99 (USNM 113498-1; Makaopuhi Lava Lake). Precision and accuracy estimates are provided in the Supplementary Material.

Concentrations of major elements in whole rocks were measured at the USGS Denver XRF Laboratory using wavelength-dispersive spectrometry X-ray fluorescence techniques described by Taggart et al. (1987). Samples were crushed using a ceramic alumina rocker and platen and powdered in an alumina shatterbox (e.g. Thornber et al. 2002). Repeated XRF analyses of the two USGS Kīlauea whole-rock standards BHVO-1 and BHVO-2 were performed as analytical control. Standard reproducibilities (at 1 sigma error) are 0.007 wt% for K2O, 0.0003 wt% for MnO, 0.02 wt% for TiO2 and P2O5, 0.008 wt% for CaO, 0.1 wt% for Na2O, 0.06 wt% for Al2O3, 0.08 wt% forFe2O3* (total-iron), 0.06 wt% for MgO, and 0.1 wt% for SiO2.

Diffusive anisotropy in olivine was corrected for by characterizing the orientation of the crystallographic a-, b-, and c-directions in olivine using electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD) mapping (Costa and Chakraborty 2004; Prior et al. 1999) on the FEI Quanta 650 FEGSEM at the University of Leeds Electron Microscopy and Spectroscopy Centre (LEMAS). EBSD data were acquired using an accelerating voltage of 20.0 kV, a working distance of 27.2 mm, a specimen tilt of 69.8°, and a detector insertion distance of 207 mm (Kahl et al. 2017). Details on EBSD analysis are available in the Supplementary Material.

All melt inclusion (MI) compositions (n=28) were corrected for post-entrapment crystallisation (PEC) that took place during natural quenching. Details on PEC correction are available in the Supplementary Material and Fig. S1.

Petrography

In this study we focus on nine near-vent samples that were erupted from mid- to lower elevation vents (3,292 to 2,347 m; Fig. 1b) representing basaltic lava flow or spatter samples (see Supplementary Data table S1) with porphyritic (porphyritic index ~ 5–30%) and scoriaceous textures containing ubiquitous macrocrysts of olivine, orthopyroxene, clinopyroxene, and rare plagioclase, embedded in a fine-grained, glassy to hypocrystalline, intersertal groundmass. The term macrocryst is used to refer to crystals with a minimum long axis length of >0.5 mm (e.g. Thomson and Maclennan 2013), without genetic implications. The groundmass usually consists of microlites of plagioclase, clinopyroxene, occasionally olivine, and minor spinel. Samples that erupted from higher vent elevations (>3,400 m) are plagioclase- and clinopyroxene-phyric with rare orthopyroxene and disaggregated glomerophyric gabbro and rare gabbro-norite clusters (Thornber and Trusdell 2008). Samples from higher vent elevations are olivine poor (Finch and Macdonald 1953) and will not be discussed in this study. The following descriptions refer to mineral phases contained in mid- to lower elevation vent samples.

Olivine (Fo70–89; table S2) is mostly sub- or anhedral with crystal sizes ranging between 0.2 and 2.3 mm (long axis). Normal and complex reverse zoning, inclusions of spinel (mostly Cr-rich spinel), and partially re-crystallised MIs are common. Rims are usually anhedral and strongly embayed or rounded with occasional dendritic or hopper morphologies. Olivine-orthopyroxene-clinopyroxene-plagioclase glomerocrysts are also observed (Fig. S2).

Orthopyroxene (Wo5, En68-79, Fs15-27, and Mg#69-86; table S3) forms euhedral to subhedral crystals with sizes between 0.2 and 2.1 mm (long axis). Besides weak oscillatory and sector zoning, orthopyroxenes display pronounced normal, reverse, and complex zoning, the latter with normally zoned cores and reverse zoning towards the outermost rims. Reversely zoned orthopyroxenes often contain anhedral, resorbed low-Mg cores overgrown by Mg-rich rims. Rims of normal, reverse, and complexly zoned orthopyroxenes are eu- to subhedral and occasionally overgrown by clinopyroxene. Orthopyroxene forms glomerocrysts or cognate xenoliths with clinopyroxene, plagioclase, olivine, and other orthopyroxenes (Fig. S3).

Clinopyroxene (Wo26-40, En46-60, Fs9-18, and Mg#73-86; table S3) forms sub- to anhedral crystals with sizes between 0.3 and 2.3 mm (long axis). Besides oscillatory and sector zoning, clinopyroxene crystals also display reverse zoning with corroded low-Mg cores overgrown by Mg-rich rims. Rims are often sub- to anhedral, occasionally oscillatory zoned and may contain plagioclase microlites from the surrounding groundmass. Clinopyroxene occasionally forms glomerophyric clusters with orthopyroxene, plagioclase, and olivine (Fig. S4).

Plagioclase (An59-82; table S4) forms eu- to subhedral crystals of 0.2–1.2 mm (long axis). Besides oscillatory zoning, plagioclase displays weak normal and reverse zoning. Rims are often eu- to subhedral. Plagioclase rarely occurs as macrocrysts but usually forms glomerophyric clusters with orthopyroxene and clinopyroxene (Fig. S5).

Chromium-spinel (Mg#41-60; Cr#57-70; table S5) forms euhedral to anhedral crystals of variable size (0.03 to <0.3 mm) that commonly occur as inclusions in olivine. Spinel also occurs in the groundmass and in interstices between adjacent olivine macrocrysts in glomerocrysts. As inclusions in olivine, spinel crystals are usually euhedral to subhedral.

Mineral, glass, and whole-rock compositions

Glass and whole-rock compositions

Groundmass glass and PEC-corrected melt inclusion compositions along with whole-rock compositions are depicted in Fig. 2 and in figure S6 (all glass and whole-rock data are provided in tables S6S8). Glass and whole-rock compositions from the entire 1950 AD sample suite show well-defined peaks in kernel density estimate (KDE) plots illustrating the distribution of the MgO content (Fig. 2a). Groundmass glass compositions have MgO contents within the range 5.1–7.2 wt% (Mg#liquid 47.1–62.3) with a mean of 6.3 wt% (mean Mg#liquid 54.5). Whole-rock compositions display a larger compositional variability with MgO contents ranging between 6.3 and 12.8 wt% MgO. PEC-corrected olivine-hosted (Fo82-89) melt inclusions from lower-vent elevations (2,736–2,353 m; Fig. 2b) are more variable than groundmass glasses and plot at comparatively higher MgO, between 7.0 and 10.0 wt% (mean 8.6 wt%), with Mg#liquid 59–70.4.

Fig. 2
figure 2

a Kernel density estimates (KDEs) illustrating MgO contents of groundmass glasses, PEC-corrected melt inclusions, and whole rocks of the 1950 AD eruption of Mauna Loa. b MgO content of eruption products versus vent elevation. Yellow-filled circles and red crosses: average glass and whole rock data of samples studied in more detail in this study. Error bars, 1σ

Figure 2b illustrates the variability of the MgO content in the analysed glasses and whole rocks as a function of eruption vent elevation (metres a.s.l.). Glass and whole-rock compositions that erupted from vents higher than ~ 3,400 m partly overlap, with MgO contents between 5.4 and 6.9 wt% (Mg#liquid 48.7–57.4). Chemically evolved, low-MgO and low-Fo olivine material that erupted from vents > 3,400 m represents a low-pressure fractionated magma component consistent with shallow residual magma remnant of the 1949 AD summit eruptions or earlier shallow intrusions (Thornber and Trusdell 2008).

MgO contents of glasses and whole rocks from vents < 3,400 m become widely decoupled. Whole-rock compositions become more magnesian (6.4–12.9 wt% MgO) with decreasing vent elevation. Groundmass glass compositions are also more Mg-rich, reaching maximum MgO contents of 7.3 wt% (Mg#liquid 58.5) at an elevation of ~ 2,963 m, before becoming again less magnesian at lower elevations.

Variability diagrams summarised in figure S6 show that despite large differences in their MgO contents, the glasses and whole rocks of the 1950 AD eruption have very similar and overlapping SiO2 (50.6–55.0 wt%), TiO2 (0.9–2.7 wt%), CaO (9.2–11.2 wt%), Al2O3 (12.3–15.2 wt%), and K2O (0.2–0.6 wt%) contents.

Samples studied in detail were erupted from vent elevations < 3,400 m (Fig. 2b; yellow-filled circles and red crosses) with whole-rock and glass MgO contents ranging between 5.6 and 12.9 wt%.

Olivine

Kernel density estimates (KDEs) showing forsterite distributions of 183 olivine core and rim compositions from 9 near-vent samples that erupted from elevations < 3,400 m during the eruption are illustrated in Fig. 3. In the following, we describe how olivine core and rim compositions vary with vent elevation. KDE diagrams illustrating forsterite distributions are arranged according to decreasing vent elevations, beginning with olivines that were erupted from the highest elevations (Fig. 3 a–f).

Fig. 3
figure 3

Kernel density estimates (KDEs) depicting forsterite content (Fo) distribution of olivine cores and rims from samples that erupted from vents at different elevations along the 1950 AD fissure system. Box plots for olivine core (coloured boxes) and rim (white boxes) compositions with median values (black vertical line). Error bar, 2σ

ML-22B and ML-22C olivines (Fig. 3 a) were erupted from an elevation of 3,292 m, having compositions of Fo79-87. Olivine cores are within the range Fo82.8-86.8 with peaks at ~ Fo86.0. Rim compositions range between Fo78.7 and Fo83.3 with a median at Fo80.7.

ML-05 olivines (Fig. 3 b) were erupted from lower elevations at 2,996 m, with compositions of Fo78.6-88.5. Core compositions range between Fo81.8 and Fo88.5 with bimodal peaks at ~ Fo83 and ~ Fo88 (median value: Fo84.5). Olivine rims range between Fo78.6 and Fo87.0, with a median at Fo84.2.

ML-49 olivines (Fig. 3 c) are from vent elevations at 2,736 m, with core compositions between Fo79.4-88.4 and a median of Fo84.9. Olivine rims range between Fo80.0-81.8 with a defined peak at Fo81.2.

ML-58A, ML-58C, and ML-58D olivines (Fig. 3 d) were erupted from the same elevation at 2,670 m. Olivine cores display the most primitive compositions within the range Fo78.0-89.1 (ML-58D: Fo78.0-88.3; ML-58C: Fo83.0-88.6; ML-58A: Fo80.9-89.1), with median values of Fo85 (ML58-D) and Fo87 (ML-58A and ML-58C) and combined median of Fo86.1 (Fig. 3 d). Olivine rims range between Fo77.9 and Fo88.6 (ML-58D: Fo79.4-82.7; ML-58C: Fo80.2-88.6; ML-58A: Fo77.9-82.5), with peaks at Fo80.7 and Fo81.8 (ML-58D and ML-58C) and Fo79.6 (ML-58A; combined median: Fo80.1).

L02-565 and L02-566 olivines (Fig. 3 e, f) were erupted from the lowest elevations at 2353 m (L02-565) and 2347 m (L02-566), showing the largest compositional range between Fo70.2 and Fo88.8. Olivine cores range between Fo80.6-88.8 (L02-565) and Fo81.2-88.4 (L02-566), with median values of Fo84.7, respectively. Olivine rims are shifted towards more evolved compositions between Fo70.2 and Fo82.9 with median values of Fo76.5 (L02-565) and Fo77.8 (L02-566).

Observed overall olivine core compositions (n=183) span a wide range between Fo78.0 and Fo89.1. The vast majority (61%) fall within the range Fo82.5-87. Twenty-seven percent are within the narrow range Fo87-89 (i.e. compositional range of accumulated high forsterite olivines contained in historical Mauna Loa picrites; Rhodes 1995), and 12% display more evolved compositions of Fo78-82.5 (i.e. compositional range typical for liquidus olivines crystallising from Mauna Loa reservoir lavas; Rhodes 1995).

Minor element (NiO, MnO, CaO, and Ni/Mn) versus forsterite content variation diagrams of the olivine core and rim compositions are shown in figure S7. Olivine cores and rims show a positive correlation between forsterite and NiO (Fig. S7). The cores (Fo78-89) have NiO contents within the range 0.20–0.46 wt% and the rims (Fo70-89) are between 0.14 and 0.38 wt%. MnO displays a negative trend with increasing forsterite content (Fig. S7). Olivine cores and rims range between 0.13–0.26 wt% and 0.16–0.31 wt%, respectively. CaO shows a weak negative correlation with forsterite content (Fig. S7). Core CaO concentration ranges from 0.19 to 0.28 wt% and rims range from 0.21 to 0.49 wt%.

Ni/Mn ratios display a positive trend with increasing forsterite content (Fig. S7). Low-forsterite (Fo≤82) olivine cores and rims have Ni/Mn ratios between 0.14 and 1.72, whereas high-forsterite (Fo≥87) olivine cores and rims display ratios ranging from 1.63 to 3.08.

The analysed olivines are also characterised by variable zonation sense and pattern (Figs. 4 and 5). The majority (81%; Fig. 5a) of the olivine crystals are characterised by simple, single-step normal zonation with extensive core plateaux of variable composition (Fo78-89) followed by decreasing forsterite contents towards the rims (Fig. 4a–d). Fourteen percent (Fig. 5a) display complex zoning, with reversely zoned crystal interiors of variable composition (Fo78-87) followed by high-forsterite mantles (Fo83-88) and normally zoned outermost rims with decreasing forsterite contents (Fig. 4a–d). Only five percent (Fig. 5a) of the crystals are characterised by homogenous profiles (flat; Fo79-89).

Fig. 4
figure 4

Olivine zoning patterns. a–d Different types of normal (types 1–3) and complex/ reverse (types 4–6) zoning identified in the 1950 AD olivine crystals are distinguished by colour. For more details about zoning types, see main text. Coloured lines: rim-to-core and rim-to-rim forsterite (100 × (Mg/(Mg+Fe2+)) concentration profiles. Dark and bright grey bars next to each plot indicate the range of rim compositions in complex reverse (‘C’) and normally (‘N’) zoned olivines. The number of crystals considered (n=174) is less than the total number of crystals (n=183). This is deliberate as 5% (n=9) of the olivines do not display any systematic zoning pattern and are therefore not considered in this plot. Dark grey shaded area: compositional range of accumulated high forsterite (Fo87-89) olivine cargo identified in historical Mauna Loa picrites (Rhodes 1995). Light grey area: range of typical liquidus olivine compositions (Fo78-82) crystallising from Mauna Loa reservoir lavas (Rhodes 1995).

Fig. 5
figure 5

Frequency distribution of olivine zoning types among the studied 1950 AD samples. a Histogram showing the frequency of normally (n=148), complexly/reversely (n=26), and unzoned (n=9) olivine crystals. b Histogram detailing the proportion and frequency of the six different zoning types (types 1–3: normal; types 4–6: complex reverse) across the studied sample suite.

Based on different core compositional plateaux, six different olivine zoning types (3 normal and 3 complex) can be distinguished (Figs. 4 and 5b). Table 1 lists the characteristics of each zoning type and their abundance in the studied 1950 sample record.

Table 1 Summary of olivine zoning types

Olivine-melt equilibria

Groundmass glass and PEC-corrected melt inclusion compositions were used to investigate olivine-melt relationships and to test whether the olivines were in chemical equilibrium with their host melts at the time of eruption. Groundmass glass and PEC-corrected melt inclusion compositions of the 1950 AD eruption products investigated in this study (Fig. 2b) have MgO contents ranging between 5.6 and 10 wt.% with corresponding Mg-numbers (Mg#liquid) of 49.2–70.4 (tables S7S8).

Figure 6 illustrates the range of olivine compositions calculated to be in equilibrium with groundmass glasses (Fig. 6a) and PEC-corrected melt inclusions (Fig. 6b) for samples that erupted from different vent elevations (i.e. 3292–2347m). Predicted olivine-melt equilibrium compositions are provided in tables S7 and S8. Equilibrium compositions were calculated using the models of Roeder and Emslie (1970; KD = 0.3 ± 0.03 [1SEE; standard error of estimate]), Matzen et al. (2011; KD = 0.343 ± 0.008 [1SEE]), and Shea et al. (2022; KD = 0.335 ± 0.001 [1SEE]) assuming Fe3+/FeT = 0.15 (Moussallam et al. 2016; Helz et al. 2017; Wieser et al. 2021; Couperthwaite et al. 2022) to provide the most appropriate envelope for olivine-melt equilibrium calculations.

Fig. 6
figure 6

Olivine-melt equilibrium relations. a Groundmass glass (GG) Mg numbers (Mg# = 100×Mg/(Mg+Fe2+)) plotted against olivine core (filled circles) and rim (filled diamonds) forsterite contents. b PEC-corrected melt inclusion Mg-numbers plotted against combined olivine core compositions from all samples studied. Grey (‘R&E’), blue (‘M’), and green (‘S’) solid curves mark the equilibrium fields for Fe-Mg partitioning of Roeder and Emslie (1970; KD of 0.3 ±0.03), Matzen et al. (2011; KD of 0.343 ±0.008), and Shea et al. (2022; KD of 0.335 ±0.01). Mg numbers were calculated assuming Fe3+/FeT = 0.15 (Mousallam et al. 2016; Helz et al. 2017; Wieser et al. 2021; Couperthwaite et al. 2022).

The majority (87%) of olivine rim compositions (Fo73-83) appear to be in equilibrium with their respective carrier liquids (Mg#liquid 49.2–56.4; MgO 5.6–6.8 wt%), with the exception of some more evolved olivine rims (L02-566; Fig. 6a), which appear to have crystallised from melts more evolved than the matrix glass. Most olivine cores (86%) are more primitive than the carrier liquid compositions (Fig. 6a). They appear, however, to be in equilibrium with a range of primitive melt inclusion compositions (Mg#liquid 59–70.4; MgO 7.0–10.0 wt%; Fig. 6b).

The combined olivine-melt relationship data allows us to identify phenocrystic (in chemical equilibrium with the carrier liquid) and antecrystic (not in chemical equilibrium with the carrier liquid but originated in the same magmatic system; e.g. Streck 2008; Davidson et al. 2007) olivine populations. Most 1950 AD olivine rims (87%) represent phenocrystic material, whereas the olivine cores (86%) represent antecrystic material, too primitive to be in equilibrium with the carrier liquid. This feature is fairly common for Hawaiian olivine cores (e.g. Lynn et al. 2017; Thornber et al. 2003; Thornber 2001; Garcia et al. 2000; Garcia 1996; Garcia et al. 1995; Rhodes 1995) suggesting that they were possibly assembled from different parts of the plumbing system.

Geothermometry

Mineral-melt and melt-only thermometry was applied to constrain the thermochemical conditions of magma storage. Groundmass glass and PEC-corrected melt inclusion temperatures were calculated using the glass-composition-based thermometers of Montierth et al. (Montierth et al. 1995; SEE = ±10°) and Shea et al. (Shea et al. 2022; SEE = ±13°C). Olivine-melt temperatures were calculated using Eqs. 19 and 20 from Putirka (Putirka 2008; SEE = ±44°) based on the Beattie (1993) model, using the Herzberg and O’Hara (2002) pressure correction. Olivine-melt equilibrium pairs were selected using the updated KD values of Matzen et al. (2011) and Shea et al. (2022) assuming anhydrous (<1 wt% H2O; Hauri 2002) conditions and Fe3+/FeT = 0.15. Orthopyroxene-melt temperatures were calculated using Eqs. 28a (SEE = ±28°C) and 28b (SEE = ±48°C) from Putirka (2008). Orthopyroxene-melt pairs were filtered carefully following the equilibrium test (i.e., \({K}_{\textrm{D}}^{\textrm{opx}-\textrm{liq}}=0.4805-0.3773\times {x}_{\textrm{Si}}^{\textrm{liq}}\)) outlined in Putirka (2008). Equilibrium was considered if \(\Delta {K}_{\textrm{D}}^{\textrm{opx}-\textrm{liq}}\) values were within ±0.06 of equilibrium values assuming anhydrous (<1 wt% H2O) conditions and Fe3+/FeT = 0.15. To retrieve the full thermal history, we aimed at matching macrocryst cores with PEC-corrected melt inclusion (Mg#liq 59–70) and rims with groundmass glass (Mg#liq 48–58) compositions. Some rim compositions in reversely zoned olivine and orthopyroxenes are more primitive than the groundmass glass compositions; hence, those were matched with melt inclusion compositions. Kernel density estimates (KDEs) showing melt-only and mineral-melt temperature distributions for the Mauna Loa 1950 AD samples are summarised in figure S8.

Olivine and orthopyroxene cores (Fo78-88; Mg#75-84) record temperatures within the range 1174–1269 °C with mean values of 1226±25 °C and 1213±15 °C. Rims (Fo73-87; Mg#76-85) record slightly lower temperatures of 1151–1265 °C with means of 1185±14 °C and 1205±18 °C (Fig. S8).

Glass temperatures are widely consistent with mineral-melt temperatures recording 1135–1172 °C with mean values of 1158±8 °C (Montierth et al. 1995) and 1151±7 °C (Shea et al. 2022) for groundmass glasses. Primitive PEC-corrected melt inclusions (Mg#liq68–70.4) register 1213–1243 °C with mean values of 1237±6 °C (Montierth et al. 1995) and 1225±6 °C (Shea et al. 2022). Intermediate MIs (Mg#liq59–67) record temperatures of 1166–1215 °C with means of 1199±13 °C (Montierth et al. 1995) and 1190±12 °C (Shea et al. 2022). We note that glass temperatures reflect the same variations as whole-rock and glass compositions with decreasing vent elevation. Glass temperatures increase with decreasing vent elevation reaching a maximum of 1172±3 °C (Montierth et al. 1995) (Mg#liquid 58; 7.3 wt% MgO) at an elevation of ~ 2963 m before decreasing again (table S7).

Diffusion chronometry

One hundred three time estimates from modelling the diffusive relaxation of Fe-Mg zoning profiles in 93 olivine crystals have been obtained using Autodiff, an objective, rapid-modelling approach that exploits the self-similarity of one-dimensional diffusion profiles with similar boundary conditions to allow timescales to be determined quickly (Kahl et al. 2022; Couperthwaite et al. 2021, 2020; Pankhurst et al. 2018; Allan et al. 2017; Hartley et al. 2016). Of the 183 olivine crystals analysed, only 93 were suitable for diffusion modelling. Nine crystals were unzoned and the remaining 81 olivines were rejected due to either (1) analytical difficulties or (2) the compositional gradient in the profiles was noticeably affected by crystal growth and/or apparent changes in boundary conditions (Couperthwaite et al. 2020). We applied step (square wave) or externally buffered boundary conditions depending on the shape of the concentration profile and its position within the crystal. In this study, we focused on Fe-Mg zoning in olivine, using the updated (corrected) version of the Fe-Mg diffusion coefficients obtained by Dohmen et al. (2007) and Dohmen and Chakraborty (2007) as quoted in Chakraborty (2010), accounting for composition dependence, anisotropy, oxygen fugacity, and potentially variable diffusion mechanism. Anisotropy-corrected diffusivities were calculated by Autodiff for each traverse based on the angles between the analytical traverse and the olivine’s a-, b-, and c-axes. For this purpose, the orientation and the angular relation of the crystallographic a-, b-, and c-axes in the analysed olivine crystals were determined using EBSD (see Analytical Methods, Supplementary Material and table S9). A detailed explanation of the Autodiff diffusion modelling approach is provided in Couperthwaite et al. (2020, 2021) and Kahl et al. (2022). Examples of best-fit models are shown in Fig. 7 (modelling results are provided in table S10). The number of independent estimates (n=103) is larger than the number of crystals modelled (n=93) because some crystals record multistage events, which were modelled stepwise.

Fig. 7
figure 7

Data and best-fit olivine Fe-Mg diffusion models for the different olivine populations (types 1–5) identified in the 1950 AD samples. a Backscattered electron (BSE) images of analysed olivine macrocrysts. White arrows: positions of microanalytical traverses. b Stereographic lower-hemisphere plots depicting the angular relations between the main crystallographic axes in olivine and the directions of analytical traverses (‘x’ marked ‘trav.’). c Measured electron microprobe (EPMA; filled circles) and BSE calibrated (grey diamonds) forsterite rim-to-core profiles. Orange curves: best-fit diffusion models and calculated uncertainties.

Olivines were modelled using temperatures of 1154–1188 °C for the rims and 1234 ±6 °C for the interiors of complex reversely zoned crystals. The selected temperatures are consistent with constraints using olivine-liquid (Eqs. 19 and 20; Putirka 2008) and liquid-only thermometry (Montierth et al. 1995; Shea et al. 2022) in groundmass glasses and olivine-hosted melt inclusions. For all models, oxygen fugacity conditions were set at the QFM buffer (e.g. Gerlach 1993; Couperthwaite et al. 2022). Due to a general paucity of robust magma storage depth constraints for Mauna Loa in comparison to neighbouring Kīlauea volcano, we decided to set pressures for the olivine diffusion models to a maximum of 0.38 GPa. This is consistent with the maximum depth (~ 15 km) of seismicity that was detected preceding the 1975, 1984, and 2000 AD eruptions of Mauna Loa (see ‘Discussion’ below). Although pressure has a negligible effect on diffusion model uncertainties, we note that the compositional and textural heterogeneity inherent to the 1950 AD crystal cargo suggests complex and possibly multilevel magmatic storage histories (see ‘Discussion’ below). To account for multilevel magma ponding and crystal entrainment, we have calculated the effect different pressures have on the overall diffusion modelling timescales. For instance, modelling type 2 and 4 (Fo82.5-87) olivines at pressures (~ 0.27 GPa) corresponding to intermediate level storage and magma mixing (~ 10 km; depth of the décollement between the volcano and the oceanic crust, e.g. Wilding et al. 2023; see ‘Discussion’ below) will reduce the diffusion modelling timescales by ~ 5% on average (i.e. 65 days will reduce to 62 days). More evolved types 3 and 5 (Fo78-82.5) are similar in composition to typical reservoir lava olivines (Fo77-82; Rhodes 1995). Hence, modelling these more evolved olivine types at pressures (<0.1GPa) corresponding to the depths of the shallow summit magma reservoir (~ 3–5 km; Rhodes 1988; Garcia et al. 1995; Rhodes 1995) will reduce the diffusion timescales by ~ 9% on average (i.e. 65 days will reduce to 59 days). Primitive type 1 and 6 (Fo87-89) olivines coexisting and intergrown with Mg-rich orthopyroxene (Mg#) indicating deep, near-Moho (~ 0.6 GPa) magma storage will increase the diffusion timescales by ~ 8% on average (i.e. 65 days will increase to 70 days). The observed changes in the diffusion timescales are minimal and within the calculated 1 sigma uncertainty of ±0.28 log units on each timescale.

Modelling complex crystals—combined diffusion and growth

Initially, all zoning types were considered for modelling with Autodiff, with the more complexly zoned types 4, 5, and 6 broken into two segments representing internal reverse zones and external normal zoning. Simplistic modelling of the reverse zones using rim temperatures typically yields long timescales of hundreds to thousands of days, in contrast with normally zoned rims of much shorter duration. Despite in some cases quite good fits to curves, we believe that simplistic models in this case are potentially misleading. First, reverse zones, especially ones that link up with later normal zoning, do not preserve a defined plateau composition for the high-forsterite end of the model. Therefore, any high forsterite value that is preserved in the profile will be an underestimate relative to the true value that drove diffusion. Second, it is reasonable to infer that the high forsterite values present in these zones may represent residence at higher temperatures than the rim equilibrium. Therefore, any diffusion modelling that uses the rim equilibria to inform temperature may significantly underestimate the related timescale through being unrealistically cold. Combining the two aspects, temperatures may have been required which exceed those related to any forsterite value preserved in the post-diffusion profile. A further consideration is that type 4 and type 5 profiles show reverse and normal components that interact diffusively. To run them independently is to impose an artificial division into the profile which is not borne out by subsequent evolution. To reconcile this, we have expanded upon the variable boundary-condition modelling used by Couperthwaite et al. (2021), to undertake modelling with variable boundary conditions which allow for heating and cooling as well as crystal growth. Details of the combined diffusion and growth (CDG) modelling applied to model complex olivine zoning are provided in the Supplementary Material and table S10.

Overall olivine Fe-Mg diffusion timescales calculated in this study range between 1 and 572 days (~ 1.6 years) with an average uncertainty on each timescale of ±0.28 log units (1σ). The median timescale is 43 days with 71% (n=73) of the timescales being shorter than 3 months (~ 92 days).

Discussion

Conditions and depth of magma storage

Although magma storage depths beneath Mauna Loa are less well-constrained than for neighbouring Kīlauea, the existence of discrete storage zones characterised as regions of high seismic velocities (6.5–7.5 km/s) has been identified at a depth range of ~ 0–10 km beneath the summit and ~ 0–6 km beneath Mauna Loa’s lower SWRZ (Couperthwaite et al. 2022; Poland et al. 2014; Lin et al. 2014; Park et al. 2007; Okubo et al. 1997). This depth range roughly coincides with the depths of shallow- (0–5 km) and intermediate-level (5–15 km) seismicity preceding the 1975 (NE and SW rift zone) 1984 and 2022 (NERZ) AD eruptions of Mauna Loa (Lockwood et al. 1987; Decker et al. 1995; Couperthwaite et al. 2020). A shallow magma reservoir at a depth of 3–4 km beneath the summit caldera of Mauna Loa has been identified by Decker et al. (1983) coinciding with the detection of high seismic velocity bodies in this region. Recent efforts combining high-resolution earthquake relocation with deep learning algorithms enabled mapping of potential magma pathways connecting a deep (36 to 43 km) and extensive (15 km long) mantle sill complex (Pāhala sill complex) with the plumbing networks of Kīlauea and Mauna Loa following the 2018 Kīlauea caldera collapse (Wilding et al. 2023). The seismic structure (Pāhala-Mauna Loa seismicity band) connecting the Pāhala sill complex with the edifice of Mauna Loa terminates beneath the décollement, a zone with a clustering of long-period earthquakes at a depth of 10 km (Wilding et al. 2023).

Despite the wealth of geophysical data, robust geobarometric constraints of pre-eruptive magma storage depths for Mauna Loa are scarce. Thermodynamic modelling of compositionally diverse Mauna Loa xenoliths from the SWRZ (Gaffney 2002) suggests polybaric crystallisation of primitive Mauna Loa magmas within at least two distinct regions at ~ 7 km (0.2 GPa), just above the décollement (~ 10 km; e.g. Wilding et al. 2023; Matoza et al. 2020), and at ~ 21 km (0.6 GPa) just below the Moho (~ 18 km; Hill and Zucca 1987). Multilevel crystallisation conditions are further supported by the variable location of orthopyroxene in the crystallisation sequence (as second or fourth phase to crystallise) of the xenoliths phase assemblages (Gaffney 2002). This agrees, for instance, with the occurrence of primitive, Mg-rich ol-opx (harzburgite) glomerocrysts in the 1950 AD eruption products. Olivines in the 1950 AD samples occur as large, polyhedral macrocrysts but also as mono- (dunite) or various types of polymineralic glomerocrysts (see figure S2) including lherzolites (ol-opx-cpx), harzburgites (ol-opx), troctolites (ol-plag), pyroxenites (opx-cpx), gabbroic (pl-cpx), and gabbro-norite (pl-opx-cpx). Glomerocrysts often display irregular, rounded shapes, and interstitial space between faces of touching crystals is often filled with glass (melt) indicating a crystal-liquid mush origin (e.g. Gaffney 2002; Nakagawa et al. 2002; Jerram et al. 2003; Couperthwaite et al. 2022).

Although robust geobarometric constraints of pre-eruptive magma storage depths are scare for Mauna Loa, thermodynamic modelling and phase-relation experiments on Hawaiian olivine-tholeiites indicate that orthopyroxene joins olivine as a liquidus phase at pressures higher than 0.6 GPa (Wanless et al. 2006; Maaløe 2004; Gaffney 2002; Eggins 1992; Green and Ringwood 1967). We therefore argue that coexisting Mg-rich olivine and orthopyroxene and the occurrence of primitive ol-opx (harzburgite) glomerocrysts (Fig. S2) in the 1950 AD eruption products may represent a primary and possibly deeper, near- or sub-Moho phase assemblage (e.g. Thornber and Trusdell 2008). Due to the lack of well-calibrated mineral-melt barometers for thin crusted systems such as Hawai‘i, precise determination of pre-eruptive magma storage depths for Mauna Loa remains challenging (Wieser et al. 2023). In the future, more precise quantitative geobarometric studies are required to reconcile petrologically constrained conditions of magma storage with emerging geophysical models of deep magma storage and transport beneath Mauna Loa.

Intricate magma plumbing dynamics indicated by heterogeneous crystal cargo

The compositional heterogeneity and the diverse zoning preserved within the 1950 AD olivine cargo indicate complex petrogenetic histories of crystal evolution, inheritance, and recycling within diverse parts of Mauna Loa’s magma storage and transport system. The occurrence of different zoning types (normal vs. complex reverse) with variable core compositional plateaux (Fo78-89) and the coexistence of primitive and evolved crystal populations reflect crystal evolution and storage within distinct magmatic environments. Antecrystic primitive (Fo87-89) cores contained in normally (type 1; 26%) and rare complex reversely (type 6; 1%) zoned olivines return the highest temperatures (1261±10 °C), consistent with primitive melt inclusion (1237±6 °C) and Mg-rich (Mg#84) orthopyroxene core (1236±4 °C) temperatures, suggesting primitive macrocryst core formation within hotter and likely deeper parts of Mauna Loa’s magmatic system. Common type 2 (normal zoning; 49%) and type 4 (complex reverse zoning; 10%) olivines have intermediate core (Fo82.5-87) compositions returning somewhat lower temperatures (1224±12 °C) consistent with intermediate (Mg#liq 59–67) melt inclusion (1199±13 °C) and intermediate orthopyroxene core (Mg#81-83) temperatures (1217±7 °C), probably indicating deep or intermediate (~ 10 km; corresponding to the depth of the décollement; e.g. Wilding et al. 2023; Matoza et al. 2020 ) level crystal evolution. In contrast, more evolved and mostly phenocrystic olivine cores (Fo78-82.5) occurring in rare type 3 (normal zoning; 5%) and type 5 (complex reverse zoning; 4%) crystals, plus evolved, but corroded orthopyroxene (Mg#75-80) cores record the lowest temperatures (1191±5 °C and 1196±9 °C), consistent with groundmass glass (1158±8 °C) temperatures, reflecting evolved macrocryst core formation within cooler and possibly shallower (~ 3–5 km; e.g. Garcia et al. 1995; Rhodes 1995; Rhodes 1988; Decker et al. 1983) parts of Mauna Loa’s plumbing system.

Reverse and complex zoning patterns have been interpreted as indicators for open system processes including magma recharge and magma mixing (Streck 2008 and references therein). More recently, the occurrence of reverse zoning in olivine crystals from Kīlauea has been interpreted as a proxy for multiple recharge of primitive melts (Mourey et al. 2023).

High (Fo84-88) and intermediate (Fo81-83) forsterite shoulder zones featuring in complex reversely zoned type 4, 5, and 6 olivines record temperatures of 1270–1286 °C (Fo85-87) and 1203–1208 °C (Fo82-83) reflecting magma recharge, mixing, and crystal entrainment processes within different levels of Mauna Loa’s plumbing system. Observed compositional and textural diversity including evidence for basaltic cannibalism (e.g. Cashman and Blundy 2013) in the form of complex, reversely zoned macrocrysts; resorbed antecrystic cores; and compositionally diverse crystal populations is not limited to olivine but can also be tracked within other macrocryst phases including orthopyroxene and clinopyroxene (see figures S3 and S4).

Multilevel crystallisation conditions, combined macrocryst variability and texturally diverse glomerocryst and macrocryst populations, point to the existence of a network of ephemeral, but possibly interconnected magma pockets, ranging from near-Moho depths to the upper/mid-crust underneath Mauna Loa’s SWRZ (e.g. Wilding et al. 2023; Gaffney 2002; Klügel and Klein 2006; Stroncik et al. 2009). Dense, Mg- and olivine-rich magmas reside within the deepest, near- to sub-Moho parts of Mauna Loa’s SWRZ bypassing the shallow summit reservoir (Garcia et al. 1995; Gaffney 2002). These magmas have intruded along density contrast boundaries (e.g. Moho) and are preferentially erupted from the distal regions (i.e. flanks) of the SWRZ during episodes of high magma supply carrying a primitive olivine cargo with a wide range of compositions (Fo82-91; most frequent Fo89-90) and predominately normal zoning (Garcia et al. 1995). During episodes of low magma influx, these deep storage areas remain isolated and undisturbed. During periods of increased magma supply, however, dense, MgO- and olivine-rich magma that normally resides in the deep roots of Mauna Loa’s plumbing system migrates to shallower depths (~ 3–5 km; Garcia et al. 1995; Rhodes 1995; Rhodes 1988; Decker et al. 1983), where it either fills isolated magma storage areas (followed by cooling and crystallisation) or flushes more differentiated, summit-reservoir-type magmas (6.7–8.0 wt% MgO; Rhodes 1995) that reside within magma storage zones (e.g. Garcia et al. 1995; Gaffney 2002).

We propose that the observed thin-section-scale complexity in those 1950 AD SWRZ samples is caused by complex recharge, mixing, and transport processes. Individual storage zones underneath the SWRZ appear to get flushed by repeated injections of MgO-richer (~ 10 wt%; PEC-corrected melt inclusions, this study) magma residing in the deep roots of Mauna Loa’s conduit system. This results in genetically diverse phenocryst and glomerocryst populations originating within different parts and depths of the plumbing network.

Antecrystic type 1 and type 6 (Fo87-89) olivine and primitive orthopyroxene (Mg#84) macrocrysts and glomerocrysts (e.g. harzburgites, dunites) represent near Moho magma storage and mixing within a crystal-rich, mushy reservoir underneath Mauna Loa’s SWRZ. Timescales associated with the disaggregation and mobilisation of this deep-seated mush are represented by type 1 olivines and range between 30 days and 1.4 years (521 days). Magmatic upheaval in this deep-seated mush zone commenced and became gradually more frequent in the ~ 8 months before the eruption (Fig. 8), preceding the onset of increased seismic activity at Mauna Loa by roughly 2 months (e.g. Finch and Macdonald 1951). During periods of increased magma supply into this near-Moho storage region, type 1 olivines, Mg-rich orthopyroxene cores, and primitive glomerocrysts (dunite and harzburgite) were scoured and entrained into hotter and more primitive melts (up to 10 wt% MgO). As the intensity of deep magma supply increased, either different levels of this compositionally and potentially thermally stratified crystal-mush reservoir became gradually remobilised (e.g. Burgisser and Bergantz 2011). Another possible explanation is that individual, compositionally, and spatially diverse, magma pockets were reactivated. This is supported by type 2 (normal zoning) and type 4 (complex reverse zoning) olivine diffusion recorders starting 4 to 6 months before the eruption and the overall increase in the frequency of crystal melt disequilibria (increase in gradient in Fig. 8 between mid-November 1949 and late January 1950). This along with the observed compositional and textural diversity of macro- and glomerocryst populations provides strong evidence for the existence of small, isolated magma pockets, where mixing and cooling of distinct magma batches occur (e.g. Gaffney 2002; Stroncik et al. 2009). More evolved type 3 (normal zoning) and type 5 (complex reverse zoning) olivines and the occurrence of gabbroic glomerocrysts are likely to reflect shallow-level (~ 3–5 km) magma storage and mixing. Intrusive activity into the shallow levels of Mauna Loa’s SWRZ plumbing system commenced ~ 2.5 months prior to eruption onset, between mid-March and mid-April 1950, recorded by type 3 and type 5 olivines (Fig. 8) and was accompanied by a strong earthquake on March 25 that was felt across the island (e.g. Finch and Macdonald 1953; https://www.usgs.gov/volcanoes/mauna-loa/1950-mauna-loas-fastest-high-volume-eruption). In the weeks and days before the eruption onset, diffusion data show increased frequency of disequilibrium onset (increased gradient in Fig. 8, between mid- and late May 1950), which is synchronous with records of earthquake swarms detected between late May (magnitude 6.4 earthquake on May 29 beneath the Mauna Loa’s west flank) and early June (June 1 to 2; not shown in Fig. 8) immediately preceding and accompanying the eruption onset on June 1, 1950 (Finch and Macdonald 1953; https://www.usgs.gov/volcanoes/mauna-loa/1950-mauna-loas-fastest-high-volume-eruption). Concurrently, rapid accumulation of eastward tilting of the ground was detected at the Hawaiian Volcano Observatory (HVO) Whitney station between May 29 and June 14, 1950 (Finch and Macdonald 1953). We note that the 1950 AD eruption occurred before the era of high quality, modern, digitally recorded seismic instrumentation, which began with the 1975 eruption (Okubo and Wolfe 2008). As such, the available data of seismic unrest preceding the 1950 AD eruption (Finch and Macdonald 1951, 1953) are not necessarily comparable with the quality and sensitivity of modern seismic records (e.g. Wilding et al. 2023). In particular, the inability and the lack of resolution to detect small (<M2) and deep earthquakes impede precise determination of the onset of seismic unrest related to the 1950 AD Mauna Loa eruption.

Fig. 8
figure 8

Rank order plot displaying olivine Fe-Mg diffusion chronometry timescales compared to presumed seismic eruption precursors. Symbols depict cumulative frequency of olivine diffusion timescale records from the 1950 AD samples. Error bars represent an average uncertainty on each timescale of ±0.28 log units. Timescale data (n=103) are colour and symbol coded based on zoning types. Grey shaded box indicates duration of the 1949 summit eruption at Mauna Loa. Grey stippled lines depict seismic events larger than tremor detected at the Hawaiian Volcano Observatory (HVO) between late December 1949 and late May 1950. Grey star: major earthquake on March 25, 1950. Black star: magnitude 6.4 earthquake on May 29, 1950. Seismic data are from Finch and Macdonald (1953). Seismic data used in this study are provided in table S11. X-axis shows time (in logarithmic scale) in days prior to eruption.

Comparison with mush mobilisation timescales from other Mauna Loa eruptions

The studies of Couperthwaite et al. (2020: 2.1 ka Moinui eruption; and 2022: 240 y B.P. Hapaimamo eruption) provide the first diffusion chronometry records of pre-eruptive magma plumbing dynamics for pre-historic Mauna Loa eruptions. In lava samples from the 2.1 ka Moinui eruption, which erupted from the South Caldera of Mauna Loa, Couperthwaite et al. (2020) identified two morphologically and compositionally distinct olivine populations: a primitive, polyhedral olivine population with core compositions of Fo88-90 (similar to type 1 olivines identified in this study) and a more evolved, platy olivine population with core compositions of Fo82-83. Polyhedral olivines display rim compositions within a narrow range of Fo83-84 overlapping with core compositions of platy olivines. Rim compositions of platy olivines are more evolved and also more variable within the range Fo65-78. Both olivine populations display mostly normal zoning (Fe-rich rim, Mg-rich core). The high whole-rock MgO content (14–22 wt%) and its high olivine abundance define the 2.1 ka Moinui lavas as picrites (Couperthwaite et al. 2020 and refs. therein). The olivine cargo differs not only in composition and crystal morphology (polyhedral vs. platy) but also in the calculated Fe-Mg diffusion timescales. Polyhedral, primitive olivines record diffusion timescales on the order of 3 months (93 days) to ~ 9.3 years (3413 days), whereas evolved, platy olivines record much shorter timescales on the order of 2 days to ~ 9 weeks (60 days). The overall median timescale is 216 days (~ 7 months; Fig. 9).

Fig. 9
figure 9

Compilation of olivine diffusion records for Mauna Loa eruptions modified from Couperthwaite et al. (2022). Filled symbols and adjacent box-whisker plots represent the full range of observed timescales in each study, with black, horizontal bars in box-whisker plots indicating median timescale values. From left to right: 2.1 ka Moinui eruption, Couperthwaite et al. (2020); 240 y B.P. Hapaimamo eruption, Couperthwaite et al. (2022); 1950 AD eruption, this study. Timescales on vertical axis are in log scale.

Lava flow and tephra olivines that erupted during the 240 y B.P. Hapaimamo eruption on the lower slopes (~ 1880 m a.s.l.) of the SWRZ have core compositions between Fo81-89 (94% Fo84-88; lava flow; similar to types 1 and 2 identified in this study) and Fo84-89 (80% Fo87-89; tephra; similar to type 1 identified in this study). Both lava and tephra olivines display normal zoning with rim compositions of Fo71-82 (lava flow olivines) and Fo81-86 (tephra olivines; Couperthwaite et al. 2022). Although whole-rock MgO contents of the Hapaimamo samples are considerably lower (8.1–9.9 wt%) than for the Moinui samples (14–22 wt%), their matrix glass compositions have identical MgO contents (6.6–7.0 wt% for Hapaimamo; 6.6–6.8 wt% for Moinui). Modelled Hapaimamo olivine timescales are slightly shorter ranging between 13 days and ~ 4.4 years (1600 days) with a median value of 104 days (~ 3 months; Fig. 9). Interestingly, the shortest timescales recorded in Hapaimamo olivines are on the order of 13 days (9 days when accounting for uncertainties; Couperthwaite et al. 2022), suggesting that mush disaggregation activity ceased in the week before the eruption.

In comparison, samples from the recent 1950 AD eruption contain compositionally and texturally heterogeneous macrocryst and glomerocryst cargoes recording complex petrogenetic histories of crystal evolution and inheritance from different parts of Mauna Loa’s plumbing network, including evidence for mixing between more evolved, shallow stored magma with batches of more primitive and usually deep stored magma. Similarly, complex crystal cargoes with up to six different olivine populations reflecting diverse pre-eruptive magmatic histories have also been reported for the 1868 picrite eruption of Mauna Loa (Schleicher 2017; Rhodes 1995). The 1950 AD olivine diffusion record indicates overall shorter mush disaggregation and mixing timescales on the order of 1 day to ~ 8 months, with a median value of 43 days (~ 6 weeks; Fig. 9).

Comparison of olivine diffusion age records from historical and recent SWRZ eruptions of Mauna Loa indicates that pre-eruptive timescales of mush disaggregation and mobilisation may decrease approaching present time. Given that this comparison is only for three eruptions, it is not clear yet whether these differences represent inherent variabilities of the respective crystal cargoes or if they reflect general differences/changes in the eruption triggering dynamics. More diffusion chronometry studies on recent Mauna Loa eruptions are required to fully understand and confirm these differences in crystal diffusion age records and their potential link to eruption priming dynamics.

Conclusions

We have presented a combined geochemical, geothermometric, and diffusion chronometry study of conditions of pre-eruptive magma storage and timescales of deep mush disaggregation and mobilisation in the run-up towards the 1950 AD SWRZ eruption of Mauna Loa, the most voluminous SWRZ eruption since written records have been kept. Our main findings are as follows:

  1. 1.

    Detailed petrologic examination unveils compositionally and texturally heterogenous macrocryst and glomerocryst cargoes suggesting intricate petrogenetic histories of crystal evolution, inheritance, and recycling within diverse parts of Mauna Loa’s magmatic system, including evidence for mixing between primitive, deep stored magma, and pockets of more evolved, shallow stored magma.

  2. 2.

    Multilevel crystallisation conditions, combined macrocryst variability, and texturally diverse glomerocryst and macrocryst populations indicate the existence of a network of spatially diverse, ephemeral, but possibly interconnected magma pockets, ranging from near-Moho depths to the upper/mid-crust underneath Mauna Loa’s SW rift. The abundance of primitive olivines and the relative paucity of typical reservoir-type olivines (i.e. Fo77-82; Rhodes 1995) in samples considered in this study support the idea that the 1950 AD magma storage and transport occurred mainly within the SWRZ plumbing rather than within the central reservoir system.

  3. 3.

    Identification of six different olivine types linked with Fe-Mg diffusion chronometry enables the chronology of events leading to the 1950 AD eruption to be reconstructed. Starting roughly one and a half years prior to eruption and becoming gradually more frequent in the 8 months before, the disaggregation of a deep-seated (near-Moho) primitive crystal mush consisting of type 1 (Fo87-89) olivine cores and Mg-rich (Mg#84) orthopyroxenes commenced via the intrusion of hotter and more primitive melts from depth. Increased magma supply into this near-Moho storage zone resulted in the remobilisation of the deep-seated mush and the gradual entrainment and onward transport of the primitive crystal cargo. Commencing between 6 and 4 months prior to eruption onset, the MgO- and olivine-rich magma that usually resides at depth migrated to intermediate levels (~ 10 km), flushing more evolved magma pockets as evidenced by an overall increase in the formation of crystal disequilibria and the onset of type 2 and type 4 (Fo82.5-87) olivine diffusion recorders. Beginning ~ 2.5 months before the eruption and continuing until eruption onset, the shallow level storage zone was intruded, recorded by type 3 and type 5 olivines. The rise of deep magma to shallow levels was accompanied by a strong earthquake on March 25, 1950, 2 months before the eruption. Magma supply from depth and mush disaggregation remained high during the following weeks running in parallel with increased seismic activity culminating in a magnitude 6.4 earthquake, on March 29, and immediate-term seismic swarms in late May and early June preceding and accompanying the eruption onset on June 1, 1950.

The combined petrological and diffusion chronometry record presented in this study indicates rapid transport and remobilisation of large volumes of magma (376×106 m3) from near-Moho storage to the surface within less than 8 months. Residence in the shallow system (~ 3–5 km) is on the order of days, to a maximum of 2.5 months, with a median of 2 weeks (15 days). Comparison of diffusion age records with the prehistorical 2.1 ka Moinui and 240 B.P. Hapaimamo Mauna Loa eruptions suggests a decrease in mush disaggregation and mobilisation timescales approaching present time. Although not fully resolved yet, increasing mush disaggregation and mobilisation rates over time could indicate changing eruption priming dynamics. Further diffusion chronometry and geobarometric studies on recent Mauna Loa eruptions are required to reconcile petrologically constrained magma storage depths and pre-eruptive timescales of magma mobilisation with geophysical models of deep magma storage and transport.