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Emanuele Bardone: Seeking chances: from biased rationality to distributed cognition

Cognitive Systems Monographs, Volume 13, Springer-Verlag, Berlin, Heidelberg, 2011, ISBN 978-3-642-19632-4, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-19633-1

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Notes

  1. It has to be noted that also Sami Paavola has investigated aspects of abduction. Paavola has written on the inferential aspect of abduction and how it can be related to instinctual parts of it. For example, Paavola states “Abductive inference is a weak form of inference with which possible or plausible candidate hypotheses are drawn by using consciously explicated premises […] Clues and minute details give hints and suggestions for hypotheses” (Paavola 2005: 145). It means that the clues are not searched only on one anomalous phenomenon but from a mass of facts. The facts are taken into account simultaneously. For Paavola both aspects the inference and instinctual abduction are based on “weak” signs (i.e., clue-like signs). These merely suggest conclusions. Paavola has similar ideas with Bardone, in that abduction is near guessing, however, it is not a random process. The process enables to reach conclusions that are better than pure chance (Paavola 2005:147). It could be said that “abductive instinct (or guess) starts from weak signs that instigate the search, and the result is also basically taken as ‘weak’, i.e., as a hypothetical suggestion.” (Paavola 2005:147). Lastly Paavola concludes “Abductive instinct is especially important when quick and spontaneous decisions are needed on the basis of the inquirer’s previous experience. Abductive inference gives means for analyzing and organizing the abductive search explicitly. So, both abductive instinct and abductive inference are important when good ideas or hypotheses are searched for.” (Paavola 2005: 152).

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Bauters, M. Emanuele Bardone: Seeking chances: from biased rationality to distributed cognition. Mind Soc 11, 257–264 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11299-012-0107-z

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