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To what extent does ENSO rectify the tropical Pacific mean state?

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Abstract

The role of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in modulating the mean sea surface temperature (SST) in the tropical eastern Pacific is investigated. A strategy is developed to separate the observational record from 1958 to 2010 into two groups, ENSO and non-ENSO periods. A simple analytical framework is constructed to quantitatively delineate the contributions of oceanic dynamic heating (ODH) and surface heat fluxes to rectifying the mean SST. It is found that the differences in the mean SST between the two periods are evident, though minor, despite distinctive interannual SST variabilities. Both linear and nonlinear ODH, as well as surface heat fluxes, contribute to this slight mean SST difference. Idealized oceanic model experiments in the presence and absence of ENSO are conducted. The experiments confirm that ENSO moderately impacts the mean SST in the equatorial eastern Pacific. Although the amplitude of the linear ODH associated with ENSO is large, its impact on the long-term mean SST is small because the sign of its contribution changes between El Niño and La Niña phases. The nonlinear ODH, on the other hand, has the same sign during the warm and cold episodes. However, its accumulated effect on the mean SST is small due to its weak amplitude.

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Data and materials availability

Ocean reanalysis data used for the current study is from ECMWF Ocean Reanalysis System 5 (ORAS 5) and is openly available from Asia–Pacific Data-Research Center of the IPRC in the School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology at the University of Hawaii at Manoa at APDRC LAS7 for public (hawaii.edu). Another ocean reanalysis data set SODA (Carton and Giese 2008), version 2.2.4 products (SODAv2.2.4) is also available at APDRC LAS7 for public (hawaii.edu). And the new fifth-generation atmospheric reanalysis ERA5 is available on the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS) at https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/#!/search?text=ERA5&type=dataset. Surface atmospheric data is provided by Japanese 55-year Atmospheric Reanalysis (JRA-55) products, which are available from the Research Data Archive (RDA) that is managed by the Data Engineering and Curation Section (DECS) of the Computational and Information Systems Laboratory (CISL) at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, at CISL RDA: JRA-55: Japanese 55-year Reanalysis, Monthly Means and Variances (ucar.edu). And Surface heat flux products are from are from NOAA-CIRES 20th Century Reanalysis (20CRv2) at NOAA-CIRES 20th Century Reanalysis (V2)—Datasets—NOAA Data Catalog. Observational SST is from the Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature version 5 (ERSST V5) from the US National Climate Data Center (NCDC) at https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/gridded/data.noaa.ersst.v5.html. And HadISST from the Met Office Hadley Centre Sea Ice and SST dataset at https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadisst/. The numerical model simulations upon which this study is based are too large to archive. Instead, we provide all the information needed to replicate the simulations. The model used for these experiments is the ocean component of the Community Earth System Model 2.1 (CESM2.1), Parallel Ocean Program version 2 (POP2). Interested readers can contact Manrui Xue (mxue@hawaii.edu) for the namelist settings and access more information at CESM2 Ocean Model—POP2 & MOM6 (ucar.edu).

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Acknowledgements

The authors would like to acknowledge high-performance computing support from Cheyenne (https://doi.org/10.5065/D6RX99HX) provided by NCAR's Computational and Information Systems Laboratory, sponsored by the National Science Foundation. This work was jointly supported by NSFC grant 42088101, NOAA NA18OAR4310298, and NSF AGS-2006553.

Funding

This study was supported by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NA18OAR4310298), National Science Foundation (AGS-2006553), and National Social Science Fund of China (42088101).

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M.X. applied statistical, mathematical, and computational techniques to analyze the data and wrote the original draft. T.L. has the funding acquisition and did the supervision, provided the conceptualization and methodology. All authors reviewed and edited the manuscript.

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Correspondence to Tim Li.

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Xue, M., Li, T. To what extent does ENSO rectify the tropical Pacific mean state?. Clim Dyn 61, 3875–3891 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06750-6

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