Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Population trends of penguins in the French Southern Territories

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Polar Biology Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Penguins are important top consumers in marine food webs and are one of the most threatened bird families, especially by climate change and food web alterations by marine fisheries. Yet, long-term population trends are lacking or are uncertain for many populations. Seven species of penguins breeding at the French Southern Territories in the southern Indian Ocean on the Crozet, Kerguelen, Saint-Paul–Amsterdam archipelagos and in Terre Adélie/Adelie Land, Antarctica are monitored regularly. This monitoring started in the early 1950s and most populations have been surveyed during the past four years, allowing assessments of population trends. King penguins increased at nearly all breeding sites within the Crozet and Kerguelen archipelagos. Emperor penguins have decreased at Terre Adélie/Adelie Land, with a partial recovery of the colony during the 2010s. Gentoo penguin populations at Crozet and Kerguelen are highly variable but stable. Adélie penguins have been increasing in Terre Adélie/Adelie Land. The trends in eastern rockhopper penguins vary between colonies and archipelagos. Northern rockhopper penguins have continuously decreased in numbers at Amsterdam Island, but appear to have increased at the nearby Saint-Paul Island. Macaroni penguins have first increased and then stabilized since the 2000s at Kerguelen and are stable at the Crozet Islands. Overall, most penguin populations breeding in the French Southern Territories increased or were stable over the past 30–60 years, with the exception of the northern rockhopper penguin, king and gentoo penguins on Crozet and the emperor penguin. The ecological reasons for these trends are poorly understood and require further investigation.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Agnew DJ (1997) The CCAMLR ecosystem monitoring programme. Antarct Sci 9:235–242

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ainley DG, Clarke ED, Arrigo K et al (1990s) Decadal-scale changes in the climate and biota of the Pacific sector of the Southern Ocean, 1950s to the 1990s. Antarct Sci 17:171–182

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ainley DG, Ribic CA, Ballard G et al (2004) Geographic structure of Adélie penguin populations: overlap in colony-specific foraging areas. Ecol Monogr 74:159–178

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Aubert De La Rue E (1932) La pêche aux Iles Saint-Paul et Amsterdam. Revue des Travaux de l'Institut des Pêches Maritimes 5:53–109

    Google Scholar 

  • Barbraud C, Delord K, Micol T, Jouventin P (1999) First census of breeding seabirds between Cap Bienvenue (Terre-Adélie) and Moyes Islands (King George V Land), Antarctica: new records for Antarctic seabird populations. Polar Biol 21:146–150

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barbraud C, Delord K, Weimerskirch H (2015) Extreme ecological response of a seabird community to unprecedented sea ice cover. Royal Soc Open Sci 2:140456

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barbraud C, Gavrilo M, Mizin Y, Weimerskirch H (2011) Comparison of emperor penguin declines between Pointe Géologie and Haswell Island over the past 50 years. Antarct Sci 23:461–468

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barbraud C, Weimerskirch H (2003) Climate and density shape population dynamics of a marine top predator. Proc Royal Soc Lond B 270:2111–2116

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barbraud C, Weimerskirch H (2001) Emperor penguins and climate change. Nature 411:183–186

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Bauer A (1967) Dénombrement des manchotières de l’archipel des Crozet et des îles Kerguelen à l’aide de photographies aériennes verticales. Terres Australes et Antarctiques Françaises 41:3–21

    Google Scholar 

  • Baylis A, Wolfaardt A, Crofts S et al (2013) Increasing trend in the number of southern rockhopper penguins (Eudyptes c. chrysocome) breeding at the Falkland Islands. Polar Biol 36:1007–1018

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Baylis AM, Zuur AF, Brickle P, Pistorius PA (2012) Climate as a driver of population variability in breeding gentoo penguins Pygoscelis papua at the Falkland Islands. Ibis 154:30–41

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Boersma PD (2008) Penguins as marine sentinels. Bioscience 58:597–607

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Boersma PD, Borboroglu PG, Gownaris NJ, Bost CA, Chiarada A, Ellis S, Schneider T, Seddon P, Simeone A, Trathan AN, Waller LJ, Wienecke B (2019) Applying science to pressing conservation needs for penguins. Conserv Biol. https://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.13378

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  • Bost CA, Jouventin P (1990) Evolutionary ecology of the gentoo penguin Pygoscelis papua. In: Davis L, Darby J (eds) Penguin biology. Academic Press, New York, pp 85–112

    Google Scholar 

  • Bost CA, Cotté C, Terray P et al (2015) Large-scale climatic anomalies affect marine predator foraging behaviour and demography. Nat Commun 6:8220

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  • Bourret V, Gamble A, Tornos J, Jaeger A, Delord K, Barbraud C, Tortosa P, Kada S, Thiebot JB, Thibault E, Gantelet H, Weimerskirch H, Garnier R, Boulinier T (2018) Vaccination protects endangered albatross chicks against avian cholera. Conserv Lett 11:e12443

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Brooke M (2004) Albatrosses and petrels across the world. Oxford University Press, Oxford

    Google Scholar 

  • Caughley G (1977) Analysis of vertebrate populations. Wiley, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Clark JS, Bjørnstad ON (2004) Population time series: process variability, observation errors, missing values, lags, and hidden states. Ecology 85:3140–3150

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Clausen AP, Huin N (2003) Status and numerical trends of king, gentoo, and rockhopper penguins breeding in the Falkland Islands. Waterbirds 26:389–403

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Constable AJ, Melbourne-Thomas J, Corney SP et al (2014) Climate change and Southern Ocean ecosystems I: how changes in physical habitats directly affect marine biota. Glob Change Biol 20:3004–3025

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cooper J, Crawford RJM, De Villiers MS, Dyer BM, Hofmeyr GJG, Jonker A (2009) Disease outbreaks among penguins at sub-Antarctic Marion Island. Mar Ornithol 37:193–196

    Google Scholar 

  • Crawford R (1998) Responses of African penguins to regime changes of sardine and anchovy in the Benguela system. Afr J Mar Sci 19:355–364

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Crawford RJ, Whittington P, Upfold L et al (2009) Recent trends in numbers of four species of penguins at the Prince Edward Islands. Afr J Mar Sci 31:419–426

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Croxall J, Lishman G (1987) The food and feeding ecology of penguins. In: Croxall JP (ed) Seabirds: feeding ecology and role in marine ecosystems. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 101–133

    Google Scholar 

  • Croxall JP, Butchart SHM, Lascelles B et al (2012) Seabird conservation status, threats and priority actions: a global assessment. Bird Conserv Int 22:1–34

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cuthbert R, Cooper J, Burle MH, Glass CJ (2009) Population trends and conservation status of the Northern Rockhopper Penguin Eudyptes moseleyi at Tristan da Cunha and Gough Island. Bird Conserv Int 19:109–120

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Delord K, Barbraud C, Weimerskirch H (2004) Long-term trends in the population size of king penguins at Crozet archipelago: environmental variability and density dependence? Polar Biol 27:793–800

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Delord K, Roudaut G, Guinet C et al (2015) Kite aerial photography: a low-cost method for monitoring seabird colonies. J Field Ornithol 86:173–179

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Despin B, Mougin J, Segonzac M (1972) Oiseaux et mammifères de l’ile de l’Est. CNFRA 31:1–106

    Google Scholar 

  • Foley CM, Hart T, Lynch HJ (2018) King penguin populations increase on South Georgia but explanations remain elusive. Polar Biol 41:1111–1122

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Forcada J, Trathan P, Reid K et al (2006) Contrasting population changes in sympatric penguin species in association with climate warming. Glob Change Biol 12:411–423

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Forcada J, Trathan PN (2009) Penguin responses to climate change in the Southern Ocean. Glob Change Biol 15:1618–1630

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Frugone MJ, Lowther A, Noll D, Ramos B, Pistorius P, Dantas GPM, Petry MV, Bonadonna F, Steinfurth A, Polanowski A, Raya Rey A, Lois NA, Pütz K, Trathan P, Wienecke B, Poulin E, Vianna JA (2018) Contrasting phylogeographic pattern among Eudyptes penguins around the Southern Ocean. Sci Rep 8:17481. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-35975-3

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  • Fraser W, Trivelpiece W, Ainley D, Trivelpiece S (1992) Increase in Antarctic penguin populations: reduced competition with whales or a loss of sea ice due to environmental warming? Polar Biol 11:525–531

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gamble A, Garnier R, Jaeger A, Gantelet H, Thibault E, Tortosa P, Bourret V, Thiebot JB, Delord K, Weimerskirch H, Tornos J, Barbraud C, Boulinier T (2019) Exposure of breeding albatrosses to the agent of avian cholera: dynamics of antibody levels and ecological implications. Oecologia 189:939–949

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Garcia-Borboroglu PG, Boersma PD (2015) Penguins: natural history and conservation. University of Washington Press, Seattle

    Google Scholar 

  • Guinard E, Weimerskirch H, Jouventin P (1998) Population changes and demography of the Northern Rockhopper Penguin on Amsterdam and Saint Paul islands. Colon Waterbirds 21:222–228

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Guinet C, Cherel Y, Ridoux V, Jouventin P (1996) Consumption of marine resources by seabirds and seals in Crozet and Kerguelen waters: changes in relation to consumer biomass 1962–65. Antarct Sci 8:23–30

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Guinet C, Jouventin P, Malacamp J (1995) Satellite remote sensing in monitoring change of seabirds: use of spot image in king penguin population increase at Ile aus Cochons, Crozet Archipelago. Polar Biol 15:511–515

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Heupink TH, van den Hoff J, Lambert DM (2012) King penguin population on Macquarie Island recovers ancient DNA diversity after heavy exploitation in historic times. Biol Lett 8:586–589

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  • Hiscock JA, Chilvers BL (2014) Declining eastern rockhopper (Eudyptes filholi) and erect-crested (E. sclateri) penguins on the Antipodes Islands New Zealand. N Z J Ecol 38:124–134

    Google Scholar 

  • Horswill C, Ratcliffe N, Green JA, Phillips RA, Trathan PN, Matthiopoulos J (2016) Unravelling the relative roles of top-down and bottom-up forces driving population change in an oceanic predator. Ecology 97:1919–1928

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  • Iles D, Lynch H, Ji R, Barbraud C, Delord K, Jenouvrier S (2020) Sea ice predicts long-term trends in Adélie penguin population growth, but not annual fluctuations: results from a range-wide multi-scale analysis. Glob Change Biol. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15085

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • IUCN (2019) The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species. Version 2019–1. https://www.iucnredlist.org

  • Jaeger A, Lebarbenchon C, Bourret V et al (2018) Avian cholera outbreaks threaten seabird species on Amsterdam Island. PLoS ONE 13:e0197291. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0197291

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  • Jenouvrier S, Barbraud C, Weimerskirch H (2006) Sea ice affects the population dynamics of Adélie penguins in Terre Adélie. Polar Biol 29:413–423

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jenouvrier S, Barbraud C, Weimerskirch H, Caswell H (2009a) Limitation of population recovery: a stochastic approach to the case of the emperor penguin. Oikos 118:1292–1298

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jenouvrier S, Caswell H, Barbraud C et al (2009b) Demographic models and IPCC climate projections predict the decline of an emperor penguin population. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 106:1844–1847

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Kooyman GL, Ponganis PJ (2016) Rise and fall of Ross Sea emperor penguin colony populations: 2000 to 2012. Antarct Sci 29:201–208

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Laws RM (1977) Seals and whales of the Southern Ocean. Phil Trans R Soc Lond B 279:81–96

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Le Bohec C, Durant JM, Gauthier-Clerc M et al (2008) King penguin population threatened by Southern Ocean warming. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 105:2493–2497

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Lebreton J, Gimenez O (2013) Detecting and estimating density dependence in wildlife populations. J Wildl Manage 77:12–23

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lescroel A, Bost C-A (2006) Recent decrease in gentoo penguin population at Iles Kerguelen. Antarct Sci 18:171–174

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lynch HJ, Naveen R, Trathan PN, Fagan WF (2012) Spatially integrated assessment reveals widespread changes in penguin populations on the Antarctic Peninsula. Ecology 93:1367–1377

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Micol T, Jouventin P (2002) Eradication of rats and rabbits from Saint-Paul Island, French Southern territories. In: Veitch CR, Clout MN (eds) Turning the tide: the eradication of invasive species. IUCN SSC Invasive Species Specialist Group, IUCN, Gland, pp 199–205

    Google Scholar 

  • Niel C, Lebreton JD (2005) Using demographic invariants to detect overharvested bird populations from incomplete data. Conserv Biol 19:826–835

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Olsson O, Van der Jeugd HP (2002) Survival in king penguins Aptenodytes patagonicus: temporal and sex-specific effects of environmental variability. Oecologia 132:509–516

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Plummer M (2003) JAGS: a program for analysis of Bayesian graphical models using Gibbs sampling. Austria, Vienna

    Google Scholar 

  • Robertson G, Wienecke B, Emmerson L, Fraser AD (2014) Long-term trends in the population size and breeding success of Emperor Penguins at the Taylor Glacier colony, Antarctica. Polar Biol 37:251–259

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ropert-Coudert Y, Chiaradia A, Ainley D et al (2019) Happy feet in a hostile world? The future of penguins depends on proactive management of current and expected threats. Front Mar Sci 6:248

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ropert-Coudert Y, Kato A, Meyer X et al (2015) A complete breeding failure in an Adélie penguin colony correlates with unusual and extreme environmental events. Ecography 38:111–113

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rounsevell DE, Copson GR (1982) Growth rate and recovery of a king penguin, Aptenodytes patagonicus, population after exploitation. Aust Wildl Res 9:519–525

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Royama T (2012) Analytical population dynamics. Springer Science & Business Media, Berlin

    Google Scholar 

  • Salton M, Kliska K, Carmichael N, Alderman R (2019) Population status of the endemic royal penguin (Eudyptes schlegeli) at Macquarie Island. Polar Biol 42:771–781

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Scheffer A, Trathan PN, Edmonston JG, Bost CA (2016) Combined influence of meso-scale circulation and bathymetry on the foraging behaviour of a diving predator, the king penguin (Aptenodytes patagonicus). Progress Oceanogr 141:1–16

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Southwell C, Emmerson L, McKinlay J et al (2015) Spatially extensive standardized surveys reveal widespread, multi-decadal increase in East Antarctic Adélie penguin populations. PLoS ONE 10:e0139877

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Stenseth NC, Chan K-S, Tavecchia G et al (2004) Modelling non–additive and nonlinear signals from climatic noise in ecological time series: Soay sheep as an example. Proc R Soc Lond B 271:1985–1993

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Trathan PN, Forcada J, Murphy EJ (2007) Environmental forcing and Southern Ocean marine predator populations: effects of climate change and variability. Phil Trans R Soc B 362:2351–2365

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Trathan PN, Fretwell PT, Stonehouse B (2011) First recorded loss of an emperor penguin colony in the recent period of Antarctic regional warming: implications for other colonies. PLoS ONE 6:e14738

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  • Trathan PN, García-Borboroglu P, Boersma D et al (2015) Pollution, habitat loss, fishing, and climate change as critical threats to penguins. Conserv Biol 29:31–41

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Trivelpiece WZ, Hinke JT, Miller AK et al (2011) Variability in krill biomass links harvesting and climate warming to penguin population changes in Antarctica. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 108:7625–7628

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Weimerskirch H (2007) Are seabirds foraging for unpredictable resources? Deep Sea Res Part II Top Stud Oceanogr 54:211–223

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Weimerskirch H, Le Bouard F, Ryan PG, Bost C (2018) Massive decline of the world’s largest king penguin colony at Ile aux Cochons, Crozet. Antarct Sci 30:236–242

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Williams TD (ed) (1995) The penguins. Oxford University Press, Oxford

    Google Scholar 

  • Woehler EJ, Croxall JP (1997) The status and trends of Antarctic and sub-Antarctic seabirds. Mar Ornithol 25:43–66

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

This study was funded by the French Polar Institute (project IPEV 109), Réserve Naturelle Nationale des Terres Australes Françaises, and the Zone Atelier Antarctique (LTSER France, CNRS-INEE). We thank all the fieldworkers involved in the long-term monitoring programs at Terre Adélie, Crozet, Kerguelen, Amsterdam and Saint-Paul archipelagos. We thank F. Stephen Dobson and two anonymous reviewers for helpful comments on the manuscript.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Christophe Barbraud.

Ethics declarations

Conflict of interest

All authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

Ethical approval

The study took place in the National Reserve of “Terres Australes Françaises” and was approved by the Préfet des TAAF, the ethics committee of IPEV and the “Comité de l’Environnement Polaire”.

Additional information

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Electronic supplementary material

Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.

Supplementary file1 (XLSX 24 kb)

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Barbraud, C., Delord, K., Bost, C.A. et al. Population trends of penguins in the French Southern Territories. Polar Biol 43, 835–850 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-020-02691-6

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-020-02691-6

Keywords

Navigation