Abstract
We examine whether the proportion of CEO inside debt holdings (pension and deferred compensation) to stock holdings benefit both shareholders and debtholders by relating CEO inside debt to a firm’s dividend payout policies. Based on the positive association of CEO inside debt and the propensity and the size of the dividend payout, we find that firms paying their CEOs with large inside debt present the lower cost of debt and default risk, and these benefits transfer to better firm performance and valuation. Moreover, we find that CEO inside debt is related to superior firm performance only in dividend-paying firms. Dividends tend to increase when firms with high agency costs of equity use inside debt. We conclude that dividends serve as a channel through which CEO inside debt compensation mitigates both agency costs of debt and agency costs of equity.
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Notes
Although our findings are similar to those in Caliskan and Doukas (2015), we differ with respect to the positioning of the result. Their view on inside debt is that CEO inside debt reflects the degree of risk aversion, consistent with Wei and Yermack (2011). Thus, CEOs with high inside debt are motivated to lower firm risk by investing in fewer projects. However, we argue that inside debt is employed, as suggested by Jensen (1986), to reduce the agency costs between management and shareholders, and it eventually alleviates the agency costs of debt. As such, the increased dividend, induced by CEO inside debt, represents the reduced total agency costs, rather than just risk aversion. Overall, our results complement Caliskan and Doukas’ (2015) by demonstrating further evidence that inside debt encourages dividends and higher dividends increase firm value.
A CNN article (October 28, 2015) reports that the former CEO of Yum Brands, David Novak, has a cumulative balance of $233 million in his deferred compensation and pension. Yum Brands’ dividends per share were $0.53, $0.525, $0.78, $0.88, $1.035, $1.19, and $1.375 in our sample years. In 2014 alone, Comcast CEO, Brian Roberts, invested $23.5 million in his deferred account. Firms’ dividend per share in our sample years displays a similar upward trend. An article on the New York Times (April 3, 2005) notes that Vance Coffman, CEO of Lockheed Martin, received a lump sum payment of $31.5 million upon retirement. The dividends of his firm again show an increasing trend in our sample.
Deferred compensation is the “defined” compensation plan, where CEOs voluntarily delay e compensation and invest in their retirement plans. In most cases, firms offer CEOs fixed returns. Thus, it is viewed as CEOs’ lending money to firms. As reported in a CNBC article (December 16, 2013), firms tend to offer their executives higher “fixed” returns. This type of compensation can be accrued if CEOs agree to have part of their current compensation withheld by the firm. Firms generally match CEOs’ contributions to their deferred compensation account after setting a match rate. This deferred compensation will be paid to CEOs at a pre-selected date in the future (usually at retirement). However, some firms allow earlier withdrawals. For CEO inside debt, which consists of pension and deferred compensation, the amounts due to CEOs are generally left unfunded and unsecured. Thus, the benefits from this compensation are at risk as other creditors if the firm becomes financially distressed. Similarly, Ki and Mukherjee (2016) argue that deferred compensation is a fixed obligation of the company to make future payments to the CEO. Furthermore, deferred compensation accrues when CEOs lend the compensation back to the company by foregoing the cash and bonus compensation, and is invested either at the fixed rate of return or in the form of mutual funds chosen by the company.
Our results are quantitatively similar when dividend yield is used as a proxy for dividend level. Dividend yield is defined as the cash dividends on common stock scaled by the market value of equity (Fenn and Liang 2001).
We note that our hypothesis may raise questions regarding the effect of managerial stock incentives and borrowing cost as managers receive a significant amount of their pay in the form of stock and options. Studies linking managerial ownership with the cost of borrowing find a positive relation between managerial ownership and borrowing costs (Ortiz-Molina 2006). Our main explanatory variable is the CEO to firm debt/equity ratio (CEO’s debt-to-equity ratio scaled by a firm’s debt-to-equity ratio). Thus, managerial stock incentives are in the denominator of this measure of CEO inside debt holdings. This indicates a negative relation between borrowing costs and our measure of CEO inside debt.
In untabulated tests, we conduct Pearson correlations for our variables of interest and find a positive and significant relation between the measures of CEO inside debt holdings and the dividend payout variables. We also determine that the relation between CEO inside debt and the market-to-book value of assets is significantly positive, consistent with our predictions.
Observations in the Candy and Soda and Tobacco products industries based on the Fama and French 49 industry classifications are dropped from the logistic regressions as all of the firms in those two industries are paying dividends.
We are grateful to an anonymous referee for designing this 2SLS model with regard to the endogenous relationship.
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Acknowledgements
We would like to thank Cheng-Few Lee (the Editor), an anonymous referee, Randy Beavers (discussant), Hongrui Feng (discussant), Yili Lian (discussant), Claire Lending, Raghavendra Rau, James Weston (discussant), and seminar participants at the 2015 Southwestern Finance Association Annual Meeting, the 2015 Midwest Finance Association Annual Meeting, the 2013 Financial Management Association Annual Meeting, and the 2012 Southern Finance Association Annual Meeting for their many insightful and constructive comments and suggestions.
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Appendices
Appendix 1
See Table 12.
Appendix 2
KMV–Merton model to estimate probability of default.
The KMV–Merton model translates the value and the volatility of a firm’s equity into an implied probability of default. The value of the firm’s equity is as follows:
where \(d_{1} = \frac{{\ln \left( {\frac{V}{F}} \right) + \left( {r + 0.5\sigma_{v}^{2} } \right)T}}{{\sigma_{v} \sqrt T }}\), \(d_{2} = d_{1} - \sigma_{v} \sqrt T ,\) V is the total value of the firm, E is the market value of the firm’s equity, F if the face value of the firm’s debt, r is the risk-free rate, \(\sigma_{v}\) is the volatility of firm value, T if the time to maturity, and N(.) is the cumulative standard normal distribution function.
The volatility of the firm’s equity is as follows:
where \(\sigma_{E}\) is the volatility of firm equity, and other variables are defined in Eq. (1).
After simultaneously solve Eqs. (1) and (2) for the firm value and firm value volatility, the distance to default can be calculated as follows:
where µ is an estimate of the expected annual return of the firm’s assets. The corresponding estimated probability of default is as follows:
where N(.) is the cumulative standard normal distribution function.
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Borah, N., James, H.L. & Park, J.C. Does CEO inside debt compensation benefit both shareholders and debtholders?. Rev Quant Finan Acc 54, 159–203 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-018-00786-0
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-018-00786-0