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Supplementing Domestic Mitigation and Adaptation with Emissions Reduction Abroad to Face Climate Change

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Abstract

In this paper we focus on a long-term dynamic analysis of the optimal adaptation/mitigation mix in the presence of a pollution threshold above which adaptation is no longer efficient. We account for accumulation in abatement capital, greenhouse gases, and adaptation capital in order to better capture the arbitrage between abatement and adaptation investments. Pollution damages arise from the emissions due to the country consumption but also from the emissions of the rest of the world (ROW). A pollution threshold is then introduced, above which adaptation is no longer efficient. We obtain that if this threshold is lower than the steady-state level of pollution, there is no way for the modelled economy to avoid it. In particular, such a situation will appear if the ROW’s emissions are high. We then show that CDM may be a means to avoid a pollution threshold above which adaptation becomes of no use.

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Notes

  1. There exists however descriptive studies (e.g. Kane and Yohe 2000; Smit et al. 2000; Agrawal and Fankhauser 2008; EEA 2007; UNFCCC 2007), game-theoretic papers (Shalizi and Lecocq 2009; Ikefuji et al. 2014; Kane and Shogren 2000; Buob and Stephan 2011) or static modelling (Ingham et al. 2005)

  2. Adding growth would prevent from analytically solving the model. Moreover, such an assumption together with the existence of a pollution threshold would lead to a degenerate solution.

  3. There exists a difference between mitigation and abatement: the former refers to a reduction in net emissions of greenhouse gases while the latter refers to a reduction in gross emissions. In this paper, we integrate only emission abatement opportunities as it is largely the case in the literature. In the rest of the paper we will indifferently refer to mitigation or abatement.

  4. Mitigation rather refers to a reduction in gross emissions, ie. mitigation efforts would lower \(\beta \) in Eq. (2).

  5. Meridional Overturning Circulation.

  6. It means that if doing no adaptation, home mitigation and international agreements are not enough to induce a pollution stock that is decreasing in time.

  7. In the special case \(\alpha m=1\), which means that income Y has a linear impact on pollution accumulation, \(G^{\prime }(\theta ^{*})<0\) and \(F^{\prime }(\theta ^{*})<0\) that leads to a unique steady state and \(\phi ^{*\text { }}\)is constant. Moreover, it provides hints for the selection of the steady-state that should be considered for combinations of \(\alpha \) and m such that \(\alpha m\) is not too far from unity.

  8. For clarity of the figure, we have chosen parameters such that \(F^{\prime }(\phi )>0\) but the same reasoning applies for a non-monotonous \(F(\phi )\) that could lead to more than 2 steady-states.

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Correspondence to Aude Pommeret.

Additional information

We thank the seminar participants at LERNA University Toulouse 1, CIREQ University of Montreal, ArtDev University of Montpellier 1, 5th World Congress of Environmental and Resource Economists at Istanbul, bi-annual conference on Sustainable Resource Use and Economic Dynamics at Ascona.

Appendix

Appendix

The FOCs lead to

$$\begin{aligned} \frac{\overset{.}{\phi }}{\phi }\left( \alpha -1+\frac{(s-1)\phi }{1-\phi }\right) =(1-\alpha )\frac{\overset{.}{\theta }}{\theta }-(1-\omega )\frac{\overset{.}{c}}{c}-(\rho +\delta )+\frac{\omega m}{\beta \lambda _{M}}c^{\omega -1}K^{m-1} \end{aligned}$$
(17)

A steady-state is such that \(\overset{\cdot }{A}/A=0\) \(\overset{\cdot }{K}/K=0,\) \(\overset{\cdot }{S}/S=0,\overset{.}{c}/c=0,\) \(\overset{.}{\phi }/\phi =0\) and \(\overset{\cdot }{\theta }/\theta =0\). Equations (13), (14) and (6) gives:

$$\begin{aligned} K^{*}(\theta ^{*},\phi ^{*})= & {} \left( \phi ^{*}\theta ^{*}\right) ^{\alpha }\overline{K} \end{aligned}$$
(18)
$$\begin{aligned} A^{*}(\theta ^{*},\phi ^{*})= & {} \phi ^{*\alpha }(1-\theta ^{*})^{\alpha }\overline{K} \end{aligned}$$
(19)
$$\begin{aligned} c^{*}(\theta ^{*},\phi ^{*})= & {} \left( \frac{(\rho +\sigma )\omega }{\beta }\phi ^{*\gamma \alpha }(1-\theta ^{*})^{\gamma \alpha }\overline{K}^{\gamma }\right) ^{\frac{1}{1-\omega }} \end{aligned}$$
(20)

Using the pollution accumulation process and the fact that at the steady-state \(\overset{.}{S}/S=0\), we have:

$$\begin{aligned} \sigma S^{*}(\theta ^{*})=\beta \left( \frac{(\rho +\sigma )\omega }{\beta }\phi ^{*\gamma \alpha }(1-\theta ^{*})^{\gamma \alpha }\overline{K}^{\gamma }\right) ^{\frac{1}{1-\omega }}-\left( \phi ^{*}\theta ^{*}\right) ^{m\alpha }\overline{K}^{m}+\overline{E}-(1-\phi ^{*})^{s}Y^{s} \end{aligned}$$

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Ayong Le Kama, A., Pommeret, A. Supplementing Domestic Mitigation and Adaptation with Emissions Reduction Abroad to Face Climate Change. Environ Resource Econ 68, 875–891 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10640-016-0050-2

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