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A mechanism of spring Barents Sea ice effect on the extreme summer droughts in northeastern China

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Abstract

The frequency of extreme drought events in northeastern China (NEC) has increased since the 2000s, and such a decadal anomalous trend may lead to significant stress on agriculture and economic development. The correlation between Arctic sea ice loss in spring and extreme summer droughts over NEC was investigated. The results show that the loss of sea ice over the Barents Sea in spring is associated with extreme droughts and positive height anomalies over NEC in summer. The physical processes include two pathways. First, sea ice loss from the Barents Sea to the Kara Sea results in reducing baroclinicity over the ice loss region but increasing baroclinicity over the ice melting region, which is favorable to the wave ridge over northern Europe and negative-phase Summer North Atlantic Oscillation (SNAO). One wave train originates from negative-phase SNAO over North Atlantic–Europe and spreads to central Europe, central Asia, and NEC. Second, another wave motion flux originates from the Barents–Kara Sea propagating eastward, and then disperses southward to NEC. Both wave trains lead to anomalous anticyclonic circulation and westward subtropical high, which favors descending motion and less water vapor flux, thereby contributing to extreme drought.

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Acknowledgements

This research was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant no. 42088101, 41975083, 41630426) and the Qing Lan Project and Priority Academic Program Development of the Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions (PAPD).

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Correspondence to Jie Zhang.

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Du, Y., Zhang, J., Zhao, S. et al. A mechanism of spring Barents Sea ice effect on the extreme summer droughts in northeastern China. Clim Dyn 58, 1033–1048 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05949-9

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05949-9

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