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Predicting soil carbon loss with warming

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Figure 1: The change in soil carbon per degree of warming per year is not a function of carbon stock size.
Figure 2: Location of field warming studies used in our analyses.

References

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Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Climate Science Center, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, 79409, Texas, USA

    Natasja van Gestel

  2. Department of Botany and Microbiology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, 73019, Oklahoma, USA

    Zheng Shi

  3. Geography, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, EX4 4RJ, UK

    Kees Jan van Groenigen

  4. Odum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, 30602, Georgia, USA

    Craig W. Osenberg

  5. Department of Earth Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden

    Louise C. Andresen

  6. Department of Forestry and Natural Resources, Purdue University, West Lafayette, 47907, Indiana, USA

    Jeffrey S. Dukes

  7. Department of Biological Sciences, Purdue University, West Lafayette, 47907, Indiana, USA

    Jeffrey S. Dukes

  8. School of Biological Sciences, University of Tasmania, Hobart, 7001, Tasmania, Australia

    Mark J. Hovenden

  9. Center for Ecosystem Science and Society, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, 86011, Arizona, USA

    Yiqi Luo, Edward A. G. Schuur & Bruce A. Hungate

  10. Department of Biology, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, 86011, Arizona, USA

    Yiqi Luo, Edward A. G. Schuur & Bruce A. Hungate

  11. Department of Biology and Center for Permafrost, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark

    Anders Michelsen

  12. Hawkesbury Institute for the Environment, Western Sydney University, Penrith, 2751, New South Wales, Australia

    Elise Pendall & Peter B. Reich

  13. Department of Forest Resources, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, 55108, Minnesota, USA

    Peter B. Reich

Authors
  1. Natasja van Gestel
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  2. Zheng Shi
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  3. Kees Jan van Groenigen
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  4. Craig W. Osenberg
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  5. Louise C. Andresen
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  6. Jeffrey S. Dukes
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  7. Mark J. Hovenden
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  8. Yiqi Luo
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  9. Anders Michelsen
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  10. Elise Pendall
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  11. Peter B. Reich
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  12. Edward A. G. Schuur
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  13. Bruce A. Hungate
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Contributions

N.v.G. extracted data from the literature and constructed the database. L.C.A., J.S.D., M.J.H., A.M., E.P., P.B.R, E.A.G.S., and B.A.H supplied non-published data from specific field warming experiments, Z.S., K.J.v.G., C.W.O. and Y.L. provided feedback on data analysis, N.v.G. performed the data analysis and wrote the manuscript draft. All authors contributed to interpretation of the findings and final writing of the manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Natasja van Gestel.

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Competing interests

The authors declare no competing financial interests.

Extended data figures and tables

Extended Data Figure 1 Results of a meta-analysis on the change in soil carbon per degree of warming per year.

The average response of soil carbon per degree of warming per year is not significantly different from zero (zero is within the 95% confidence interval of the mean) for the dataset used in Crowther et al.1 or for our dataset. See Supplementary Information for details.

Supplementary information

Supplementary Information

This file contains Supplementary Methods, Supplementary Tables 1-3, Supplementary Figures 1-2, Supplementary References and the R codes. (PDF 1794 kb)

Supplementary Data 1

This file contains the main data file to be used with the R code. (CSV 11 kb)

Supplementary Data 2

This file contains Supplementary Data regarding bulk density and soil organic matter. (CSV 3 kb)

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van Gestel, N., Shi, Z., van Groenigen, K. et al. Predicting soil carbon loss with warming. Nature 554, E4–E5 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1038/nature25745

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