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REAcct: a scenario analysis tool for rapidly estimating economic impacts of major natural and man-made hazards

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Abstract

The REAcct (for Regional Economic Accounting) tool was developed for estimating order-of-magnitude economic impacts within DHS scenario analysis. REAcct uses input–output modeling, geo-spatial data computational tools, and publically available economic data and allows for detailed specification of sectors, regions, and disruption intervals. Direct impacts are estimated as changes in output and employment; total (direct plus indirect) impacts are calculated using regional total and final demand multipliers. In total, the REAcct framework and software allow for scenario analysts to understand and assess the interdependent relationships between critical infrastructures, economic industries, and consumers that are essential to broader homeland security scenario analysis.

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Notes

  1. These sectors are as follows: Food and Agriculture, Banking and Finance, Chemical, Commercial Facilities, Communications, Critical Manufacturing, Dams, Defense Industrial Base, Emergency Services, Energy, Government Facilities, Healthcare and Public Health, Information Technology, National Monuments and Icons, Nuclear Reactors, Materials and Waste, Postal and Shipping, Transportation Systems, Water. Source: www.dhs.gov/critical-infrastructure-sectors, accessed 3 Jan 2012.

  2. Mesoeconomics is a neologism for the set of economic concepts and theories that are between but not reflected in microeconomics and macroeconomics. Potential mesoeconomic concepts include supply chains, value chains, and other atomistic structures of economic agents. See Dopfer et al. (2004).

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Correspondence to Mark A. Ehlen.

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Sandia is a multiprogram laboratory operated by Sandia Corporation, a Lockheed Martin Company, for the United States Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under Contract DE-AC04-94AL85000.

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Vargas, V.N., Ehlen, M.A. REAcct: a scenario analysis tool for rapidly estimating economic impacts of major natural and man-made hazards. Environ Syst Decis 33, 76–88 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10669-012-9430-5

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