Abstract
Studies related to a hypothesis of increased risk of tree frost damage as a result of climate change were reviewed. The hypothesis was established during the late 1980s and early 1990s using phenological simulation models for growth onset. According to model simulations, climatic change would cause premature growth onset during intermittent mild spells in the winter and tree damage during subsequent periods of frost. The predicted frost damage was catastrophic in continental conditions, for maritime conditions less severe damage was predicted. After its establishment, the frost damage hypothesis has been examined with several studies applying a wide variety of approaches. The predictions of the recent studies about the ecological implications of climate change range from no increase to moderate increase in the incidence of frost damage. Further studies, still applying a wide range of approaches, are needed to evaluate these predictions.
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Hänninen, H. (1997). Effects of Climatic Change on Overwintering of Forest Trees in Temperate and Boreal Zones. In: Mohren, G.M.J., Kramer, K., Sabaté, S. (eds) Impacts of Global Change on Tree Physiology and Forest Ecosystems. Forestry Sciences, vol 52. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-8949-9_20
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-8949-9_20
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
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