Abstract
Accurate information on land use/land cover (LULC) dynamics is necessary for the selection and execution of land use schemes to meet the increasing demands of basic human needs and welfare. This study aims to assess the LULC dynamics and its impacts in Benin using the climate change initiative land cover (CCI-LC) product within a GIS environment. The CCI-LC maps were acquired from the European Space Agency (ESA) for the years 2001, 2008 and 2013. The maps of 2001 and 2008 were used to simulate the LULC scenario for 2013 using Modules for Land Use Change Evaluation (MOLUSCE) available in QGIS software. The predicted result was compared with the observed LULC map of 2013 to validate the model. Finally, based on this, the prediction of future LULC scenario for years 2025 and 2037 was performed. The outcomes of this study revealed the rapid increase of cropland, forest and a considerable reduction of the Savannah land.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Agustan KF, Pamitro YE, Abidin HZ (2012) Understanding the 2007–2008 eruption of Anak Krakatau Volcano by combining remote sensing technique and seismic data. Int J Appl Earth Obs Geoinf 14(1):73–82. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2011.08.011
Alphan H (2003) Land use change and urbanization in Adana, Turkey. Land Degrad Dev 14(6):575–586
Alves DS, Skole DL (1996) Characterizing land cover dynamics using multi-temporal imagery. Int J Remote Sens 17(4):835–839
Asia Air Survey and Next GIS (2017) MOLUSCE: modules for land use change evaluation. http://nextgis.com/blog/molusce/
Babalola O, Akinsanola A (2016) Change detection in land surface temperature and land use land cover over Lagos Metropolis, Nigeria. J Remote Sens GIS 5(3):1–7. https://doi.org/10.4172/2469-4134.1000171
Begue A, Vintrou E, Saad A, Hiernaux P (2014) Differences between cropland and rangeland MODIS phenology (start-of-season) in Mali. Int J Appl Earth Obs Geoinf. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2014.03.024
Byomkesh T, Nakagoshi N, Dewan AM (2012) Urbanization and green space dynamics in Greater Dhaka, Bangladesh. Landsc Ecol Eng 8:45–58
CCI-LC (2017) Land cover CCI, product user guide, Version 2.0. CCI-LC-PUGV2. http://maps.elie.ucl.ac.be/CCI/viewer/. Accessed 16 Oct 2017
Dewan AM, Yamaguchi Y, Rahman MZ (2012) Dynamics of land use/cover changes and the analysis of landscape fragmentation in Dhaka Metropolitan, Bangladesh. GeoJournal 77(3):315–330. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10708-010-9399-x
Dewidar KM (2002) Landfill detection in Hurghada, North Red Sea, Egypt using thematic mapper images. Int J Remote Sens 23(5):939–948
Foley JA, DeFries R, Asner GP, Barford C, Bonan G, Carpenter SR, Snyder PK (2005) Global consequences of land use. Science 309(5734):570–574. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1111772
Garratt JR (1990) Boundary layer climates. Earth Sci Rev 27(3):265. https://doi.org/10.1016/0012-8252(90)90005-G
Gidey E, Dikinya O, Sebego R, Segosebe E, Zenebe A (2017) Modeling the spatio-temporal dynamics and evolution of land use and land cover (1984–2015) using remote sensing and GIS in Raya, Northern Ethiopia. Model Earth Syst Environ. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-017-0375-z
Grimm NB, Faeth SH, Golubiewski NE, Redman CL, Wu J, Bai X, Briggs JM (2008) Global change and the ecology of cities. Science 319(5864):756–760
Hibbard K, Janetos A, Van Vuuren DP, Pongratz J, Rose SK, Betts R, Feddema JJ (2010) Research priorities in land use and land-cover change for the Earth system and integrated assessment modelling. Int J Climatol 30(13):2118–2128. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.2150
Houessou LG, Teka O, Toko I, Lykke AM, Sinsin B (2013) Land use and land-cover change at “W” biosphere reserve and its surroundings areas in Benin Republic (West Africa). Environ Nat Resour Res. https://doi.org/10.5539/enrr.v3n2p87
Hurni H, Tato K, Zeleke G (2005) The implications of changes in population, land use, and land management for surface runoff in the upper Nile basin area of Ethiopia. Mt Res Dev 25(2):147–154. https://doi.org/10.1659/0276-4741(2005)025%5b0147:TIOCIP%5d2.0.CO;2
INSAE (2014) Bénin—Troisieme Recensement General de la Population et de l’ Habitation 2002. BENIN. http://nada.insae-bj.org/index.php. Accessed 30 Sep 2017
INSAE_Benin (2014) Densite de la population, pp 1–39. http://nada.insae-bj.org/index.php. Accessed 30 Sep 2017
Issiaka NT (2016) Cartographie De La Dynamique Spatio-Temporelle Des Parcours Naturels Des Troupeaux Transhumants Dans Les Communes De Banikoara Et De Karimama Au Bénin (Afrique De L’ ouest) 12(32):251–268. https://doi.org/10.19044/esj.2016.v12n32p251
Kamusoko C, Aniya M, Adi B, Manjoro M (2009) Rural sustainability under threat in Zimbabwe simulation of future land use/cover changes in the Bindura district based on the Markov-cellular automata model. Appl Geogr 29:435–447
Kumar M, Shaikh VR (2013) Site suitability analysis for urban development using GIS based multicriteria evaluation technique. J Indian Soc Remote Sens 41(2):417–424. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12524-012-0221-8
Lambin EF, Meyfroidt P (2010) Land use transitions: socio-ecological feedback versus socio-economic change. Land Use Policy 27(2):108–118. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2009.09.003
Lambin EF, Meyfroidt P (2011) Global land use change, economic globalization, and the looming land scarcity. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 108(9):3465–3472. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1100480108
Lambin EF, Turner BL, Geist HJ, Agbola SB, Angelsen A, Bruce JW, Coomes O (2001) The causes of land-use and land-cover change: moving beyond the myths. Global environmental change-human and policy dimensions. Glob Environ Change 11(4):261–269. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0959-3780(01)00007-3
Lambin EF, Geist HJ, Lepers E (2003) Dynamics of land use and land cover change in tropical regions. Annu Rev Environ Resour 28:205–241. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.energy.28.050302.105459
Li X, Zhou W, Ouyang Z (2013) Forty years of urban expansion in Beijing: what is the relative importance of physical, socioeconomic, and neighborhood factors? Appl Geogr 38(1):1–10. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2012.11.004
Lu X, Sasaki K (2008) Urbanization process and land use policy. Ann Reg Sci 42:769–786
Mayaux P, Richards T, Janodet E (1999) A vegetation map of Central Africa derived from satellite imagery. J Biogeogr 26(2):353–366. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2699.1999.00270.x
MEHU (2011) Deuxième Communication Nationale de la République du Bénin sur les Changements Climatique. Cotonou. http://www.agrhymet.ne/portailCC/images/pdf/nc2benin.pdf. Accessed 01 Oct 2017
Memarian H, Kumar Balasundram S, Bin Talib J, Teh Boon Sung C, Mohd Sood A, Abbaspour K (2012) Validation of CA-Markov for simulation of land use and cover change in the Langat basin, Malaysia. J Geogr Inf Syst 4(6):542–554. https://doi.org/10.4236/jgis.2012.46059
Meyfroidt P, Lambin EF, Erb KH, Hertel TW (2013) Globalization of land use: distant drivers of land change and geographic displacement of land use. Curr Opin Environ Sustain 14:78. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2013.04.003
Ministère de l’Environnement et de la Protection de la Nature (2009) Quatrième rapport national du Bénin sur la convention des Nations Unies sur la diversité biologique. Cotonou
Mishra VN, Rai PK (2016) A remote sensing aided multi-layer perceptron-Markov chain analysis for land use and land cover change prediction in Patna district (Bihar), India. Arabian J Geosci 9(4):249. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-015-2138-3
Mishra VN, Rai PK, Prasad R, Punia M, Nistor MM (2018) Prediction of spatio-temporal land use/land cover dynamics in rapidly developing Varanasi district of Uttar Pradesh, India using Geospatial approach: a comparison of hybrid models. Appl Geomat 10(3):257–276. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12518-018-0223-5
Moghadam HS, Helbich M (2013) Spatiotemporal urbanization processes in the megacity of Mumbai, India: a Markov chains-cellular automata urban growth model. Appl Geogr 40:140–149. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2013.01.009
Muñoz-Robles C, Frazier P, Tighe M, Reid N, Briggs SV, Wilson B (2012) Assessing ground cover at patch and hillslope scale in semi-arid woody vegetation and pasture using fused Quickbird data. Int J Appl Earth Obs Geoinf 14(1):94–102. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2011.08.010
National Research Council (2014) Advancing land change modelling: opportunities and research requirements. The National Academies Press, Washington, DC. https://doi.org/10.17226/18385
Nourqolipour R, Mohamed Shariff ARB, Balasundram SK, Ahmad NB, Sood AM, Buyong T, Amiri F (2014) A GIS-based model to analyze the spatial and temporal development of oil palm land use in Kuala Langat district, Malaysia. Environ Earth Sci 73(4):1687–1700. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-014-3521-1
Oke TR (1987) Boundary layer climates, 2nd edn. Routledge, London
Ozdogan M (2010) The spatial distribution of crop types from MODIS data: temporal unmixing using independent component analysis. Remote Sens Environ 114(6):1190–1204. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2010.01.006
Rhett B (2007) Benin Environment profile. https://rainforests.mongabay.com/deforestation/archive/Benin.htm. Accessed 8 Feb 2018
Sang L, Zhang C, Yang J, Zhu D, Yun W (2011) Simulation of land use spatial pattern of towns and villages based on CA-Markov model. Math Comput Model 54(3–4):938–943. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mcm.2010.11.019
Schaldach R (2006) The multi-scale land use change model landshift: a scenario analysis of land use change and environmental consequences in Africa. In: 3rd biennial meeting of the international environmental modelling and software society, pp 1–6
Schumann K, Wittig R, Thiombiano A, Becker U, Hahn K (2012) Uses, management, and population status of the baobab in eastern Burkina Faso. Agrofor Syst 85(2):263–278. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10457-012-9499-3
Thapa RB, Murayama Y (2009) Examining spatiotemporal urbanization patterns in Kathmandu valley, Nepal: remote sensing and spatial metrics approaches. Remote Sens 1:534–556
Thapa RB, Murayama Y (2010) Drivers of urban growth in the Kathmandu valley, Nepal: examining the efficacy of the analytic hierarchy process. Appl Geogr 30(1):70–83. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.APGEOG.2009.10.002
Thomson G (2007) Benin political geography. http://www.encyclopedia.com/places/africa/benin-political-geography/benin. Accessed 8 Feb 2018
Turner II, Billie L (2001) Land-use and land-cover change: advances in 1.5 decades of sustained international research. Am J Agr Econ 10(4):269–272
Turner II, Billie L (2002) Toward integrated land-change science advances in 1.5 decades of sustained international research. In: Challenges of a changing earth: proceedings of the global change open science conference, Amsterdam, NL, 10–13 July 2000, pp 269–272. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-19016-2_3
United Nations (2017) Benin population (2017-12-21). http://worldpopulationreview.com/countries/benin-population/. Accessed 05 Feb 2018
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (2012) Report of the Conference of the Parties on its seventeenth session, held in Durban from 28 November to 11 December 2011, (March), 1–63
USGS EROS (2016) Land use, land cover, and trends in Benin|West Africa. https://eros.usgs.gov/westafrica/land-cover/land-use-land-cover-and-trends-benin. Accessed 13 Mar 2018
Van Asselen S, Verburg PH (2013) Land cover change or land-use intensification: simulating land system change with a global-scale land change model. Glob Change Biol 19(12):3648–3667. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12331
Veldkamp A, Lambin EF (2001) Predicting land-use change. Agric Ecosyst Environ 85(1–3):1–6. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-8809(01)00199-2
Verburg PH, van de Steeg J, Veldkamp A, Willemen L (2009) From land cover change to land function dynamics: a major challenge to improve land characterization. J Environ Manag. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2008.08.005
Vintrou E, Desbrosse A, Bégué A, Traoré S, Baron C, Lo Seen D (2012) Crop area mapping in West Africa using landscape stratification of MODIS time series and comparison with existing global land products. Int J Appl Earth Obs Geoinf 14(1):83–93. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JAG.2011.06.010
Wang SQ, Zang XB, Zheng XQ (2012) Accuracy assessments of land use change simulation based on Markov-cellular automata model. Procedia Environ Sci 13:1238–1245
White F, Hopkins B (1987) Vegetation map of Africa. The vegetation of Africa: a descriptive memoir to accompany the Unesco/AETFAT/UNSO vegetation map of Africa. J Ecol 75(4):1214. https://doi.org/10.2307/2260340
Yang F, Zeng G, Du C, Tang L, Zhou J, Li Z (2008) Spatial analyzing system for urban land-use management based on GIS and multi-criteria assessment modeling. Prog Nat Sci 18(10):1279–1284. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pnsc.2008.05.007
Youssef AM, Pradhan B, Tarabees E (2010) Integrated evaluation of urban development suitability based on remote sensing and GIS techniques: contribution from the analytic hierarchy process. Arab J Geosci 4(3–4):463–473. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-009-0118-1
Zhang J, Feng L, Yao F (2014) Improved maize cultivated area estimation over a large scale combining MODIS-EVI time series data and crop phenological information. ISPRS J Photogramm Remote Sens 94:102–113. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isprsjprs.2014.04.023
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
On behalf of all authors, the corresponding author states that there is no conflict of interest.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Guidigan, M.L.G., Sanou, C.L., Ragatoa, D.S. et al. Assessing Land Use/Land Cover Dynamic and Its Impact in Benin Republic Using Land Change Model and CCI-LC Products. Earth Syst Environ 3, 127–137 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-018-0083-5
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-018-0083-5