Skip to main content
Log in

Equity dynamics in bargaining without information exchange

  • Regular Article
  • Published:
Journal of Evolutionary Economics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

In this paper, completely uncoupled dynamics for n-player bargaining are proposed that mirror key behavioral elements of early bargaining and aspiration adjustment models (Zeuthen, 1930; Sauermann and Selten, 118:577–597 1962). Individual adjustment dynamics are based on directional learning adjustments, solely driven by histories of own realized payoffs. Bargaining this way, all possible splits have positive probability in the stationary distribution of the process, but players will split the pie almost equally most of the time. The expected waiting time for almost equal splits to be played is quadratic.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1

Similar content being viewed by others

Notes

  1. Axiomatic bargaining solutions such as Nash’s (1950) explicitly consider relative bargaining strengths (“outside options”). Harsanyi (1956) shows that the solutions obtained by Zeuthen’s dynamic model and Nash’s axiomatization coincide.

  2. The number of adjustments needed to reach such outcomes may not be the same for all players, hence there is ground to think of some inequality in terms of bargaining efforts or more general concepts of social exchange equity (Adams, 1965) depending on initial states.

  3. Other iterative bargaining procedures such as Raiffa (1953), Luce and Raiffa (1957), Kalai (1977), and John and Raith (1999) start from inside the bargaining set. The differences between these approaches and ours is similar in spirit to the differences with Zeuthen that are discussed in detail here.

  4. In Raiffa (1953), Luce and Raiffa (1957), Kalai (1977), and John and Raith (1999), the process moves the other way around and iterative steps towards the Pareto frontier are negotiated.

  5. See Babichenko (2010, 2012) for convergence comparisons of uncoupled and completely uncoupled dynamics.

  6. See also Tietz and Weber (1972), Tietz (1975), Weber (1976), and Tietz and Weber (1978), Tietz and Bartos (1983), Crössmann and Tietz (1983), and Tietz et al. (1978). Roth (1995) discusses subsequent experiments.

  7. Actually, such directional adjustments may turn out to be strategically rationalizable in these higher information environments. (I thank an anonymous referee for pointing this out.)

  8. See also Gale et al. (1995), Nowak et al. (2000), Konrad & Morath (2015) for evolutionary models of “ultimatum bargaining” (Güth et al. 1982), or Binmore et al. (1998) for an evolutionary analysis of alternating-offer “Rubinstein bargaining” (Rubinstein 1982).

  9. “Stochastic stability” is an equilibrium refinement that is different from “evolutionary stability” based on replicator arguments (Maynard Smith and Price, 1973; Maynard Smith, 1974) or from “evolutionary stability” in finite populations (Schaffer, 1988; Nowak et al., 2004).

  10. The difference between these convergence concepts is addressed in more detail in Young (2009), see also Babichenko (2012)

  11. It will be convenient to have set up the process with these Poisson clocks when we turn to convergence times. For the meantime, it is also possible to think of agents being activated uniformly at random in discrete time.

  12. The linear function is an approximation for more general functions or a lower bound for functions that first-order dominate the linear bound (e.g. more convex or step functions). Using a d i with \(a=\frac {f(\delta )}{\delta }\) for any convex function f(⋅) with f(0)=0, f (x)>0 and f (x)≥0 for all x>0, for example, “understates” the stickiness and works in the opposite direction in terms of our results.

  13. Assuming r<a δ guarantees that this assumption holds for any current \({d_{i}^{t}}>0\) of any player.

  14. Note that we may drop 2a r from this last expression because 2a r<2r<2δ<1.

References

  • Adams JS (1965) Inequity in social exchange. In: Berkowitz L (ed) Advances in experimental social psychology 2, pp 267–299

  • Alexander J, Skyrms B (1999) Bargaining with neighbors: is justice contagious? J Philos 96:588–598

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Babichenko Y (2010) Uncoupled automata and pure Nash equilibria. Int J Game Theory 39:483–502

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Babichenko Y (2012) Completely uncoupled dynamics and Nash equilibria. Games and Economic Behavior 76(1):1–14

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Bayer R-C, Renner E, Sausgruber R (2013) Confusion and learning in the voluntary contributions game. Exp Econ 16:478–496

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Binmore KG, Piccione M, Samuelson L (1998) Evolutionary stability in alternating-offers bargaining games. J Econ Theory 80:257–291

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Binmore KG, Samuelson L, Young HP (2003) Equilibrium selection in bargaining models. Games and Economic Behavior 45:296–328

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Brems H (1976) From the years of high theory: Frederik Zeuthen (1888–1959). History of Political Economy 8:400–411

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Burton-Chellew M, Nax HH, West S (2015) Learning, not pro-sociality, explains the decline in cooperation in public goods games. Proc R Soc B Biol Sci 282 (1801):20142678

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bush R, Mosteller F (1955) Stochastic models of learning. NY, Wiley

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Cross JG (1983) A theory of adaptive economic behavior. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Crössmann H, Tietz R (1983) Market behavior based on aspiration levels. In: Tietz R (ed) Lecture notes in economics and mathematical systems 213, Berlin, 1982, pp 170–185

  • Ding J, Nicklisch A (2013) On the impulse in impulse learning. MPI Collective Goods Preprint 13(/02)

  • Ellingsen T (1997) The evolution of bargaining behavior. Q J Econ 112:581–602

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Erev I, Roth AE (1998) Predicting how people play games: reinforcement learning in experimental games with unique, mixed strategy equilibria. Am Econ Rev 88:848–881

    Google Scholar 

  • Estes W (1950) Towards a statistical theory of learning. Psychol Rev 57:94–107

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Foster D, Young HP (1990) Stochastic evolutionary game dynamics. Theor Popul Biol 38:219–232

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Foster D, Young HP (2006) Regret testing: learning to play Nash equilibrium without knowing you have an opponent. Theor Econ 1:341–367

    Google Scholar 

  • Gale J, Binmore K, Samuelson L (1995) Learning to be imperfect: the ultimatum game. Games and Economic Behavior 8:56–90

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Germano F, Lugosi G (2007) Global Nash convergence of Foster and Young’s regret testing. Games and Economic Behavior 60:135–154

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Grosskopf B (2003) Reinforcement and directional learning in the ultimatum game with responder competition. Exp Econ 6:141–158

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Güth W, Schmittberger R, Schwarze B (1982) An experimental analysis of ultimatum bargaining. J Econ Behav Organ 3(4):367–388

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Harley CB (1981) Learning the evolutionarily stable strategy. J Theor Biol 89:611–633

    Article  CAS  PubMed  ADS  Google Scholar 

  • Harsanyi JC (1956) Approaches to the bargaining problem before and after the theory of games: a critical discussion of Zeuthen’s, Hicks’, and Nash’s theories. Econometrica 24:144–157

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Hart S, Mas-Colell A (2003) Uncoupled dynamics do not lead to Nash equilibrium. Am Econ Rev 93:1830–1836

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hart S, Mas-Colell A (2006) Stochastic uncoupled dynamics and Nash equilibrium. Games and Economic Behavior 57:286–303

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Heckhausen H (1955) Motivationsanalyse der Anspruchsniveau-Setzung. Psychol Forsch 25:118–154

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Herrnstein RJ (1961) Relative and absolute strength of response as a function of frequency of reinforcement. J Exp Anal Behav 4:267–272

    Article  PubMed Central  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Hoppe F (1931) Erfolg und Mißerfolg. Psychol Forsch 14:1–62

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • John R, Raith MG (1999) Strategic step-by-step negotiation. J Econ 70:127–154

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kalai E (1977) Proportional solutions to bargaining situations: interpersonal utility comparisons. Econometrica 45:1623–1630

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Karandikar R, Mookherjee D, Ray D, Vega-Redondo F (1998) Evolving aspirations and cooperation. J Econ Theory 80:292–331

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Konrad KA, Morath F (2014) Bargaining with Incomplete Information: Evolutionary Stability in Finite Populations, Working Paper of the Max Planck Institute for Tax Law and Public Finance No. 2014–16

  • Luce RD, Raiffa H (1957) Games and decisions: introduction and critical survey. NY, Wiley

    Google Scholar 

  • Marden JR, Young HP, Arslan G, Shamma JS (2009) Payoff-based dynamics for multiplayer weakly acyclic games. SIAM. J Control Optim 48(1):373–396

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Marden JR, Young HP, Pao LY (2014) Achieving Pareto optimality through distributed learning. SIAM J Control Optim 52(5):2753–2770

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Maynard Smith J (1974) The theory of games and the evolution of animal conflicts. J Theor Biol 47(1):209–221

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Maynard Smith J, Price GR (1973) The logic of animal conflict. Nature 246(5427):15–18

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nash J (1950) The Bargaining Problem. Econometrica 18:155–162

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Nax HH (2011) Evolutionary cooperative games, D.Phil. thesis, University of Oxford

  • Nax HH, Perc M (2015) Directional learning and the provisioning of public goods. Sci Rep 5:8010

    Article  PubMed Central  CAS  PubMed  ADS  Google Scholar 

  • Nax HH, Pradelski BSR (2015) Evolutionary dynamics and equitable core selection in assignment games. International Journal of Game Theory, forthcoming

  • Nax HH, Pradelski BSR, Young HP (2013) Decentralized dynamics to optimal and stable states in the assignment game. IEEE Proceedings 52(CDC):2398–2405

    Google Scholar 

  • Nowak M, Page KM, Sigmund K (2000) Fairness versus reason in the ultimatum game. Science 289(5485):1773–1775

  • Nowak MA, Sasaki A, Taylor C, Fudenberg D (2004) Emergence of cooperation and evolutionary stability in finite populations. Nature 428(6983):646–650

    Article  CAS  PubMed  ADS  Google Scholar 

  • Pradelski BSR, Young HP (2012) Learning efficient Nash equilibria in distributed systems. Games and Economic Behavior 75:882–897

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Raiffa H (1953) Arbitration schemes for generalized two-person games. In: Kuhn H, Tucker A, Dresher M (eds) Contributions to the theory of games, vol. 2. Princeton University Press, NJ, pp 361–387

    Google Scholar 

  • Roth AE (1995) Bargaining experiments. In: Kagel J, Roth AE (eds) Handbook of experimental economics. Princeton University Press, NJ, pp 253–348

    Google Scholar 

  • Roth AE, Erev I (1995) Learning in extensive form games: experimental data and simple dynamic models in the intermediate term. Games and Economics Behavior 8:164–212

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Rubinstein (1982) Perfect equilibrium in a bargaining model. Econometrica 50:97–109

  • Saez-Marti M, Weibull JW (1999) Clever agents in Young’s evolutionary bargaining model. J Econ Theory 86:268–279

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Sandholm W (2010) Population Games and Evolutionary Dynamics. MIT Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Sauermann H, Selten R (1962) Anspruchsanpassungstheorie der Unternehmung. Zeitschrift für die Gesamte Staatswissenschaft 118:577–597

    Google Scholar 

  • Schaffer ME (1988) Evolutionary stable strategies for a finite population and a variable contest size. J Theor Biol 132(4):469–478

    Article  CAS  MathSciNet  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  • Schelling TC (1956) An essay on bargaining. Am Econ Rev 46(3):281–306

    Google Scholar 

  • Selten R, Buchta J (1998) Experimental sealed bid first price auction with directly observed bid functions. In: Budescu D, Zwick IER (eds) Games and human behavior, essays in honor of Amnon Rapoport

  • Selten R, Stoecker R (1986) End behavior in sequences of finite prisoner’s dilemma supergames: a learning theory approach. J Econ Behav Organ 7:47–70

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Suppes P, Atkinson AR (1959) Markov learning models for multiperson situations. Stanford University Press, Stanford

    Google Scholar 

  • Thorndike E (1898) Animal intelligence: an experimental study of the associative processes in animals. Psychol Rev:8

  • Tietz R (1975) An experimental analysis of wage bargaining behavior. Zeitschrift für die gesamte Staatswissenschaft 131:44–91

    Google Scholar 

  • Tietz R, Bartos O (1983) Balancing of aspiration levels as fairness principle in negotiations. In: Tietz R (ed) Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, 213, pp 52–66

  • Tietz R, Weber H (1972) On the nature of the bargaining process in the Kresko-game. In: Sauermann H (ed) Contributions to experimental economics, Vol. 3, pp 305–334

  • Tietz R, Weber H (1978) Decision behavior in multi-variable negotiations. In: Sauermann H (ed) Contributions to experimental economics , Vol.7, pp 60–87

  • Tietz R, Weber H, Vidmajer U, Wentzel C (1978) On aspiration forming behavior in repetitive negotiations. In: Sauermann H (ed) Contributions to experimental economics, Vol. 7, pp. 88–102

  • Weber H (1976) On the theory of adaptation of aspiration levels in a bilateral decision setting. Zeitschrift für die gesamte Staatswissenschaft 132:582–591

    Google Scholar 

  • Weibull JW (1995) Evolutionary game theory. MIT Press, MA

  • Young HP (1993) The evolution of conventions. Econometrica 61:57–84

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Young HP (2004) Strategic learning and its limits. Oxford University Press, London, UK

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Young HP (2009) Learning by trial and error. Games and Economic Behavior 65:626–643

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Zeuthen F (1930) Problems of monopoly and economic warfare. Routledge, London, UK

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

Much of this work is part of the author’s D.Phil. (University of Oxford, 2011; supported by the Economic and Social Research Council [grant number PTA-031-2005-00118] and Postdoc under the Office of Naval Research Grant [grant number N00014-09-1-0751]. I also acknowledge current support by the European Commission through the ERC Advanced Investigator Grant ‘Momentum’ [grant number 324247]. I am particularly thankful to Peyton Young and Steffen Issleib, with whom I worked on this topic, and to Françoise Forges, Chris Wallace and Francis Dennig for comments on earlier versions of this model. The proof technique used is due to previous, joint unpublished work. I would also like to thank anonymous referees and a helpful editor for valuable comments on earlier versions of the paper.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Heinrich H. Nax.

Additional information

Nax acknowledges support by the European Commission through the ERC Advanced Investigator Grant ‘Momentum’ (Grant No. 324247).

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Nax, H.H. Equity dynamics in bargaining without information exchange. J Evol Econ 25, 1011–1026 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00191-015-0405-9

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00191-015-0405-9

Keywords

JEL Classifications

Navigation