Skip to main content
Log in

Assessing ecological implications of climatic change: Can we rely on our simulation models?

Editorial Essay

  • Published:
Climatic Change Aims and scope Submit manuscript

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

References

  • Ågren, G. I., McMurtrie, R. E., Parton, W. J., Pastor, J., and Shugart, H. H.: 1991, ‘State-of-the-Art of Models of Production-Decomposition Linkages in Conifer and Grassland Ecosystems’,Ecol. Appl. 1, 118–138.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bonan, G. B.: 1989, ‘A Computer Model of the Solar Radiation, Soil Moisture, and Soil Thermal Regimes in Boreal Forests’,Ecol. Model. 45, 275–306.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bonan, G. B.: 1993, ‘Do Biophysics and Physiology Matter in Ecosystem Models?’,Clim. Change 24, 281–285.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hänninen, H.: 1990, ‘Modeling Dormancy Release in Trees from Cool and Temperate Regions’, in Dixon, R. K.et al. (eds.),Process Modeling of Forest Growth Responses to Environmental Stress, Timber Press, Portland, pp. 159–165.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hänninen, H.: 1991, ‘Does Climatic Warming Increase the Risk of Frost Damage in Northern Trees?’,Plant Cell Environm. 14, 449–454.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hänninen, H.: 1995, ‘Effects of Climatic Change on Trees from Cool and Temperate Regions: An Ecophysiological Approach to Modelling of Bud Burst Phenology’,Can. J. Bot.,73, 183–199.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hänninen, H., Kellomäki, S., Laitinen, K., Pajari, B., and Repo, T.: 1993, ‘Effects of Increased Winter Temperature on the Onset of Height Growth of Scots Pine: A Field Test of a Phenological Model’,Silva Fenn. 27, 251–257.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kellomäki, S., Hänninen, H., and Kolström, T.: 1988, ‘Model Computations on the Impacts of the Climatic Change on the Productivity and Silvicultural Management of the Forest Ecosystem’,Silva Fenn. 22, 293–305.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kellomäki, S., Hänninen, H., and Kolström, M.: 1995, ‘Computations on Frost Damage to Scots Pine under Climatic Warming in Boreal Conditions’,Ecol. Appl. 5, 42–52.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kellomäki, S. and Kolström, M.: 1993, ‘Computations on the Yield of Timber by Scots Pine When Subjected to Varying Levels of Thinning under a Changing Climate in Southern Finland’,Forest Ecol. Managem. 59, 237–255.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kellomäki, S. and Kolström, M.: 1994, ‘The Influence of Climate Change on the Productivity of Scots Pine, Norway Spruce, Pendula Birch and Pubescent Birch in Southern and Northern Finland’,Forest Ecol. Managem. 65, 201–217.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kellomäki, S., Väisänen, H., Hänninen, H., Kolström, T., Lauhanen, R., Mattila, U., and Pajari, B.: 1992, ‘A Simulation Model for the Succession of the Boreal Forest Ecosystem’,Silva Fenn. 26, 1–18.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kercher, J. R. and Axelrod, M. C.: 1984, ‘A Process Model of Fire Ecology and Succession in a Mixed-Conifer Forest’,Ecology 65, 1725–1742.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kramer, K.: 1994, ‘Selecting a Model to Predict the Onset of Growth ofFagus sylvatica’,J. Appl. Ecol. 31, 172–181.

    Google Scholar 

  • Levins, R.: 1966, ‘The Strategy of Model Building in Population Biology’,Am. Sci. 54, 421–431.

    Google Scholar 

  • Malanson, G. P.: 1993, ‘Comment on Modeling Ecological Response to Climatic Change’,Clim. Change 23, 95–109.

    Google Scholar 

  • Oreskes, N., Shrader-Frechette, K., and Belitz, K.: 1994, ‘Verification, Validation, and Confirmation of Numerical Models in the Earth, Sciences’,Science 263, 641–645.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pastor, J. and Post, W. M.: 1985, ‘Development of a Linked Forest Productivity-Soil Process Model’,Environm. Sci. Divis., Oak Ridge National Laboratory Publication 2455, 1–162.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pastor, J. and Post, W. M.: 1986, ‘Influence of Climate, Soil Moisture, and Succession on Forest Carbon and Nitrogen Cycles’,Biogeochem. 2, 3–27.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pastor, J. and Post, W. M.: 1988, ‘Response of Northern Forests to CO2-Induced Climate Change’,Nature 334, 55–58.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sarvas, R.: 1972, ‘Investigations on the Annual Cycle of Development of Forest Trees. Active Period’,Comm. Inst. For. Fenn. 76(3, 1–110.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sarvas, R.: 1974, ‘Investigations on the Annual Cycle of Development of Forest Trees. II. Autumn Dormancy and Winter Dormancy’,Comm. Inst. For. Fenn. 84(1, 1–101.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sharpe, P. J. H.: 1990, ‘Forest Modeling Approaches: Compromises between Generality and Precision’, in Dixon, R. K.et al. (eds.),Process Modeling of Forest Growth Responses to Environmental Stress, Timber Press, Portland, pp. 180–190.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shugart, H. H.: 1990, ‘Using Ecosystem Models to Assess Potential Consequences of Global Climatic Change’,Trends Ecol. Evol. 5, 303–307.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Hänninen, H. Assessing ecological implications of climatic change: Can we rely on our simulation models?. Climatic Change 31, 1–4 (1995). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01092977

Download citation

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01092977

Keywords

Navigation