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Role of Gait Speed, Strength, and Balance in Predicting Adverse Outcomes of Acutely Ill Older Outpatients

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The journal of nutrition, health & aging

Abstract

Aim

To evaluate the ability of the Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB) for predicting 1-year adverse outcomes of acutely ill older outpatients.

Methods

Prospective study with 512 acutely ill older outpatients (79.4±8.3 years, 63% female) in an acute care day hospital. The SPPB was administered at admission. Participants were classified as low (0–4 points), intermediate (5–8 points), or high (9–12 points) performance. Primary outcomes were new dependence in basic activities of daily living (ADL), hospitalization, and death at 1 year. Cox models tested whether the SPPB predicted outcomes after adjustment for sociodemographic factors, comorbidities and well-known geriatric conditions. We also estimated whether the chair-stand and balance tests improve the SPPB’s ability to identify patients at high risk of adverse outcomes.

Results

Patients with intermediate or low SPPB performance were at higher risk of 1-year new ADL dependence (32% vs 13%: adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]=2.00; 95%CI=1.18–3.37; 58% vs 13%: aHR=3.40; 95%CI=2.00–5.85, respectively), hospitalization (43% vs 29%: aHR=1.56; 95%CI=1.04–2.33; 44% vs 29%: aHR=1.80; 95%CI=1.15–2.82), and death (18% vs 6%: aHR=2.54; 95%CI=1.17–5.53; 21% vs 6%: aHR=2.70; 95%CI=1.17–6.21). Use of all three components (versus gait speed alone) improved predictions of new ADL dependence (Harrell’s C=0.73 vs 0.70;P=0.01), hospitalization (Harrell’s C=0.60 vs 0.57;P=0.04), and death (Harrell’s C=0.67 vs 0.62;P=0.04).

Conclusions

The SPPB is as a powerful tool for identifying acutely ill older outpatients at high-risk of adverse outcomes. The combination of the three components of the SPPB resulted in better predictive performance than gait speed alone.

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Funding

Funding: This study was supported by Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq) and Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP) (2014/50007-4).

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Correspondence to Sileno Queiroz Fortes-Filho.

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Declarations of interest: None.

Ethical standards: The authors declare that the study procedures comply with current ethical standards for research involving human participants and follows the principles outlined in the Declaration of Helsinki. The study protocol was approved by the Ethics Committee of the University of Sao Paulo Medical School (Brazil).

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Fortes-Filho, S.Q., Aliberti, M.J.R., Apolinario, D. et al. Role of Gait Speed, Strength, and Balance in Predicting Adverse Outcomes of Acutely Ill Older Outpatients. J Nutr Health Aging 24, 113–118 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12603-019-1279-6

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12603-019-1279-6

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