Abstract
This study builds on Becker’s and Oppenheimer’s theories of union formation to examine the economic determinants of marriage and cohabitation during older adulthood. Based on the 1998–2006 Health and Retirement Study and a sample of previously married Americans who are at least 50 years old, results show that wealthier older adults, regardless of gender, are more likely to repartner than stay single. Wealth has no discernable effect on the likelihood of remarrying versus cohabiting. Among the oldest men, the positive associations between wealth and repartnering are entirely due to housing assets. Results suggest that Oppenheimer’s theory of marriage timing may be more applicable to later-life union formation than Becker’s independence hypothesis. Further, economic disadvantage does not appear to characterize later-life cohabitation, unlike cohabitation during young adulthood. These findings help illuminate the union formation process during older adulthood and are timely considering demographic changes reshaping the American population.
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Notes
For example, the sample would include persons who were married in 1998 and divorced in 1999, but exclude those who divorced in 1989 and remarried in 1996. Consequently, the sample tends to exclude high-risk cases (younger, male, employed, and divorced) while overrepresenting low-risk cases (older, female, widowed, and retired).
Respondents remain in the sample until they remarry, cohabit, or are censored because of attrition or death. Most variables have no more than 4%–5% missing data in any given wave. About 3% and 11% of cases have indeterminate marital statuses and dates of most recent marriage, respectively. Multiple imputation is used to replace missing data. Respondents do not contribute any data to the analysis for rounds in which they are not interviewed.
Because cohabitation is less normative among older adults than younger ones, cohabitation may be underreported.
Persons with higher incomes likely have more wealth. Wealth and income are only weakly correlated, though (.13).
Financial transfer and income provision may be correlated, but modeling them separately did not change the results. These measures may be endogenous as well. One potential solution is to lag the transfer and provision variables. Doing so changed results slightly but introduced problems with interpretation and precision. I show results using nonlagged variables.
Cell sizes for disaggregated racial/ethnic categories are too small to yield reliable estimates. The aggregated racial/ethnic measure preserves cell sizes but also masks variation in union formation.
Another solution is discarding left-truncated data (Allison 1982). In supplemental analyses, I tried excluding persons who were single for more than 30 years, 20 years, or 10 years. More restrictive exclusions (i.e., 10 years) reduced sample sizes and thus changed parameter estimation somewhat.
Resources could also change because of retirement. Rather than separate models by age, I tried including a series of dummy variables for labor force participation (e.g., full-time employment, fully or partially retired, any employment). I also tried redefining the age cutoff at 62 (to capture early retirees). None of the dummy variables reached statistical significance, and results from the “early retiree” model did not differ from those presented here.
The percentage of older women in the labor force differs by age. About 11% of women 65 and older are employed (whether part or full time), whereas 58% of their younger counterparts are employed.
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Acknowledgments
For their advice and time spent reviewing this article, I thank the former and current editors of Demography, Kenneth Land and Stewart Tolnay, the anonymous reviewers, Elizabeth Cooksey, Adrianne Frech, Jamie Lynch, Elizabeth Menaghan, Kimberley Murphy, Matthew Painter, and Zhenchao Qian. Earlier versions of this study were presented at the annual meetings of the Population Association of America in Dallas, TX, April 15–17, 2010.
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Vespa, J. Union Formation in Later Life: Economic Determinants of Cohabitation and Remarriage Among Older Adults. Demography 49, 1103–1125 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-012-0102-3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-012-0102-3