Abstract
Economic transition was a systemic change of institutions from those that facilitated a planned, communist economy to those suitable for a market economy. This paper examines the state of this political and economic institutional development in 28 transition economies, focusing on the global financial crisis years of 2007–2012. According to various metrics of institutions, institutional regression has indeed occurred but has been somewhat localized in the countries of the CIS. However, property rights have regressed in some countries in Central/Southern Europe, while financial sector institutions have uniformly degraded across the entire transition space.
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Notes
Given the scaling differences between the absolute indicator changes and that of contract-intensive money, contract intensive money in Fig. 2 is shown as a percentage change while the other indicators are absolute.
Wording taken from the EBRD website, http://www.ebrd.com/pages/research/economics/data/macro/ti_methodology.shtml. Accessed 21 January, 2013.
The purpose of this brief examination is also not to open an intense debate on econometric methodology, which would obscure the key issue at hand. Rather, the purpose is to bring statistical clarity to the issues discussed above and provide some empirical heft for the effects that institutional regression would have.
Change in quarterly growth rates is utilized due to non-stationarity in the series, corrected by differencing.
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Appendix
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Hartwell, C.A. Institutional Deterioration in Transition Economies: Playing Follow-the-Leader During the Global Financial Crisis?. Transit Stud Rev 20, 131–147 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11300-013-0275-5
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11300-013-0275-5