Abstract
Objectives
This study aimed to develop and validate a predicting model for the histologic classification of solid lung lesions based on preoperative contrast-enhanced CT.
Methods
A primary dataset of 1012 patients from Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital (TMUCIH) was randomly divided into a development cohort (708) and an internal validation cohort (304). Patients from the Second Hospital of Shanxi Medical University (SHSMU) were set as an external validation cohort (212). Two clinical factors (age, gender) and twenty-one characteristics on contrast-enhanced CT were used to construct a multinomial multivariable logistic regression model for the classification of seven common histologic types of solid lung lesions. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was used to assess the diagnostic performance of the model in the development and validation cohorts, separately.
Results
Multivariable analysis showed that two clinical factors and twenty-one characteristics on contrast-enhanced CT were predictive in lung lesion histologic classification. The mean AUC of the proposed model for histologic classification was 0.95, 0.94, and 0.92 in the development, internal validation, and external validation cohort, respectively. When determining the malignancy of lung lesions based on histologic types, the mean AUC of the model was 0.88, 0.86, and 0.90 in three cohorts.
Conclusions
We demonstrated that by utilizing both clinical and CT characteristics on contrast-enhanced CT images, the proposed model could not only effectively stratify histologic types of solid lung lesions, but also enabled accurate assessment of lung lesion malignancy. Such a model has the potential to avoid unnecessary surgery for patients and to guide clinical decision-making for preoperative treatment.
Key Points
• Clinical and CT characteristics on contrast-enhanced CT could be used to differentiate histologic types of solid lung lesions.
• Predicting models using preoperative contrast-enhanced CT could accurately assessment of tumor malignancy based on predicted histologic types.
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Data Availability
The datasets generated during and/or analysed during the current study are not publicly available due to privacy but are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
Abbreviations
- AUC:
-
Area under the curve
- CT:
-
Computed tomography
- HU :
-
Hounsfield Unit
- IQR :
-
Inter-quartile range
- NPV :
-
Negative predictive values
- PPD:
-
Purified protein derivative
- PPV:
-
Positive predictive values
- SD :
-
Standard deviation
- SHSMU:
-
Second Hospital of Shanxi Medical University
- TMUCIH:
-
Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital
- VA:
-
Veterans Affairs
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Acknowledgements
I wish to devote this paper to my newly born daughter Cui Can, who illuminates my world.
Funding
This work was supported by the Chinese National Key Research and Development Project (Grant No. 2021YFC2500400 and Grant No.2021YFC2500402), Tianjin Key Medical Discipline(Specialty) Construction Project (TJYXZDXK-009A).
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The scientific guarantor of this publication is Dr. Zhaoxiang Ye.
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The authors of this manuscript declare no relationships with any companies whose products or services may be related to the subject matter of the article.
Statistics and biometry
One of the authors (Jing Wang) has significant statistical expertise.
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Written informed consent was waived by the Institutional Review Board.
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The institutional ethics committee board of Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute & Hospital approved this study (No. bc2021327).
Methodology
• retrospective
• diagnostic study
• multicenter study
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Cui, X., Zheng, S., Zhang, W. et al. Prediction of histologic types in solid lung lesions using preoperative contrast-enhanced CT. Eur Radiol 33, 4734–4745 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00330-023-09432-3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00330-023-09432-3