Skip to main content

Advertisement

SpringerLink
Log in

Impacts of Recent Temperatures Rise on Double-Rice Phenology Across Southern China

  • Research
  • Published:
International Journal of Plant Production Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Rice phenology was determined by temperature and agronomic management. It was essential to quantify the interaction between warming temperatures and rice phenology to understand the impact of climate change in rice farming systems. Based on the quantitative analysis of data from double-cropping rice in the south of China in the last 20 years, we found that the average temperature of the whole growth periods of early rice and late rice increased by an average of 0.76 °C and 0.49 °C decade−1, respectively. The whole growth period (WGP) change trend of early rice decreased by 0.07 d decade−1, but the WGP of late rice increased 1.26 d decade−1. The vegetative growth period (VGP) and the reproductive growth period (RGP) of early rice and late rice were all shorted. Regression analysis showed that the VGP of early rice and late rice decreased by 2.99 days and 2.82 days, and the RGP decreased by 1.67 days and 1.81 days, respectively, as the mean air temperature increased by 1 °C during the corresponding stages. The WGPs of early rice and late rice decreased by 3.81 days and 5.31 days, respectively, with the mean air temperature increased by 1 °C during growth duration. According to our studies, the rising mean air temperature could lead to a shortening of the double-rice growth period. Therefore, we must adjust the planting pattern of the double-rice system to mitigate and adapt to future climate change.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6

Similar content being viewed by others

Abbreviations

VGP:

Vegetative growth period

RGP:

Reproductive growth period

WGP:

Whole growth period

References

  • Abbas, G., Ahmad, S., Ahmad, A., Nasim, W., Fatima, Z., Hussain, S., et al. (2017). Quantification the impacts of climate change and crop management on phenology of maize-based cropping system in Punjab, Pakistan. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 247, 42–55. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.07.012.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bi, L. D., Zhang, B., Liu, G. R., Li, Z. Z., Liu, Y. E. A. R., Ye, C., et al. (2009). Long-term effects of organic amendments on the rice yields for double rice cropping systems in subtropical China. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 129, 534–541. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2008.11.007.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bradley, N. L., Leopold, A. C., Ross, J., & Huffaker, W. (1999). Phenological changes reflect climate change in Wisconsin. Proceedings of the National academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 96, 9701–9704.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  • Bureau, (1997). China statistical yearbook 1997. State Statistical. Beijing: China Statistical Publishing House.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cao, W., & Moss, D. N. (1997). Modelling phasic development in wheat: a conceptual integration of physiological components. Journal of Agricultural Science, 129, 163–172. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859697004668.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chmielewski, F. M., Muller, A., & Bruns, E. (2004). Climate changes and trends in phenology of fruit trees and field crops in Germany, 1961-2000. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 121, 69–78.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chmielewski, F. M., & Rotzer, T. (2001). Response of tree phenology to climate change across Europe. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 108, 101–112.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Craufurd, P. Q., & Wheeler, T. R. (2009). Climate change and the flowering time of annual crops. Journal of Experimental Botany, 60, 2529–2539. https://doi.org/10.1093/jxb/erp196.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Estrella, N., Sparks, T. H., & Menzel, A. (2007). Trends and temperature response in the phenology of crops in Germany. Global Change Biology, 13, 1737–1747. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2007.01374.x.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fedoroff, N. V., Battisti, D. S., Beachy, R. N., Cooper, P. J. M., Fischhoff, D. A., Hodges, C. N., et al. (2010). Radically rethinking agriculture for the 21st century. Science, 327, 833–834. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1186834.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  • Grassini, P., Eskridge, K. M., & Cassman, K. G. (2013). Distinguishing between yield advances and yield plateaus in historical crop production trends. Nat Commun, 2, 5. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms3918.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Guo, J. P. (2010). Chinese agroclimate resource changing trend under global change. Beijing: China Meteorological Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • He, L., Asseng, S., Zhao, G., Wu, D. R., Yang, X. Y., Zhuang, W., et al. (2015). Impacts of recent climate warming, cultivar changes, and crop management on winter wheat phenology across the Loess Plateau of China. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 200, 135–143. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2014.09.011.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hu, Q., & Buyanovsky, G. (2010). Climate effects on corn yield in missouri. Journal of Applied Meteorology, 42, 1626–1635.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hu, X. Y., Huang, Y., Sun, W. J., & Yu, L. F. (2017). Shifts in cultivar and planting date have regulated rice growth duration under climate warming in China since the early 1980s. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 247, 34–41. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.07.014.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • IPCC (2013) Climate change 2013: the physical science basis. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. Available at: http://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/wg1/

  • Knox, J., Hess, T., Daccache, A., & Wheeler, T. (2012). Climate change impacts on crop productivity in Africa and South Asia. Environmental Research Letters, 7, 34032–34039. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/3/034032.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lele, U. (2010). Editorial: food Security for a Billion Poor. Science (New York, NY), 327, 1554–1555.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Li, Y., & Wang, C. (2010). Impacts of climate change on crop planting structure in china. Advances in Climate Change Research, 6, 123–129.

    Google Scholar 

  • Liu, Y. A., Wang, E. L., Yang, X. G., & Wang, J. (2010). Contributions of climatic and crop varietal changes to crop production in the North China Plain, since 1980s. Global Change Biology, 16, 2287–2299. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02077.x.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lobell, D. B. (2007). Changes in diurnal temperature range and national cereal yields. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 145, 229–238.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lobell, D. B., Burke, M. B., Tebaldi, C., Mastrandrea, M. D., Falcon, W. P., & Naylor, R. L. (2008). Prioritizing climate change adaptation needs for food security in 2030. Science, 319, 607–610.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Lobell, D. B., Schlenker, W., & Costa-Roberts, J. (2011). Climate Trends and Global Crop Production Since 1980. Science, 333, 616–620. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1204531.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Mo, F., Sun, M., Liu, X. Y., Wang, J. Y., Zhang, X. C., Ma, B. L., et al. (2016). Phenological responses of spring wheat and maize to changes in crop management and rising temperatures from 1992 to 2013 across the Loess Plateau. Field Crops Research, 196, 337–347. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2016.06.024.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Morton, J. F. (2007). The impact of climate change on smallholder and subsistence agriculture. Proceedings of the National academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 104, 19680–19685. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0701855104.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  • Myneni, R. B., Keeling, C. D., Tucker, C. J., Asrar, G., & Nemani, R. R. (1997). Increased plant growth in the northern high latitudes from 1981 to 1991. Nature, 386, 698–702. https://doi.org/10.1038/386698a0.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Porter, J. R., & Gawith, M. (1999). Temperatures and the growth and development of wheat: a review. European Journal of Agronomy, 10, 23–36. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1161-0301(98)00047-1.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Qian, Q., Zeng, D. L., He, P., Zheng, X. W., Chen, Y., & Zhu, L. H. (2000). QTL analysis of the rice seedling cold tolerance in a double haploid population derived from anther culture of a hybrid between indica and japonica rice. Chinese Science Bulletin, 45, 448–453. https://doi.org/10.1007/Bf02884949.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ren, G. Y., Ding, Y. H., Zhao, Z. C., Zheng, J. Y., Wu, T. W., Tang, G. L., et al. (2012). Recent progress in studies of climate change in China. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 29, 958–977. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-012-1200-2.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sarker, M. A. R., Alam, K., & Gow, J. (2014). Assessing the effects of climate change on rice yields: an econometric investigation using Bangladeshi panel data. Economic Analysis and Policy, 44, 405–416.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Slafer, G., & Rawson, H. (1994). Sensitivity of wheat phasic development to major environmental factors: a re-examination of some assumptions made by physiologists and modellers. Functional Plant Biology, 21, 393–426.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tao, F., Hayashi, Y., Zhang, Z., Sakamoto, T., & Yokozawa, M. (2008). Global warming, rice production, and water use in China: developing a probabilistic assessment. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 148, 94–110. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2007.09.012.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tao, F. L., Zhang, Z., Shi, W. J., Liu, Y. J., Xiao, D. P., Zhang, S., et al. (2013a). Single rice growth period was prolonged by cultivars shifts, but yield was damaged by climate change during 1981-2009 in China, and late rice was just opposite. Global Change Biology, 19, 3200–3209. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12250.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Tao, F., Zhang, S., & Zhang, Z. (2013b). Changes in rice disasters across China in recent decades and the meteorological and agronomic causes. Regional Environmental Change, 13, 743–759.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tao, F. L., Zhang, S., & Zhang, Z. (2013c). Changes in rice disasters across China in recent decades and the meteorological and agronomic causes. Regional Environmental Change, 13, 743–759. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-012-0357-7.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tao, F. L., Zhang, S., Zhang, Z., & Rotter, R. P. (2014). Maize growing duration was prolonged across China in the past three decades under the combined effects of temperature, agronomic management, and cultivar shift. Global Change Biology, 20, 3686–3699. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12684.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Tariq, M., Ahmad, S., Fahad, S., Abbas, G., Hussain, S., Fatima, Z., et al. (2018). The impact of climate warming and crop management on phenology of sunflower-based cropping systems in Punjab, Pakistan. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 256, 270–282. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.03.015.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • van Wart, J., Kersebaum, K. C., Peng, S. B., Milner, M., & Cassman, K. G. (2013). Estimating crop yield potential at regional to national scales. Field Crops Research, 143, 34–43. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2012.11.018.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang, J., Wang, E. L., Feng, L. P., Yin, H., & Yu, W. D. (2013). Phenological trends of winter wheat in response to varietal and temperature changes in the North China Plain. Field Crops Research, 144, 135–144. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2012.12.020.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Wang, S. P., Wang, Z. H., Piao, S. L., & Fang, J. Y. (2010). Regional differences in the timing of recent air warming during the past four decades in China. Chinese Science Bulletin, 55, 1968–1973. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11434-010-3236-y.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wei, X., Zhang, Z., Wang, P., & Tao, F. L. (2017). Recent patterns of production for the main cereal grains: implications for food security in China. Regional Environmental Change, 17, 105–116. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-016-0977-4.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • White, M. A., Thornton, P. E., & Running, S. W. (1997). A continental phenology model for monitoring vegetation responses to interannual climatic variability. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 11, 217–234. https://doi.org/10.1029/97gb00330.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Xin, L. J., & Xiu, L. I. (2009). Changes of multiple cropping in double cropping rice area of southern china and its policy implications. Journal of Natural Resources, 24, 58–65.

    Google Scholar 

  • Yang, S. B., Shen, S. H., Zhao, X. Y., Zhao, Y. X., Yin-Long, X. U., Wang, Z. Y., et al. (2010). Impacts of climate changes on rice production in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze river. Acta Agronomica Sinica, 36, 1519–1528.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ye, Q., Yang, X., Xie, W., Li, Y., Liu, Z., Dong, C., et al. (2013). Tendency of use efficiency of rice growth season in southern china under the background of global warming. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 46, 4399–4415.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, X. Y., Friedl, M. A., Schaaf, C. B., & Strahler, A. H. (2004). Climate controls on vegetation phenological patterns in northern mid- and high latitudes inferred from MODIS data. Global Change Biology, 10, 1133–1145. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1529-8817.2003.00784.x.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, T. Y., Huang, Y., & Yang, X. G. (2013). Climate warming over the past three decades has shortened rice growth duration in China and cultivar shifts have further accelerated the process for late rice. Global Change Biology, 19, 563–570. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12057.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, S., Tao, F., & Zhang, Z. (2014). Rice reproductive growth duration increased despite of negative impacts of climate warming across China during 1981–2009. European Journal of Agronomy, 54, 70–83.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Zheng, J. Y., Ge, Q. S., & Hao, Z. X. (2002). Impacts of climate warming on plants phenophases in China for the last 40 years. Chinese Science Bulletin, 47, 1826–1831. https://doi.org/10.1360/02tb9399.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

This work was supported by the National Key Research and Development Program China (2016YFD0300501, 2016YFD0300905 and 2015BAC02B02), Special Fund for Agro-scientific Research in the Public Interest (201503122), Central Public interest Scientific Institution Basal Research Fund of Institute of Crop Science, the Innovation Program of CAAS (Y2016PT12, Y2016XT01).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Modern Crop Production, Nanjing, 210095, China

    Yongci Wang & Changqing Chen

  2. College of Agriculture, Institute of Applied Ecology, Nanjing Agricultural University, No.1 Weigang Road, Nanjing, 210095, Jiangsu, China

    Yongci Wang, Jun Zhang, Guangpeng Song, Zhiwei Long & Changqing Chen

Authors
  1. Yongci Wang
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. Jun Zhang
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  3. Guangpeng Song
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  4. Zhiwei Long
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  5. Changqing Chen
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Changqing Chen.

Ethics declarations

Conflict of interest

Yongci Wang declares that she has no conflict of interest. Jun Zhang declares that he has no conflict of interest. Guangpeng Song declares that he has no conflict of interest. Zhiwei Long declares that she has no conflict of interest. Changqing Chen declares that he has no conflict of interest.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Wang, Y., Zhang, J., Song, G. et al. Impacts of Recent Temperatures Rise on Double-Rice Phenology Across Southern China. Int. J. Plant Prod. 13, 1–10 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s42106-018-0029-8

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s42106-018-0029-8

Keywords

Search

Navigation