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Research Strategies for Addressing Uncertainties

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Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States

Part of the book series: NCA Regional Input Reports ((NCARIR))

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Abstract

This chapter examines research strategies that aim to reduce uncertainty associated with climate drivers and their effects on systems in the Southwest. It also identifies scientific approaches that are being considered for implementation in programs of adaptive responses to climate change. This chapter was written collaboratively with Chapter 19, which outlines some of the most important uncertainties related to climate variability and change in the Southwestern United States. In these chapters the uncertainty derives from both our presently imperfect capability to model climate and other earth systems and from our inability to adequately characterize social, economic, policy and regulatory responses in the form of adaptation and mitigation.

Chapter citation: Busch, D. E., L. D. Brekke, K. Averyt, A. Jardine, and L. Welling. 2013. “Research Strategies for Addressing Uncertainties.” In Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, edited by G. Garfin, A. Jardine, R. Merideth, M. Black, and S. LeRoy, 462–482. A report by the Southwest Climate Alliance. Washington, DC: Island Press.

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Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. U.S. Geological Survey, USA

    David E. Busch

  2. Bureau of Reclamation, USA

    Levi D. Brekke

  3. University of Colorado, Boulder, USA

    Kristen Averyt

  4. University of Arizona, USA

    Angela Jardine & Gregg Garfin

  5. National Park Service, USA

    Leigh Welling

  6. The Bureau of Land Management, Retired, USA

    Karl Ford

Authors
  1. David E. Busch
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  2. Levi D. Brekke
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  3. Kristen Averyt
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  4. Angela Jardine
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  5. Leigh Welling
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  6. Karl Ford
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  7. Gregg Garfin
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Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Institute of the Environment, University of Arizona, N. Park Ave Ste. 532 845, 85721, Tucson, Arizona, USA

    Gregg Garfin

  2. University of Arizona, USA

    Angela Jardine , Robert Merideth , Mary Black  & Sarah LeRoy , ,  & 

Endnotes

Endnotes

  1. i

    See http://greatbasin.wr.usgs.gov/GBRMP/

  2. ii

    Western Water Assessment, personal communications.

  3. iii

    See http://www.doi.gov/csc/southwest/

  4. iv

    See http://www.doi.gov/lcc/

  5. v

    See http://californialcc.org/,_http://www.usbr.gov/WaterSMART/lcc, and http://www.blm.gov/id/st/en/prog/Great_Basin_LCC.html

  6. vi

    See http://www.doi.gov/csc/southwest/

  7. vii

    See http://tkbulletin.wordpress.com/

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Busch, D.E. et al. (2013). Research Strategies for Addressing Uncertainties. In: Garfin, G., Jardine, A., Merideth, R., Black, M., LeRoy, S. (eds) Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States. NCA Regional Input Reports. Island Press, Washington, DC. https://doi.org/10.5822/978-1-61091-484-0_20

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