Skip to main content

The Regional Impact of Foreign Direct Investment: Structure and Behavior in an Ownership-Disaggregated Computable General Equilibrium Model

  • Chapter
Trade, Networks and Hierarchies

Part of the book series: Advances in Spatial Science ((ADVSPATIAL))

Abstract

Despite government rhetoric in support of indigenous regional development, in practice the attraction of foreign-owned inward investment remains a key plank of regional policy. Just under half of all expenditure on UK Regional Selective Assistance (RSA) is awarded to foreign-owned firms (PA Cambridge Economic Consultants, 1993) and individual regional development agencies vie for the attraction of incoming plants, often offering an extensive package of incentives.2 In Gillespie et al (2001a) we assess the impact of RSA-assisted investment on the Scottish economy using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) approach. Our earlier analysis makes no distinction between the foreign- and UK-owned manufacturing sectors, yet the former accounted for 39% and 23% of Scottish Manufacturing gross output and employment, respectively, during 1996 (Scottish Office, 1999). There is, therefore, a substantial foreign-owned component of Scottish manufacturing, and this may have a significant impact on the behavior of the regional economy of Scotland. Accordingly, in this chapter we refine our earlier approach to focus directly on the employment effects of export-oriented Foreign Direct Investment (FDI).

We are grateful for comments from participants: in the Seminars on Regional Economic Modeling in Honor of Philip Israilevich, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, November 1998; the North American Regional Science Association, Santa Fe, November 1998; the NIESR Conference on Inward Investment, Technological Change And Growth: The Impact of Multinational Corporations on the UK Economy, September 1999; and The Network of Industrial Economists Meeting: Industrial Policy In A Devolved Economy, December 1999. We are also indebted to Scottish Enterprise National for funding related research.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Alexander, J.M. and T.R. Whyte. 1995. “Output, Income and Employment Multipliers for Scotland.” Scottish Economic Bulletin, 50, Winter 1994/95.

    Google Scholar 

  • Armington, P. 1969. “A Theory of Demand for Products Distinguished by Place of Production.” IMF Staff Papers, 16, 157–178.

    Google Scholar 

  • Barry, F and J. Bradley. 1997. “FDI and Trade: The Irish Host-Country Experience.” Economic Journal, 107, 1798–1811.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barrell, R. and N. Pain. 1997. “Foreign Direct Investment, Technological Change, and Economic Growth within Europe.” Economic Journal, 107, 1770–1786.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Blanchflower, D.G. and A.J. Oswald. 1994. The Wage Curve. Cambridge, MA., M.I.T. Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bradley, J., J.F. Gerald, and I. Kearney, I. 1993. “Modelling Supply in an Open Economy Using a Restricted Cost Function.” Economic Modelling, 11–21.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bradley, J., K. Whelan, and J. Wright. 1995. “Hermin Ireland.” Economic Modelling, 12, 249–274.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Davies, S.W., and B.R. Lyons. 1991. “Characterising relative performance: the productivity advantages of foreign owned firms in the UK.” Oxford Economic Papers, 43, 584–595.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dervis, K., J. De Melo, and S. Robinson. 1982. General Equilibrium Models for Development Policy. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Driffield, N. 1995. “The Indirect Employment Effects of FDI into the UK.” Paper presented at the Regional Science Association, British and Irish Section, Annual Conference 13–15 September 1995, Cardiff Business School.

    Google Scholar 

  • English Unit. 1992. The Knock-On Effects of Inward Investment — English Overview. London, HMSO.

    Google Scholar 

  • Foster J. and J. Malley. 1988. “The Domestic and Foreign-Owned Sectors of Scottish Manufacturing: A Macroeconomic Approach to their Relative Performance and Prospects.” Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 35, 250–265.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gazel, R, G.J.D. Hewings, and M. Sonis. 1996. “Trade, sensitivity and feedbacks: interregional impacts of the US-Canada Free Trade Agreement”, in J.C.J.M. van den Bergh, P. Nijkamp and P. Rietveld (eds.) Recent Advances in Spatial Equilibrium Modelling Heidelberg, Springer Verlag.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gibson, H. 1990. “Export Competitiveness and UK Sales of Scottish Manufactures”, Paper delivered to the Scottish Economists’ Conference, The Burn, 1990.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gillespie G., P.G. McGregor, J.K. Swales, and Y.P. Yin. 1997. “The Regional Impact of Inward Investment: Product Market Displacement, Labour Market Effects and Efficiency Spillovers.” Strathclyde Papers in Economics 97/2. Department of Economics, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gillespie G. 1998. “Foreign-Owned Multipliers: Evidence From A Scottish Input-Output Model.” Strathclyde Papers In Economics 98/1, Department of Economics, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gillespie, G. 2000. “Modelling the System-Wide Impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI): An Ownership-Disaggregated Regional Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Analysis.” Unpublished Ph.D. Thesis, Department of Economics, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gillespie G, P.G. McGregor, J.K. Swales and Y.P. Yin. 2001a. “The Displacement and Multiplier Effects of Regional Selective Assistance: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis.” Regional Studies, 35, 125–139.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gillespie G., P.G. McGregor, J.K. Swales, and Y.P. Yin. 2001b. “A Regional Computable General Equilibrium Analysis of the Demand and “Efficiency Spillover” Effects of Foreign Direct Investment.” in N. Pain ed. Inward Investment, Technological Change and Growth: The Impact of Multinational Corporations on the UK Economy. Basingstoke, Palgrave.

    Google Scholar 

  • Greenwood, M.J, Hunt, D.S. Rickman, and G.I. Treyz. 1991. “Migration, Regional Equilibrium, and the Estimation of Compensating Differentials.” American Economic Review, 81, 1382–90.

    Google Scholar 

  • Haddad, E., G.J.D. Hewings, and M. Peter. 2002. “Input-Output Systems in Regional and Interregional CGE Modeling.” This volume, chapter 13.

    Google Scholar 

  • Harrigan, F. and P.G. McGregor. 1988. “Price and Quantity Interaction in Regional Economic Models: The Importance of Openness and Closures.” In F. Harrigan and P.G McGregor, eds. Recent Advances in Regional Economic Modelling. London, Pion.

    Google Scholar 

  • Harrigan, F., P.G. McGregor, N. Dourmashkin, R. Perman, J.K. Swales, and Y.P. Yin. 1991. “AMOS: A Macro-Micro Model of Scotland.” Economic Modeling, 10, 424–479.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Harris, J.R. and M.P. Todaro. 1970. “Migration, Unemployment and Development: A Two-Sector Analysis.” American Economic Review, 60, 126–142.

    Google Scholar 

  • Harris, R.I.D. 1989. The Growth and Structure of the UK Regional Economy 1963–85. Aldershot, Avebury.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hewings, G.J.D. 1977. “Evaluating the Possibilities for Exchanging Regional Input-Output Coefficients.” Environment and Planning A, vol. 9, 927–944.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hewings, G.J.D. 1985. “The Role of Prior Information in Updating Regional Input-Output Models.” Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, 18, 319–336.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Higgs, P.J., B.R. Paramenter, and R.J. Rimmer. 1988. “A Hybrid Top-Down, Bottom-Up Regional Computable General Equilibrium Model.” International Regional Science Review, 11, 317–28.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hill, S. and A. Roberts. 1995. “Inward investment, Local Linkages and Regional Development.” Paper presented at the Regional Science Association, British and Irish Section, Annual Conference, 13–15 September 1995, Cardiff Business School.

    Google Scholar 

  • H M Treasury. 1995. A Framework for the Evaluation of Regeneration Projects and Programmes. London, HMSO.

    Google Scholar 

  • H M Treasury. 1997. Appraisal and Evaluation in Central Government: Treasury Guidance. London, The Stationary Office.

    Google Scholar 

  • Holden, D.R. and J.K. Swales. 1995. “The Additionality, Displacement and Substitution Effects of a Factor Subsidy.” Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 42, 113–126.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Israilevich, P.R., G.J.D. Hewings, G.R. Schindler, and R. Mahidhara. 1996. “The choice of input-output table embedded in regional econometric input-output models.” Papers in Regional Science, 75, 103–119.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Israilevich, P.R., G.J.D. Hewings, M. Sonis, and G.R. Schindler. 1997. “Forecasting Structural Change with a Regional Econometric Input-Output Model.” Journal of Regional Science, 37, 565–90.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jones, R. and J. Whalley. 1988. “Regional Effects of Taxes in Canada, an Applied General Equilibrium Approach.” Journal of Public Economics, 37, 1–28.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kimbell, L.J. and G.W. Harrison. 1984. “General Equilibrium Analysis of Regional Fiscal Incidence.” In H.E. Scarf and J.B. Shoven eds. Applied General Equilibrium Analysis. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kraybill, D.S., T.G. Johnson, and D. Orden. 1992. “Macroeconomic Imbalances: A Multiregional General Equilibrium Analysis.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 74, 726–736.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lahr, M.L. and R.E. Miller. 1997. “A Taxonomy of Extractions: A Framework for Understanding the Various Approaches Used to Measure the Importance of an Industry.” Working Paper No. 131, Centre for Urban Policy Research, Rutgers, The State University, New Brunswick, NJ.

    Google Scholar 

  • Layard, R., S. Nickell, and R. Jackman. 1991. Unemployment: Macroeconomic Performance and the Labor Market. Oxford, Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • McGregor, P.G., J.K. Swales, Y.P. Yin. 1995. “Migration Equilibria /Disequilibria and the Natural Rate of Unemployment in a Regional Context.” International Journal of Manpower, 16, 66–72.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McGregor, P.G., J.K. Swales, Y.P. Yin. 1996. “A Long-Run Interpretation of Regional Input-Output Analyses.” Journal of Regional Science, 36, 479–501.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McGregor, P.G., J.K. Swales, Y.P. Yin. 1999. “Spillover and Feedback Effects in General Equilibrium Interregional Models of the National Economy: A Requiem for Interregional Input-Output?” In G. J. D. Hewings, M. Sonis, M Madden and Y Kimura eds. Understanding and Interpreting Economic Structure. Springer, Heidelberg.

    Google Scholar 

  • Minford, P., P. Stoney, J. Riley, and B. Webb. 1994. “An Econometric Model of Merseyside: Validation and Policy Simulations.” Regional Studies, 28, 563–575.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Morgan, W., J. Mutti, and M. Partridge. 1989. “A Regional General Equilibrium Model of the United States: Tax Effects of Factor Movement and Regional Production.” Review of Economics and Statistics, 71, 626–35.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • PA Cambridge Economic Consultants Limited. 1993. Regional Selective Assistance 1985 — 88. London, HMSO.

    Google Scholar 

  • PA Cambridge Economic Consultants Limited. 1995. Assessment of the Wider Effects of Foreign Direct Investment in Manufacturing in the UK. London, HMSO.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pain, N. 2001. Inward Investment, Technological Change and Growth: The Impact of Multinational Corporations on the UK Economy. Basingstoke, Palgrave.

    Google Scholar 

  • Partridge, M.D. and D.S. Rickman, D.S. 1998. “Regional Computable General Equilibrium Modeling: A Survey and Critical Appraisal.” International Regional Science Review, 21, 205–248.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rickman, D.S. 1992. “Estimating the Impact of Regional Business Assistance Programmes: Alternative Closures in a General Computable Equilibrium Model.” Papers in Regional Science, 71, 421–435.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Roper, S. and G. O’Shea. 1991. “The Effects of Labor Subsidies in Northern Ireland 1967–79: A Simulation Exercise.” Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 38, 273–292.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Scottish Office. 1999. “The Manufacturing Sector in Scotland 1996.” Statistical Bulletin: Industry Series, no. IND/1999/J1.5.

    Google Scholar 

  • Scottish Office Industry Department. 1994. Scottish Input-Output Tables for 1989. Edinburgh, HMSO.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shoven, J.B. and J. Whalley. 1984. “Applying General Equilibrium Models of Taxation and Trade: An Introduction and Survey.” Journal of Economic Literature, 22, 1007–51.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shoven, J.B. and J. Whalley. 1992. Applying General Equilibrium. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

    Google Scholar 

  • Treyz, G.I., D.S. Rickman, and M.I. Greenwood. 1993. “The Dynamics of U.S. Internal Migration.” Review of Economic and Statistics, 75, 209–214.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2002 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Gillespie, G., McGregor, P.G., Swales, J.K., Yin, Y.P. (2002). The Regional Impact of Foreign Direct Investment: Structure and Behavior in an Ownership-Disaggregated Computable General Equilibrium Model. In: Hewings, G.J.D., Sonis, M., Boyce, D. (eds) Trade, Networks and Hierarchies. Advances in Spatial Science. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-04786-6_5

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-04786-6_5

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-07712-8

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-662-04786-6

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics