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A nomogram for predicting the need for sciatic nerve block after total knee arthroplasty

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Abstract

Purpose

Sciatic nerve block (SNB) is commonly performed in combination with femoral nerve block (FNB) for postoperative analgesia following total knee arthroplasty (TKA). Despite the fact that 10–20 % of TKA patients require SNB for postoperative posterior knee pain, there are no existing studies that suggest a model to predict the need for SNB. The aim of our study was to develop a prediction tool to measure the likelihood of patients undergoing TKA surgery requiring a postoperative SNB.

Methods

With institutional review board approval, we obtained data from the electronic medical record of patients who underwent TKA at the Cleveland Clinic. A multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate the probability of requiring a postoperative SNB. Clinicians selected potential predictors to create a model, and the potential nonlinear association between continuous predictors and SNB was assessed using the restricted cubic spline model.

Results

In total 6279 TKA cases involving 2329 patients with complete datasets were used for building the prediction model, including 276 (12 %) patients who received a postoperative SNB and 2053 (88 %) patients who did not. The estimated C statistic of the prediction model was 0.64. The nomogram is used by first locating the patient position on each predictor variable scale, which has corresponding prognostic points. The cut-off of 11.6 % jointly maximizes the sensitivity and specificity.

Conclusion

This is the first study to be published on SNB prediction after TKA. Our nomogram may prove to be a useful tool for guiding physicians in terms of their decisions regarding SNB.

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Acknowledgments

Received from the Departments of Outcomes Research and Quantitative Health Sciences, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio. No external funding and no competing interests declared.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Anesthesiology, University of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston, TX, USA

    Rovnat Babazade

  2. Outcomes Research Consortium, Cleveland, OH, USA

    Rovnat Babazade & Thilak Sreenivasalu

  3. Department of Anesthesiology, Saint Louis University Hospital, Saint Louis, MO, USA

    Thilak Sreenivasalu

  4. Department of Outcomes Research, Anesthesiology Institute, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH, USA

    Pankaj Jain, Matthew T. Hutcherson, Amanda J. Naylor, Jing You, Hesham Elsharkawy, Ali Sakr Esa Wael & Alparslan Turan

  5. Department of Quantitative Health Sciences,, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH, USA

    Jing You

  6. Anesthesiology, Cleveland Clinic, Lerner College of Medicine, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH, USA

    Hesham Elsharkawy & Ali Sakr Esa Wael

Authors
  1. Rovnat Babazade
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  2. Thilak Sreenivasalu
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Correspondence to Alparslan Turan.

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This manuscript was written by the investigators. None of the authors has a personal financial interest in this research.

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Babazade, R., Sreenivasalu, T., Jain, P. et al. A nomogram for predicting the need for sciatic nerve block after total knee arthroplasty. J Anesth 30, 864–872 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00540-016-2223-0

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00540-016-2223-0

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