Abstract
During recent years, real options have emerged as one of the most actively researched topics in finance and related fields. A quarter of a century since the first appearence of the term, this article sets out to review the main contributions to real options theory and assess their impact on our understanding of managerial behavior in an environment characterized by economic uncertainty and flexibility. Next to the option pricing foundations, the article emphasizes the role of real options for the extraction and commercialization of natural resources, research and development, corporate risk management and foreign direct investment, production flexibilities, as well as game-theoretic treatments of corporate investment decisions. In addition, the authors discuss reasons for the reluctance of corporate practitioners to employ real option analysis in their capital budgeting decisions and ways in which the underlying concerns have been addressed in the literature so far.
This paper is based on a presentation by U. Hommel held at the Conference on “Recent Topics in Real Option Valuation” at the Donau-Universität Krems (Austria) in July 2002. The authors would like to thank two anonymous referees and the editors for helpful comments, while retaining responsibility for all remaining errors and omissions.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Abel, A. B., Dixit, A. K., Eberly, J. C., Pindyck, R. S. (1996): Options, the Value of Capital, and Investment. Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol. 111, no. 3, pp. 753–777.
Abel, A. B., Eberly, J. C. (1994): A Unified Model of Investment under Uncertainty. American Economic Review, vol. 84, no. 1, pp. 1369–1384.
Abel, A. B., Eberly, J. C. (1996): Optimal Investment with Costly Reversibility. Review of Economic Studies, vol. 63, pp. 581–593.
Abel, A. B., Eberly, J. C. (1997): An Exact Solution for the Investment and Value of a Firm Facing Uncertainty, Adjustment Costs, and Irreversibility. Journal of Economics Dynamics and Control, vol. 21, pp. 831–852.
Acharya, V. V., Huang, J., Subrahmanyam, M. G., Sundaram, R. K. (2002): When Does Strategic Debt Service Matter? Mimeo, London Business School, London, UK.
Adner, R., Levinthal, D. A. (2002): What is Not a Real Option: Identifying Boundaries for the Application of Real Options to Business Strategy. Mimeo, INSEAD, Fontainebleau, France.
Aggarwal, R., Soenen, L. (1989): Managing Persistent Real Changes in Currency Values: The Role of Multinational Operating Strategies. Columbia Journal of World Business, vol. 24, no. 3, pp. 60–67.
de Almeida, G. E/Zemsky, P. (2003): The Effect of Time-to-Build on Strategic Investment Under Uncertainty. RAND Journal of Economics, vol. 34, no. 1.
Amin, K. (1993): Jump Diffusion Option Valuation in Discrete Time. Journal of Finance, vol. 48, pp. 1833–1863.
Amin, K. I., Jarrow, R. A. (1991): Pricing Foreign Currency Options under Stochastic Interest Rates. Journal of International Money and Finance, vol. 10, pp. 310–329.
Amram, M. (2002): Value Sweep: Mapping Growth Opportunities Across Assets. Harvard Business School Press, Boston, MA.
Amram, M., Kulatilaka, N. (1999): Real Options: Managing Strategic Investment in an Uncertain World. Harvard Business School Press, Boston, MA.
Amram, M., Kulatilaka, N. (2000): Strategy and Shareholder Value Creation: The Real Options Frontier. Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, vol. 13, no. 2, pp. 8–21.
Anderson, R. W., Sundaresan, S. (1996): Design and Valuation of Debt Contracts. Review of Financial Studies, vol. 9, no. 1, pp. 37–68.
Angelis, D. I. (2000): Capturing the Option Value of R and D. Research Technology Management, vol. 4, pp. 31–34.
Bachelier, L. (1900): Théorie de la Spéculation. Annales Scientifiques de l’École Normale Supérieure, pp. 21–86.
Baecker, P. N., Hommel, U. (2003): Wettbewerbsvorteil, dynamische Fähigkeiten und Realoptionen: “Option Thinking” als Grundgedanke wertorientierter Unternehmenspolitik. In: Wied-mann, K.-P., Heckemüller, C. (eds.), Ganzheitliches Corporate Finance Management. Gabler, Wiesbaden.
Balasubramanian, P. R., Kulatilaka, N., Storck, J. (2000): Managing Information Technology Investments Using a Real-Options approach. Journal of Strategic Information Systems, vol. 9, pp. 39–62.
Baldursson, R., Karatzas, I. (1997): Irreversible Investment and Industry Equilibrium. Finance and Stochastic, vol. 1, pp. 69–89.
Baldursson, F. M. (1998): Irreversible Investment under Uncertainty in Oligopoly. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol. 22, pp. 627–644.
Baldwin, C. Y. (1982): Optimal Sequential Investment When Capital is Not Readily Reversible. Journal of Finance, vol. 37, no. 3, pp. 763–782.
Baldwin, C. Y., Clark, K. (1992): Capabilities and Capital Investment: New Perspectives on Capital Budgeting. Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, vol. 5, no. 1, pp. 67–87.
Baldwin, C. Y., Clark, K. B. (1997): Managing in an Age of Modularity. Harvard Business Review, pp. 84–93.
Baldwin, C. Y., Clark, K. B. (2000): The Power of Modularity, vol. 1 of Design Rules. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.
Baldwin, C. Y., Clark, K. B. (2001): Modularity After the Crash. Working paper 01–075, Harvard Business School, Cambridge, MA.
Baldwin, C. Y., Clark, K. B. (2002): The Option Value of Modularity in Design. Harvard NOM Research Paper 02–13, Harvard Business School.
Ballwieser, W. (2002): Unternehmensbewertung und Optionspreistheorie. DBW, vol. 62, no. 2, pp. 184–201.
Balmann, A., Mußhoff, O. (2002): Real Options and Competition: The Impact of Depreciation and Reinvestment. Mimeo, Department of Agricultural Economics and Social Sciences, Humboldt University of Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Bar-Ilan, A., Strange, W. C. (1998): A Model of Sequential Investment. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol. 22, pp. 437–463.
Bar-Ilan, A., Strange, W. C. (1999): The Timing and Intensity of Investment. Journal of Macroeconomics, vol. 21, no. 1, pp. 57–77.
Bar-Ilan, A., Sulem, A., Zanello, A. (2002): Time-to-Build and Capacity Choice. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol. 26, pp. 69–98.
Barney, J. B. (1991): Firm Resources and Sustained Competitive Advantages. Journal of Management, vol. 17, no. 1, pp. 99–120.
Barone-Adesi, G., Whaley, R. (1987): Efficient Analytic Approximation of American Option Values. Journal of Finance, vol. 42, pp. 301–320.
Barraquand, J., Martineau, D. (1995): Numerical Valuation of High Dimensional Multivariate American Securities. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, vol. 30, no. 3, pp. 383–405.
Baudry, M. (1999): Joint Management of Emission Abatement and Technological Innovation for Stock Externalities. Environmental and Resource Economics, vol. 16, pp. 161–183.
Bebchuk, L. A. (2002): The Case Against Board Veto in Corporate Takeovers. University of Chicago Law Review, pp. 973–1035.
Bellalah, M. (2001): Irreversibility, Sunk Costs and Investment under Incomplete Information. R and D Management, vol. 31, no. 2, pp. 115–126.
Bellalah, M. (2002): Valuation of Commodity Assets and the Option to Invest in the Presence of Stochastic Prices and Incomplete Information. Mimeo, Universities of Cergy, Cergy, France.
Benaroch, M. (2001): Option-Based Management of Technology Investment Risk IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, vol. 48, no. 4, pp. 428–444.
Benaroch, M., Kauffman, R. J. (1999): A Case for Using Options Pricing Analysis to Evaluate Information Technology Project Investments. Information Systems Research, vol. 10, no. 1, pp. 70–86.
Benaroch, M., Kauffman, R. J. (2000): Justifying Electronic Banking Network Expansion Using Real Options Analysis. MIS Quarterly, vol. 24, no. 2, pp. 197–225.
Berger, P. G., Ofek, E., Swary, I. (1996): Investor Valuation of the Abandonment Option. Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 43, no. 2, pp. 257–287.
Bernardo, A. E., Chowdhry, B. (2002): Resources, Real Options, and Corporate Strategy. Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 63, pp. 211–234.
Bernardo, A. E., Chowdhry, B., Palia, D., Sernova, E. (2000): Real Options and the Diversification Discount. Mimeo, UCLA, Anderson Graduate School of Management.
Bertola, G. (1988): Adjustment Costs and Dynamic Factor Demands: Investment and Employment under Uncertainty. Ph.D. thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA.
Black, F., Scholes, M. (1973): The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities. Journal of Political Economy, vol. 81, pp. 637–659.
Boer, F. P. (2000): Valuation of Technology Using “Real Options”. Research Technology Management, pp. 26–30.
Boer, F. P. (2002): The Real Options Solution: Finding Total Value in a High-Risk World. John Wiley and Sons, Hoboken, NJ.
Bollen, N. P. B. (1999): Real Options and Product Life Cycles. Management Science, vol. 45, no. 5, pp. 670–684.
Boyer, M., Lasserre, P., Mariotti, T., Moreaux, M. (2001): Real Options, Preemption, and the Dynamics of Industry Investments. Scientific Series 2001s - 64, CIRANO, Montréal, Canada.
Boyle, P. P. (1977): Options: A Monte Carlo Approach. Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 4, pp. 323–338.
Boyle, P. P. (1988): Lattice Framework for Option Pricing with Two State Variables. Journal of Financial and Quantatative Analysis, vol. 23, pp. 1–12.
Boyle, P. P., Broadie, M., Glasserman, P. (1997): Monte Carlo Methods for Security Pricing. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol. 21, pp. 1267–1321.
Boyle, P. P., Evnine, J., Gibbs, S. (1989): Numerical Evaluation of Multivariate Contingent Claims Review of Financial Studies, vol. 2, pp. 241–250.
Boyle, P. P., Vorst, T. (1992): Option Replication in Discrete time with Transaction Costs. Journal of Finance, vol. 47, pp. 271–293.
Brach, M. A. (2002): Real Options in Practice. John Wiley and Sons, Hoboken, NJ.
Brach, M. A., Paxson, D. A. (2001): A Gene to Drug Venture: Poisson Option Analysis. R and D Management, vol. 31, no. 2, pp. 203–214.
Brandt, A., Cryer, C. W. (1983): Multigrid Algorithms for the Solution of Linear Complementarity Problems Arising from Free Boundary Problems. SIAM Journal of Scientific Computing, vol. 4, pp. 655–684.
Brealey, R. A., Kaplanis, E. C. (1995): Discrete Exchange Rate Hedging Strategies. Journal of Banking and Finance, vol. 19, pp. 765–784.
Brealey, R. A., Myers, S. C. (2000): Principles of Corporate Finance. Irwin McGraw-Hill, New York, NY.
Brekke, K. A., Oksendal, B. (1994): Optimal Switching in an Economic Activity Under Uncertainty. SIAM Journal of Control and Optimization, vol. 32, pp. 1021–1036.
Brennan, M. J., Schwartz, E. S. (1978): Finite Difference Methods and Jump Processes Arising in the Pricing of Contingent Claims. A Synthesis. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, vol. 13, pp. 461–474.
Brennan, M. J., Schwartz, E. S. (1985): Evaluating Natural Resource Investment. Journal of Business, vol. 58, no. 2, pp. 135–157.
Brennan, M. J., Trigeorgis, L. (eds.) (2000): Project Flexibility, Agency, and Competition: New Developments in the Theory and Application of Real Options. Oxford University Press, New York, NY.
Bridges, E., Coughlan, A. T., Kalish, S. (1991): New Technology Adoption in an Innovative Marketplace: Micro-and Macro-Level Decision Making Models. International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 7, pp. 257–270.
Broadie, M., Detemple, J. (1996): American Option Valuation: New Bounds, Approximations and a Comparison of Existing Methods. Review of Financial Studies, vol. 9, pp. 1211–1250.
Broadie, M., Glasserman, P., Jain, G. (1997): Enhanced Monte Carlo Estimation for American Option Prices. Journal of Derivatives, vol. 5, no. 1, pp. 25–44.
Buckley, A., Tse, K. (1996): Real Operating Options and Foreign Direct Investment: A Synthetic Approach. European Management Journal, vol. 14, no. 3, pp. 304–314.
Buckley, A., Tse, K., Rijken, H., Eijgenhuijsen, H. (2002): Stock Market Valuation with Real Options: Lessons from Netscape. European Management Journal, vol. 20, no. 5, pp. 512–526.
Buckley, P. J., Casson, M. C. (1998): Models of the Multinational Enterprise. International Business Studies, vol. 29, no. 1, pp. 21–44.
Busby, J. S., Pitts, C. G. C. (1997): Real Options in Practice: An Exploratory Survey of How Finance Officers Deal with Flexibility in Capital Appraisal. Management Accounting Research, vol. 8, pp. 169–186.
Campbell, J. A. (2002): Real Options Analysis of the Timing of IS Investment Decisions. Information and Management, vol. 39, pp. 337–344.
Caplin, A., Leahy, J. (1998): Miracle on Sixth Avenue: Information Externalities and Search. Review of Financial Studies, vol. 108, pp. 60–74.
Capozza, D., Sick, G. (1994): The Risk Structure of Land Markets. Journal of Urban Economics, vol. 35, pp. 297–319.
Carr, P. (1988): The Valuation of Sequential Exchange Opportunities. Journal of Finance, vol. 43, no. 5, pp. 1235–1256.
Chang, C. (1998): Does Hedging Aggravate or Alleviate Agency Problems? A Managerial Theory of Risk Management. Working paper 9703, University of Minnedota, Carlson School of Management, Minneapolis, MN.
Charalambous, C., Martzoukos, S. H. (2001): Artificial Neural Networks for Valuation of Financial Derivatives and Customized Option Embedded Contracts. Working paper 01–19, University of Cyprus, Department of Public and Business Administration, Nicosia, Cyprus.
Charnes, J. M., Shenoy, P. P. (2000): A Forward Monte Carlo Method For Solving Influence Diagrams Using Local Computation. Mimeo, University of Kansas, School of Business, Lawrence, KS.
Chatterjee, D., Ramesh, V. (1999): Real Options for Risk Management in Information Technology Projects. In: Proceedings of the 32nd Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences.
Childs, P. D., Ott, S. H., Riddiough, T. J. (2001): Valuation and Information Acquisition Policy for Claims Written on Noisy Real Assets. Financial Management, pp. 5–35.
Childs, P. D., Triantis, A. J. (1999): Dynamic R and D Investment Policies. Management Science, vol. 45, pp. 1359–1377.
Chowdry, B., Howe, J. T. B. (1999): Corporate Risk Management for Multinational Corporations: Financial and Operational Hedging Policies. European Finance Review, vol. 2, pp. 229–246.
Christensen, C. M. (1997): The Innovator’s Dilemma Harvard Business School Press, Boston, MA.
Clemons, E. K. (1991): Investments in Information Technology. Communications of the ACM, vol. 34, pp. 22–36.
Clemons, E. K., Weber, B. W. (1990): Strategic Information Technology Investments: Guidelines for Decisionmaking. Journal of Management Information Systems, pp. 9–28.
Clewlow, L., Strickland, C. (1998): Implementing Derivative Models. John Wiley and Sons, Hoboken, NJ.
Cohen, M. A., Lee, H. L. (1989): Resource Deployment Analysis of Global Manufacturing and Distribution Networks. Journal of Manufacturing and Operations Management, vol. 2, no. 2, pp. 81–104.
Constantinides, G. M. (1984): Warrant Exercise and Bond Conversion in Competitive Markets. Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 13, pp. 371–397.
Cooper, R. G. (1993): Winning at New Products: Accelerating the Process from Idea to Launch. Addison-Wesley, Reading, MA.
Copeland, T., Antikarov, V. (2001): Real Options: A Practitioner’s Guide. Texere, London, UK.
Copeland, T., Koller, T., Murrin, J. (2000): Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies. John Wiley and Sons, Hoboken, NJ.
Copeland, T. E., Keenan, R T. (1998): Making Real Options Real. McKinsey Quartely, no. 3, pp. 128–141.
Cortazar, G., Casassus, J. (1998): Optimal Timing of Mine Expansion: Implementing a Real Options Model. Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, vol. 38, pp. 755–769.
Cortazar, G., Casassus, J. (2000): A Compound Option Model for Evaluating Natural Resources. In: Brennan/Trigeorgis (2000), chp. 11, pp. 205–223.
Cortazar, G., Schwartz, E. S. (1993): A Compound Option Model for Production and Immediate Inventories. Journal of Business, vol. 66, no. 4, pp. 517–540.
Cortazar, G., Schwartz, E. S. (1997): Implementing a Real Options Model for Valuing an Undeveloped Oil Field. International Transactions in Operational Research, vol. 4, no. 2, pp. 125–137.
Cortazar, G., Schwartz, E. S. (1998): Monte Carlo Evaluation Model of an Undeveloped Oil Field. Journal of Energy Finance and Development, vol. 3, no. 1, pp. 73–84.
Cortazar, G., Schwartz, E. S., Casassus, J. (2001): Optimal Exploration Investments under Price and Geological-Technical Uncertainty: A Real Options Model. R and D Management, vol. 31, no. 2, pp. 181–189.
Cortazar, G., Schwartz, E. S., Salinas, M. (1998): Evaluating Environmental Investments: A Real Options Approach. Management Science, vol. 44, no. 8, pp. 1059–1070.
Courtault, J.-M., Kabanov, Y., Bru, B., Crépel, P. (2000): Louis Bachelier on the Centenary of Théorie de la Spéculation. Mathematical Finance, vol. 10, no. 3, pp. 341–353.
Cox, J., Ingersoll, J., Ross, S. (1985): A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates. Econometrica, vol. 53, pp. 385–467.
Cox, J. C., Ross, A. (1976a): The Valuation of Options for Alternative Stochastic Processes. Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 3, no. 2, pp. 145–166.
Cox, J. C., Ross, S. A. (1976b): A Survey of Some New Results in Financial Options Pricing Theory. Journal of Finance, vol. 31, pp. 382–402.
Cox, J. C., Ross, S. A., Rubinstein, M. (1979): Option Pricing: A Simplified Approach. Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 7, no. 3, pp. 229–263.
Crank, J., Nicolson, P. (1947): A Practical Method for Numerical Integration of Solutions of Partial Differential Equations of Heat Conduction Type. Proceedings of the Cambridge Philosophical Society, vol. 43, pp. 50–67.
Cvitanic, J., Karatzas, I. (1993): Hedging Contingent Claims with Constrained Portfolios. Annals of Applied Probability, vol. 3, pp. 652–681.
Damodaran, A. (2000): The Promise of Real Options. Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, vol. 13, no. 2, pp. 29–44.
Damodaran, A. (2001a): Corporate Finance: Theory and Practice. John Wiley and Sons, Hoboken, NJ.
Damodaran, A. (2001b): The Dark Side of Valuation. Financial Times Prentice Hall, London, UK.
Damodaran, A. (2002): Investment Valuation: Tools and Techniques for Determining the Value of Any Asset. John Wiley and Sons, Hoboken, NJ.
Dangl, T. (1999): Investment and Capacity Choice under Uncertain Demand. European Journal of Operational Research, vol. 117, pp. 415–428.
Dangl, T., Wirl, E (2003): Investment under Uncertainty: Calculating the Value Function When the Bellman Equation Cannot be Solved Analytically. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. Forthcoming.
Darwin, C. R. (1859): On the Origin of Species by Means of Natural Selection, or the Preservation of Favoured Races in the Struggle for Life. John Murray, London.
Dasu, S., Li, L. (1997): Optimal Operating Policies in the Presence of Exchange Rate Variability. Management Science, vol. 43, no. 5, pp. 705–722.
Dawid, H., Kopel, M. (1998): The Appropriate Design of a Genetic Algorithm in Economic Applications Exemplified by a Model of the Cobweb Type. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, vol. 8, pp. 297–315.
Dias, M. A. G. (2001): Investment in Information for Oil Field Development Using Evolutionary Approach with Monte Carlo Simulation. In: 5th Annual International Real Options Conference. UCLA, Anderson Graduate School of Management, Los Angeles, CA.
Dias, M. A. G. (2002): Investment in Information in Petroleum, Real Options and Revelation. In: 6th Annual International Real Options Conference. Paphos, Cyprus.
Dixit, A. K. (1989a): Entry and Exit Decisions under Uncertainty. Journal of Political Economy, vol. 97, pp. 620–638.
Dixit, A. K. (1989b): Hysteresis, Import Penetration, and Exchange Rate Pass Through. Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol. 104, pp. 205–228.
Dixit, A. K. (1991): Irreversible Investments with Price Ceilings. Journal of Political Economy, vol. 99, pp. 541–557.
Dixit, A. K. (1992): Investment and Hysteresis. Journal of Economic Perspectives, vol. 6, no. 1, pp. 107–132.
Dixit, A. K. (1995): Irreversible Investment with Uncertainty and Scale Economics. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol. 19, no. 12, pp. 327–350.
Dixit, A. K., Pindyck, R. S. (1994): Investment under Uncertainty. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.
Dixit, A. K., Pindyck, R. S. (1995): The Options Approach to Capital Investment. Harvard Business Review, pp. 105–115.
Dixit, A. K., Pindyck, R. S. (2000): Expandability, Reversibility, and Optimal Capacity Choice. In: Brennan/Trigeorgis (2000), chp. 4, pp. 50–70.
Doctor, R. N., Newton, D. P., Pearson, A. (2001): Managing Uncertainty in Research and Development. Technovation, vol. 21, no. 2, pp. 79–90.
Doraszelski, U. (2001): The Net Present Value Method Versus the Option Value of Waiting: A Note on Farzin, Huisman and Kort (1998). Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol. 25, pp. 1109–1115.
Dos Santos, B. L. (1991): Justifying Investments in New Information Technologies. Journal of Management Information Systems, vol. 7, pp. 71–89.
Dosi, C., Moretto, M. (1997): Pollution Accumulation and Firm Incentives to Accelerate Technological Change under Uncertain Private Benefits. Environmental and Resource Economics, vol. 10, no. 3, pp. 285–300.
Duan, J.-C., Simonato, J.-G. (2001): American Option Pricing under GARCH by a Markov Chain Approximation. Economic Dynamics and Control, vol. 25, pp. 1689–1718.
Dutta, P. K., Lach, S., Rustichini, A. (1995): Better Late than Early: Vertical Differentiation in the Adoption of a New Technology. Journal of Economics and Management Strategy, vol. 4, pp. 563–589.
Dutta, P. K., Rustichini, A. (1993): A Theory of Stopping Time Games with Applications to Product Innovations and Asset Sales. Economic Theory, vol. 3, no. 4, pp. 743–763.
Edirisinghe, C., Naik, V., Uppal, R. (1993): Optimal Replication of Options with Transactions Costs and Trading Restrictions. Journal of Financial Quantitative Annals, vol. 28, pp. 117–138.
Einstein, A. (1905): Über die von der molekularkinetischen Theorie der Wärme geforderte Bewegung von in ruhenden Flüssigkeiten suspendierten Teilchen. Annalen der Physik, vol. 17, pp. 549–560.
Ekboir, J. M. (1997): Technical Change and Irreversibility under Uncertainty. Agricultural Economics, vol. 16, pp. 55–65.
Elettra, A., Rossella, A. (2003): A Generalization of the Geske Formula for Compound Options. Mathematical Social Sciences, vol. 45, pp. 75–82.
Emanuel, D. C. (1983): Warrant Valuation and Strategy. Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 12, pp. 211–235.
Erdogmus, H. (2001): Management of License-Cost Uncertainty in Software Development: A Real Options Approach. In: 5th Annual International Real Options Conference. UCLA, Anderson Graduate School of Management, Los Angeles, CA.
Erdogmus, H., Favaro, J. (2002): Keep Your Options Open: Extreme Programming and Economics Flexibility. In: Succi, G., Wells, J. D., Williams, L., Marchesi, M. (eds.), Extreme Programming Perspectives. Addison Wesley Professional, Boston, MA.
Erdogmus, H., La Barre, M. (2000): Value of Commercial Software Development under Technology Risk. Mimeo, National Research Council Canada, Institute for Information Technology, Ottawa, OT.
Farzin, Y. H., Huisman, K. J. M., Kort, P. M. (1998): Optimal Timing of Technology Adoption. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol. 22, no. 5, pp. 779–799.
Faulkner, T. W. (1996): Applying “Options Thinking” To R and D Valuation. Research Technology Management, pp. 50–56.
Feller, W. (1957): An Introduction to Probability Theory and its Applications. Wiley, New York, NY.
Friedl, G. (2002): Sequential Investment and Time to Build. Schmalenbach Business Review, vol. 54, no. 1, pp. 58–79.
Fudenberg, D., Tirole, J. (1985): Preemption and Rent Equalization in the Adoption of New Technology. Review of Economic Studies, vol. 52, no. 3, pp. 383–401.
Fudenberg, D., Tirole, J. (1986): Dynamic Models of Oligopoly. Harwood Academic Publisher, London, UK.
Gamba, A. (2002): Real Options Valuation: A Monte Carlo Simulation Approach. Mimeo 2002/03, Faculty of Management, University of Calgary.
Gamba, A., Trigeorgis, L. (2001): A Log-Transformed Binomial Lattice Extension for Multi- Dimensional Option Problems. In: 5th Annual International Real Options Conference. UCLA, Anderson Graduate School of Management, Los Angeles, CA.
Geske, R. (1979a): A Note on an Analytical Valuation Formula for Unprotected American Options on Stocks with Known Dividends. Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 7, pp. 375–380.
Geske, R. (1979b): The Valuation of Compound Options. Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 7, no. 1, pp. 63–81.
Geske, R., Johnson, H. E. (1984): The American Put Valued Analytically. Journal of Finance, vol. 39, no. 5, pp. 1511–1524.
Gjolberg, O., Guttormsen, A. G. (2002): Real Options in the Forest: What If Prices are Mean-Reverting? Forest Policy and Economics, vol. 4, pp. 13–20.
Goldberg, L. S., Charles, D. (1995): Foreign Direct Investment, Exchange Rate Variability and Demand Uncertainty. International Economic Review, vol. 36, no. 4, pp. 855–873.
Grenadier, S. R. (1996): The Strategic Exercise of Options: Development Cascades and Overbuilding in Real Estate Markets. Journal of Finance, vol. 51, no. 5, pp. 1653–1679.
Grenadier, S. R. (1999): Information Revelation Through Option Exercise. Review of Financial Studies, vol. 12, no. 1, pp. 95–129.
Grenadier, S. R. (2000a): Equilibrium with Time-to-Build. In: Brennanl Trigeorgis ( 2000 ), pp. 275–296.
Grenadier, S. R. (2000b): Game Choices: The Intersection of Real Options and Game Theory. Risk Books, London, UK.
Grenadier, S. R. (2000c): Option Exercise Games: The Intersection of Real Options and Game Theory. Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, vol. 12, pp. 99–106.
Grenadier, S. R. (2002): Option Exercise Games: An Application to the Equilibrium Investment Strategies of Firms. Review of Financial Studies, vol. 15, no. 3, pp. 691–721.
Grenadier, S. R. (2003): An Equilibrium Analysis of Real Estate. NBER Working Paper W9475, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business, Stanford, CA.
Grenadier, S. R., Weiss, A. M. (1997): Investment in Technological Innovations: An Option Pricing Approach. Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 44, pp. 397–416.
Harrison, J. M., Kreps, D. (1979): Martingales and Arbitrage in Multiperiod Securities Markets. Journal of Economic Theory, vol. 20, pp. 381–408.
Harrison, J. M., Pliska, S. R. (1981): Martingales and Stochastic Integrales in the Theory of Continous Trading. Stochastic Processes and Their Applications, vol. 11, pp. 215–260.
von Hayek, E A. (1978): The Constitution of Liberty. University of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL.
Hayes, R. H., Abernathy, W. J. (1980): Managing our Way to Economic Decline. Harvard Business Review, pp. 67–77.
Hayes, R. H., Garvin, D. A. (1982): Managing as if Tomorrow Mattered. Harvard Business Review, pp. 71–79.
He, H. (1990): Convergence from Discrete to Continuous-Time Contingent Claims Prices. Review of Financial Studies, vol. 3, no. 4, pp. 523–546.
Henderson, V., Hobson, D. G. (2002): Real Options with Constant Relative Risk Aversion. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol. 27, pp. 329–355.
Ho, T. S. Y., Stapleton, R. C., Subrahmanyam, M. G. (1997): The Valuation of American Options with Stochastic Interest Rates: A Generalization of the GeskeJohnson Technique. Journal of Finance, vol. 52, no. 2, pp. 827–840.
Hommel, U. (2003): Financial Versus Operative Hedging of Currency Risk. Global Finance Journal, vol. 14, no. 1, pp. 1–18.
Hommel, U., Pritsch, G. (1999a): Investitionsbewertung und Untemehmensführung mit dem Realoptionsansatz. In: Achleitner, A.-K., Thoma, G. E (eds.), Handbuch Corporate Finance, chp. 3.1. 5. Deutscher Wirtschaftsdienst, Köln, Germany.
Hommel, U., Pritsch, G. (1999b): Marktorientierte Investitionsbewertung mit dem Realoptionsansatz: Ein Implementierungsleitfaden für die Praxis. Finanzmarkt und Portfoliomanagement, vol. 13, no. 2, pp. 121–144.
Hommel, U., Riemer-Hommel, P. (1999): Die ökonomische Bewertung von Arbeitsflexibilisierungsmaßnahmen unter Anwendung des Realoptionsansatzes. In: Backes-Gellner, U., Kräkel, M., Grund, C. (eds.), Entlohnung und Arbeitszeitgestaltung im Rahmen betrieblicher Personalpolitik, pp. 131–155. Hampp, Mering.
Hommel, U., Scholich, M., Baecker, P. (eds.) (2003): Reale Optionen: Konzepte, Praxis und Perspektiven strategischer Unternehmensfinanzierung. Springer, Berlin.
Hommel, U., Scholich, M., Nollrath, R. (eds.) (2001): Realoptionen in der Unternehmenspraxis: Wert schaffen durch Flexibilität. Springer, Berlin, Germany.
Hoppe, H. C. (2000): Second-mover Advantages in the Strategic Adoption of new Technology under Uncertainty. International Journal of Industrial Organization, vol. 18, pp. 315–338.
Hoppe, H. C., Lehmann-Grube, U. (2002): Innovation Timing Games: A General Framework with Applications. Mimeo, University of Bonn, Wirtschaftstheoretische Abteilung H, Bonn, Germany.
Hotelling, H. (1925): A General Mathematical Theory of Depreciation. Journal of the American Statistical Society, vol. 20, pp. 340–353.
Hou, Z., Filar, J. A., Chen, A. (eds.) (2002): Markov Processes and Controlled Markov Chains. Kluwer Academic Publishers, New York, NY.
Howell, S. D., Jägle, A. J. (1997): Laboratory Evidence on How Managers Intuitively Value Real Growth Options. Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, vol. 24, no. 7 and 8, pp. 915–935.
Hsu, Y.-W. (2002): Staging of Venture Capital Investment. Mimeo, University of Cambridge, DIMS, Cambridge, UK.
Hubalek, F., Schachermayer, W. (2001): The Limitations of No-Arbitrage Arguments for Real Options. International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, vol. 4, no. 2, pp. 361–373.
Huchzermeier, A. (2000): The Real Option Value of Operational Managerial Flexibility in Global Supply Chain Networks. In: Frenkel, M., Hommel, U., Rudolf, M. (eds.), Risk Management: Challenge and Opportunity, pp. 181–201. Springer, Berlin, Germany.
Huchzermeier, A., Cohen, M. (1996): Valuing Operational Flexibility under Exchange Rate Risk. Operations Research, vol. 44, pp. 100–113.
Huchzermeier, A., Loch, C. H. (2001): Project Management under Risk: Using the Real Options Approach to Evaluate Flexibility in R and D. Management Science, vol. 47, no. 1, pp. 85–101.
Huisman, K. J. M. (2001): Technology Investment: A Game Theoretic Real Options Approach, vol. 28 of Theory and Decision Library. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston, MA.
Huisman, K. J. M., Kort, P. M. (1999): Effects of Strategic Interactions on the Option Value of Waiting. Discussion paper 9992, Tilburg University, CentER, Tilburg, The Netherlands.
Huisman, K. J. M., Kort, P. M., Pawlina, G., Thijssen, J. J. (2003): Strategic Investment under Uncertainty: Merging Real Options with Game Theory. Discussion Paper 2003–06, Tilburg University, CentER.
Hull, J., White, A. (1987): The Pricing of Options on Assets with Stochastic Volatilities. Journal of Finance, vol. 42, pp. 281–300.
Hurry, D., Miller, A. T., Bowman, E. H. (1992): Calls on High-Technology: Japanese Exploration of Venture capital Investments in the United States. Strategic Management Journal, vol. 13, pp. 85–101.
Ingersoll, J. E., Ross, S. A. (1992): Waiting to Invest: Investment and Uncertainty. Journal of Business, vol. 65, no. 1, pp. 128–156.
Insley, M. (2002): A Real Options Approach to the Valuation of a Forestry Investment. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, vol. 44, pp. 471–492.
Jacob, W. F., Kwak, Y. H. (2001): In Search of Innovative Techniques to Evaluate Pharmaceutical R and D Projects. Technovation.
Jaillet, P., Ronn, E., Tompaidis, S. (1998): The Quest for Valuation. Energy and Power Risk Management, pp. 14–16.
Jaillet, P., Ronn, E. I., Tompaidis, S. (2001): Valuation of Commodity-Based Swing Options. Tech. rep., University of Texas at Austin, McCombs School of Business, Austin, TX.
Jarrow, R., Rudd, A. (1983): Option Pricing. Dow Jones-Irwin, Homewood, IL.
Jägle, A. J. (1999): Shareholder Value, Real Options, and Innovation in Technology Intensive Companies. R and D Management, vol. 29, no. 3, pp. 271–287.
Johnson, H. (1987): Options on the Maximum or the Minimum of Several Assets. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, vol. 22, no. 3, pp. 277–283.
Johnson, H. E. (1983): An Analytical Approximation of the American Put Price. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, vol. 18, no. 1, pp. 141–148.
Jou, J., Lee, T. (2001): R and D Investment Decision and Optimal Subsidy. R and D Management, vol. 31, no. 2, pp. 137–148.
Ju, N. (1998): Pricing American Option by Approximating its Early Exercise Boundary as a Multipiece Exponential Function. Review of Financial Studies, vol. 11, no. 3, pp. 627–646.
Judd, K. L. (1992): Projection Methods for Solving Aggregate Growth Models. Journal of Economic Theory, vol. 58, pp. 410–452.
Kambil, A., Henderson, J. C., Mohsenzadeh, H. (1993): Strategic Management of Information Technology Investments: An Options Perspective. In: Banker, R. D., Kauffman, R. J., Mahmood, M. A. (eds.), Strategic Information Technology Management: Perspectives on Organizational Growth and Competitive Advantage, pp. 161–178. Idea Group Publishing, Middletown, PA.
Kamrad, B., Ernst, R. (2001): An Economic Model for Evaluation Mining Ventures with Output Yield Uncertainty. Operations Research, vol. 49, no. 5, pp. 1640–1652.
Kamrad, B., Ritchken, P. (1991): Multinomial Approximating Models for Options with k State Variables. Management Science, vol. 37, pp. 1640–1652.
Keber, C. (2000): Option Valuation with the Genetic Programming Approach. In: Abu-Mostafa, Y. SI LeBaron, B., Lo, A. W., Weigend, A. S. (eds.), Computational Finance 1999, pp. 689–703. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.
Kellogg, D., Charnes, J. M. (2000): Real-Options Valuation for a Biotechnology Company. Financial Analysts Journal, pp. 76–84.
Kensinger, J. (1987): Adding the Value of Active Management into Capital Budgeting Equation. Midland Corporate Finance Journal, vol. 5, no. 1, pp. 31–42.
Kester, W. C. (1984): Today’s Options for Tomorrow’s Growth. Harvard Business Review, vol. 62, no. 2, pp. 153–160.
Kilka, M. (1995): Realoptionen: Optionstheoretische Ansätze bei Investitionsentscheidungen unter Unsicherheit. Fritz-Knapp, Frankfurt/Main, Germany.
Kim, Y. J., Sanders, G. L. (2002): Strategic Actions in Information Technology Investment Based on Real Option Theory. Decision Support Systems, vol. 33, pp. 1–11.
Koch, C. (1999): Optionsbasierte Unternehmensbewertung. Gabler, Wiesbaden, Germany.
Kogut, B., Kulatilaka, N. (1994a): Operating Flexibility, Global Manufacturing, and the Option Value of a Multinational Network. Management Science, vol. 40, no. 1, pp. 123–139.
Kogut, B., Kulatilaka, N. (1994b): Option Thinking and Platform Investment: Investing Opportunities. California Management Review, pp. 52–71.
Kogut, B., Kulatilaka, N. (2001): Capabilities as Real Options. Organization Science, vol. 12, no. 6, pp. 744–758.
Kulatilaka, N. (1988): Valuing the Flexibility of Flexible Manufacturing Systems IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, vol. 35, pp. 250–257.
Kulatilaka, N. (1993): The Value of Flexibility: The Case of a Dual-Fuel Industrial Steam Boiler. Financial Management, vol. 22, no. 3, pp. 271–279.
Kulatilaka, N. (1995): The Value of Flexibility: A General Model of Real Options. In: Trigeorgis ( 1995 ), pp. 89–108.
Kulatilaka, N., Balasubramanian, P. R., Storck, J. (1999): Using Real Options to Frame the IT Investment Problem. In: Trigeorgis ( 1999 ), pp. 39–58.
Kulatilaka, N., Marcus, A. (1988): General Formulation of Corporate Real Options. Research in Finance, vol. 7, pp. 183–199.
Kulatilaka, N., Marks, S. (1988): The Strategic Value of Flexibility: Reducing the Ability to Compromise. American Economic Review, vol. 78, no. 3, pp. 574–580.
Kulatilaka, N., Perotti, E. C. (1998): Strategic Growth Options. Management Science, vol. 44, no. 8, pp. 1021–1031.
Kulatilaka, N., Trigeorgis, L. (1994): The General Flexibility to Switch: Real Options Revisited. International Journal of Finance, vol. 6, no. 2, pp. 778–798.
Kumar, R. L. (1996): A Note on Project Risk and Option Values of Investments in Information Technologies. Journal of Management Information Systems, vol. 13, no. 1, pp. 187–193.
Kumar, R. L. (1999): Understanding DSS Value: An Options Perspective. Omega, vol. 27, pp. 295–304.
Kumar, R. L. (2002): Managing Risks in IT Projects: An Options Perspective. Information and Management, vol. 40, pp. 63–74.
Kushner, H. J. (1977): Probability Methods for Approximations in Stochastic Control and for Elliptic Equations, vol. 129 of Mathematics in Science and Engineering. Academic Press, New York, NY.
Kushner, H. J. (1990): Numerical Methods for Stochastic Control Problems in Continuous Time. SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization, vol. 28, no. 5, pp. 999–1048.
Kushner, H. J. (2002): Numerical Approximations for Stochastic Differential Games. SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization, vol. 41, no. 2, pp. 457–486.
Kushner, H. J., Dupuis, P. G. (2001): Numerical Methods for Stochastic Control Problems in Continuous Time. Springer, Berlin, 2. edn.
Lambrecht, B., Perraudin, W. (2003): Real Options and Preemption under Incomplete Information. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol. 27, pp. 619–643.
Lander, D. M., Shenoy, P. P. (1999): Modeling and Valuing Real Options Using Influence Diagrams. Tech. Rep. 283, Babson College, Finance Division, Babson Park, MA.
Lavoie, B. F., Sheldon, I. M. (2000): The Comparative Advantage of Real Options: An Explanation for the US Specialization in Biotechnology. AgBioForum, vol. 3, no. 1, pp. 47–52.
Leahy, J. V. (1993): Investment in Competitive Equilibrium: The Optimality of My opic Behavior. Quartely Journal of Economics, vol. 108, no. 4, pp. 1105–1133.
Lee, J., Paxson, D. A. (2001): Valuation of R and D Real American Sequential Exchange Options. R and D Management, vol. 31, no. 2, pp. 191–201.
Leland, H. E. (1985): Option Pricing and Replication with Transaction Costs. Journal of Finance, vol. 40, pp. 1283–1301.
Leslie, K. J., Michaels, M. P. (1997): The Real Power of Real Options. McKinsey Quarterly, no. 3, pp. 97–108.
Li, C., Kouvelis, P. (1999): Flexible and Risk-Sharing Supply Contracts under Price Uncertainty. Management Science.
Lint, L. J. O. (2002): Retrospective Insights from Real Options in R and D. Working Paper 2002/12, Vlerick Leuven Gent Management School, Gent, Belgium.
Lint, L. J. O., Pennings, H. P. G. (1998): R and D as an Option on Market Introduction. R and D Management, vol. 28, no. 4, pp. 279–287.
Lint, L. J. O., Pennings, H. P. G. (2001): An Option Approach to the New Product Development Process: A Case Study at Philips Electronics. R and D Management, vol. 31, no. 2, pp. 163–172.
Lint, O., Pennings, E. (1999): A Business Shift Approach to R and D Option Valuation. In: Trigeorgis ( 1999 ), pp. 117–134.
Lint, O., Pennings, E. (2002): The Optimal Value of Developing Two Prodcuct Standards Simultaneously When the Final Standard is Uncertain. Working paper 2002/10, Vlerick Leuven Gent Management School, Gent, Belgium.
Lippman, S. A., Rumelt, R. P. (1982): Uncertain Imitability: An Analysis of Interfirm Differences in Efficiency Under Competition. Bell Journal of Economics, vol. 13, pp. 418–438.
Loch, C. H., Bode-Greuel, K. (2001): Evaluating Growth Options as Sources of Value for Pharmaceutical Research Projects. R and D Management, vol. 31, pp. 231–248.
Loderer, C., Jörg, P., Pichler, K., Roth, L., Zgraggen, P. (2002): Handbuch der Bewertung: Praktische Methoden und Modelle zur Bewertung von Projekten, Unternehmen und Strategien. Neue Zürcher Zeitung, Zürich, Switzerland.
Longstaff, E A., Schwartz, E. S. (2001): Valuing American Options by Simulation- A Simple Least-Squares Approach. Review of Financial Studies, vol. 14, no. 1, pp. 113–147.
Lucius, D. I. (2001): Real Options in Real Estate Development. Journal of Property Investment and Finance, vol. 19, no. 1, pp. 73–78.
Luehrman, T. A. (1990): The Exchange Rate Exposure of a Global Competitor. International Business Studies, vol. 21, no. 2, pp. 225–242.
Luehrman, T. A. (1998): Strategy as a Portfolio of Real Options. Harvard Business Review, pp. 89–99.
Mackie-Mason, J. K. (1990): Nonlinear Taxation of Risky Assets and Investment, with Application to Mining. Journal of Public Economics, vol. 42, pp. 301–327.
MacMillan, I. C., McGrath, R. G. (2002): Crafting R and D Project Portfolios. Research Technology Management, vol. 45, no. 5, pp. 48–59.
Majd, S., Pindyck, R. S. (1987): Time to Build, Option Value, and Investment Decisions. Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 18, pp. 7–28.
Majd, S., Pindyck, R. S. (1989): The Learning Curve and Optimal Production under Uncertainty. RAND Journal of Economics, vol. 20, no. 3, pp. 331–343.
Margrabe, W. (1978): The Value of an Option to Exchange One Asset for Another. Journal of Finance, vol. 33, pp. 177–186.
Markov, A. A. (1906): Extension de la Loi de Grands Nombres aux Événements Dependants les Uns de Autres. Bulletin de La Société Physico-Mathématique de Kasan, vol. 15, pp. 135–156.
Martzoukos, S. H. (2000): Real Options with Incomplete Information and MultiDimensional Random Controls. In: 4th Annual International Real Options Conference. University of Cambridge, Judge Institute of Management Studies, Cambridge, UK.
Martzoukos, S. H., Trigeorgis, L. (1998): General Multi-Stage Capital Investment Problems with Multiple Uncertainties. Mimeo, University of Chicago.
Martzoukos, S. H., Trigeorgis, L. (2002): Real (Investment) Options with Multiple Sources of Rare Events. European Journal of Operational Research, vol. 136, pp. 696–706.
Mason, R., Weeds, H. (2001): Networks, Options and Pre-Emption. Mimeo, University of Southampton, Highfield, UK.
Mason, S. P., Baldwin, C. (1988): Evaluation of Government Subsidies to LargeScale Energy Projects: A Contingent Claims Approach. Advances in Futures and Options Research, vol. 3, pp. 169–191.
Mauer, D. C., Ott, S. (1995): Investment under Uncertainty: The Case of Replacement Investment Decisions. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, vol. 30, no. 4, pp. 581–605.
McCormack, J., Sick, G. (2001): Valuing PUD Reserves: A Practical Application of Real Option Techniques. Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, vol. 13, no. 4, pp. 8–13.
McDonald, R., Siegel, D. (1985): Investment and the Valuation of Firms Where There is an Option to Shut-Down. International Economic Review, vol. 12, no. 2, pp. 237–261.
McDonald, R., Siegel, D. (1986): The Value of Waiting to Invest. Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol. 101, no. 4, pp. 707–727.
McDonald, R. L. (2000): Real Options and Rules of Thumb in Capital Budgeting. In: Brennan/ Trigeorgis ( 2000 ), pp. 13–33.
McGrath, R. G. (1997): A Real Options Logic for Initiating Technology Positioning Investment. Academy of Management Review, vol. 22, no. 4, pp. 974–996.
McGrath, R. G., MacMillan, I. C. (1995): Discovery-Driven Planning. Harvard Business Review, pp. 4–12.
McGrath, R. G., MacMillan, I. C. (2000): Assessing Technology Projects Using Real Options Reasoning. Research Technology Management, pp. 35–49.
McGrath, R. G., Nerkar, A. (2002): Real Options Reasoning and a New Look at the R and D Investment Strategy of Pharmaceutical Firms. Mimeo, Columbia University, Graduate School of Business, New York, NY.
Meise, F. (1998): Realoptionen als Investitionskalkül. Oldenbourg, München, Germany.
Mella-Barral, P., Perraudin, W. (1997): Strategic Debt Service. Journal Finance, vol. 52, no. 2, pp. 531–556.
Mello, A., Parsons, J., Triantis, A. (1995): An Integrated Model of Multinational Flexibility and Financial Hedging. Journal of Industrial Economics, vol. 39, pp. 27–51.
Merrett, A. J., Sykes, A. (1965): The Finance and Analysis of Capital Projects. Longmans, London.
Merton, R. (1987): A Simple Model of Capital Market Equilibrium with Incomplete Information. Journal of Finance, vol. 42, no. 3, pp. 483–510.
Merton, R. C. (1973a): An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model. Econometrica, vol. 41, no. 5, pp. 867–887.
Merton, R. C. (1973b): Theory of Rational Option Pricing. Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science, vol. 4, no. 1, pp. 141–183.
Merton, R. C. (1974): On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates. Journal of Finance, vol. 29, pp. 449–470.
de Meza, D., van der Ploeg, E. (1987): Production flexibility as a Motive for Multinationality. Journal of Industrial Economics, vol. 35, no. 3, pp. 343–351.
Micalizzi, A. (1999): The Flexibility of Discontinuing Product Development and Market Expansion: The Glaxo Wellcome Case. In: Trigeorgis ( 1999 ), pp. 85–116.
Miller, K. D., Reuer, J. J. (1998): Firm Strategy and Economic Exposure To Foreign Exchange Rate Movements. Journal of International Business Studies, vol. 29, no. 3, pp. 493–514.
Miltersen, K. A., Schwartz, E. S. (2002): R and D Investments with Competitive Interactions. Mimeo, University of Southern Denmark, School of Business and Economics, Odense, DK.
Miltersen, K. K. (2000): Valuation of Natural Resource Investments with Stochastic Convenience Yield and Interest Rates. In: Brennan/Trigeorgis (2000), chp. 10, pp. 183–204.
Mitchell, G. R. (1990): Alternative Frameworks for Technology Strategy. European Journal of Operational Research, vol. 47, pp. 153–161.
Mitchell, G. R., Hamilton, W. F. (1988): Managing R and D as a Strategic Option. Research Technology Management, vol. 31, pp. 15–22.
Müller, J. (2000): Real Option Valuation in Service Industries. Deutscher Universitäts-Verlag, Wiesbaden, Germany.
Moel, A., Tufano, P. (2000): Bidding for the Antamina Mine: Valuation and Incentives in a Real Options Context. In: Brennan/Trigeorgis ( 2000 ), pp. 128–150.
Monoyios, M. (2004): Option Pricing with Transaction Costs Using a Markov Chain Approximation. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol. 28, no. 5, pp. 889–913.
Moore, W. T. (2001): Real Options and Option-Embedded Securities. John Wiley and Sons, Hoboken, NJ.
Morris, P. A., Teisberg, E. O., Kolbe, A. L. (1991): When Chosing R and D Projects, Go with Long Shots. Research Technology Management, pp. 35–40.
Merck, R., Schwartz, E. S., Stangeland, D. A. (1989): The Valuation of Forestry Resources under Stochastic Prices and Inventories. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, vol. 24, no. 4, pp. 473–487.
Mun, J. (2002): Real Options Analysis: Tools and Techniques for Valuing Strategic Investments and Decisions. John Wiley and Sons, Hoboken, NJ.
Murto, P., Näsäkkälä, E., Keppo, J. (2002): Timing of Investments in Oligopoly under Uncertainty: A Framework for Numerical Analysis. Mimeo, Helsinki University of Technology, Systems Analysis Laboratory, Helsinki, Finland.
Myers, S. C. (1977): Determinants of Corporate Borrowing. Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 5, pp. 147–175.
Myers, S. C., Howe, C. D. (1997): A Life-Cycle Financial Model of Pharmaceutical R and D. Mimeo 41, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Program on the Pharmaceutical Industry.
Myers, S. C., Majd, S. (1990): Abandonment Value and Project Life. Advances in Futures and Options Research, vol. 4, pp. 1–21.
Nelson, D. B., Ramaswamy, K. (1990): Simple Binomial Processes as Diffusion Approximations in Financial Models. Review of Financial Studies, vol. 3, no. 3, pp. 393–430.
Newton, D., Paxson, D., Howell, S., Cavus, M., Stark, A. (2001): Real Options: Principles and Practice. Financial Times Prentice Hall, London, UK.
Newton, D. P., Pearson, A. W. (1994): Application of Option Pricing Theory to R and D. R and D Management, vol. 24, no. 1, pp. 83–89.
Nichols, N. A. (1994): Scientific Management at Merck: An Interview with CFO Judy Lewent. Harvard Business Review, vol. 72, no. 1, pp. 89–99.
Ottoo, R. E. (1998): Valuation of Internal Growth Opportunities: The Case of a Biotechnology Company. Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, vol. 38, pp. 615–633.
Paddock, J. L., Siegel, D. R., Smith, J. L. (1988): Option Valuation of Claims on Physical Assets: The Case of Offshore Petroleum Leases. Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol. 103, no. 3, pp. 479–508.
Panayi, S., Trigeorgis, L. (1998): Multi-Stage Real Options: The Cases of Information Technology Infrastructure and International Bank Expansion. Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, vol. 38, pp. 675–692.
Pawlina, G., Kort, P. M. (2001a): Investment under Uncertainty and Policy Change. Discussion paper 2001–05, Tilburg University, CentER, Tilburg, The Netherlands.
Pawlina, G., Kort, P. M. (2001b): Real Options in an Asymmetric Duopoly: Who Benefits from Your Competitive Disadvantage? Discussion paper 2001–95, Tilburg University, CentER, Tilburg, The Netherlands.
Pawlina, G., Kort, P. M. (2002): Strategic Capital Budgeting: Asset Replacement under Market Uncertainty. Mimeo, Tilburg University, CentER, Tilburg, The Netherlands.
Paxson, D., Pinto, H. (2002): Timing Advantage: Leader/Follower Value Functions If the Market Share Follows a Birth and Death Process. In: 6th Annual International Real Options Conference. Paphos, Cyprus.
Peaceman, D. W., Rachford, H. H. (1955): The Numerical Solution of Parabolic and Elliptic Differential Equations. Journal of the Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, vol. 3, pp. 28–41.
Peemöller, V. H. (ed.) (2001): Praxishandbuch der Unternehmensbewertung. Neue Wirtschaftsbriefe, Herne, Germany.
Pennings, E., Lint, O. (1997): The Option Value of Advanced R and D. European Journal of Operational Research, vol. 103, pp. 83–94.
Perlitz, M., Peske, T., Schrank, R. (1999): Real Options Valuation: The New Frontier in R and D Project Evaluation? R and D Management, vol. 29, no. 3, pp. 255–269.
Perotti, E. C., Rossetto, S. (2000): Internet Portals as Portfolios of Entry Options. Mimeo, University of Amsterdam.
Pettit, J. (1995): Applications in Real Options and Value-based Strategy. In: Trigeorgis ( 1995 ), pp. 59–84.
Pike, R. (1997): Discussion of Laboratory Evidence on How Managers Intuitively Value Real Growth Options. Journal of Business and Accounting, vol. 24, no. 78, pp. 937–941.
Pindyck, R. S. (1988): Irreversibile Investment, Capacity Choice and the Value of the Firm. American Economic Review, vol. 78, no. 5, pp. 969–985.
Pindyck, R. S. (1991): Irreversibility, Uncertainty, and Investment. Journal of Economic Literature, vol. 29, no. 3, pp. 1110–1148.
Pindyck, R. S. (1993): Investments of Uncertain Cost. Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 34, pp. 53–76.
Pritsch, G. (2000): Realoptionen als Controlling-Instrument: Das Beispiel pharmazeutische Forschung und Entwicklung. Deutscher Universitäts-Verlag, Wiesbaden, Germany.
Purvis, A.Boggese, W. G., Moss, C. B., Holt, J. (1995): Technology Adoption Decisions under Irreversibility and Uncertainty: An Ex Ante Approach. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, vol. 77, pp. 541–551.
Quigg, L. (1993): Empirical Testing of Real Options Models. Journal of Finance, vol. 48, no. 2, pp. 621–640.
Quigg, L. (1995): Optimal Land Development. In: Trigeorgis, L. (ed.), Real Options in Capital Investment: Models, Strategies, and Applications, pp. 265–280. Praeger, Westport, CT.
Rasmussen, N. S. (2002): Efficient Control Variates for Monte-Carlo Valuation of American Options. Mimeo, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Finance, Aarhus, Denmark.
Reingaum, J. F. (1981): On the Diffusion of New Technology: A Game Theoretic Approach. Review of Economic Studies, vol. 48, pp. 395–405.
Riemer-Hommel, P., Hommel, U., Kemper, A., Farag, H. (2003): Regulating the Choice Between Public and Private Coverage: An Option-Based Analysis of the German Health Insurance System. Mimeo, European Business School, Endowed Chair for Corporate Finance and Capital Markets, Oestrich-Winkel, Germany.
Rivoli, P., Salorio, E. (1996): Foreign Direct Investment and Investment Under Uncertainty. Journal of International Business Studies, vol. 27, no. 2, pp. 335–354.
Robinson, D. T., Stuart, T. E. (2002): Financial Contracting in Biotech Strategic Alliances. In: 6th Annual International Real Options Conference. Paphos, Cyprus.
Roll, R. (1977): An Analytical Formula for Unprotected American Call Options on Stocks with Known Dividends. Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 5, pp. 251–258.
Romano, R. (2002): The Advantage of Competitive Federalism for Securities Regulation. AEI Press, Washington, DC.
Ronn, E. I. (ed.) (2003): Real Options and Energy Management: Using Options Methodology to Enhance Capital Budgeting Decisions. Risk Books, London, UK.
Ross, S. A., Westerfield, R. W., Jaffe, J. (2002): Corporate Finance. McGraw Hill, New York, NY.
Sahlman, W. (1988): Aspects of Financial Contracting in Venture Capital. Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, vol. 1, pp. 23–26.
Sarkar, S. (2003): The Effect of Mean Reversion on Investment under Uncertainty. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. Forthcoming.
Schwartz, E. S. (1997): The Stochastic Behavior of Commodity Prices: Implications for Valuation and Hedging. Journal of Finance, vol. 52, no. 3.
Schwartz, E. S. (2001): Patents and R and D as Real Options. Working paper 1–02, UCLA, Anderson Graduate School of Management, Los Angeles, CA.
Schwartz, E. S., Moon, M. (2000a): Evaluating Research and Development Investments. In: Brennan/Trigeorgis (2000), chp. 6, pp. 85–106.
Schwartz, E. S., Moon, M. (2000b): Rational Pricing of Internet Companies. Financial Analysts Journal, vol. 56, no. 3, pp. 62–75.
Schwartz, E. S., Moon, M. (2001): Rational Pricing of Internet Companies Revisited. Mimeo, UCLA, Anderson Graduate School of Management, Los Angeles, CA.
Schwartz, E. S., Trigeorgis, L. (eds.) (2001): Real Options and Investment under Uncertainty: Classical Readings and Recent Contributions. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.
Schwartz, E. S., Zozaya-Gorostiza, C. (2000a): Evaluating Investments in Disruptive Technologies. Mimeo, UCLA, Anderson Graduate School of Management, Los Angeles, CA.
Schwartz, E. S., Zozaya-Gorostiza, C. (2000b): Valuation of Information Technology Investments as Real Options. Working paper 6–00, UCLA, Anderson Graduate School of Management, Los Angeles, CA.
Scott, L. (1997): Pricing Stock Options in a Jump-Diffusion Model with Stochastic Volatility and Interest Rates: Applications of Fourier Inversion Methods. Mathematical Finance, vol. 7, pp. 413–426.
Seppaa, T. J., Laamanen, T. (2001): Valuation of Venture Capital Investments: Empirical Evidence. R and D Management, vol. 31, no. 2, pp. 215–230.
Shackleton, M., Wojakowski, R. (2001): Flow Options: Continuous Real Caps and Floors. Mimeo, Lancaster University.
Shaw, W. T. (1999): Modeling Financial Derivatives With Mathematica. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
Siegel, D. R., Smith, J. L., Paddock, J. L. (1987): Valuing Offshore Oil Properties with Option Pricing Models. Midland Corporate Finance Journal, vol. 5, pp. 22–30.
Singa, T.-F., Patel, K. (2001): Evidence of Irreversibility in the UK Property Market. Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, vol. 41, pp. 313–334.
Slade, M. (1994): What Does an Oligopoly Maximize? Journal of Industrial Economics, vol. 42, pp. 45–61.
Slade, M. E. (2001): Valuing Managerial Flexibility: An Application of Real-Option Theory to Mining Investments. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, vol. 41, pp. 193–233.
Smets, E (1991): Exporting Versus FDI: The Effect of Uncertainty, Irreversibility and Strategic Interactions. Mimeo, Yale University.
Smets, F. (1993): Essays on Foreign Direct Investment. Ph.D. thesis, Yale University, Newhaven, CT.
Smit, H. T. J. (1997): Investment Analysis of Offshore Concession in The Netherlands. Financial Management, vol. 26, no. 2, pp. 5–17.
Smit, H. T. J., Ankum, L. A. (1993): A Real Options and Game-Theoretic Approach to Corporate Investment and Strategy under Competition. Financial Management, vol. 22, no. 3, pp. 241–250.
Smith, J., McCardle, K. (1999): Options in the Real World: Lessons Learned in Evaluating Oil and Gas Investments. Operations Research, vol. 47, no. 1, pp. 1–15.
Smith, J. E., McCardle, K. (1998): Valuing Oil Properties: Integrating Option Pricing and Decision Analysis Approaches. Operations Research, vol. 46, no. 2, pp. 198–217.
Smith, J. E., Nau, R. F. (1995): Valuing Risky Projects: Option Pricing Theory and Decision Analysis. Management Science, vol. 41, pp. 795–816.
Smith, V. (1961): Investment and Production. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA.
Soner, H. M., Shreve, S. E., Cvitanic, J. (1995): There is no Nontrivial Hedging Portfolio for Option Pricing with Transaction Cost. Annals of Applied Probability, vol. 5, pp. 327–355.
Spatt, C. S., Sterbenz, F. P. (1988): Warrant Exercise, Dividends, and Reinvestment Policy. Journal of Finance, pp. 493–506.
Stark, A. W. (2000): Real Options (Dis)Investment Decision-Making and Accounting Performance. Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, vol. 27, no. 3, pp. 313–331.
Stenbacka, R., Tombak, M. M. (1994): Strategic Timing of Adoption of New Technologies under Uncertainty. International Journal of Industrial Organization, vol. 12, pp. 387–411.
Stonier, J. (1999): Airline Long-Term Planning Under Uncertainty: The Benefits of Asset Flexibility Created Through Product Commonality and Manufacturer Lead Time Reductions. In: Trigeorgis ( 1999 ), pp. 135–161.
Stulz, R. M. (1982): Options on the Minimum or the Maximum of Two Risky Assets: Analysis and Applications. Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 10, pp. 161–185.
Sureth, C., Neimann, R. (2002): Limits of Integrating Taxation in Real Option Theory. In: 6th Annual International Real Options Conference. Paphos, Cyprus. Taudes, A. (1998): Software Growth Options. Journal of Management Information Systems, vol. 15, no. 1, pp. 165–185.
Taudes, A., Feurstein, M., Mild, A. (2000): Options Analysis of Software Platform Decisions: A Case Study. MIS Quarterly, vol. 24, no. 2, pp. 227–243.
Taudes, A., Natter, M., Trcka, M. (1998): Real Option Valuation with Neural Networks. International Journal of Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, vol. 7, pp. 43–52.
Teisberg, T. (1981): A Dynamic Programming Model of the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Bell Journal of Economics, vol. 12, no. 2, pp. 526–546.
Terborgh, G. (1949): Dynamic Equipment Policy. McGraw-Hill, New York, NY.
Thijssen, J. M., van Damme, E. E. C., Huisman, K. J. M., Kort, P. M. (2001): Investment under Vanishing Uncertainty Due to Information Arriving Over Time. Discussion paper 2001–14, Tilburg University, CentER.
Thijssen, J. M., Huisman, K. J. M., Kort, P. M. (2002): Symmetric Equilibrium Strategies in Game Theoretic Real Options Models. Discussion paper 2002–81, Tilburg University, CentER, Tilburg, The Netherlands.
Titman, S. (1985): Urban Land Prices under Uncertainty. American Economic Review, vol. 75, no. 3, pp. 505–514.
Tourinho, O. A. (1979): The Valuation of Reserves of Natural Resources: An Option Pricing Approach. Ph.D. thesis, University of California, Berkeley.
Triantis, A. J. (1999): Creating and Managing Shareholder Value: A View Through a Real Options Lens. In: Trigeorgis ( 1999 ), pp. 39–58.
Triantis, A. J., Borison, A. (2001): Real options: State of the Practice. Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, vol. 14, no. 2, pp. 8–23.
Triantis, A. J., Hodder, J. (1990): Valuing Flexibility as a Complex Option. Journal of Finance, vol. 45, no. 2, pp. 549–565.
Trigeorgis, L. (1988): A Conceptual Options Framework for Capital Budgeting. Advances in Futures and Options Research, vol. 3, pp. 145–167.
Trigeorgis, L. (1990): A Real Options Application in Natural Resource Investments. Advances in Futures and Options Research, vol. 4, pp. 153–164.
Trigeorgis, L. (1991a): Anticipated Competitive Entry and Early Preemptive Investment in Deferrable Projects. Journal of Economics and Business, vol. 43, no. 2, pp. 143–156.
Trigeorgis, L. (1991b): A Log-Transformed Binomial Numerical Analysis Method for Valuing Complex Multi-Option Investments. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, vol. 26, no. 3, pp. 309–326.
Trigeorgis, L. (1993): The Nature of Option Interactions and the Valuation of Investments with Multiple Real Options. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, vol. 28, no. 1, pp. 1–20.
Trigeorgis, L. (ed.) (1995): Real Options in Capital Investment: Models, Strategies, and Applications. Praeger, Westport, CT.
Trigeorgis, L. (1996a): Evaluating Leases with Complex Operating Options. European Journal of Operational Research, vol. 91, no. 2, pp. 315–329.
Trigeorgis, L. (1996b): Real Options: Managerial Flexibility and Strategy in Resource Allocation. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.
Trigeorgis, L. (ed.) (1999): Real Options and Business Strategy: Applications to Decision Making. Risk Books, London, UK.
Trigeorgis, L., Mason, S. P. (1987): Valuing Managerial Flexibility. Midland Corporate Finance Journal, vol. 5, no. 1, pp. 14–21.
Tsekrekos, A. E. (2001): Investment under Economic and Implementation Uncertainty. R and D Management, vol. 31, no. 2, pp. 127–135.
Tsekrekos, A. E. (2002a): The Effect of First-Mover Advantages on the Strategic Exercise of Real Options. Mimeo, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK.
Tsekrekos, A. E. (2002b): Investment and Abandonment under Economic and Implementation Uncertainty. Mimeo, Lancaster University, Department of Accounting and Finance.
Vollrath, R. (2001): Die Berücksichtigung von Handlungsflexibilität bei Investitionsentscheidungen: Eine empirische Untersuchung. In: Hommel et al. ( 2001 ), pp. 45–77.
Weeds, H. (1999): Reverse Hysteresis: R and D Investment with Stochastic Innovation. In: 3rd Annual International Real Options Conference. Netherlands Institute for Advanced Studies, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Weeds, H. (2002): Strategic Delay in a Real Options Model of R and D Competition. Review of Economic Studies, vol. 69, no. 3, pp. 729–747.
Whaley, R. E. (1981): On the Valuation of American Call Options on Stocks with Known Dividends. Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 9, pp. 207–211.
Williams, J. T. (1991): Real Estate Development as an Option. Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, vol. 4, pp. 191–208.
Williams, J. T. (1993): Equilibrium and Options on Real Assets. Review of Financial Studies, vol. 6, no. 4, pp. 825–850.
Willner, R. (1995): Valuing Start-up Venture Growth Options. In: Trigeorgis ( 1995 ), pp. 221–239.
Wilmott, P., Dewynne, J., Howison, S. D. (1993): Option Pricing: Mathematical Models and Computation. Oxford Financial Press, Oxford, UK.
Zhu, K. X. (1999): Strategic Investment in Information Technologies: A Real Options and Game-Theoretic Approach. Ph.D. thesis, Stanford University.
Ziedonis, A. A. (2002): Real Options in Technology Acquisition. Mimeo, University of Pennsylvania, The Wharton School, Phildelphia, PA.
Editor information
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2004 Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Baecker, P.N., Hommel, U. (2004). 25 Years Real Options Approach to Investment Valuation: Review and Assessment. In: Dangl, T., Kopel, M., Kürsten, W. (eds) Real Options. ZfB-Ergänzungshefte. Gabler Verlag, Wiesbaden. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-663-12338-5_1
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-663-12338-5_1
Publisher Name: Gabler Verlag, Wiesbaden
Print ISBN: 978-3-409-03443-2
Online ISBN: 978-3-663-12338-5
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive