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Rights and judicial independence

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Abstract

This paper models endogenous judicial independence (JI) as a commitment device in a political commitment game between a ruler and citizens. In a situation where citizens can observe the effectiveness of JI with some positive probability, the model shows that the ruler in fact creates an independent judiciary and credibly commits to an announced tax rate, i.e., the ruler protects private property rights. Even when citizens have no chance to observe the effectiveness of JI, the ruler can still guarantee property rights by granting human rights as a signal of JI. Although the creation of JI achieves a Pareto improvement compared with its lack, two sources of inefficiency arise. First, the equilibrium tax is inefficiently high in the sense that the tax rate is on the inefficient side of the Laffer curve. This inefficiently high tax reflects the cost of credible commitment. Second, equilibrium JI for guaranteeing human rights is inefficiently high in the sense that the ruler does not entirely use JI for credibly committing to a low tax. This inefficiently high JI represents the cost of credible signalling.

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Notes

  1. Although formal JI entitles judges to exercise judicial review, a fear of overrule by the ruler may prevent judges from asserting their authority. A key to credible commitment is de facto JI.

  2. Bagwell (1995) studies a simple leader-follower game and highlights that the essential assumption for the leader’s successful commitment is the follower’s observability about the leader’s action.

  3. Maskin and Tirole (2004) show another advantage of a judiciary. If office-motivated politicians have strong incentive to pander to public opinion for re-election, unaccountable judges can implement less distorted policies than politicians.

  4. The following analysis and results qualitatively do not change under general cost function \(c(e)\) that satisfies \(c(0)=0,\,c'(0)=0\), and for any positive efforts \(c'(\cdot ) >0,\,c''(\cdot )>0\) and \(-e c'''(e)/ c''(e) < 2\). The quadratic cost function, \(\alpha e^2\), satisfies all the assumptions.

  5. The results of this paper do not change in extensions such that the ruler can impose a tax rate higher than 1 and/or also impose other types of taxes that are fixed and unrelated to production, e.g., a poll tax.

  6. In repeated versions of this game, if citizens can coordinate with each other and the players’ discount rates are sufficiently high, then the ruler can commit to a low tax rate. This is because citizens use a trigger strategy such that when the ruler reneges on the announcement, citizens do not produce in some periods.

  7. Although the literature in political science considers judicial independence and judicial review as two distinct elements, I assume that both factors contribute to high \(F\).

  8. The assumption implies that the ruler needs to pay the same penalty regardless of the direction of deviation. However, the results of this model do not change under the assumption that the ruler incurs a cost only when he imposes a higher tax than the announced rate.

  9. While \(F\) represents the independence and effectiveness of the judiciary, \(\lambda F\) shows the ‘practical effectiveness’ of the judiciary.

  10. In some countries, parameter \(\gamma \) can be negative, which implies that, by establishing JI, rulers domestically and/or internationally gain political and monetary support that outweigh the cost of creating JI. Therefore, rulers establish JI as high as they can, and impose tax \(t^C\). However, I assume that the benefit from founding JI does not outweigh the cost.

  11. See Helmke and Rosenbluth (2009) for the relationship between democracy and the independent judiciary.

  12. This focus is reasonable since the first mover is the ruler who has an incentive to inform citizens about JI in any PBE.

  13. The other types of behavioural strategies are weakly dominated by this behavioural strategy \(r\).

  14. The closed-form solution of \(F^J_1\) is \(F_1^J = [ 1- \gamma / (\lambda + \gamma ) ]^2/ 8\alpha \lambda \).

  15. Equilibrium policy \((F^J_p,t^J_p)\) is unchanged by other reasonable out-of-equilibrium beliefs satisfying both (i) for any \(t<t^J_p,\,\varPi (f|t)=1\) for any \(f\ge 0\), and (ii) for any \(t>t^J_p,\,\varPi (f|t)=0\) for any \(f \in [0,F^J_p)\) and \(\varPi (f|t)=1\) for any \(f\ge F^J_p\).

  16. The full range of the PBE is characterised as follows. First, on the equilibrium path, citizens choose the same effort level at any state as in the perfectly observed case, which is \(e^J_{o,1} (F^J_p,t^J_p)\). The equilibrium JI level and announced tax rate need to satisfy the following two inequalities: \(t^J_p \ge \tilde{t}\) and \(t^J_p e^J_{o,1} (F^J_p,t^J_p) -\gamma F^J_p \ge 0\). The first inequality is about the credible commitment and the second is non-negative payoff condition.

  17. In fact, \(F=0\) is the optimal deviation to the ruler. See proof in Appendix.

  18. This simple belief function still allows unreasonable equilibria. Refinements in the literature are not directly applicable in this game. Cho and Kreps (1987), for example, invent a refinement for signalling games with ‘hidden knowledge’. This game is, however, about ‘hidden actions’. A forward induction criterion based on the same motivation of Cho and Kreps (1987) is as follows. Suppose that \(F^H \ge \bar{F}\) and \(e^H (G^H,t^H ) \le \bar{e}(F^H,t^H)\). If signal \(G^H\) satisfies the condition that \(G^H > [\gamma F^H + (1- t^H) e^H(F^H,t^H)] / (1-\delta )\), it must hold that for any \(G \in [[\gamma F^H + (1- t^H) e^H(F^H,t^H)] / (1-\delta ), G^H]\), the belief function is \(\varPi (f|G,t^H)=0\) for any \(f \in [0,F^H)\) and \(\varPi (f|G,t^H)=1\) for any \(f \ge F^H\). This refinement implies that the ruler needs the minimum human rights level to show that he created the judiciary with \(F^H\).

  19. I show the full range of the PBE actions without proof. Equilibrium JI is either \(\bar{F}\) or 0. Positive JI \(\bar{F}\) can be an equilibrium if strategies satisfy the following: \(e^H (G^H, t^H) = \min \{e^C (t^H), \bar{e} (\bar{F},t^H) \},[t^H e^H (G^H,t^H) - \delta G]/\gamma \ge \bar{F}\) and \(G^H \ge [(1-t^H) e^H (G^H,t^H) + \gamma \bar{F}]/(1-\delta )\). The first condition shows citizens’ equilibrium effort. The second shows the ruler’s non-negative payoff condition, and the third shows the credible signalling. Furthermore, there always exists PBE such that \(F^H \!=\!0\). In this case, equilibrium action is that \(G^H\) equals \(0,\,t^H\) can be anything and \(e^H (G^H,t^H)\) equals 0.

  20. Notice that in PBE with the ruler’s highest payoff, Lemma 2 does not always hold, while \(e^C(t^H) \le \bar{e} (\bar{F},t^H)\) still holds.

  21. In cases where \(\bar{F}\) is smaller than \(\min \{F^{Bou}, F^{Cor}\}\), if the ruler tries to implement a low tax rate, he needs to increase the JI level as in Sect. 2. Although the ruler in fact wants to increase JI so as to commit to a lower tax rate, he cannot send a credible signalling for JI higher than \(\bar{F}\). Then, the ruler faces boundary constraint, \(e^C (t^{Cor}) = \bar{e} (\bar{F}, t^{Cor})\), and announces the tax rate, \(t^{Cor}\).

  22. Brunetti and Weder (2003) also empirically show that a free press reduces government’s corruption.

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Acknowledgments

I am indebted to Gerard Padró i Miquel for his helpful discussions and encouragement. I am also grateful to Timothy Besley, Sharun Mukand, Mattias Polborn (editor) and the two anonymous referees for their valuable comments and suggestions.

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Correspondence to Yukihiro Yazaki.

Appendix: Proofs

Appendix: Proofs

1.1 Proof of Lemma 1

Notice that \(e_{o,1}^J\) decreases with \(r_1^J\), and \(e_{o,1}^J\) equals 0 when \(r_1^J=1\). Thus, a system of Eqs. (2) and (3) has a unique solution of Eqs. (4) and (5).

1.2 Proof of lemma 2

Assume that \(e^C (t^J_1) < \bar{e} (F^J_1, t^J_1)\) in equilibrium. The ruler can increase his payoff by lowering \(F\) since citizens do not change their efforts. However, this fact contradicts the assumption that \(F^J_1\) is the equilibrium JI level.

Alternatively, assume that \(e^C (t^J_1) > \bar{e}(F^J_1, t^J_1)\). The ruler’s maximised payoff is \({\fancyscript{R}}=[t^J_1 \lambda / (1-t^J_1)-\gamma ]F^J_1\), and policy \((F^J_1,t^J_1)\) meets the constraint \(F^J_1<(1-t^J_1) e^C (t^J_1)/ \lambda \). In this case, the ruler’s maximised payoff must be zero. Suppose that the payoff is positive. Then, the ruler can increase his payoff by increasing \(F\), which contradicts the assumption that \(F^J_1\) is the equilibrium JI level. Now, consider tax rate \(t'=1-\epsilon \), where \(\epsilon \) is positive and sufficiently small. Furthermore, let \(F'\) be the JI level such that \((F',t')\) meets the constraint that \(0<F'<(1-t')e^C(t')/\lambda \). Then, the ruler obtains positive payoff \(R'=[t' \lambda /(1-t') -\gamma ]F'>0\). Hence, the assumption that \(e^C (t^J_1) > \bar{e} (F^J_1,t^J_1)\) is contradictory.

1.3 Proof of proposition 1

  1. (ii)

    Notice that \(t^J_1 = [1+\gamma / (\lambda + \gamma )]/2 > 1/2 = t^C\). Furthermore, \(\partial t^J_1 / \partial \lambda <0\) and \(\partial t^J_1/ \partial \gamma >0\).

  2. (iii)

    Notice that \(\partial F^J_1 / \partial \alpha <0\) and \(\partial F^J_1/ \partial \gamma <0\).

1.4 Proof of Proposition 2

At first, note that since citizens under state \(u\) can exactly expect the equilibrium JI level on the equilibrium path, the ruler obtains a payoff at most the amount in the special case of \(p=1\).

Then, I characterise the conditions that the ruler can set policy \((F_1^J, t^J_1)\). Suppose that the ruler chooses \((F_1^J, t^J_1)\). Under this policy, citizens choose their efforts to be \(e^J_{o,1}(F_1^J,t^J_1) = e^C(t^J_1)\), irrespective of the information structure. In this case, the ruler’s expected payoff is

$$\begin{aligned} {\fancyscript{R}}\left( F_1^J,t^J_1,t^J_1, e^C \left( t^J_1\right) , e^C \left( t^J_1\right) \right) = t_1^J e^C \left( t_1^J\right) - \gamma \left( 1-t^J_1\right) e^C\left( t_1^J\right) / \lambda . \end{aligned}$$

Now, consider the deviation from \(F_1^J\), i.e., consider the case where the ruler tries to renege on the announced tax rate. Notice that the ruler still needs to announce tax rate \(t^J_1\) due to citizens’ off-equilibrium actions. Since the ruler resets the tax rate to 1, he does not establishes JI. Therefore, citizens at state \(o\) do not produce. The ruler’s expected payoff in this case is

$$\begin{aligned} {\fancyscript{R}} \left( 0,t_1^J, 1, 0, e^C\left( t^J_1\right) \right) = (1-p) e^C \left( t_1^J\right) . \end{aligned}$$

I derive the following relationship:

$$\begin{aligned} {\fancyscript{R}}\left( F_1^J,t^J_1,t^J_1, e^C\left( t^J_1\right) , e^C\left( t^J_1\right) \right) \gtreqless {\fancyscript{R}} \left( 0,t_1^J, 1, 0, e^C\left( t^J_1\right) \right) \end{aligned}$$

if and only if

$$\begin{aligned} \qquad \qquad \qquad \qquad \quad t^J_1 \gtreqless \frac{(1-p) \lambda +\gamma }{\lambda +\gamma } = \tilde{t}. \end{aligned}$$

Therefore, policy \((F_1^J,t^J_1)\) is supported by equilibrium only if \(t^J_1 \ge \tilde{t}\). The condition can be rewritten as \(p \ge 1/2\). I can straightforwardly prove that, if condition \(p \ge 1/2\) holds, the ruler’s optimal action is \((F_1^J,t^J_1)\).

Next, consider a case where \(0< p < 1/2\). In this case, the ruler cannot credibly implement policy \((F_1^J,t^J_1)\) in any PBE. Since citizens at state \(u\) can anticipate the exact level of \(F\) on the equilibrium path, the ruler cannot receive strictly positive gains from reneging on the announced tax rate. Hence, in the equilibrium that maximises the ruler’s payoff, the equilibrium policy is the solution of the following maximisation problem:

$$\begin{aligned} \max _{F,t} \ te^J_{o,1} (F,t) - \gamma F \ \ \ \text{ s.t. } \ \ t \le \tilde{t}. \end{aligned}$$

The solution satisfies \(e^J_{o,1} (F,t) = e^C (t)= \bar{e}(F,t)\), because of a similar proof to Lemma 2. Hence, the equilibrium policy is \(t=\tilde{t}\) and \(F=\tilde{F}\).

Finally, consider the case where \(p=0\). I have the following lemma.

Lemma 3

Suppose that \(p=0\). There is no PBE such that the ruler sets the strictly positive JI level and commits to an announced tax strictly lower than 1.

Proof

Suppose that the ruler sets \(F^J_0>0\) in equilibrium. However, the ruler can receive a positive gain from lowering the JI level since citizens do not change their production levels. \(\square \)

Hence, the ruler sets \(F^J_0=0\) and announces any tax rate in equilibrium. A potential announcement is 1, which equals \(\lim _{p\rightarrow 0} \tilde{t}\). Furthermore, it holds that \(\lim _{p\rightarrow 0} \tilde{F} = 0\).

1.5 Proof of Proposition 3

I prove this proposition in four steps. The first three steps assume that the equilibrium JI level is strictly positive and characterise the potential equilibrium actions. The final step analyses the ruler’s non-negative payoff conditions.

Step 1: Notice that since citizens can expect the exact JI level on the equilibrium path, the ruler cannot obtain strictly positive gains by reneging on the announced tax rate. Using this fact, I show the following lemma.

Lemma 4

If the equilibrium JI level is strictly positive, it is always \(\bar{F}\).

Proof

Suppose that \(F^H \in (0,\bar{F})\) in equilibrium. The ruler can announce a tax rate strictly less than 1. Citizens choose their effort to be \(e^H (G^H, t^H) = e^J_{o,1} (F^H,t^H)>0\) on the equilibrium path. Then, the ruler’s payoff is \(t^H e^H (G^H, t^H) - \gamma F^H-G^H\). However, the ruler can increase his payoff by setting \(F=0\) since \(e^H (G^H,t^H) - G^H >t^H e^H (G^H,t^H) -\gamma F^H-G^H\). Hence, the assumption of \(F^H \in (0,\bar{F})\) leads to a contradiction.

Next, suppose \(F^H \in (\bar{F},\infty )\) in equilibrium. The following inequality holds:

$$\begin{aligned} t^H e^H \left( G^H,t^H\right) -\gamma F^H - \delta G^H&\ge e^H \left( G^H,t^H\right) - (\lambda + \gamma ) \bar{F} - \delta G^H\\&> e^H \left( G^H,t^H\right) - (\lambda +\gamma ) F^H -\delta G^H. \end{aligned}$$

The first inequality means that the ruler does not obtain positive gains by establishing lower JI and reneging on the announcement. The second inequality follows from the assumption that \(F^H > \bar{F}\). Therefore, it holds that \((1-t^H ) e^H (G^H,t^H) < \lambda F^H\), and \(e^H (G^H,t^H) < \bar{e} (F^H,t^H)\) from Eq. (3). Consider JI level \(F'= F^H - \epsilon \), where \(\epsilon \) is positive and sufficiently small. When setting \(F'\) instead of \(F^H\), the ruler can increase his payoff without violating the constraints for credible commitment. Hence, it contradicts the assumption. \(\square \)

Step 2: Consider the signal. Credible signal \(G^H\) must satisfy the following inequality:

$$\begin{aligned} {\fancyscript{R}} \left( \bar{F}, G^H, t^H, t^H, e^H\right)&= t^H e^H \left( G^H,t^H \right) -\gamma \bar{F} - \delta G^H \\&\ge {\fancyscript{R}} \left( 0, G^H, t^H, 1, e^H\right) = e^H \left( G^H, t^H\right) - G^H. \end{aligned}$$

With citizens’ beliefs that maximise the ruler’s equilibrium payoffs, the credible signal is

$$\begin{aligned} G(t^H) = \frac{1}{1-\delta } \left[ \left( 1-t^H\right) e^H \left( G^H,t^H\right) + \gamma \bar{F} \right] . \end{aligned}$$

Step 3: Announced tax rate \(t\) is the solution of the following payoff maximisation problem:

$$\begin{aligned} \max _t \ t e^J_{o,1} \left( \bar{F},t \right) - \gamma \bar{F} - \frac{\delta }{1-\delta } \left[ (1-t) e^J_{o,1} \left( \bar{F},t\right) + \gamma \bar{F} \right] . \end{aligned}$$

The formulation implies that the ruler provides human rights at the minimum level sufficient to serve as a credible signal of JI, and that citizens know the JI level on the equilibrium path. Accordingly, I present the following lemma.

Lemma 5

In PBE such that the ruler’s payoff is maximised and \(F^H = \bar{F}\), it holds that \(e^H(G^H,t^H) = e^C (t^H) \le \bar{e} (\bar{F},t^H)\).

Proof

Suppose that \(\bar{e} (\bar{F},t^H) < e^C (t^H)\). In this case, citizens choose \(e^H (G(t^H),t^H) = \bar{e} (\bar{F},t^H)\). The ruler’s equilibrium payoff is, therefore,

$$\begin{aligned} {\fancyscript{R}} \left( \bar{F},G\left( t^H\right) ,t^H, t^H, \bar{e}\left( \bar{F},t^H\right) \right) = \left[ \frac{\left( t^H - \delta \right) \lambda }{1-t^H} - \gamma \right] \frac{\bar{F}}{1-\delta }. \end{aligned}$$

The above payoff must be non-negative in equilibrium.

Now, consider announcement \(t' = t^H + \epsilon \) where \(\epsilon \) is positive and sufficiently small to satisfy \(\bar{e} (\bar{F},t') < e^C (t')\). The following ruler’s strategies and citizens’ actions can be supported by another PBE: JI is \(\bar{F}\), announced tax is \(t'\), human rights are \(G(t')\) and effort on the equilibrium path is \(\bar{e}(\bar{F},t')\). This occurs because

$$\begin{aligned} {\fancyscript{R}} \left( \bar{F},G(t' ),t', t', \bar{e}\left( \bar{F},t' \right) \right)&= \left[ \frac{(t' - \delta )\lambda }{1-t'} - \gamma \right] \frac{\bar{F}}{1-\delta } \\&> {\fancyscript{R}} \left( \bar{F},G\left( t^H\right) ,t^H,t^H,\bar{e} \left( \bar{F},t^H\right) \right) \ge 0. \end{aligned}$$

However, the inequality contradicts the assumption that \(t^H\) is the PBE announcement that maximises the ruler’s payoff. \(\square \)

As a result, the candidate for the equilibrium tax rate is \(\arg \max _t \{(t-\delta ) e^C (t) \ \ \text{ s.t. } \ e^C (t) \le \bar{e} (\bar{F}, t) \}\). The interior solution of this problem denoted by \(t^{Int}\) is \((1+\delta )/2\). The interior solution of this problem is the solution if \(\bar{F} \ge (1-t^{Int}) e^C (t^{Int}) / \lambda = F^{Bou}\). Suppose that \(\bar{F} < F^{Bou}\). Then, the solution is the corner \(t^{Cor}\) such that \(e^C (t^{Cor} ) = \bar{e} (\bar{F}, t^{Cor} )\), i.e., \(t^{Cor} = 1 - (2\alpha \lambda \bar{F})^{1/2}\). Notice that \(t^{Cor}\) decreases with \(\alpha ,\,\lambda \) and \(\bar{F}\). Furthermore, it holds that \(t^{Cor} > t^{Int} > t^C\) in this case.

Step 4: Consider the ruler’s payoff. If the ruler plays as above and receives negative payoff, the ruler chooses \(F^H=0\) and \(G^H=0\) instead of the above strategy. Suppose that \(\bar{F} \ge F^{Bou}\). Then, the interior solution is in equilibrium if \({\fancyscript{R}} (\bar{F}, G(t^{Int}), t^{Int}, t^{Int}, e^C (t^{Int} )) \ge 0\), which can be rewritten as \(\bar{F} \le (t^{Int} - \delta ) e^C (t^{Int}) / \gamma = F^{Int}\). Suppose, instead, that \(\bar{F} < F^{Bou}\). Then, the corner solution is in equilibrium if \({\fancyscript{R}} (\bar{F}, G(t^{Cor}), t^{Cor}, t^{Cor}, e^C (t^{Cor} )) \ge 0\), which equals \(\bar{F} \le (t^{Cor} - \delta )e^C (t^{Cor}) / \gamma = F^{Cor}\).

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Yazaki, Y. Rights and judicial independence. Econ Gov 15, 179–201 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10101-014-0139-4

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