Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in

Reply to: Limitations of reanalyses for detecting tropical cyclone trends

  • Matters Arising
  • Published:

From Nature Climate Change

View current issue Submit your manuscript

The Original Article was published on 20 November 2023

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1: Global TC-like circulation counts.

Data availability

The 20CR dataset used in Fig. 1 is publicly available at https://portal.nersc.gov/archive/home/projects/incite11/www/.

References

  1. Chand, S. S. et al. Declining tropical cyclone frequency under global warming. Nat. Clim. Change 12, 655–661 (2022).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  2. Emanuel, K. Limitations of reanalyses for detecting tropical cyclone trends. Nat. Clim. Change https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01879-y (2023).

  3. Tory, K., Dare, R., Davidson, N., McBride, J. & Chand, S. The importance of low-deformation vorticity in tropical cyclone formation. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 13, 2115–2132 (2013).

    Article  ADS  CAS  Google Scholar 

  4. Tory, K., Chand, S., Dare, R. & McBride, J. The development and assessment of a model-, grid-, and basin-independent tropical cyclone detection scheme. J. Clim. 26, 5493–5507 (2013).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  5. Chand, S. et al. Review of tropical cyclones in the Australian region: climatology, variability, predictability, and trends. Wiley. Interdiscip. Rev. Clim. Change 10, e602 (2019).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Klotzbach, P. et al. Trends in global tropical cyclone activity: 1990–2021. Geophys. Res. Lett. 49, e2021GL095774 (2022).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  7. Compo, G. et al. The Twentieth Century Reanalysis project. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 137, 1–28 (2011).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  8. Laloyaux, P. et al. CERA-20C: a coupled reanalysis of the twentieth century. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst. 10, 1172–1195 (2018).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  9. Mizuta, R. et al. Over 5,000 years of ensemble future climate simulations by 60-km global and 20-km regional atmospheric models. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 98, 1383–1398 (2017).

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  10. Stone, D. et al. Experiment design of the International CLIVAR C20C+detection and attribution project. Weather Clim. Extremes 24, 100206 (2019).

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Institute of Innovation, Science and Sustainability, Federation University, Ballarat, Victoria, Australia

    Savin S. Chand

  2. School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

    Kevin J. E. Walsh & Andrew J. Dowdy

  3. Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, USA

    Suzana J. Camargo

  4. NOAA/National Centers for Environmental Information/Climate Science and Services Division, Madison, WI, USA

    James P. Kossin

  5. The Climate Service, Madison, WI, USA

    James P. Kossin

  6. Research and Development Branch, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

    Kevin J. Tory & Samuel S. Bell

  7. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, USA

    Michael F. Wehner

  8. Asia-Pacific Typhoon Collaborative Research Center, Shanghai, China

    Johnny C. L. Chan

  9. School of Energy and Environment, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China

    Johnny C. L. Chan

  10. Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA

    Philip J. Klotzbach

  11. The ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

    Andrew J. Dowdy

  12. CSIRO, Environment, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia

    Hamish A. Ramsay

  13. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, USA

    Hiroyuki Murakami

Authors
  1. Savin S. Chand
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. Kevin J. E. Walsh
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  3. Suzana J. Camargo
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  4. James P. Kossin
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  5. Kevin J. Tory
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  6. Michael F. Wehner
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  7. Johnny C. L. Chan
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  8. Philip J. Klotzbach
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  9. Andrew J. Dowdy
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  10. Samuel S. Bell
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  11. Hamish A. Ramsay
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  12. Hiroyuki Murakami
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Contributions

S.S.C. and K.J.T. wrote the initial reply. S.S.C. did the additional analysis. All authors reviewed the reply and provided necessary feedback.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Savin S. Chand.

Ethics declarations

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Peer review

Peer review information

Nature Climate Change thanks Michael Montgomery, Jill Trepanier and the other, anonymous, reviewer(s) for their contribution to the peer review of this work.

Additional information

Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Chand, S.S., Walsh, K.J.E., Camargo, S.J. et al. Reply to: Limitations of reanalyses for detecting tropical cyclone trends. Nat. Clim. Chang. 14, 146–147 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01880-5

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01880-5

  • Springer Nature Limited

Search

Navigation